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BTC Fractal PredictionFacts: The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast. Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF. Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values). *Note this is a Renko chart Opinion: If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from. As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by sadture
Leap Ahead with a Regression Breakout on Crude OilThe Leap Trading Competition: Your Chance to Shine TradingView’s “The Leap” Trading Competition presents a unique opportunity for traders to put their futures trading skills to the test. This competition allows participants to trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Crude Oil (CL) and Micro Crude Oil (MCL), giving traders access to one of the most actively traded commodities in the world. Register and compete in "The Leap" here: TradingView Competition Registration . This article breaks down a structured trade idea using linear regression breakouts, Fibonacci retracements, and UnFilled Orders (UFOs) to identify a long setup in Crude Oil Futures. Hopefully, this structured approach aligns with the competition’s requirements and gives traders a strong trade plan to consider. Best of luck to all participants. Spotting the Opportunity: A Regression Breakout in CL Futures Trend reversals often present strong trading opportunities. One way to detect these shifts is by analyzing linear regression channels—a statistical tool that identifies the general price trend over a set period. In this case, a 4-hour CL chart shows that price has violated the upper boundary of a downward-sloping regression channel, suggesting the potential start of an uptrend. When such a breakout aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels and existing UnFilled Orders (UFOs), traders may gain a potential extra edge in executing a structured trade plan. The Trade Setup: Combining Fibonacci and a Regression Channel This trade plan incorporates multiple factors to define an entry, stop loss, and target: o Entry Zone: An entry or pullback to the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area, between 74.60 and 73.14, provides a reasonable long entry. o Stop Loss: Placed below 73.14 to ensure a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio. o Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at 76.05 (38.2% Fibonacci level) Second target at 77.86 (23.6% Fibonacci level) Final target at 78.71, aligning with a key UFO resistance level This approach locks in profits along the way while allowing traders to capitalize on an extended move toward the final resistance zone. Contract Specifications and Margin Considerations Understanding contract specifications and margin requirements is essential when trading futures. Below are the key details for CL and MCL: o Crude Oil Futures (CL) Contract Details Full contract specs: CL Contract Specifications – CME Group Tick size: 0.01 per barrel ($10 per tick) Margin requirements vary based on market conditions and broker requirements. Currently set around $5,800. o Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures (MCL) Contract Details Full contract specs: MCL Contract Specifications – CME Group Tick size: 0.01 per barrel ($1 per tick) Lower margin requirements for more flexible risk control. Currently set around $580. Choosing between CL and MCL depends on risk tolerance and account size. MCL provides more flexibility for smaller accounts, while CL offers higher liquidity and contract value. Execution and Market Conditions To maximize trade efficiency, conservative traders could wait for a proper price action into the entry zone and confirm the setup using momentum indicators and/or volume trends.   Key Considerations Before Entering Ensure price reaches the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone before executing the trade Look for confirmation signals such as increased volume, candlestick formations, or additional support zones Be patient—forcing a trade without confirmation increases risk exposure Final Thoughts This Crude Oil Futures trade setup integrates multiple confluences—a regression breakout, Fibonacci retracements, and UFO resistance—to create a structured trade plan with defined risk management. For traders participating in The Leap Trading Competition, this approach emphasizes disciplined execution, dynamic risk management, and a structured scaling-out strategy, all essential components for long-term success. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
9
XAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis ReportXAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis Report Period: January 27 – February 2, 2025 📊 Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Thick Kumo ($2,744-$2,752) providing strong long-term support. • Future Kumo: Steep bullish slope with (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B), reinforcing the bullish trend. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Type of Cross: Bullish cross above the Kumo. • Support Levels: • Tenkan ($2,774): Dynamic short-term support. • Kijun ($2,761): Key support during pullbacks. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, confirming strong bullish control. • Stable slope, suggesting minor consolidation. 📈 Regression Channel Analysis: • Price is moving within an upward channel, with resistance near $2,785-$2,790, signaling potential overbought conditions. 🔗 Support and Resistance Levels (VRP): • POC: $2,771 (Pivot point for accumulation). • VAH: $2,785 (Supply zone). • VAL: $2,756 (Demand zone). 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 26-Period Cycle: Confirms bullish continuation toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810 (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%). • Downside: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740 (VWAP). ⏳ 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Moderate thickness supporting price at $2,744-$2,752. • Steep bullish slope confirming momentum. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Bullish cross above the Kumo, reinforcing the trend. • Key Supports: • Tenkan ($2,774): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,761): Major support. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, signaling strong bullish pressure. • Upward slope, enhancing bullish momentum. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 9-Period Cycle: Minor pullback toward $2,771. • 26-Period Cycle: Signal for a move toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810. • Downside: $2,756-$2,744. ⏳ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Weak clouds with support near $2,774-$2,771. • Moderately bullish slope. • TK/KS Crosses: • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Key support level. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,773-$2,765. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. ⏳ 30-Minute Chart (Scalping) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Thin clouds supporting upward momentum. • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Major support for scalping. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. 🔑 Summary: • Bullish Bias: Above $2,785 targeting $2,800-$2,810. • Bearish Bias: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740. • Pivot Point: $2,771 (POC). 📌 Session Insights: • Tokyo: Scalping at $2,773. • London: Rejection at $2,785 or breakout opportunities. • New York: Breakout above $2,785 or correction toward $2,771. 🔗 A blend of analytical tools for a precise and balanced trading strategy.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
The Great Trump Pump Continues We successfully hit the ExoFade predicted target. Now a new peak has formed and the new peak is the new predicted target of $86 Its a mix of Fear and Excitement.. We all know what happens when anything goes up too fast in record time, a dump is always around the corner. So i can't stress enough how cautious we need to be extremely careful and practice smart risk management, especially since we haven't seen any serious pullback yet. Until then we'll continue trading each cycle. Take profit when price reaches each peak or at least take some profit. After securing profit re-enter when price pulls back and re-claims the ExoFade line. There are some other indicators that help me with the re-entry that i cannot mention in this post due to house rules, so you can use whatever pull-back re-entry strategy you currently use or reach out to me if you want access. As for the ExoFade, just search for exofade in the tradingview indicators library so you can follow me as i am executing these trades.
