USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
Recovery
Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF
- Market Internals
- SNB doesn't like it high
USD
- Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations
- Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations
- Bullish CFTC
Technical & Other
Setup: TR(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Down
Long-term: Down
Min target: Local mirror level, 3R
Risk: 0.22%; 1R
* 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
Fall Rally Patterns Setting Up: GMNYSE:GM was driven down way below its fundamentals by panicky retail. It is now back up into its fundamental level, well ahead of the Fall Rally. The fast recovery indicates that the selling was not aligned with fundamentals. Auto sales have an annual cycle with the highest number of sales in the final quarter of each year.
AVAXUSDT gives Bullish indicationsAVAXUSDT has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that has been developing since early August. On the weekly timeframe, the market formed an inside bar pattern, and the price has now surged above it, signalling a bullish outlook. Like many altcoins, AVAXUSDT has tested historical lows, revisiting levels from November 2023, where a significant price surge previously occurred. On the 4H timeframe, the price action has also broken through a triangle pattern, marking the end of an accumulation phase around 20.00 and indicating a potential bullish move. The market may retest the channel border and upward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 27.50
USTech possible correctionUSTech may produce a temporary pullback before continuing the recovery to the up side. If the price drops down in the 18500 - 18700 range you can look for entry conditions to indicate a Buy entry but also be cautious at that time - if the price breaks below those supports, it can go lower to retest the 17250 - 17750 range
NZDUSD Is Looking For A Bigger RecoveryLooking at the 4-hour time frame of the Kiwi with ticker NZDUSD, we can see a strong rebound after a completed final subwave “v” of C of (C), as Zealand beat jobs data, so seems like a new three-wave A-B-C rally can be in play within higher degree wave (D) that can recover the price back to the upper triangle line. Wave A looks to be finished after RNBZ delivers surprise 25 BPS rate cut to 5.25% today, so seems like it’s now making a pullback in wave B that can retest 0.59x support area before a continuation higher for wave C towards 0.61 – 0.62 resistance zone.
German Bund Is On The Rise, So As EURUSD PairWe talked about a bullish turn on German Bund back on June 20th, where we mentioned and highlighted more gains within wave C of an A-B-C rally, which can also recover the EURUSD pair.
As you can see today on August 05, German Bund is extending strongly higher within a five-wave bullish cycle for wave C with space up to 140 area. At the same time EURUSD is also nicely recovering due to a positive correlation and with still bullish Bund, EURUSD can easily see more upside.
TOTAL - An Overview on the crypto marketcap#TOTAL #Analysis
Description
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+ After a clear bounce from the support, another drop is occurring, which is normal.
+ We also have a strong support line that is providing significant support.
+ As long as the market cap remains above the horizontal and trendline support, there is hope for an upcoming bullish market.
+ A breakdown from this support zone could lead to further declines in the market.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
Crude Oil Steps In A Corrective RecoveryCrude oil is strongly stabilizing after a completed five-wave drop from the highs, so it's making a higher degree A-B-C corrective recovery. Current impulse up into wave A can be coming to an end at temporary 79-80 resistance area, from where may see a corrective setback in wave B before we will see a bigger recovery for wave C up to 81 – 83 strong resistance zone.
Trading Strategy for REC Ltd. (NSE: RECLTD)
Analysis:
1. Trend: The stock is currently in a downward channel as indicated by the parallel lines. This suggests a bearish trend in the short term.
2. Support Levels:
- Strong support is present around the 600 mark, which coincides with the current price level.
- Another key support level is at 575.
3. Resistance Levels:
- Immediate resistance is around 610.
- The next major resistance level is around 625-640.
Volume:
- The volume has been significant, especially during the drop, indicating strong selling pressure.
Strategy:
1. Entry Point:
- Consider entering a long position if the stock shows signs of reversal or consolidation around the 600 support level.
- Alternatively, if the stock breaks below 598 with significant volume, it might be wise to wait for it to approach the next support at 575.
2. Stop Loss:
- Set a tight stop loss around 595 to limit potential losses.
3. Targets:
- First target would be around 610 (immediate resistance).
- If the stock breaks above 610 with volume, the next target is 625-640.
Conclusion:
- The stock is in a downtrend but is approaching a critical support level at 600. Monitoring the price action around this level is crucial.
- Entering a long position with a stop loss at 595 and targeting 610 initially is a prudent strategy.
- If the support at 600 fails, look for opportunities closer to 575.
Note: Always consider the overall market conditions and use proper risk management techniques when trading.
DMART - Momentum is building for upside move - Time to go LONG!DMart looks like it has bottomed out, presenting an opportunity for a long trade with a tight stop loss in place!
Trade Idea Explanation:
- Entry Point: Best around 4300+
- Stop Loss: Tight SL to 4100 on closing basis of D tf candle
- **Target:** Expecting a significant upside around 5900++
Stay updated for further insights and trade safely!
If you have liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recomendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do you due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
German Bund Can Stabilize and Recover The EURUSD PairGerman Bund is nicely breaking above important trendline after a completed complex w-x-y corrective decline in wave B, which can now send the price higher for wave C towards 140 resistance area. If we respect a positive correlation between German Bund and EURUSD currency pair, then EURUSD could easily stabilize and recover.
OMG Network May Face A Larger RecoveryOMG Network with ticker OMGUSD nicely stabilized and the end of 2023, clearly within a five-wave bullish cycle that belongs to first leg (A)/(1) of a minimum three-wave (A)/(1) - (B)/(2) - (C)/(3) recovery.
Since the start of the 2024, we have seen slow, choppy and overlapped decline, which clearly looks like a correction, ideally W-X-Y complex one in wave (B)/(2) that stopped and perfect former wave 4 support near golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement.
