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Jul.23-Jul.29(ETH)Weekly market recapTrump inspires crypto market at Bitcoin 2024. He stated that if he enters office, it will remove Gary Gensler from SEC leadership as soon as possible. And the US government will not sell BTC holdings, whether currently held or potential future purchases, as a special way for strategic reserve. The market was attracted by his promise and BTC began to rise away from ETH, touching 70000. If Trump is elected and keeps his promise, BTC will start a new bullish channel after November. On the other hand, this week is a big data week. The FOMC will be held on Thursday. Although we all know that there will be no interest rate cuts, as long as there are no hawkish views in Powell conference and the FOMC statements, the market will price in further interest rate cuts. On this Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release employment data for July. Likewise, as long as the employment data does not strengthen significantly, the rise will not be interrupted. ETH’s performance last week was weaker than BTC’s. Because Bitcoin 2024 did not mention ETH, ETH trading volume on Saturday was the same as usual. Judging from the WTA indicator, the number of blue columns representing whales increased significantly last week, which is different from BTC. Perhaps it is because the listing of the ETH ETF has attracted whales to hold ETH. Judging from the ME indicator line, the long-term fluctuation has further narrowed the purple wavy area. In summary, we continue to maintain a bullish view on ETH. ETH is more likely to rise than fall this week. We maintain our previous resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jul.23-Jul.29(BTC)Weekly market recapTrump inspires crypto market at Bitcoin 2024. He stated that if he enters office, it will remove Gary Gensler from SEC leadership as soon as possible. And the US government will not sell BTC holdings, whether currently held or potential future purchases, as a special way for strategic reserve. The market was attracted by his promise and BTC began to rise away from ETH, touching 70000. If Trump is elected and keeps his promise, BTC will start a new bullish channel after November. On the other hand, this week is a big data week. The FOMC will be held on Thursday. Although we all know that there will be no interest rate cuts, as long as there are no hawkish views in Powell conference and the FOMC statements, the market will price in further interest rate cuts. On this Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release employment data for July. Likewise, as long as the employment data does not strengthen significantly, the rise will not be interrupted. Looking at the candle charts, overall trading volume was low last week. The only hot spot is that Bitcoin 2024 attracted retail investors on Saturday, which made the trading volume on Saturday significantly higher than previous weekend levels. Judging from the WTA indicator, there were no whales involved in trading last week. From the ME indicator, the purple wavy area gradually widens, and the market turns to an upward trend. In summary, we believe that though short sellers have hindered the rise, BTC still has the possibility of standing above 70000 this week. We maintain the previous resistance level 74000 and support level 58000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jul.16-Jul.22(ETH)Weekly market recapThe rise from the excellent CPI lasted for 10 days, and Biden’s quit from the next presidential election continues the bull trend. The pricing for CPI has ended. The market has once again entered a macro cooling period. We don’t think PCE on Friday will change anything. The next important macro event will be the FOMC release at the end of the July. Although it is almost impossible for the next FOMC to cut interest rates, bulls need to find reasons to maintain strength from the FOMC statement and Powell's speech. Also worth paying special attention to in the coming week is the Bitcoin 2024 conference. Trump will take the stage to give a speech on the last day. If he really includes BTC as a strategic reserve of the United States as he said before, then BTC will be crazy about it. On the other hand, the ETH ETF was officially approved a few hours ago, and will officially trade in the next session. This is a bullish event for ETH in the long term, but in the short term, the market reaction is not ideal. We believe that the trend of ETH may be the same as that of BTC through ETF. Take a break and then go up. ETH encountered bearish strength after hitting 3500. The performance over the past seven days has been weaker than that of BTC. The ME indicator continues to maintain its bullish trend. But judging from the WTA indicators, like BTC, whale participation has been low in the past seven days, and even the transaction volume has continued to decrease. In summary, we believe that ETH may remain fluctuating this week. The probability of rising is greater than falling. The approval of ETF will benefit ETH in the long term, and the ETH/BTC rate will rise. We maintain the resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
1