Long
by ExoProtocol
3
The Great Trump PumpThe Exofade indicator is predicting a price target of 52.47 for $TRUMP on m15 chart. This is one of the ways i use the ExoFade, is for setting price targets . After a rally in one direction, you get a curve or peak, whatever you like to call it. This signifies the end of that rally, when can be temporary in the case where it turns out to be a pullback Or permanent in the case where it becomes a trend reversal. After the pullback or reversal the peaks formed by the ExoFade acts like a price magnet whenever price resumes that trend. The prediction ability is based on Volume & Linear Regression calculations. Even though it's super obvious the $trump coin is ridiculously overvalued at the current price. Meme degens don't care about stats or technicals . This a emotionally driven niche in the crypto market when absolutely can and will happen. Also keep in mind the technical accuracy of this analysis is can be skewed because this is a brand new launch and just had its first 24hrs so there is almost non existent historic price data for indicators to give best results..So this is just for fun to see if we do hit the price target set by the ExoFade
Long
by ExoProtocol
1
SPY to $585?: EOY Price TargetUsing the Magic Linear Regression Channel on TradingView.com we look at some possible scenarios for SPY price movement. A shorter term regression channel shows SPY at the top of the channel and rejecting it today - even with more buyers than sellers in the TradingView Volume Footprint chart view. The bottom of the channel converges with last pivot low near $584. It could conceivable go lower, but with lower volume likely during the holiday season, it would seem less likely for it to make any more big moves barring some major unexpected event.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mwrightinc
7
TSLA to $420?TSLA has been on a tear over the past month or so. Using the Magic Linear Regression Channel indicator we look at the chart of TSLA and see that it has blown through a lot of the parallel channels, making it seem difficult to pinpoint. But, by adding an outer Fibonacci band to the Magic Linear Regression Channel, and selecting starting pivot highs followed by the biggest drops, we can form a channel that has an upper Fibonacci channel that coincides with the all-time high. However, since TSLA didn't get to Elon's favorite number, 420, last time around, I think it will make it there this time before correcting or consolidating. And, it could make it there before the end of the year.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by mwrightinc
2
NVDA to $170K EOYWith the Magic Linear Regression Channel by @mwrightinc, we built a channel on the daily chart that shows that NVDA looks like it may be beginning a bounce from the channel baseline. Using the Multi-VWAP indicator by @mwrightinc, we can also see that today, NVDA reclaimed the 5 Day anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP). We can also see that after we lose the bearish data from 5 days ago that we will have a rising 5-Day AVWAP, which, according to Brian Shannon of AlphaTrends, is a MUST before entering into any long positions. NVDA also reclaimed the 50 Day AVWAP. Another very bullish sign. With a second Magic Linear Regression Channel, or by just drawing a trendline from the pivot high close from June 18th, 2023, we can see that $135.58 was broken as support, but yesterday's large bottom wick and today's continued upward momentum suggest that the level may be reclaimed in the very near future. I see two potential scenarios playing out. A bullish one, where NVDA not only reclaims the 135.58 support, but heads back up to the top of the 1 1/2 year-old channel that has been respected at multiple levels. And, a bearish one, where NVDA continues to fall that is indicated by its recent break of a neckline from a double-top. I believe the bullish scenario is more likely, because NVDA has already had a big move down from its earnings, and it actually beat estimates all around. NVDA is a beast, and I'm guessing that it has the potential to reach $170 by the end of the year, if the bullish scenario plays out.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by mwrightinc
4
SPX in monthly (log)Hello community, A quick review of the month on the SPX index. A red candle for this month of October. I have indicated in orange the simple 12-period average (monthly) The price is in the upper part of the channel, I don't see anything alarming on the chart. The trend is still bullish, I prefer to invest my money in the American market, than on the old continent which is very sick! Whether it is Harris against Trump, the new president will have a country in working order to face the future. I have confidence in the USA. Make your opinion, before placing an order. ► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
SP:SPXLong
by DL_INVEST
Bitcoin to continue meandering around this linear regressionAround 2019, BTC/USD began a linear regression that continues to be respected to this day. Now, it looks like we are currently making a move to the downside of the line, and I expect no lower than 38k. This is a long term play, and it may not be until early 2025 that the bottom is in, however it could be as early as November, which would be great timing for the presidential election. If Kamala wins, expect the bottom to be hit within a week. If Trump, then expect a short pump, followed by a long bleed into early 2025, and then the next run to an ATH will commence and I expect no higher than 100k.
Short
by AdvancedPaperTrading
11
TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend Primary trends Secondary trends Minor Trends At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce. If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge. If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low. However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month At 800 it is still the first target. Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan. C.Goii SuperTrader
TFEX:S501!Short
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
1