Recession
Is Silver About To Have a Massive Breakout? - 30 USDOn the 4 Hourly we are seeing a massive Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
I believe that the inflation data by the FED minutes, is going to send Silver to breakout from the downtrend it has been on for some time.
Stay tuned for long-targets, as we see this breakout accour.
Fundamentals:
Mine production from primary silver companies also fell last year, by 3.8%. It, too, is expected to drop by double digits this year.
The ten largest silver countries have produced 12% less silver just since 2016.
Supplies of recycled silver have fallen by 28% just since 2012.
Im scared.....Since recently it has been no secret that the stock market no longer reflects the state of the economy. In spite of all the global trade disputes, conflict in the middle east, protesting every other week in the west, and an ever more growing amount of people becoming reliant on government aid the S&P has never been higher nor have it gained so much in such a short span of time. With talks of a potential dollar crisis, it is clear to see we "don't deserve" the current prices were seeing in the stock market.
What goes up must come down (even if it's for a moment), although I don't know when I'd be expecting a drop to ATLEAST peak covid figures in march.
Protect yourselves by saving and if possible find secondary streams of income or safe investments.
-Jones
Potential U.S. Recession Incoming? | MASSIVE AUDUSD SELL!?Could it be possible that if the U.S. isn't able to raise the "Debt Ceiling" and potentially enters into a Recession because it defaults on its debt, AUD/USD would drop dramatically? Keep your eyes open for this Thursday and weeks to come!
Ex: The 2008 Financial Crisis
What do you think? Let me know in the comments! :)
Disclaimer: I am NOT a financial advisor, so invest at your own risk. Be sure to analyze, research, and proper risk management!
$SPY ~ Why A Crash Won't Surprise MeFirstly: This is not a prediction.
I just say what I see. And what I see is, a tentative market top that looks different than all the previous "tops" this year, including the 2020 crash.
I will put "top" in quotes because of course, I cannot be sure that is indeed a top until after the fact; obviously.
What's different about this "top"? My labelled chart tells all, but in summary:
There are very few or very small gaps. A clear gap almost always represents a "shock" in the system. A fall with virtually no gaps, in my view, means a structured, calm, almost rational fall.
There is a cluster of red candles meaning this indeed "methodical" selling, also relating to the fact that there are no big gaps
Take a look at the 2020 crash, and all mini tops this year (2021). You'll see nothing but choppiness and gaps. Panicking, in other words.
Take a look at the 2008 crash:
As you can see, virtually no gaps near the top. A structured, "rational" fall, later ending up in a recession.
I'm not saying a crash will happen, obviously. But I would not be surprised, and I just say what I see.
And what I see is, a "top" that looks different from everything recently before it.
Side Note:
It also looks the "Smart Money Index" has been on a consistent downtrend since 2018.
I don't think this is my strongest point, so I left as a mere side note. Make of it what you will.
Oil is about to crash. Divergence. Inflation near its end.Oil is its last stand. Dollar is on its rescue from devaluation the currency. No hyperinflation is modern time.
FED bank have printed and push not just oil to record levels from minus prices. Lumber to stellar levels with copper.
Commodity sector is very overpriced over all because of the inflation thats been going on since 2017 and zero rate for 10 years.
We are in Inflation to Deflation status for now. next move is to resurrect the dollar is to midpoint and probably highs again like in 2020 like 97-105 dollars.
With that in mind, everything is going down with the next move. Dollar and VIX and bonds will go up when investors and bankster will go into cash and more secure products.
35 dollar in WTI is most likley in the near future.
prev:
There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last.
Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again.
Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks.
In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look
at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook , Amazon, Google , Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits.
Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move
to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows.
Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking
at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination
and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
The target no one believes. NASDAQ There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last.
Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again.
Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks.
In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look
at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook , Amazon, Google , Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits.
Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move
to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows.
Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking
at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination
and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. The Banksters.Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021.
There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last.
Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again.
Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks.
In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look
at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits.
Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move
to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows.
Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking
at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination
and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
(To be clear, recession has not begun. -35.87% drop is not a recession.
its above 50% to be a recession counted as one. we did a too rapid drop and too rapid recover for sustainability.
Index have done around 1450-1500 point move every sustainable move.
now we have done 2280 points in a year in one go. We had Disjunction Pattern in 2017-2021.
We are about the get the worst crash in history. Biggest companies in the world are selling of massive share.
So many things proves this is one of the biggest bubble every created.
Printing money cant sustain. It devalues the dollar. Dollar is on is recover.)
Working with anglesWorking with angles is something I see myself doing more often lately, meaning they have proven some reliability to me over time. When exactly is still quite intuitive and this publication is also an idea to further explore by other traders and so develop a competitive edge, and therefore should remain secret how to apply in further detail.
Here I look at Swiss company Nestle which always has been a high performer, at least since last recession. It price made a double bottom over the course of 2006-2009 with a top in December 2007.
From that 2009 onwards it delivers a good opportunity for bullish investors. When I see it touching an imaginary trendline I draw a line using the "Trend Angle" drawing tool. Often I discover that certain angles persist although with an offset up or down in price. Here I have drawn a 23 and 22 degree trendline with almost 10 years between them.
Long persistent trend angles objectively tell me something about strength and trend line reliability. For example, it would add weight to my decision for going short or long at this point in time.
Not saying I would go short here. This is where you can add your variables to make your own decision as a trader.
TLT Breaks Out of Descending Wedge to seek new All-Time Highs?Using the same fractal analysis method I used to forecast the BTC dump & dead-cat bounce, I began watching US Treasuries as TLT was set to break out of a descending wedge.
Now that it is has, I'm publishing the idea for others to weigh in on.
If the pattern plays out we could see new all time highs; which suggests we could be entering another period of recession much like the financial crisis of '08.
I do not currently have a position & this is not financial advice. Just sharing observations as they occur.
If you wanted to play the pattern, TMF(long) & TMV(short) are leveraged ETFs you can use.
The global market crash of 2020 and the invisible recessionThe global market crash of 2020 and the invisible recession:
Laying over a select number of my tweets from 2019 and 2020 with calls for the a 40% correction, the start of the recession, and tentative dates for the global market crash.
I was off by a few days, but it's hard to predict the future. Obviously, right?
Also, I had my confirming signal exactly two years ago in July 2019 which is why I am sharing this now.
2 years since from confirmation.
I used various dark patterns, analyses, and techniques which gave me then the confidence that there was a black swan underway.
Massive Correction coming in the financial markets!!DXY
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
SMP Strategy
Market Direction: Long Position
Chart time frame - MONTHLY
Timeframe - 4-5 Months
You will see a very strong USD move to the north which will drive down commodity levels, Metals and the crypto market. This may last for 4-5 months so hold on!!
Plenty of opportunities in the second half of the year!
A – Activating Event
Market will meet support in zone @ current levels - ... . In order to enter into this trade, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market will move towards the first Target 1 level @ 110.00
C - Fundamentals that may affect the pair
N/A
D - Trade Management
Entered @ 92.8
Stop Loss @ .....
Trailing Stop Loss@.....
Target 1 @ 110.00
Target 2 @ ....
Risk/Reward @ 1.4
Happy trading :)
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!