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Regression-trend-channel

1/4/2023 AnalysisThe Hard Road Newsletter - Weekly Analysis, auto investing machines and News Yellow line is the 200 SMA White Line is the 20 SMA. Bottom indicator is the 20D Cumulative Returns For those that don't know, Pivot Points, are reversal points of trend channels. You can see the trend marked out using a Regression Channel drawing tool inside Trading View. We are expecting a continuation of this next wave of the downtrend, at least 1-3 weeks.  The major resistance we are seeing is $350.Note the RED drawn line for primary prediction of a support bounce and Orange as a secondary breakdown. 20D Cumulative Returns (Bottom Indicator)Looks like we're in for a bumpy ride! The current trend channel hasn't even hit the $350 support mark yet and the 20D cumulative returns are barely scratching the surface of their typical bottom of -10%. Buckle up, because it looks like we've got more room to fall over the next 1-3 weeks. Trend Continuation or Reversal ZoneIf the trend holds at the $350 level, we may see a change in the trend between Apr 03 and Sept 05. At this point, the market will either continue to decline or reverse into a bull rally. Alternatively, the current downward trend may continue if it falls below the $350 level. Major Indicators to Watch FED Interest rates and money supply constriction will be a major factor in determining the market's direction. An increase in rates could mean more bear markets on the horizon. In other words, if the FED raises rates, it's time to start hibernating like a bearUnemployment Rate/Participation Rate - If layoffs increase, expect less money going into the markets.Public Sentiment - The bear market may continue if your grandma, mom, and uncle who live paycheck to paycheck are starting to save money out of fear. The Hard Road Newsletter - Weekly Analysis, auto investing machines and News
AMEX:SPY
by Dzuari
Harmonic Pattern with Multiple Confluence for Point X and DThis is an example of regression channel with harmonic pattern. By using Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive, we able make confluence point (blue) to get Point X of Bullish Butterfly. There are many confluence points (orange flag and teal table), which shows Point D of Butterfly starting to complete. For Point D, best to monitor price changes using RSI or other similar RSI (Cyclic RSI, etc). Indicator used : 1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF 2. HH-LL ZZ 3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive 4. Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive 5. Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter
MYX:FKLI1!Education
by RozaniGhani-RG
APE - possible trend change at T-90APE share price has been heading down since it hit the market nearly 90-days ago back in August 2022. Some discussions state that shorts may need to significantly cover at the T-90 mark, which hits next week. Not sure if the MMs would be required to close/cover at T-90, due the numerous exemptions allowed to them for "market efficiency" reasons, but regardless the APE chart is starting to look more bullish. Regression trend on the 2 hour chart along with a few other technical indicators appears to be showing a potential end to the multi month bearish trend. APE share price has started to drift away from the regression center line suggesting a new trend may be developing. Further the Bollinger's are getting tight on the 2 hour suggesting a near-term pending directional move. Stoch RSI is near - but not yet overbought on the 2-hour chart, and the price can still run from here IMO. The Volume Accumulation % indicator is showing that buyers are finally coming back. Expecting a run to upside on APE fairly soon. No options available on this one. Adding to shares.
ALong
by Akksujean
DODG - just maybeLooks like DODG may be getting closer to finally moving back to the upside. Volume profile is bullish and looks like significant accumulation has been occurring since around late June of 22. Selling appears to have all but completed dried up. Price is moving/staying away from the center line of the longer-term regression trend signaling that the downtrend may be over/ending. Bollinger Bands width staying super low for over a month on the daily signaling a decent move could be in the works, and the OBV showing that the extended drop in price of DODG has not resulted in longer-term holders giving up/selling this coin. With significant support in this price range from early 2021 (that has been tested many times now) I expect DODG could begin moving to the upside again. Obviously the macro picture may have other plans for all of us, so just nibbling here and waiting/watching for further confirmation... NFA.
BITTREX:DOGEUSDLong
by Akksujean
3
Nifty Support and Resistance for coming weekAfter fed Chairman Jerome Powell's undeniably hawkish comments about the likely need for aggressive interest rate hikes to lower inflation. Market corrected from higher level and it triggered the volatility. Considering it I have drawn few support and resistance levels which could decided the market direction. As I explained in the weekly chart last week, Reversal pattern was observed. The Market had taken a support from the confluence zone. Need to see the price action of coming week if it it holds. Below 17300-17400 range nifty is likely to fall aggressively
NSE:NIFTY1!
