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Recessionproof

Strong nonfarm payrolls send greenback flyingEUR/USD 🔽 GBP/USD 🔽 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/JPY 🔼 USD/CAD 🔼 XAU 🔽 WTI ▶️ US nonfarm payrolls in July added 528,000 jobs, shattering the original estimate of 290,000 and reaching a five-month high. The strong employment readings seemingly dispelled recession fears, and would likely extend the string of aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The surprise boost for the greenback sent its peers to a sharp decline, GBP/USD recovered from 1.2025 to a closing price of 1.2071. EUR/USD closed lower at 1.0181, despite optimistic industrial production data from Germany and France. Mixed Chinese economic data didn’t stop the Aussie from falling to 0.6909 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair gained over 210 pips to 134.97 as the notable performer, and USD/CAD rose to a high of 1.2977 then stabilized and closed at 1.293. Gold futures were also spooked to $1,781, then rebounded to 1,791.2 an ounce. WTI oil futures experienced minor fluctuations, mostly traded flat at $89.01 a barrel. More information on Mitrade website.
by Mitrade_official
Where US30 Is headed to next?Us30 has taken bearish hits since the beginning of this year. If it stays below $33,480 and continues back to the lows at 29,670 and further, we could see further decline. Not only for US30, but for the stocks within the index. Before that happens price could pullback towards 32,500 giving the buyers some opportunity and hopes of recovery. That's just a thought until it happens. For now, the Dow is bearish and if there is hopes of true recovery price will have to push up pass 33,480 and continue up from there.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by ShaquanLopez
1
TSLA Tesla : Where will Elon navigate the ship to? 24.5A long-term support trend-line ongoing since March 2020 was broken down Feb, March 2022. Since, we had a false break back up April 2022 and the price went back below breakout very quickly, as well as retest of the long-term breakout down once again. 630 - 540 is support range and if holds may be the lowest point we will see for Tesla. A break below may open the way to 350-200. A break below would be a weekly open below 540. A correction back to 750 is possible within the down-trend (connecting highs trend-line). The fundamentals going for Tesla are simple : Technology, tracking, real estate, branding, CEO The fundamentals against Tesla are : Recession, inflation, overpriced auto manufacturer, supply issues, Twitter deal instability Overall - We may be going to a heavy landslide with a close below 540. Keeping above is a good bullish sign. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you so much for reading! If you found my idea useful please like and follow - It would truly mean a lot to me. If there's any questions or comments please don't hesitate to ask. I am not a financial advisor and encourage everyone to do their own research, thank you :) -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Exactus
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/19/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022 - PR High: 11923.25 - PR Low: 11883.75 - NZ Spread: 88.50 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Gap: = N/A - Session Open ATR: 456.33 - Volume: 42k - Open Int: 251k - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -29.0% (Rounded) ! GETTING CLOSE TO THE 'MAGICAL' -30% ! Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 14105 - Mid: 12960 - Short: 11820 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2022Short
by mv3trader5
Will an inversion in US bond yields trigger a recession?Worries of a looming recession intensified late Thursday last week after the yield on the two-year US Treasury bonds hit 2.337% as the yield on 10-year bonds fell to 2.331%, marking an inversion that usually preceded previous periods recessions. It was the first negative spread since 2019. However, Treasury yields flipped again on April 1 and again on April 4, when two-year yield rose to 2.453% against 10-yield that hiked to 2.432%. An inverted bond yield shows signs that financial conditions are tight and could also signal a looming downturn. Under normal circumstances, the yield curve is not inverted since debt with longer maturities typically carry higher interest rates than nearer-term ones. Considering that every recession since 1955 was preceded by an inversion in the yield curve for US bonds, its recent and more frequent occurrence surely does not alleviate concerns in the market, especially when it remains on high alert for the economic implications from Russia's military attacks against Ukraine and the growing inflation in the US. Bond yields as recession markers According to a 2018 report by researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, each