Jul.16-Jul.22(BTC)Weekly market recapThe rise from the excellent CPI lasted for 10 days, and Biden’s quit from the next presidential election continues the bull trend. The pricing for CPI has ended. The market has once again entered a macro cooling period. We don’t think PCE on Friday will change anything. The next important macro event will be the FOMC release at the end of the July. Although it is almost impossible for the next FOMC to cut interest rates, bulls need to find reasons to maintain strength from the FOMC statement and Powell's speech. Also worth paying special attention to in the coming week is the Bitcoin 2024 conference. Trump will take the stage to give a speech on the last day. If he really includes BTC as a strategic reserve of the United States as he said before, then BTC will be crazy about it. On the other hand, the ETH ETF was officially approved a few hours ago, and will officially trade in the next session. This is a bullish event for ETH in the long term, but in the short term, the market reaction is not ideal. We believe that the trend of ETH may be the same as that of BTC through ETF. Take a break and then go up. As mentioned in our last recap, BTC bulls advanced further, touching 68000. This turns the ME indicator into a bullish trend. On the WTA indicator, although the bulls performed strongly, more power came from shrimps, and the participation of whales was not obvious. To sum up, we believe that BTC will remain volatile for most of this week, but we need to pay attention to the impact from Bitcoin 2024. BTC is more likely to rise further than to fall. We maintain our resistance level 74000 and support level 58000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jul.9-Jul.15(ETH)Weekly market recapThe CPI of June dropped significantly and performed better than expected. Coupled with Powell's dovish speeches on monetary policy in the House of Representatives and the Senate, the market has rekindled hopes of an interest rate cut. Judging from data available in the interest rate swap market, traders have begun pricing in the possibility of two interest rate cuts in 2024. And it is expected that starting from the FOMC in September, interest rates will be cut at every subsequent FOMC. After the German government sold BTC, FUD in the market gradually decreased. Mt.Gox's repayment method will be based on the BTC price several years ago, and the potential selling pressure will not be large. So after gold and U.S. stocks responded bullishly on Thursday, cryptocurrencies started to see gains over the weekend. Relative to U.S. stocks that continue to price in interest rate cuts, BTC and stocks in developing countries will become the leaders of this cycle. The SEC is currently expected to issue its latest response to the ETH ETF this week, and there is a high probability that it will be officially launched this week. Again, we are already on the way to a rate cut. This is the era of ETH. Although FUD caused greater losses to ETH, the continuous rise has repaired it. The listing of ETH ETF remains a focus of the market. Like BTC, ETH bulls enjoyed a rare weekend of strength and are holding on. On the WTA indicator, after ETH fell below 3000, whales appeared. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend. To sum up, we believe that ETH may lead the market higher this week. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
1
Jul.9-Jul.15(BTC)Weekly market recapThe CPI of June dropped significantly and performed better than expected. Coupled with Powell's dovish speeches on monetary policy in the House of Representatives and the Senate, the market has rekindled hopes of an interest rate cut. Judging from data available in the interest rate swap market, traders have begun pricing in the possibility of two interest rate cuts in 2024. And it is expected that starting from the FOMC in September, interest rates will be cut at every subsequent FOMC. After the German government sold BTC, FUD in the market gradually decreased. Mt.Gox's repayment method will be based on the BTC price several years ago, and the potential selling pressure will not be large. So after gold and U.S. stocks responded bullishly on Thursday, cryptocurrencies started to see gains over the weekend. Relative to U.S. stocks that continue to price in interest rate cuts, BTC and stocks in developing countries will become the leaders of this cycle. The SEC is currently expected to issue its latest response to the ETH ETF this week, and there is a high probability that it will be officially launched this week. Again, we are already on the way to a rate cut. Over the past seven days, BTC has demonstrated the power of the bulls. It is back in range and has repaired the loss caused by FUD. It should be noted that the market is mainly dominated by retail investors on weekends, and there will not be major fluctuations due to the rest of institutions. However, the bullish trend of BTC formed over the weekend and continues to these days. Looking at the WTA indicator, the blue columns representing whales increase when the price hits 54000. Both whales and shrimp have turned bullish. The ME indicator switched to a bearish trend due to long-term fluctuations. In summary, BTC bulls are well-positioned to develop further this week. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 58000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jun.26-Jul.1(ETH)Weekly market recapThe PCE of May was better than the previous value, and the power of shorts has slowed down. This Friday will usher in important NFP. This will restart the medium-term trend. Many financial markets pulled back after rise in NFP in last month. Although we all know that the increase in NFP is likely to come from political needs and the increase in illegal immigration. Therefore, there is a divergence between it and the unemployment rate. However, with the market's full interpretation, we believe that as long as NFP is not significantly higher than expected, the market may ignore NFP and price a new round of interest rate cuts. The SEC recently returned some applicants’ S-1 documents regarding ETH ETF and required them to submit documents again within July 8. ETH ETF is getting closer. The formal approval of the BTC ETF is after the U.S. stock market closes, so the ETH ETF may also be within this time point. Economic data aside, the ETH ETF will be key over the next 10 days. Although Mt. Gox brought FUD, the BTC ETF has turned to net inflows for 5 consecutive days, which shows that institutions have reopened BTC. ETH has remained fluctuation over the past week, as we expected. But the ETH ETF is about to be launched, and this cycle is still for ETH. The response from an indicator level is lackluster. There are no obvious whales on the WTA indicator, and trading volume has not increased. The ME indicator continues to fluctuate, causing the wavy area to further narrow. In summary, we believe that ETH's performance this week may be stronger than BTC, but this depends on the time when the ETH ETF is listed. