CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
One of the setups that we discussed on a today's live stream
was a bullish flag pattern on WTI Crude Oil on an hourly chart.
Its resistance breakout provides a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth at least to 70 level.
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Rectangle
NZDUSD BULLISH BREAKOUT AHEAD?! *NZD/USD: Bullish Breakout Ahead?*
A potential buying opportunity has emerged in the NZD/USD pair, with a key resistance level in focus.
*Trade Idea:*
The NZD/USD pair is poised to fly to 0.6000 from its current price, driven by:
1. *Bullish Technicals*: Technical indicators are flashing bullish signals, hinting at a potential upswing.
2. *RBNZ's Monetary Policy*: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to maintain its monetary policy stance may support the Kiwi Dollar.
3. *US Dollar Weakness*: A weakening US Dollar, driven by concerns over the US economy and monetary policy, may boost the NZD/USD pair.
*Trade Specifications:*
- *Buy Entry:* Current price (around 0.5850)
- *Target Level:* 0.6000 (150 pips above entry)
- *Stop-Loss:* 0.5750 (100 pips below entry)
*Market Outlook:*
The NZD/USD pair is experiencing a consolidation phase, with market participants awaiting key economic data releases and central bank decisions. A break above the 0.5900 resistance level could trigger a sharp rally.
*Trading Strategy:*
Buy NZD/USD at current price, with a stop-loss at 0.5750. Use the target level to take profits or adjust the stop-loss to break even.
*Risk Management:*
- *Risk-Reward Ratio:* 1:1.5
- *Position Sizing:* 2-3% of trading capital
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Keep share your valuable ideas to the Travis 💯
Best GOLD XAUUSD Consolidation Trading Strategy Explained
In article , you will learn how to identify and trade consolidation on Gold easily.
I will share with you my consolidation trading strategy and a lot of useful XAUUSD trading tips.
1. How to Identify Consolidation
In order to trade consolidation, you should learn to recognize that.
The best and reliable way to spot consolidation is to analyse a price action.
Consolidation is the state of the market when it STOPS updating higher highs & higher lows in a bullish trend OR lower lows & lower highs in a bearish trend.
In other words, it is the situation when the market IS NOT trending.
Most of the time, during such a period, the price forms a horizontal channel.
Above is a perfect example of a consolidation on Gold chart on a daily.
We see a horizontal parallel channel with multiple equal or almost equal highs and lows inside.
For a correct trading of a consolidation, you should correctly underline its boundaries.
Following the chart above, the upper boundary - the resistance, is based on the highest high and the highest candle close.
The lowest candle close and the lowest low compose the lower boundary - the support.
2. What Consolidation Means
Spotting the consolidating market, it is important to understand its meaning and the processes that happen inside.
Consolidation signifies that the market found a fair value.
Growth and bullish impulses occur because of the excess of demand on the market, while bearish moves happen because of the excess of supply.
When supply and demand find a balance, sideways movements start .
Look at the price movements on Gold above.
First, the market was rising because of a strong buying pressure.
Finally, the excess of buying interest was curbed by the sellers.
The market started to trade with a sideways range and found the equilibrium
At some moment, demand started to exceed the supply again and the consolidation was violated . The price updated the high and continued growth.
Usually, the violation of the consolidation happens because of some fundamental event that makes the market participants reassess the value of the asset.
At the same time, the institutional traders, the smart money accumulate their trading positions within the consolidation ranges. As the accumulation completes, they push the prices higher/lower, violating the consolidation.
3. How to Trade Consolidation
Once you identified a consolidation on Gold, there are 2 strategies to trade it.
The resistance of the consolidation provides a perfect zone to sell the market from. You simply put your stop loss above the resistance and your take profit should be the upper boundary of the support.
That is the example of a long trade from support of the consolidation on Gold.
The support of the sideways movement will be a safe zone to buy Gold from. Stop loss will lie below the support zone, take profit will be the lower boundary of the resistance.
AS the price reached a take profit level and tested a resistance, that is a short trade from that.
You can follow such a strategy till the price violates the consolidation and establishes a trend.
The market may stay a very extended period of time in sideways, providing a lot of profitable trading opportunities.
What I like about Gold consolidation trading is that the strategy is very straightforward and completely appropriate for beginners.
It works on any time frame and can be used for intraday, swing trading and scalping
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AUD/JPY Chart AnalysisAUD/JPY Chart Analysis
**Key Patterns Identified:**
1. **Rectangle Pattern (Range-bound Market)**
- The price traded within a horizontal range, forming a consolidation zone.
- Two clear support touches at the bottom of the range (labeled as Bottom 1 and Bottom 2).
- The price respected both support and resistance levels multiple times before breaking out.
2. **Double Bottom Formation**
- A classic reversal pattern, signaling potential bullish momentum.
- Bottom 1 and Bottom 2 indicate strong support, where buyers stepped in.
- The breakout above the rectangle confirms the pattern, suggesting further upside potential.