by OK_Rane
BTC Bottom Around $11,000A lot of people have asked “Where is the bottom for Bitcoin?”. Of course nobody knows for sure but it is fun (and arguably important) to speculate. Here I’ve plotted the BTC price since several months prior to it’s parabolic run in fall 2020 to the present. I’ve added trend lines to smooth out the data and used linear regression channels to highlight the up trending and down trending time periods. The transitions between an up trending environment and a down trending environment are given by the blue vertical lines. The take home message is that we might see BTC bottom around $11,000 around Oct 2022. This corresponds nicely to the price observed prior to BTC’s parabolic run in fall 2000 and also corresponds quite nicely with projections made with the Phoenix Ascending indicators.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eightchains
2
🚨🚀💩Which Scenario Seems More Likely For $BTC?#Bitcoin has been following the same regression curve since its conception. If it's to be believed that this curve will truly last forever, then #Bitcoin will also just be hurling towards its inevitable death spiral down to zero. While there are probably a select amount of people that still think this is possible, I personally don't subscribe to that theory. This means that $BTC will have to break out of this curve. If that happens, the highly sought after "S-curve" may occur, bringing on some very extreme, exponential growth for the price. The dotted, upwards-trending curve shows the possible price support that may shift this curve to invert the regression. An accurate bounce off of this yellow curve may just signal the inversion of the curve. **This is all my own personal opinion, based on chart data. This is not financial advice.**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DoozerInvest
1
Bitcoin how far down could go or is the trend to be broken?Looking at a linear regression channel it appears Bitcoin is getting oversold at the lower 2 standard deviation band. It should easily find support at $36.5 - $37k the ranges it is now if it will trend lower. Charting a potential upward trend in a ghost feed for illustration purposes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by CarpeMomentum
Sum of all FearsUpdated Wyckoff Distribution Pattern from last years chart. I think this week in crypto it will punch down to the SOW - Sign of Weakness. The weakness is likely to be a result of all the financial sanctions against Russia and their exclusion from SWIFT. Over the weekend there was turmoil over the situation in Ukraine. Russia didn't open their markets for fears it would crash. As asset managers try to reduce exposure to the increasing Russian sanctions, I think there will be some liquidations that will punch through this 2 year regression trend and punch out a new low support for crypto. next 24-48 hours will be key as markets digest the Russia/Ukraine situation.
by SPYvsGME
An optimistic prediction for ETHEarlier in the week we saw ETH broke through the bottom of the long term regression channel that goes back to December 2020. I believe this to be a bullish sign, with selling pressure finally alleviated. I've drawn a very short term regression channel just to visualize the 5 days of bullish price action that followed. We see that RSI is turning up, as well as the Trend Flex Oscillator. My hypothesis assumes that ETH will find its way back to $4500 by mid February, and another ATH is on the radar for April. Of course this is all predicated on the bulls taking back the market for the next three months.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Chart0bserver
Trying to put today's correction into perspective for HODLersAfter an unprecedented profit-taking surge to liquidate $2.6B in longs over the past 12 hours, we might be asking if ETH will ever break $4,000 gain. But if you accept my theory that there is a natural regression channel that ETH has been following all year, this drop today seems perfectly within balance to keep the price moving toward the mean. While we saw a huge shift above the channel in early summer, we see the equal and opposite swing the other way by July. But ultimately the price returned to where it seems most comfortable. Does this mean we won't see $5,000 until December? Perhaps. Or maybe it's going to break to that number much sooner, but it won't be comfortably within the channel until then. COINBASE:ETHUSD
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Chart0bserver
Symmetric Triangle Appears FET/BTC #FET $FET #FetchAIHere we see our FET 12 hour chart and boy we see quite a pullback ! We're now under 1400 . But if you see those black lines on my chart it does look as if we are forming a symmetric triangle shape . Now a chart pattern like that can break upwards or downwards - and by approximately the same amount as those purple lines show (which is the length of the rise near the start of the pattern . ) I expect a break upwards towards the 2900 / 3000 area since a break down out of this pattern would take us to 200 sats area ! And I definitely don't see that coming ! So I say this breaks Bullish . Again many charts look similar with the pullbacks and the MAs but big pullbacks also mean big rises will come . This has possibly been a shakeout situation but there's always big swings in a Bullrun year and I've been expecting some crazy moves so I'm good ! Now a symmetric triangle pattern shouldn't actually play out to the very tip or end of that black triangle . It should choose a direction and break away before we get to the end of the pattern ( I expect a break upwards . ) Also some people might see this as more of a pennant but I disagree since there is not technically a flagpole here and you can't have a pennant without a flagpole . So I say it's a symmetric triangle . Also you can see that pink and blue band we're in ? That's a regression trend channel . And we've definitely wicked to the bottom pink part of it ( as well as hitting a TD Sequential 9 in red on our daily chart . ) So I really expect a turnaround and I expect it soon . This weekend could be interesting but by next week I think this will be on it's way up again .
Long
by shimmeringpath
5