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jun.26-Jul.1(BTC)Weekly market recapThe PCE of May was better than the previous value, and the power of shorts has slowed down. This Friday will usher in important NFP. This will restart the medium-term trend. Many financial markets pulled back after rise in NFP in last month. Although we all know that the increase in NFP is likely to come from political needs and the increase in illegal immigration. Therefore, there is a divergence between it and the unemployment rate. However, with the market's full interpretation, we believe that as long as NFP is not significantly higher than expected, the market may ignore NFP and price a new round of interest rate cuts. The SEC recently returned some applicants’ S-1 documents regarding ETH ETF and required them to submit documents again within July 8. ETH ETF is getting closer. The formal approval of the BTC ETF is after the U.S. stock market closes, so the ETH ETF may also be within this time point. Economic data aside, the ETH ETF will be key over the next 10 days. Although Mt. Gox brought FUD, the BTC ETF has turned to net inflows for 5 consecutive days, which shows that institutions have reopened BTC. As we predicted last week, BTC rebounded after approaching its lows. Of course, this is also related to the bottom-buying sentiment prompted by the MBF indicator last week. Judging from the WTA indicator, the blue column representing the whale does not appear. Last week's trading volume was consistent with previous weeks. Bulls strengthened, but overall remain on the sidelines. The long-term fluctuation weakened the bullish trend of the ME indicator, and the wavy area further narrowed. To sum up, we believe that the trend of BTC this week will be determined by multiple events, and before that, it may remain fluctuating. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 58000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jun.19-Jun.25(ETH)Weekly market recapThe market fell further as we expected last week. During the economic data window, the market began to price in only one interest rate cut this year. This is not just for crypto market, but for all financial markets. This is likely to last until early July, before bulls come back and bring enthusiasm again. During this period, the PCE released this Friday will bring about a small rebound. In addition, multiple BTC ETFs have experienced net outflows for several consecutive days, which is also a microcosm of the US market sentiment. After some asset management companies submitted S-1 documents for the ETH ETF, the market expected that the ETH ETF would be officially listed in early July, which would also bring about a small-level rebound. Regardless, we are on the way to a rate cut, and the long-term trend for all types of financial assets must be upward. ETH fell less than BTC. This may be related to the upcoming listing of ETF ETH. Yesterday's decline saw significant trading volume, but eventually a pin-bar formed. For ETH, the MBF indicator does not indicate bottom-buying sentiment. There is no obvious blue column representing whales on the TSB indicator. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, but the wavy area gradually narrows. To sum up, we believe that ETH is likely to remain fluctuating this week. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jun.19-Jun.25(BTC)Weekly market recapThe market fell further as we expected last week. During the economic data window, the market began to price in only one interest rate cut this year. This is not just for crypto market, but for all financial markets. This is likely to last until early July, before bulls come back and bring enthusiasm again. During this period, the PCE released this Friday will bring about a small rebound. In addition, multiple BTC ETFs have experienced net outflows for several consecutive days, which is also a microcosm of the US market sentiment. After some asset management companies submitted S-1 documents for the ETH ETF, the market expected that the ETH ETF would be officially listed in early July, which would also bring about a small-level rebound. Regardless, we are on the way to a rate cut, and the long-term trend for all types of financial assets must be upward. Over the past seven days, BTC has fallen continuously, pulling back below the given support level, but there has been no significant increase in trading volume. After BTC approached a low, the MBF indicator once again showed obvious bottom-buying sentiment. As shown in the chart, the last time the MBF indicator prompted bottom-buying sentiment was in early May, and then BTC rose to ATH again. On the WTA indicator, there have been no obvious blue columns representing whales over the past week. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, but the wavy area further narrows. To sum up, we believe that BTC may rebound after approaching the low of the range. We maintain the original resistance level 74000 and temporarily lower the support level to 58000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jun.11-Jun.18(ETH)Weekly market recapAfter the CPI data released by the Labor Department last week showed that inflationary pressures further eased in May, BTC and US stocks rebounded significantly, covering the decline caused by the previous employment data. However, in the subsequent FOMC, the dot plot showed that the median number of interest rate cuts this year was one, which was lower than the market expectation of two. And at a later press conference, Powell said that inflation had further eased, but was still higher than planned. This takes into account the CPI. The markets fell on the news High market sentiment was cooled. In the next half month, crypto continued to fall as the main trend, and during this period, there may be a rebound due to the listing of the ETH ETF. The trend will maintain until economic data of June is released. While ETH bulls resisted over the weekend, on Monday, it gave back its gains on weekend. From the WTA indicator, you can see that almost no blue columns appear, unlike BTC. This shows that whales are more inclined to BTC. However, in terms of trading volume, ETH has not decreased significantly, and retail investors still choose ETH. In summary, we believe that ETH will continue to correct in the short term. However, if the ETH ETF is officially launched, it will slightly encourage the market and rebound. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jun.11-Jun.18(BTC)Weekly market recapAfter the CPI data released by the Labor Department last week showed that inflationary pressures further eased in May, BTC and US stocks rebounded significantly, covering the decline caused by the previous employment data. However, in the subsequent FOMC, the dot plot showed that the median number of interest rate cuts this year was one, which was lower than the market expectation of two. And at a later press conference, Powell said that inflation had further eased, but was still higher than planned. This takes into account the CPI. The markets fell on the news High market sentiment was cooled. In the next half month, crypto continued to fall as the main trend, and during this period, there may be a rebound due to the listing of the ETH ETF. The trend will maintain until economic data of June is released. BTC has fallen with fluctuation in the past seven days and missed the opportunity to refresh ATH, but its performance was stronger than most tokens. It can be seen from the WTA indicator that after the CPI data was released, blue columns representing whales participated in transactions. The rate of decline slows down. Trading volume is consistent with the past. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, and the wavy area further narrows. To sum up, we believe that BTC will continue to lead the market correction in the short term and remain fluctuation in the medium term. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Jun.4-Jun.10(ETH)Weekly market recapEmployment data was released last Friday. Although the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the number of NFP exceeded expectations, reaching 272,000. The data performed average, but due to market expectations were too high, there was a correction after the data was released. Not only in crypto, gold has also seen a obvious correction. The market currently predicts that the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 will be reduced to two times, in September and December. The CPI and FOMC for May will be announced on Wednesday and Thursday this week. We believe this will determine the medium-term trend. Regardless, we are heading towards a rate cut. ETH has underperformed BTC over the last week, falling below 3600. The resistance level 4000 is too powerful. Judging from the WTA indicator, there is no blue column representing whales, and the trading volume has further decreased. However, judging from the ME indicator, the wavy area has not narrowed, which shows that the correction did not destroy the bull trend. To sum up, we believe that ETH is likely to fluctuate this week. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jun.4-Jun.10(BTC)Weekly market recapEmployment data was released last Friday. Although the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the number of NFP exceeded expectations, reaching 272,000. The data performed average, but due to market expectations were too high, there was a correction after the data was released. Not only in crypto, gold has also seen a obvious correction. The market currently predicts that the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 will be reduced to two times, in September and December. The CPI and FOMC for May will be announced on Wednesday and Thursday this week. We believe this will determine the medium-term trend. Regardless, we are heading towards a rate cut. BTC is as we predicted last time, after rising and falling. It is slightly lower than last week’s price. Although the price has corrected, there has been no continuous decline for the time being. Trading volume is low. From the WTA indicator, after the last analysis released, a small number of blue columns representing whales appeared, but they quickly disappeared. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend. To sum up, we believe that the volatility of BTC will increase this week and continue to fluctuate, with the probability of rising higher than falling. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
June, Week 1 - Published ideas recapIn this post I would like to recap my ideas published here last week and report on how they worked out. On the chart I marked with a yellow line the bar on which the idea was published, and above I added a small note about the status of the idea. 1. CARG - the stock broke the base, mentioned levels were valid. 2. HQY - the idea is still valid, with a key level 86. 3. BBIO - the stock did not show any strength above the key level, so this idea is no longer interesting at the moment. 4. UAL - the right shoulder was not broken, the idea is still valid. 5. FOUR - the flag has been successfully broken, the first target has been reached, the trend may continue. 6. PINS - the pattern was successfully broken, the stock shows strength. Next week I'll post more ideas as well as keep an eye on those that still haven't activated. Happy Weekend!
