Regression-trend-channel
Tesla in daily logHello community,
A quick analysis of Elon Musk's action.
D-Day for him with the American election.
The market has granted him 6 red candles!
Doing politics and managing companies, I wonder if it's a good idea.
American citizen at the polls, your destiny is in your hands.
Courage, the world is watching you, American First!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Bank of America (daily - log )Hello community,
Following the publication of Warren Buffet's results, I looked at the Bank of America stock.
Since the beginning of the year, performance 28%
Why did you sell the stock, there must be a reason that I don't know.
Upward trend, I put the 3 accumulation zones on the chart.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (daily - log)Hello community,
Small daily analysis in log.
The trend is bullish, we have a gap lately that should be filled logically.
I have indicated on the graph the three accumulation zones.
Graphically, it's beautiful.
We are at the bottom of the regression line channel, we will have to watch that it does not break down.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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The Walt Disney Company - monthly (log)Hello community,
A look at the Walt Disney stock in monthly, still in log.
Bullish channel since 1970.
The trend is really magnificent, price respects its regression channel, a textbook case.
The trend is your friend as they say in Trend Following.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (log)Hello community,
A quick update on the Sox in weekly, in log.
We are at the top of both channels, the medium term and the short term.
It would be desirable that it does not go too far out of the regression channel.
In any case, the trend has been bullish since 1995, and will be for many years to come.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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SPX in monthly (log)Hello community,
A quick review of the month on the SPX index.
A red candle for this month of October.
I have indicated in orange the simple 12-period average (monthly)
The price is in the upper part of the channel, I don't see anything alarming on the chart.
The trend is still bullish, I prefer to invest my money in the American market, than on the old continent which is very sick!
Whether it is Harris against Trump, the new president will have a country in working order to face the future. I have confidence in the USA.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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ETF SPY weekly (log)Hello everyone,
Weekly chart in logarithmic scale.
The channel is bullish, we are in the upper part of the channel, but I do not see any bullish exaggeration.
The 200-period simple average is bullish in orange on the screen.
In any case, investing in the SPY is a very good investment.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend
Primary trends
Secondary trends
Minor Trends
At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend
Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce.
If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge.
If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low.
However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month
At 800 it is still the first target.
Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan.
C.Goii SuperTrader
VERX ATH on Earnings LONGVERX on the 15 minute chart demonstrates printing a high tight bull flag pattern in its
bullrun after the earnings report was a two line beat much like the one a quarter ago.
VERX has impressed traders including this one who got in on the ride early. I will trade
this like others recently with a similar pattern. I will hold during the consolidation and
watch for a break above the flag regression channel. I will add upon the break and
set a trailing stop loss of 5% upon a rise of another 5% keeping the profits safe while
underway. See my ideas on SOUN DUOL, VTYX and a few others. Review the link to
the pattern description here. See also my swing long trade ideas for this sector XBI and LABU.
Regression Channel - Nifty - Day & 1hr timeframe1. Change in the regression trend at day timeframe, 1st Dec 23
It occurred with Gap formation, which will act as good support
2. Another Regression channel can be observed at 1hr time frame
3. Spinning Top Formation at the weekly timeframe, implicates bearish sentiment in the last week's price movement
Another "change in the trend" is expected
QQQ is sick more fed news on Friday Short StrategyQQQ is here on a 30-minute chart showing its pivot down from a near-term high in a descending
regression channel. Advanced RSI and MACD indicators are used to better pinpoint short entries
in this downtrend especially with put options contracts with expirations every other day.
Greed has turned to fear. Those equipped with experience and risk management can capitalize
now to build capital for when the bull run resumes.
Ascending Channel NiftyIt has been under formation since the 2nd week of March, which reflects the overall trend of the market for the Last 3 Months. It is a good time to invest in Nifty Bees since it has reached an all-time high and is on an unknown trajectory. Overall, it is a super bullish setup.
SPY Update (monthly close)We have managed to close out a month above the 50% retrace at 414.04 drawn from 2022 high to low. This has been a key area to overcome. We are clearly now above the 405.11 POC area, and this month we cleared another high volume point at the 50% retrace line (414.04).
The low points in September and October 2022 touched and repelled off the lower 2 sigma line of the regression trend (salmon color in the background) drawn from March 2020 COVID low to January 2022 high. From May 2022 to present we formed roughly an upper lateral wall at the 50% line, accompanied by a rising trend of higher lows. In effect, this has created an ascending triangle.
This from Stockcharts.com:
"The ascending triangle is a bullish formation that usually forms during an uptrend as a continuation pattern. There are instances when ascending triangles form as reversal patterns at the end of a downtrend, but they are typically continuation patterns. Regardless of where they form, ascending triangles are bullish patterns that indicate accumulation. Source: stockcharts.com"
The ascending triangle is a bullish reversal pattern, but in a downtrend is is less reliable as a bullish reversal than if it occurred in an uptrend. I personally have seen very few (maybe none) of this pattern in a downtrend, so I have no opinion of which way it will go if it breaks. Nevertheless, the higher lows exhibited in the trend is encouraging to bulls.
You will notice the twelve month Bollinger bands are narrowing, and the 12 month moving average is levelling out. A move may be nearing soon.
If we can further move past the 50% retrace line, we get into an area of declining volume (down sloping) and we could have a pretty fast move up to 424. On the other hand, should we have a negative catalyst, and if we descend below the 405 POC area we could have a sharp descent lower on a declining volume slope. (I can think of two possible catalysts -- continued overly hawkish FED or further bank solvency issues).
So I think next week FOMC + further banking issues may give us some good clues.
Not interested in buying Cardano coinHighly bearish confluences of strong signals on 1D chart of ADAUSDT. The price action reached supply. Double top formation. Overbought. Heading downward. Potential Head & Shoulders scenario development till the final of April. Grey area is a not-trade-zone.
Technicals:
* ABCD reciprocal .886:1.128;
* Fisher Transform bearish cross / bearish divergence;
* Chaikin Money Flow bearish divergence; 100MA x 100EMA cross;
Spinning Bottom Reversal - NiftyAs discussed in the previous blog, the sell-off was expected to 17000
1. Spinning Bottom Candle, which depicts the reversal and is also supported by open interest data, A lot of puts are being shorted
2. Regression channel, Since Dec 2022, Nifty has been moving in the regression channel, It is reversed from the bottom of the channel.
Assuming these structural formations, nifty will likely trade above the 16900 to 17000 range for the next 2 Weeks as long as support is intact.
This week's candle formation will derive the sentiment for April Month.
GME - Break-out and Back-testGME - a recent break-out/back-test, Bullish MA cross on the 4-hour, VWAP and volume support are all getting me more bullish on GME.
With high volume support at this price range from last spring and early summer, looking for a rise in price heading into late Feb and early March of 2023.
Adding to shares and going long Mar 17 calls with a $25 strike.
NFA!
USDINR Bearish setupUSDINR: it used to trade with 97% precision in regression channel trends,
which is now decisively broken.
The current candle seems more like a temporary pullback and the Indian currency might witness strength in upcoming sessions.
only believing charts, I would be comfortable having a short stance for target 79.95