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Recessionproof

Huge Recession WarningWith the 2022 recession ever coming closer, more hints that it’s nearing appear. One of those hints include this graph, which shows the 1 year bond surpassing the 4% mark, and it’s more than any other bond. For the first time in more than 15 years, the 1 year bond surpasses 4%. The yield curve has been inverted for more than 1 month, and it’s still inverted. At any point Black Monday can happen and crash the market. I believe the recession that is about to happen will be worse than even the 2008 recession. It’s more of a depression, not a recession. The 1 year bond didn’t reach as high back then before the recession. TVC:US01Y SP:SPX
TVC:US01YShort
by lorinstocksinvesting
2
During Recessions, Cash is King - Where Does Crypto Fit In?During recessionary economies, the money-classes that take the biggest hits are usually assets - stocks, real-estate, speculative assets, which, yes, also includes NFTs. As they say, during tough times, "cash is king". As we get deeper into it, we're going to see a big shift in the way people use and talk about their money. For crypto investors out there (or anyone in general who wants to prepare themselves for the new era that's about to unfold) the things to keep in mind are: - Asset ownership tends to skew upwards in the income bracket, which means that there will be lots of doom-and-gloom narratives coming from the top. For most people a "market crash" will be a good thing (better than getting priced out by inflation, anyway), and the result will be that the top earners will have slightly less money in relation to the bottom, evening the "playing field" so to speak. Take everything you read with a grain of salt, either way. - Cryptocurrencies are in an interesting position where they're able to function both as assets AND cash - even legally, the definition of where the technology lies in regards to the two is still unclear. But we see that some coins tend to "lean" towards one end of the spectrum more than the other. Bitcoin is largely classified as an asset ("store-of-value"), Ethereum is the former trying to move towards the latter (the "merge", "sharding"), though the fate of the latter is still unclear. Dogecoin, on the other hand, may actually see a bump in interest due to the fact that it's currently treated more as cash than an asset. (The chain also has plans on moving towards Proof-of-Stake, though the timeline is still unclear.) If cash is king, the loveable Shiba Inu mascot may, in fact, be the one to dethrone King Bitcoin sitting at the top. - The strategy for most investors during recessionary times will switch from "beating" inflation to "keeping up" with inflation - inflation will naturally drop as interest rates rise, eventually reaching an equilibrium. This presents an opportunity for coins that offer reliable staking rewards since they're currently beating the banks by a very large margin right now. (Some banks are still stuck at 0, for the record.) The average person is likely to benefit from this transition in the long run in the form of cheaper goods. (Especially for essentials, which are obviously out of control right now.) - The 0 interest rate decade-long experiment in the US economy is about to come to an end, having peaked during the COVID era where money-printing and cheap loans became at an all-time-high. (Some would describe it as the "apocalypse economy", but that's for another discussion altogether.) Many "Web3" startups of last year were part of that cash grab, and will likely run out of runway in 2023-24. (If you're having second thoughts about the "investments" you made last year, the time to get out would probably be now, in other words.) - As interest rates rise, it will get exponentially harder to raise money, even for Web3 projects. CEOs and founders will be chosen for their ability to generate revenue and turn a profit, rather than their marketing and fundraising skills. (The current crop of "thought leaders" we see in public today are a result of the low-interest "casino economy" we had over this past decade.) We're likely going to see a dramatic shift in the way people talk about startups in general, cryptocurrency projects included. - Higher interest rates will encourage people to save rather than spend, which will also change the focus of the types of products and services that companies and startups start to offer to the general