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Redistribution

JSE:GFI Goldfields a Wyckoff StudyGFI has been an interesting chart to look at from a Wyckoff perspective. GFI had been stronger than the sector group (Gold Miners J150). However, with the sharp decline was lagging the sector and now is again showing strength. After the initial decline we had a redistribution range with an upthrust after distribution (UTAD), some low volume tests of the UT and a Markdown. Then a smaller accumulation TR was formed on high volume and a nr 3 Spring (low volume spring) which often does not require test before markup. After the initial markup in Phase D we now we see a Backing UP (BU) action to the accumulation TR on declining volume. Once this is complete the mark up in Phase E of the smaller TR will start. This markup should reach the larger TR at around 4500 which will be also be the BU for the redistribution TR which could mark a further markdown of the larger TR. If it breaks 45000 back into the redistribution range this would be very bullish.
JSE:GFILong
by SteynTrade
JSE:MRP: Mr Price RedistributionLast month (see link below) I was looking at the trading range as redistribution. The pullback was all the way to the resistance line of the trading range forming a Last Point of Supply (LPSY). There has been divergence with the Volume RSI first with a positive divergence with the Upthrust after Distribution (UTAD) and now negative divergence with the UTAD and the LPSY. Expecting the markdwon in Phase D to start and break out of the trading range. Once the pullback to the trading range has then taken place the markdown in Phase E will possibly take place. Price could find support at 18600, 17600 and possibly as low as 15600.
JSE:MRPShort
by SteynTrade
JSE:MRP MR Price Group Wyckoff RedistributionMR Price (MRP) has declined more than 25% between April and June. After a selling climax and change of character the stock has been in redistribution. The point of control is at the supply line. After two upthrusts (UT) have occurred and effort (as indicated by the OBV) without response in the price there has been a significant signs of weakness (SOW). The change of character is seen in the increased volume on the decline and reduced volume on the pullback. After jumping the creek there is some consolidation at the support line. Once the markup begins in Phase E price could drop significantly.
JSE:MRPShort
by SteynTrade
Are we really where they say in 2014?Remember, all corrections take the same general path as they are all the result of human beings and their unconscious reaction to fear and greed. They just take longer or shorter depending on the movement prior, and the movements may be more or less exaggerated. This comparison in no way suggests that price will definitively do one thing or the other. It is presented as an alternative view to the current lagging indicator narrative comparisons that have been permeating the market since February. All the other 2014 comparisons use indicator positions to attempt to make us believe where we currently are in relation to that period. The problem with that is that it only tells us a story in relation to price at that time. That in no way gives us any reason to believe that we are where they say we are now. Instead, let's take a look at volume and price action beginning with the Selling Climax (SC). Notice there is no SC until January of 2015. We, of course, had one in February of 2018. Take some time and look at all the points highlighted in both time frames, from the corrections prior to 2014 and 2018 (green and red boxes), to the price action and volume comparisons. While there are no guarantees either way, it seems to me that anyone seriously considering every other way that 2014 has been presented should at least be taking a look at it this way as well. (NOTE: The large candle prior to the SC in 2014 would appear to be an upthrust during redistribution.) Be sure to share this chart with everyone you can throughout social media, and ask those who view it to do the same, so that we can get a dialogue going and consider where this may fail in comparison or where it may present a compelling case. At the end of the day, no one knows exactly where price may end up at any time, so the only way traders can protect themselves to any extent is to understand the other side of the story they may be adhering to at the time. Only then can they apply appropriate risk management to their positions.
BNC:BLX
by Chris_Inks
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