By current sharp bounce back above the trendline, seems like OMG is looking for a larger recovery within wave (C) or (3) that can retest at least the December 2023 highs for wave (C) or it will go even higher for wave (3).
Japanese Yen May Face A RecoveryJapanese Yen has been very weak since start of the year, but we can see a three-wave A-B-C corrective decline on Japanese Yen Futures chart, which can be now completed by current sharp reversal up above important trendline. So, we believe that Japanese yen may now face a recovery in the upcoming days/weeks, maybe months, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
BTC BACK TO THE LEVEL OF S 40k?Thank you for reading this update.
BTC should hold the important 40K level with confirmation, otherwise, we can get a new recovery that could bring BTC back to 38K or below.
BTC can have a return to the 41-40K level in the coming time frame, we follow the trend to see if BTC can have a return and if it's able to make a wick below the important 40K level.
Stay updated.
This is not trading advice .
10Y Treasury Bond Is Looking For A Bigger RecoveryTreasury bond - 10Y US Notes came down a lot in the last two years but this cycle can now come to an end as we can see five waves down into 2023 lows ona weekly time frame. In fact, we also see five subwaves completed within wave (5) on a daily chart after prices recovered and break above the trendline resistance. The move is strong, thus we think that more upside can be coming within a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) rally, where first leg (A) can be still in progress or maybe already completed as an impulse. Support on subwave 4 or wave (B) dips are at 110-111.
Crude Oil Is Looking For A RecoveryCrude oil is coming down now making five subwaves down from 80.00 so there can be some support not far away as higher degree corrective decline from October highs can come to an end soon. There is also a potential leading diagonal, which is a bearish structure, but still suggests that the market can stabilize a bit. RSI divergence also suggests that bears are losing strength. However, any short-term low is not confirmed, unless we see an impulsive move back above 72.60. But if you look at the current price move, we can already see price turning sharply today, which can be an indication for a higher rally.
DXYDXY was trading in falling wedge. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of wedge and now has given the very healthy breakout ..
Currently the price has given the breakout of triangle and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 104.2 followed by 105.7 .
What you guys think of this idea?
Dow Jones Formed A Leading Diagonal?Dow Jones Industrial sector is the strongest this week and we can see sharp and impulsive intraday stabilization that can cause a bigger recovery in upcoming weeks, but ideally only within a higher degree A-B-C corrective rally in wave B after we spotted a larger leading diagonal from the highs into wave A. So, we will still have to be aware of another sell-off on stocks, but maybe later, at the end of 2023 or beginning of 2024.
Low risk High Reward BMRN?NASDAQ:BMRN finds itself at a point of fight or flight, cornered and being pinned below all-time highs and just above the 0.5 retracement level. A lot can be said about this company: battles with the FDA following the Martin Shkreli controversy, having product approval delayed, and dealing with the monotony of the pandemic and the subsequent rise and fall along the way.
Bullish Case - This is a perfect time to scale into a position, anticipating BMRN to become profitable when their drug Roctavian is finally approved and ramps up going into 2024 - 2025. There is an accumulation happening at this level that should bring us to the downtrend, at the very least. Let's see what the level looks like when it surpasses 85.55.
Bearish Case - They are barely profitable. Shouldn't long-term investing involve sound fundamentals? It seems like a lot of hope is invested in the bull case. This is not a discount; it is a warning shot. A warning that will solidify when the 83.51 level collapses like a house of cards built on beach sand. There's no beneficial foundation to support it hitting new highs YTD, suggesting this will end negatively by December.
Conclusion - This is a high-risk, high-reward kind of setup. Granted, if the level holds, this could be extremely beneficial. However, it needs a catalyst to drive investors back. If managed correctly, you can keep losses low if it fails and enjoy considerable success if some good news comes out before the year's end.
Bullish - 85.55
Bearish - 83.51
Crude Oil Slows Down For A New CorrectionCrude oil faced strong drop and spike back in May, which can be also considered as the final leg of wave (5) of A, so we are aware of a higher degree A-B-C recovery after strong reversal up from the lows. After a completed wave A and expanding triangle in wave B, which is tricky, but still a bullish pattern that already sent prices higher, ideally within a five-wave bullish impulse into wave C. Now that came back to projected April highs for wave 5 of (3), we can see a new, higher degree A-B-C correction within wave (4) that can retest 77-75 support area before the uptrend for wave (5) resumes.
Commodities Are Waking Up From The SupportCommodities are waking up from the support with the help of China stocks and there's room for more upside.
Bloomberg commodity index with ticker AW made a nice three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction with the wedge pattern into wave (C). Unless it has alternatively unfolded a leading diagonal from the highs. Anyway, in both cases we can expect a recovery, at least for a temporary period of time.
Currently we can see it nicely breaking out of projected wedge pattern, which indicates for a bigger recovery, at least back to the starting point of the that wedge pattern near 120 area, or maybe even higher if correction is completed.
USD Can Make A Pullback As US Yields DropUSD keeps moving higher, possibly on speculation that House vote on U.S. debt ceiling today will pass today. However, stocks are down, which can have something to do with China, where the PMI index declined once again, and also faster than expected. Technically speaking, USD is in uptrend, but yields found some resistance recently so I am wondering if USD is possibly also going to have limited gains.
Looking at DXY intraday chart we see nice recovery, but now in late stages of an impulse from May 04 so we are aware of a pullback, possibly will show up as we will get an outcome from the House vote, or USD can slow down later this week when we will get the US NFP data. But keep in mind that we will be tracking only a correction here on XXX/USD pairs and that more upside will be expected for the USD, once DXY makes three wave retracement.