public. The economy having been in overconsumption mode for so long, this will be a big adjustment for most people out there. -- Long story short, there will still be ways to "come out ahead" even during recessions, but the benefits will be more complex than seeing the numbers in your bank account simply going up. It's more that you're losing less money relative to everything else, which, in turn, increases your purchasing power overall. (If you're making the same money but rent gets cut in half, for example, you're still "winning".) I still do believe that in the long run the recession will be a good thing for most people, and that the economy will come out stronger after the dust eventually settles. The path to getting there, though, will be a rough one no matter how you put it. Good luck folks. 🤞
BITTREX:DOGEUSDLong
by RyanTanaka
10
BTC/USD,DXY/Recession proof 4h chartHello guy’s hope you all will be fine. Today we will try to find the next move of btc. There is possibility of both loss and profit so i never give you financial advice. But i try my best to inform you the possibilities of next moves in both side As we all know btc is trading previous week between 19500 and 20k. There is A trend line on lower side which retested almost 4 times while on other side trend line tested only for two times which lies on 20-20200 area on 4h time frame. So guys British PM is going to resign next year 7th July. But there is a question. What will be the impacts of his resign on market.? I wana like to tell you that the largest reserve of gold is holded by Uk. So here we can see another recession risk because you don’t ever see it before. Let’s move toward BTC,so in previous update I already mentioned 23k before 16k. But you should be aware of both. 21 sep there is meeting minutes of FOMC to increase or decreasing the bps point but if they increase it again then again it will be worst for BTC/Gold. DXY(us dollar) is touching high since 2001. It’s another point that take us toward recession. The high is expected of DXY is 111,114. After that we will see the recovery of BTC/GODL and all stocks.I will like to warn you that a big recession is on the way to destroy the world specially underdeveloped country. So i again saying we are going to face historical financial crisis in whole world. So,Reserve your money in USDT not in locale bank or in hand. There will be opportunity for newbie’s. So keep eye 👁 on DXY/BTC. We Will meet again on Monday. Thank you for your concentration. Good luck.
TVC:DXYShort
by jiaLissax
Why the 2022 recession is about to happen:The graph you are seeing is about moments before Black Monday happened in 2008, and, as you can see, there was a clear 10% increase in price before Black Monday happened. That is what is happening right now. As soon as the USA reported that its inflation rate decreased 0.6% (9.1% - 8.5%), people became greedy and fomo bought stocks/etc. They thought the trend was going to reverse, but it was just a pullback. In 2008, shortly after the pullback, Black Monday struck and everything dropped. This might be a sign that means that we are way closer than we think to a recession (1 - 2 months left ). To add to that, the price dropped a few months before the 2008 recession as well.
TVC:SPXShort
by lorinstocksinvesting
5
Strong nonfarm payrolls send greenback flyingEUR/USD 🔽 GBP/USD 🔽 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/JPY 🔼 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU 🔽 WTI ▶️ US nonfarm payrolls in July added 528,000 jobs, shattering the original estimate of 290,000 and reaching a five-month high. The strong employment readings seemingly dispelled recession fears, and would likely extend the string of aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The surprise boost for the greenback sent its peers to a sharp decline, GBP/USD recovered from 1.2025 to a closing price of 1.2071. EUR/USD closed lower at 1.0181, despite optimistic industrial production data from Germany and France. Mixed Chinese economic data didn’t stop the Aussie from falling to 0.6909 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair gained over 210 pips to 134.97 as the notable performer, and USD/CAD rose to a high of 1.2977 then stabilized and closed at 1.293. Gold futures were also spooked to $1,781, then rebounded to 1,791.2 an ounce. WTI oil futures experienced minor fluctuations, mostly traded flat at $89.01 a barrel. More information on Mitrade website.