**Breakout Confirmation:**
- The price successfully **broke out** above the rectangle's resistance.
- Volume increased during the breakout, supporting bullish momentum.
- Moving Averages (EMA 7, 21, and 50) are aligned bullishly, confirming the uptrend.
**Target Projection:**
- The expected target is measured based on the rectangle’s height.
- The breakout suggests a potential move towards **97.00** as the next resistance zone.
**Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** 94.50 (previous range support), 95.00 (psychological level).
- **Resistance:** 96.00 (current price zone), 97.00 (breakout target).
**Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Bias:** Price action and technical indicators favor more upside.
- **Watch for Retests:** A pullback to the breakout zone (around 95.00) could offer buying opportunities.
- **Risk Management:** If price re-enters the rectangle, the breakout may fail, requiring reassessment.
ETH, Consolidation and Bullish Divergence, Bullish move expectedLong Consolidation Sharp Downtrend
Trendline resistance broken
Bullish Divergence
Bullish move expected
FOMC meeting and rate cut can bring further rally this week
Take profit if no rate cut and exit
Buy on closing above 1970
Stoploss below 1820
TP at mentioned levels
NZD/USD: Last chance for USD bulls?NZD/USD is nearing a key resistance level, the last line of defense for the USD bulls. A break below could trigger further USD weakness, pushing NZD/USD higher. Where do you think the market is headed? Share your thoughts in the comments!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
AAPL and MSFT Reading Charts For Better Entries and ExitsOptions Trading Strategy Using Ichimoku Cloud, 200 SMA & Monthly Contracts
(Following Your 3 Trading Rules)
This strategy adapts the Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA trend-following method for trading monthly options contracts with a focus on high-probability setups. It leverages time decay (theta), trend strength, and proper timing to maximize gains while reducing risk.
🔹 Strategy Overview
We will trade monthly options contracts using:
Trend confirmation via Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA
Directional bias based on price positioning
Entry timing rules to avoid low-probability setups
Theta-friendly positioning (avoiding weeklies to reduce time decay risks)
📈 Trading Rules & Setup
(My 3 Golden Rules)
🚫 No trading on Mondays → Avoids choppy market structure from weekend gaps.
🚫 No trading on Fridays → Avoids gamma risk and weekend time decay.
⏳ No trades before the first 15-minute candle closes → Ensures market direction is established.
📊 Selecting the Right Option Contract
For monthly expiration contracts, select options that:
Expire within 30 to 60 days (avoid weekly contracts to minimize rapid time decay).
Are slightly in-the-money (ITM) or at-the-money (ATM) for higher delta (0.55–0.70).
Have open interest >1,000 and a tight bid-ask spread to ensure liquidity.
Example: If today is June 11, trade the July monthly contract (third Friday of the month).
📉 Bearish Put Play (Short Trade)
200 SMA Bias: Price is below the 200 SMA
Ichimoku Cloud Confirmation:
Price is below the cloud
Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen (bearish momentum)
Chikou Span is below price from 26 candles ago
Future cloud is red
Entry Trigger (After First 15 Min Candle):
Price pulls back into the Kijun-sen but rejects it
OR price breaks below the cloud after a weak consolidation
Enter PUT contract (monthly expiration)
Stop Loss & Take Profit:
SL: Above Kijun-sen or recent swing high
TP: First at the cloud’s lower edge, second at a key support level
Exit before Theta decay accelerates (last 14 days before expiry)
📈 Bullish Call Play (Long Trade)
200 SMA Bias: Price is above the 200 SMA
Ichimoku Cloud Confirmation:
Price is above the cloud
Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen (bullish momentum)
Chikou Span is above price from 26 candles ago
Future cloud is green
Entry Trigger (After First 15 Min Candle):
Price pulls back into the Kijun-sen but holds
OR price breaks out above the cloud
Enter CALL contract (monthly expiration)
Stop Loss & Take Profit:
SL: Below Kijun-sen or recent swing low
TP: First at the cloud’s upper edge, second at a key resistance level
📊 Trade Management & Adjustments
Rolling: If trade is profitable near expiry but not at the full target, roll to the next monthly contract.
Closing Early: If the trade is at 70-80% max profit, close early to avoid decay risk.
Cutting Losses: If price closes inside the Ichimoku Cloud, consider exiting early (trend loss warning).
🛠 Why This Works for Monthly Options?
✅ Avoids time decay risks of weekly options by trading monthly contracts.
✅ Uses strong trend confirmation from Ichimoku & 200 SMA.
✅ Only trades at high-probability times, avoiding choppy Monday & Friday moves.
✅ Allows scaling into strong trends rather than short-term noise.
USDSEK could jump 5%, learn why. With many top markets trading sideways, we explore USDSEK, which has gained 11% in recent weeks. Is it sustainable given global risks? Probably not. But how can we trade it? Watch the video to find out.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Nikkei 225 Drops Below Key Levels – What’s Next? The Nikkei 225 has broken out of its previous range, and key levels suggest potential downside risk. With Japan raising interest rates and Trump commenting on the yen, market dynamics are shifting. Technical analysis indicates a possible move lower, targeting the September 6th low. Should traders expect further declines, or will the index recover alongside U.S. stocks? Share your thoughts below!