NYSE:PINS
by ivanistrading
May.28-Jun.3(ETH)Weekly market recapThe volatility brought about by the approval of the ETH ETF gradually narrows. U.S. employment data, CPI for May and FOMC will be released in the next two weeks. This will affect market expectations for monetary policy. Starting from April's data, both employment and CPI began to cool down. Although the Federal Reserve said that an interest rate cut is far away, but we all know that it is approaching. The United States has entered the election cycle, perhaps this is also the main reason for the approval of the ETH ETF. More and more candidates showing themselves to be crypto-friendly and looking to gain support from Cryptoer. Similarly, we believe that the Federal Reserve also needs to submit a satisfactory answer to the public to ensure the vote rate of the Democratic Party during its term. Therefore, we believe that interest rate cuts will still wait until Q3~Q4, but the market will be more aggressive in pricing interest rate cuts. In the past 7 days, ETH volatility has decreased and remained fluctuating at high levels. ETH/BTC has not returned to the level where the BTC ETF passed, which shows that ETH is still slightly undervalued in terms of the benefits brought by the ETF. Both bulls and bears are cautious, with trading volume declining after returning to highs. Judging from the WTA indicator, the blue column representing the whale has disappeared. The ME indicator has restarted the bullish trend after the pump. To sum up, we believe that ETH will continue to remain volatile most of the time this week, and the rise is likely to be greater than the fall. We maintain my original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
1
May.28-Jun.3(BTC)Weekly market recapThe volatility brought about by the approval of the ETH ETF gradually narrows. U.S. employment data, CPI for May and FOMC will be released in the next two weeks. This will affect market expectations for monetary policy. Starting from April's data, both employment and CPI began to cool down. Although the Federal Reserve said that an interest rate cut is far away, but we all know that it is approaching. The United States has entered the election cycle, perhaps this is also the main reason for the approval of the ETH ETF. More and more candidates showing themselves to be crypto-friendly and looking to gain support from Cryptoer. Similarly, we believe that the Federal Reserve also needs to submit a satisfactory answer to the public to ensure the vote rate of the Democratic Party during its term. Therefore, we believe that interest rate cuts will still wait until Q3~Q4, but the market will be more aggressive in pricing interest rate cuts. Therefore, BTC fluctuated around 69000 when no important events occurred in the market, which is the same as our recap judgment last week. The market sentiment is mainly cautious, at least waiting for new updates. This can also be seen in the lower than past average trading volume. Indicators-wise, the past seven days have been relatively uneventful. There is no blue column representing whales on the WTA indicator. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, and the change in the wavy area is not obvious. To sum up, we believe that BTC may continue to fluctuate around 69000 for most of the time this week. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
May.21-May.27(ETH)Weekly market recapLast week, the SEC unexpectedly approved the ETH ETF. Although it is still some time before the launch of the ETH ETF, the cryptocurrency market has entered a carnival. ETH started pumping, narrowing the gap with BTC in terms of gains. We believe that although the ETH ETF has been approved, the pledge utility of ETH will still make the SEC cautious about ETH. On the other hand, we saw last week that Donald Trump, the Republican candidate for the 2024 election, stated that he would accept donations from cryptocurrencies, support the development of cryptocurrencies in the United States, and ban CBDCs if the campaign is successful. This is also the reason why meme coins based on Trump have risen recently. If Trump eventually becomes President of the United States, cryptocurrencies will see an even bigger rise. ETH has performed well last week, with a price increase of nearly 30%, mainly due to the approval of the ETH ETF. Before last week's long green candle appeared, we can see from the MBF indicator that ETH's bottom-buying sentiment was sluggish. But after the ETF was approved, everything changed. On the WTA indicator, blue columns representing whales appear in groups, and trading volume also increases significantly. The wavy area of the ME indicator, which was about to turn into a bearish signal, has once again widened. For ETH, it is currently close to the high point of the year which is also a strong resistance level of 4000. In summary, we believe that the gradually increasing selling pressure will cause ETH to fluctuate this week. Based on the strengthening bulls, we raise the resistance level to 4000 and maintain the original support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
