"Ethereum Price Set to Skyrocket – Expert Predictions Here’s my expert take on Ethereum’s price outlook: By the end of 2024, ETH could hit $5,064.63. In 2025, expect it to range between $5,044.68 and $6,078.17, with an average of $5,973.21. Looking ahead to 2030, ETH could skyrocket, ranging from $15,825.07 to $17,361.45, averaging $16,502.73.
Ethereum’s powerful blockchain is built for scalability, security, and decentralization, making it a key player in blockchain and DeFi innovation. What are your thoughts? Will ETH hit these numbers? Drop your comments below!
Realyield
Rising real yields are driving the stock market selloffInflation expectations (T10YIE, red line) have been on the rise since Q1 2020. Nominal yields (US10Y, turquoise line) bottomed as gold (XAUUSD, yellow line) topped in Aug 2020 after the Fed marked the end of stimulus expansion, shifting speculation to timing the eventual tightening.
However, stocks (ESH2022, S&P 500 future, purple line) did not turn lower until Dec'21-Jan'22 as *real* interest rates (DFII10, orange line) started to rise. This is as the markets began to believe the Fed's hawkish rhetoric, so inflation expectations came down while nominal yields pushed upward.
Higher real yields drive portfolio de-risking. Investors are able to achieve a comparatively lower risk profile given a level of expected return, so assets toward the "risk-on" side of the spectrum suffer relative to anti-risk alternatives.
When will Gold shine again?Currently Gold is in a pretty bad spot right now despite the fact that it seems it wants to go up. It is below all key moving averages, has broken key support levels and there is a double/triple/quadruple bottom (depends on how you see it) that wants to get broken.
Now this idea kinda contradicts my previous idea because if bonds go up, most likely Gold will go up along with them. Essentially real rates could fall, but by how much? If I am thinking bonds will go up (yields down) and inflation stays the same then real yields will go down, so gold will go up. But will inflation stay the same? Also the market is looking forward and many of these things have already been taken into account. There are many forces into play here and I don't think everyone understands all of them. Yes the relationship with real yields does matter, but what if the Crypto market and Stocks go so high that people keep selling safe stuff to get into the riskier stuff? What good is gold when it is underperforming everything?
There is a solid chance this inflationary/reflationary wave will flop pretty quickly and that's why bonds could go up. To me it seems like it will be more of technical bounce as they are oversold, not that there is anything scary going on. So gold could get up to 1820-1860 and then go down again. To me there is a decent chance that long term Gold could get to the 1350$ area. How or why will it get there I don't know, however my TA says it is possible until we get a close above 1860.
5-year UST real interest rates vs gold - $3,080 by Aug-22Medium-term projected gold price realted to projected downward continuation of 5 year real interest rates. Thanks to @Amkeller1 and @Badcharts for assistance and inspiration.