by Mitrade_official
Where US30 Is headed to next?Us30 has taken bearish hits since the beginning of this year. If it stays below $33,480 and continues back to the lows at 29,670 and further, we could see further decline. Not only for US30, but for the stocks within the index. Before that happens price could pullback towards 32,500 giving the buyers some opportunity and hopes of recovery. That's just a thought until it happens. For now, the Dow is bearish and if there is hopes of true recovery price will have to push up pass 33,480 and continue up from there.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by ShaquanLopez
1
TSLA Tesla : Where will Elon navigate the ship to? 24.5A long-term support trend-line ongoing since March 2020 was broken down Feb, March 2022. Since, we had a false break back up April 2022 and the price went back below breakout very quickly, as well as retest of the long-term breakout down once again. 630 - 540 is support range and if holds may be the lowest point we will see for Tesla. A break below may open the way to 350-200. A break below would be a weekly open below 540. A correction back to 750 is possible within the down-trend (connecting highs trend-line). The fundamentals going for Tesla are simple : Technology, tracking, real estate, branding, CEO The fundamentals against Tesla are : Recession, inflation, overpriced auto manufacturer, supply issues, Twitter deal instability Overall - We may be going to a heavy landslide with a close below 540. Keeping above is a good bullish sign. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you so much for reading! If you found my idea useful please like and follow - It would truly mean a lot to me. If there's any questions or comments please don't hesitate to ask. I am not a financial advisor and encourage everyone to do their own research, thank you :) -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Exactus
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/19/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022 - PR High: 11923.25 - PR Low: 11883.75 - NZ Spread: 88.50 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Gap: = N/A - Session Open ATR: 456.33 - Volume: 42k - Open Int: 251k - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -29.0% (Rounded) ! GETTING CLOSE TO THE 'MAGICAL' -30% ! Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 14105 - Mid: 12960 - Short: 11820 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2022Short
by mv3trader5
Will an inversion in US bond yields trigger a recession?Worries of a looming recession intensified late Thursday last week after the yield on the two-year US Treasury bonds hit 2.337% as the yield on 10-year bonds fell to 2.331%, marking an inversion that usually preceded previous periods recessions. It was the first negative spread since 2019. However, Treasury yields flipped again on April 1 and again on April 4, when two-year yield rose to 2.453% against 10-yield that hiked to 2.432%. An inverted bond yield shows signs that financial conditions are tight and could also signal a looming downturn. Under normal circumstances, the yield curve is not inverted since debt with longer maturities typically carry higher interest rates than nearer-term ones. Considering that every recession since 1955 was preceded by an inversion in the yield curve for US bonds, its recent and more frequent occurrence surely does not alleviate concerns in the market, especially when it remains on high alert for the economic implications from Russia's military attacks against Ukraine and the growing inflation in the US. Bond yields as recession markers According to a 2018 report by researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, each recession since 1955 followed the inversion of the US yield curve between 6 and 24 months. The only time the 10-year to two-year Treasury spread provided a false positive to a recession was in the mid-1960s. That instance did not deter economic officials from looking into bond yields when checking for signs of an approaching recession. On Aug. 28, 2019, the yield on two-year bonds briefly surpassed the yield for its 10-year counterpart. This negative turn of the spread predated the two-month recession that started February 2020, which also happened amid the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Before that, Treasury yields flipped for most of 2006. Nearing the end of the following year, the Great Recession happened and lasted until June 2009, marking the longest recession since World War II. Not the only indicator While bond yield inversion has been a reliable indicator of recessions in the past, it is not the only factor that could tell another period of significant, widespread, and extended economic decline is approaching. More importantly, even if they do predate a recession, an inverted bond yield is not the reason why it happened. The performance of the bond market is only one of many factors that affect the direction of the economy. The recent movement of the yields of both short- and long-term US Treasury bonds could simply be indicators of how the market expects regulators to respond to global events and economic trends. Increasing yields of short-term US government debt reflect expectations of a series of rate hikes by the Fed. Meanwhile, the slower pace of growth in the yields of longer-dated government bonds happen amid concerns that policy tightening may be hurting the economy. Nevertheless, expect market watchers to look closely into bond yields over the next few months. Economic officials will likely do the same because if past recessions taught us anything, it is best to treat these indicators with caution and still have plans in place to ensure that even if a recession does materialize, its impacts to the economy will be lessened as much as possible.