May.21-May.27(BTC)Weekly market recapLast week, the SEC unexpectedly approved the ETH ETF. Although it is still some time before the listing of the ETH ETF, the crypto market has entered a carnival. ETH started pumping, narrowing the gap with BTC in terms of gains in 2024. We believe that although the ETH ETF has been approved, the staking utility of ETH will still make the SEC cautious about ETH. On the other hand, we saw last week that Donald Trump, the Republican candidate for the 2024 election, stated that he would accept donations from crypto tokens. He will support the development of crypto in the United States, and ban CBDCs if the election is successful. This is also the reason why meme coins based on Trump have risen recently. If Trump eventually becomes President of the United States, crypto will see an even bigger rise. BTC performed weaker than ETH last week and became a follower. Although the price rebounded after the MBF indicator showed bottom-buying sentiment. After approaching a given resistance level, BTC entered a range again. The WTA indicator shows that there were no blue columns representing whales during last week's trading, and trading volume was lower than past averages. The ME indicator maintains a bullish trend. In summary, we believe that BTC will maintain low volatility. We keep our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
May.7-May.13(ETH)Weekly market recapU.S. CPI data for April will be released this week, and the market expects that CPI will fall. After weak employment data was released earlier this month, assets rose, and BTC also rebounded sharply at the time of the release. Therefore, if CPI data can further confirm the role of current monetary policy, then the market correction may end. On the other hand, the first deadlines for ETH spot ETFs are approaching. The SEC is expected to give its final response on May 23. Unlike BTC, we expect that the approval of ETH ETF will be difficult to pass or be postponed to Q3 due to POS mechanism and other factors. As we predicted in our last Recap, ETH performed weakly. It almost fell with fluctuation, barely standing above 2900. This may be related to the fact that the market is not optimistic that the ETH ETF will be approved this month. On the WTA indicator, the blue column disappears and the trading volume decreases. The ME indicator is almost switching into a bearish trend. To sum up, we believe that unless the possibility of ETH ETF being approved increases, ETH may remain volatile or fluctuate this week. We maintain our original resistance level 3700 and support level 2800. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
May.7-May.13(BTC)Weekly market recapU.S. CPI data for April will be released this week, and the market expects that CPI will fall. After weak employment data was released earlier this month, assets rose, and BTC also rebounded sharply at the time of the release. Therefore, if CPI data can further confirm the role of current monetary policy, then the market correction may end. On the other hand, the first deadlines for ETH spot ETFs are approaching. The SEC is expected to give its final response on May 23. Unlike BTC, we expect that the approval of ETH ETF will be difficult to pass or be postponed to Q3 due to POS mechanism and other factors. BTC has seen a slight decline over the last week, maintaining above given support levels. Volatility is decreasing. As you can see from the WTA indicator, the blue column disappears again. Trading volume was significantly lower than past averages. The ME indicator continues to maintain the bullish trend, but the wavy area narrows. To sum up, we believe that BTC will maintain a rise with fluctuation this week. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
The profit of fluctuation ---- BNBAfter the Federal Reserve slowed its balance sheet reduction and the labor market cooled more than expected, BTC led the token rebound. Compared with the dump that the token experienced in April, the price of BNB has always remained at a high level. This is related to Binance’s frequent Launchpad and Megadrop launches. The logical upper limit of BNB fundamentals is based on Binance’s activity, and the logical lower limit is based on the SEC’s actions against Binance. We have previously analyzed BNB based on the TSB indicator, and we can see that the wavy area still plays a role, and BNB maintains a bullish trend at the daily level. If you used the TSB indicator and opened a long position, then hold on to it. If you missed the TSB indicator, let's take a look at the effect of the KDMM indicator on BNB. Switching to the 4h level, we can see that BNB has clearly entered a fluctuation trend. This is a necessary conditions for using the KDMM indicator. When everything is satisfied, you only need to wait for the value on the KDMM indicator to reach a high (80) for the bearish momentum to increase or for the value to reach (20) for the bullish momentum to increase. Then carry out bearish and bullish operations accordingly. We have marked the clear signal locations on the indicator area with red and green lines. This can help you profit during fluctuation. Introduction to indicators: Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated. KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by sypool-AI-TradeGenius