recession since 1955 followed the inversion of the US yield curve between 6 and 24 months. The only time the 10-year to two-year Treasury spread provided a false positive to a recession was in the mid-1960s. That instance did not deter economic officials from looking into bond yields when checking for signs of an approaching recession. On Aug. 28, 2019, the yield on two-year bonds briefly surpassed the yield for its 10-year counterpart. This negative turn of the spread predated the two-month recession that started February 2020, which also happened amid the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Before that, Treasury yields flipped for most of 2006. Nearing the end of the following year, the Great Recession happened and lasted until June 2009, marking the longest recession since World War II. Not the only indicator While bond yield inversion has been a reliable indicator of recessions in the past, it is not the only factor that could tell another period of significant, widespread, and extended economic decline is approaching. More importantly, even if they do predate a recession, an inverted bond yield is not the reason why it happened. The performance of the bond market is only one of many factors that affect the direction of the economy. The recent movement of the yields of both short- and long-term US Treasury bonds could simply be indicators of how the market expects regulators to respond to global events and economic trends. Increasing yields of short-term US government debt reflect expectations of a series of rate hikes by the Fed. Meanwhile, the slower pace of growth in the yields of longer-dated government bonds happen amid concerns that policy tightening may be hurting the economy. Nevertheless, expect market watchers to look closely into bond yields over the next few months. Economic officials will likely do the same because if past recessions taught us anything, it is best to treat these indicators with caution and still have plans in place to ensure that even if a recession does materialize, its impacts to the economy will be lessened as much as possible.
TVC:US10Y
by BlackBull_Markets
Bitcoin crash? Recession prediction: The first predicted bottom would likely be at the 30k range. The price may in the weeks to come go through this support line but in an evidential recession would the first likely bottom be at 30k. This bottom would likely be formed after the war in Ukraine as more people are selling Bitcoin in exchange for Hryvnia or Rubel. The second likely bottom would be predicted to be 20k as the past support/resistance zone is at this level. This second level is likely caused by the FED www.federalreserve.gov increasing the interest rate and pulling back on the free money given by the pandemic. The third bottom and the absolute bottom may be seen at 10k range, as this is similar to the 85% decrease in Bitcoin price seen in the 2018 Bitcoin crash. This bottom is likely caused by the supply chain issues, the higher interest rate as well as the energy prices rising. Energy prices tend to be rising (seen in a graph created from www.bloombergquint.com ) which tells us that high energy prices are correlated to recession. On Chain data: There may be strong indications to trade Bitcoin in the short term but in the long term would the fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest the different as the Exchange netflow is negative (see in chart below) and this would predict that traders are send Bitcoin to cold storages to proof for a predicted recession. People then believe in Bitcoin long term but in the short term is their Bitcoin safer in a cold storage. In the case of the Bitcoin miners are they not mining Bitcoin and they are also waiting on a more profitable position to mine Bitcoin. This can be seen in the Miners Reserve Chart and this decrease in mining is caused by the energy prices rising. paste.pics paste.pics paste.pics
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by vf_investment
1
Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. The Banksters.Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks. In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits. Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows. Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside. (To be clear, recession has not begun. -35.87% drop is not a recession. its above 50% to be a recession counted as one. we did a too rapid drop and too rapid recover for sustainability. Index have done around 1450-1500 point move every sustainable move. now we have done 2280 points in a year in one go. We had Disjunction Pattern in 2017-2021. We are about the get the worst crash in history. Biggest companies in the world are selling of massive share. So many things proves this is one of the biggest bubble every created. Printing money cant sustain. It devalues the dollar. Dollar is on is recover.)