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Is SOL/BTC following the ETH/BTC distribution pattern?
As the big red weekly candle closes for BTC, we should see some volatility this week.
Solana valued in BTC has exited a rectangular distribution topping pattern.
Failure to recapture the rectangular box and enter back into it in a spring like move is looking increasingly unlikely.
Ethereum valued in BTC followed a very similar pattern in Nov 2023, exiting the rectangular distribution rectangle and fell much much lower.
The 50 week (blue line) and 200 week (purple line) moving averages also follow a similar trajectory for both instruments / coins.
If SOL / BTC does not recover into the box, and fast I will be exiting a long term position I hold.
Defensive Strategy based on this chart and the USD chart warrants consideration
PUKA
Strong month chart , holding support zoneThe company is among India’s leading shipbuilding yards, specializing in constructing and repairing warships and submarines for the Ministry of Defence and commercial vessels. It is the only Indian shipyard to have built destroyers and conventional submarines for the Navy, among the first to manufacture Veer and Khukri-class corvettes, and a lead builder of 4 Nilgiri-class stealth frigates. It is the only shipyard to be conferred with the Navratna status.
EURJPY: Bullish Move From Support 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY looks bullish after a completion
of a consolidation on a key daily/intraday support.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle provides a strong bullish confirmation.
I think that the price will go up and hit at least 160.33 level.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Continues
On a yesterday's live stream, we discussed that Gold is consolidating
within a horizontal range.
After a test of its resistance, we got a local sideways movement and distribution.
Violation of its minor support is a strong intraday bearish signal.
Because of that, I think that the price may drop to 2900 support.
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SPX SPY Trading Range or BO? Daily Chart Analysis - 5 Mar 2025
• The market traded lower earlier in the day. The market then reversed higher for most of the day around noon time. The SPX then pulled back off its high in the final 30 minutes of the day.
• The bulls see the market trading in a broad bull channel and want the move to continue for months. They want an endless pullback bull trend.
• They want a retest of the all-time high (Dec 6) followed by a breakout and trend resumption. They see the current move as a bull leg within the trading range.
• They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jan 13 and Mar 4) and a wedge (Feb 25, Feb 28, and Mar 4).
• They hope the bottom of the 22-week trading range will act as support. They want a failed breakout below the January 13 low.
• At the least, they want a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-day EMA).
• If the market trades lower, they want the November 4 or October 3 low to act as support.
• The bears got a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal, a wedge top (Dec 6, Jan 24, and Feb 19), and a smaller double top (Jan 24 and Feb 19).
• They see the market as being in a 22-week trading range.
• They hope to get a bear leg to retest the January 13 low followed by a breakout below. They got it yesterday (Mar 4).
• Next, the bears want a breakout below the January 13 low, followed by a measured move based on the height of the 22-week trading range.
• If the market trades higher, they want the bear trend line or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance.
• They want at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the March 4 low.
• So far, the market is trading in a 22-week trading range.
• The SPX broke below the January 13 low yesterday (Mar 4) and traders want to see if there are any follow-through selling.
• Or will the market form a pullback, followed by a second leg sideways to down to retest the March 4 low after that?
• Traders may BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within the trading range until there is a breakout from either direction with follow-through buying/selling.
• The bears must create a strong breakout below the January 13 low with follow-through selling to convince traders a breakout could be underway.
ITDCEM: Rise, Drop & Steadying Up!The price of ITD Cementation India Ltd has gone through several phases over time:
Early Growth Phase:
For a long period, the price remained relatively stable with minimal movement. It was mostly trading within a narrow range without any significant jumps.
Strong Upward Movement:
At a certain point, the price started rising steadily and entered a strong growth phase. It climbed consistently over several months, with only minor pauses along the way.
Peak & Pullback:
The price reached its highest point at 694.30, marking a peak. After this, it experienced a drop of about 25% from this level.
Current Stabilization:
Recently, the price has been moving in a tighter range with smaller fluctuations compared to the previous uptrend.
It has been holding near 520-560, with occasional dips and recoveries.
It has not returned to its previous lowest points, but it has also not broken back into new highs.
Overall Story:
The price experienced strong momentum upwards, followed by a correction from its peak.
Now, it appears to be in a phase of adjustment, where it is not making extreme moves in either direction.
It is fluctuating within a specific zone while market participants assess the next course of action.
Disclaimer
"Not SEBI registered. This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research before investing."
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NIFTY EASY TO UNDERSTANDNIFTY Easy to understand analysis share with you when market go down to demand zone we will see buy from that level if market go to upside then we will see sell on that level those i shared in this chart.
Remember! The Market is a Device for Transferring Money From The Impatient To The patient.