TVC:US10Y
by BlackBull_Markets
Bitcoin crash? Recession prediction: The first predicted bottom would likely be at the 30k range. The price may in the weeks to come go through this support line but in an evidential recession would the first likely bottom be at 30k. This bottom would likely be formed after the war in Ukraine as more people are selling Bitcoin in exchange for Hryvnia or Rubel. The second likely bottom would be predicted to be 20k as the past support/resistance zone is at this level. This second level is likely caused by the FED www.federalreserve.gov increasing the interest rate and pulling back on the free money given by the pandemic. The third bottom and the absolute bottom may be seen at 10k range, as this is similar to the 85% decrease in Bitcoin price seen in the 2018 Bitcoin crash. This bottom is likely caused by the supply chain issues, the higher interest rate as well as the energy prices rising. Energy prices tend to be rising (seen in a graph created from www.bloombergquint.com ) which tells us that high energy prices are correlated to recession. On Chain data: There may be strong indications to trade Bitcoin in the short term but in the long term would the fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest the different as the Exchange netflow is negative (see in chart below) and this would predict that traders are send Bitcoin to cold storages to proof for a predicted recession. People then believe in Bitcoin long term but in the short term is their Bitcoin safer in a cold storage. In the case of the Bitcoin miners are they not mining Bitcoin and they are also waiting on a more profitable position to mine Bitcoin. This can be seen in the Miners Reserve Chart and this decrease in mining is caused by the energy prices rising. paste.pics paste.pics paste.pics
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by vf_investment
1
Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. The Banksters.Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks. In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits. Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows. Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside. (To be clear, recession has not begun. -35.87% drop is not a recession. its above 50% to be a recession counted as one. we did a too rapid drop and too rapid recover for sustainability. Index have done around 1450-1500 point move every sustainable move. now we have done 2280 points in a year in one go. We had Disjunction Pattern in 2017-2021. We are about the get the worst crash in history. Biggest companies in the world are selling of massive share. So many things proves this is one of the biggest bubble every created. Printing money cant sustain. It devalues the dollar. Dollar is on is recover.)
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by PivotX
Time for PAXG?As a crypto asset backed by real gold, is it time to put some money in PAXG in case of the upcoming big recession ? Well to answer that, YES and NO... 1. We don't know when will the recession comes 2. We don't know whether it will come or not (LOL) But still, it's better to be safe rather to be sorry!!!! My entry price point would probably be in the fibonacci retracement level (fib box)... As I still believe the bull or this cycle economic hype isn't over yet, I am waiting for a better entry point before putting my money on gold or crypto backed by gold!!! Yes it can certainly goes way more down before we found a bottom in case the economic bull is too strong... but interesting thing to keep in mind is that, we have a strong red line that has ben perfectly tested 3 times... I have put a green marker on it!!! So with this in mind, scaling in into gold backed asset would probably a good idea as to minimize your risk... Still, this is just my speculation, and gold could also soar high from this point and we don't see any retracement especially as many investment company or retail investor are now looking at gold... #NotFinancialAdvise #PersonalView
by ZombieGod11
UN Buy signal on the 45min chart We have a few buy signals on the 45min chart for Unilever. First at the top we have a buy signal on the Bollinger bands, while we also have a buy signal on Divergence+ based on these indicators alone we should expect UN to hit $62 a share this week alone. Also if you look at the MACD you can see weakening bear momentum and the trend lines have met and starting to face up. The RSI is also at a new low of 32.69. Today I started a position in UN, trade activity will be stated below. Stay tuned for more updates and daily candlestick segments.
ULong
by Myantman101
AUDUSD Neutral AUDUSD has been in a bullish rally for about 2 weeks in a row now, ever since the market crashed and the US dollar completely crumbled Trump started dumping money into the economy which has made the market come back to life and people not loose as much money. The markets are looking positive but there has to be a greater idea behind it? Maybe trump dumping so much money into the economy will completely wipe out the US dollar and we go full crypto as our new currency? Hmmmm, well either way here is my mark up we are ready for both things to happen, either way we making moeny. Happy trading traders!
by ceomejia
1