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by PivotX
Time for PAXG?As a crypto asset backed by real gold, is it time to put some money in PAXG in case of the upcoming big recession ? Well to answer that, YES and NO... 1. We don't know when will the recession comes 2. We don't know whether it will come or not (LOL) But still, it's better to be safe rather to be sorry!!!! My entry price point would probably be in the fibonacci retracement level (fib box)... As I still believe the bull or this cycle economic hype isn't over yet, I am waiting for a better entry point before putting my money on gold or crypto backed by gold!!! Yes it can certainly goes way more down before we found a bottom in case the economic bull is too strong... but interesting thing to keep in mind is that, we have a strong red line that has ben perfectly tested 3 times... I have put a green marker on it!!! So with this in mind, scaling in into gold backed asset would probably a good idea as to minimize your risk... Still, this is just my speculation, and gold could also soar high from this point and we don't see any retracement especially as many investment company or retail investor are now looking at gold... #NotFinancialAdvise #PersonalView
by ZombieGod11
UN Buy signal on the 45min chart We have a few buy signals on the 45min chart for Unilever. First at the top we have a buy signal on the Bollinger bands, while we also have a buy signal on Divergence+ based on these indicators alone we should expect UN to hit $62 a share this week alone. Also if you look at the MACD you can see weakening bear momentum and the trend lines have met and starting to face up. The RSI is also at a new low of 32.69. Today I started a position in UN, trade activity will be stated below. Stay tuned for more updates and daily candlestick segments.
ULong
by Myantman101
AUDUSD Neutral AUDUSD has been in a bullish rally for about 2 weeks in a row now, ever since the market crashed and the US dollar completely crumbled Trump started dumping money into the economy which has made the market come back to life and people not loose as much money. The markets are looking positive but there has to be a greater idea behind it? Maybe trump dumping so much money into the economy will completely wipe out the US dollar and we go full crypto as our new currency? Hmmmm, well either way here is my mark up we are ready for both things to happen, either way we making moeny. Happy trading traders!
by ceomejia
1
How to Trade Stocks in a Recession – Survive the CODVID-19Where to put Money During a Recession? #1 Recession-proof Stocks: Discount Store Industry. Here is a list of retail stocks to keep an eye on during the 2020 recession: Dollar General (NYSE: DG ) – during the 2008 crash DG rose more than 60% and since the middle of March 2020, it’s up the stock is up more than 38%. Walmart (NYSE: WMT ) – since the COVID – 19 outbreak, Walmart stock is up more than 19% from its March’s low. Dollar Tree (NYSE: DLTR ) – With a gain of over 60% return in 2008, Dollar Tree is another recession-proof stock that can withstand today’s coronavirus bear market. These types of businesses do well during a recession. The retail discount industry will typically see a boost in sales, which typically means bigger profits for the companies and subsequently these stocks can beat all other S&P 500 stocks. #2 Recession-proof Stocks: Health Care Industry. Biotech company Amgen (NYSE: AMGN ) was among the best-performing stocks in 2008, gaining as much as 24.3% by the end of that year. During the COVID-19 stock market crash, Amgen has gained roughly 24% since its March low. #3 Recession-proof Stocks: Delivery Services Industry. The biggest courier companies in the USA are UPS Inc. closely followed by FedEx Corp . With over 3 billion of the global population in lockdown due to coronavirus quarantine, the home delivery services industry has become an essential component of our society. The foundation of making money when the stock market crashes or in any other type of investing is to study the past. Here is a stock trading tip: Compare which stocks have performed well during previous recessions. For this exercise, we’re going to have a look at the stocks that soared during the financial crisis of 2008. During the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008, the US stock market lost almost 40% of its value. But even in those dire times, where the majority of stocks plunged, there were some healthy stocks that survived the crash. Given the coronavirus stock market crash, we’re going to have a look at 5 recession-proof stocks that can survive this bear market. When we can learn something from the stock market history, it’s best to pay attention. Stock investors looking to pick healthy stocks can start first by including the above-mentioned names in their portfolios. How to Trade Stock In a Recession? A study has been conducted to assess the past six recessions and revealed that if you invested in the Dow stocks during those recessions only during the 1980 recession the portfolio value would have made profits by the end of the recession. Now, you might be wondering… “How you can profit from a recession?” The straightforward method to trade stock in a recession is by short selling. You can make money when stock prices go down by short selling. Actually, stock day traders can make money both ways, when the stock price goes down and when the stock price goes up. Finding good stocks to hold and make profits during a recession is pretty hard. Alternatively, buying dividend stocks can become another profitable method to invest during a recession. Dividend stocks can provide a good source of passive income during times of a recession. You can also use Google Trends for stock picking. However, by far the best stock trading strategy in a recession is day trading. In a typical recession, stock investors will experience more volatility , which is the perfect paradise for day traders. Stock day traders will continue to see volatility as the uncertainty around the coronavirus persists. One major characteristic of a bear market is high volatility compared to bull stock markets. And, the 2020 bear market holds the record as the fastest bear market in history. Bull and bear market volatility look very different. So, as you may imagine, stock volatility is through the roof during the 2020 recession. We’re going to teach you how to make money during a recession with a day trading strategy inspired from Trading Guru Larry Williams . See below: Day Trading with the Best Stock Trading Strategy in a Recession Day trading during a recession can be the fastest way to grow your account. With day trading you can trade both ways: You can take advantage of both the bearish trend as well as from the sharp rallies. Our stock day trading method is based on the same method that Larry Williams used to generate more than $1 million in profits in the world futures championship Robbins World Cup. But, there is a twist. Our team of experts took Larry’s Smash day reversal pattern and twisted the rules to fit our recession strategy. Now, you may be asking yourself: What’s a Smash day reversal pattern? According to Larry Williams , a Smash bar is a bar of increased volatility with long wicks. The Smash bar trading pattern indicates a potential reversal of the preceding impulsive movement. Let me explain… If on the intraday level, the stock price starts all of a sudden to experience a high level of volatility , this should leave behind candle bars with long wicks. Now, it’s important to make the difference between the Smash bar trading setup and the typical Pin Bar chart setup. While these two stock chart patterns might look similar, the pin bar has a small body candle, while the Smash bar has a typical larger body. The stock reversal pattern is completed once the next candle breaks above the smash candle, which will subsequently trigger a buy signal. Note* obviously the protective stop loss can be placed at the other end of the Smash bar. This stock chart pattern works because the increased volatility will attract more traders to take an interest in the stock. However, if the next bars go in the opposite direction it will signal a reversal in the current stock price direction. Subsequently, this will lead to further liquidation along the road and exacerbate the stock price reversal. Now, the coronavirus crisis has unleashed unprecedented levels of stock volatility . This is good news because it means the Smash bar pattern will tend to reoccur more often. You can buy and sell stock in a recession due to the elevated stock volatility . We have learned how to buy stocks, but what about how to sell stocks during a recession? We use the same principles but in reverse. There is also a slight variation of the Smash bar reversal pattern that we can use. Larry Williams calls it a hidden Smash bar. Let me explain it to you: When a highly volatile bar emerges out of the blue that can be a signal of reversal. This bar must have its closing price in the lower third of the stock price range. And, it must be bigger than the bars close to its proximity. Note* this time we don’t count on the long wicks. Note* this day trading pattern works best when we trade it in a context of an established intraday trend as a continuation pattern. Final Words – Best Stock Trading Strategy in a Recession Use our best stock trading strategy in a recession if you want your account to go up even when the market crashes. Learning how to trade stocks in a recession can help you survive while keeping you risk adjusted. The average recessions last 18 months, so it’s important to find different methods to protect yourself. Alternatively, you can also learn where to put money during a recession a safe way. Stock investors can put their money in high –quality stocks (recession-proof stocks) like: Consumer staple stocks Discount store stocks Pharmaceutical stocks Delivery service stocks or food delivery stocks If you’re more of a stock risk-taker, the best way to make money during a recession is by day trading the stock market. Larry Williams’ Smash day pattern is a simple but very effective way to trade stocks in a recession.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
GBPUSD NEUTRAL Currently price has failed to push through lower 3 times, respecting a level of support. USA has had good reportings, a decrease of Covid-19 deaths and infections with California and New York reporting a possible pass of the covid-19 high point. USA government is pumping money into the economy helping farmers, the middle class with stimulus checks and also helping small business with loans. The news has been healthy which has caused the economy to recover some what, it may all be a fugazzi since they are printing money and dumping it into the economy. Wer are currently in a overall bullish market flow currently, price has failed to push lower respecting area of support. I am neutral because 1. We can push lower to get some more demand before pushing higher. 2. We can push higher and break out of area, come back down for a retest and continue bullish uptrend. 3. We can push lower, and break area of support to continue retracement leg which is bearish. Lets see what happens!
by ceomejia
1