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AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week. The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12% move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
KOSS - ready to moveKOSS daily showing bullish diversion on a number of indicators and is resting on strong historic support levels at the current price. Further the price has been drifting away from the longer term regression trend midline, suggesting a change in direction is occurring. Per the OBV buyers have generally held onto their shares since the run up that occurred last July. With the Bollinger's getting and staying tight, I expect KOSS will make a move to the upside fairly soon. Trade target is $6. Looking to add shares at ~$4.45. Stop at $4.33. NFA!
NASDAQ:KOSSLong
by Akksujean
BTC USD - Technical regression & ImbalancesG'day, This is the first video analysis upload, so the length is something I would like to scale down being more concise in future, however in order to appeal to the broader market, Technicals need to be simplified. A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones. This is tagged Neutral to the overall monthly demand in control, until the opportunity of a rejection of the PCP has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - no trade is taken until reactive, break or curve is confirmed. Long term investment strategy will be looking for buys as part of the next cycle. This is an investment and not a quick move based on lower time frames. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Three, Four Day Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence. Daily Potential Move - Short term Bullish break and reload of PCP zone forming Weekly Long term Bearish probability potential outcome to equate to lows of 2022. Bullish Weekly Where price eliminates with CP levels confirming market structure. Weekly regression analysis Bearish curve and bullish pathway. Awaiting the next move for either. Let me know your thoughts and analysis. Each opinion is valid where research is conducted. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by LupaCapital
4
SPY - short squeeze - or more down?Bear Market trend on SPY looking to continue, but could we get another short squeeze similar to the set up leading to the brief Sept squeeze in 2022? Based upon regression trend analysis and general market strength or lack there of, I don't think we see much of a squeeze for SPY here...will be adding to short positions on these modest price increases that appear to be more related to limited stock buy backs and some year end tape painting. More down on deck IMO. In terms of seasonality - January 2022 was weak and I expect pretty much the same in 2023 - or worse. Will reassess if we gat a SPY close above 387. NFA.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Akksujean
1
BTC USD - anticipating the low in 2023Update to the full version which is published June 6th 2022. Review the full article below in linked - Second link is a private update - now made public. G'day traders, investors, analysts, Breakdown: 1. Note 2. Contents 3. Research breakdown 4. Education recap 5. Information on Lupa. A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones. This is tagged Neutral due to the overall monthly Supply PCP in control, until the opportunity of a rejection of the pattern completion to a fresh demand tap has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - no trade is taken until reactive, break or curve is confirmed. The methodology here is to trade spot and or invest, futures contracts to hold positions for periods over a span of weeks to months. If this is not specifically aligned to 'your strategy' then at least appreciate the structure. Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Orange = Daily Technical Setup Acronyms Key: CP - Continuation pattern DBD - Drop Base Drop OP - Original price DCA - Dollar Cost Average FL - Fresh Levels Check the updates to see where the logarithmic charts have taken us. Analysis's below Original outlook and full in depth analysis below. BTC - Outlooks for the Future A smaller counter trade buy and sell opportunity provided below; Daily update Short Term CP. Monthly Chart (no log) The monthly has created the supply zone at the all time high with confirmations provided on the weekly with a $9,000 ending at a a slight bullish indecision provided a test of the monthly curve (bullish), price broke and retested this with the consecutive bearish move. These two weeks from a $55,000 confirmation sell, provides a fresh supply zone. Price then on began the slippery slope of creating a 'Low', whereby price put in a lower low, before looing back to a pivot position back between December 2021 with the four weeks, creating a 'base' which aligned with the market structure (left). The weekly log chart shows price is below the fair value of BTC comprised of time of writing ($25,100) - technical traders will realise this is the previous PCP level and supply. Price has now formulated within the weekly zone as a retest, however yet to indicate a deep test of the zone (down to $15,000). Refer to article on historical diminishing returns and the lows of previous years (BTC - outlooks for the future). The latest Supply FL between $23-25.1k shows the sheer strength of the bearish moves taking place at present, along with the high curve which is being respected. updates price has now shown the mid regression band is in affect, where by price is well below the market fair value - with the weekly chart delayed by one day. Refer to BTC USD where the latest engulfing on the daily chart has been provided. Four Day chart The weekly and Four day provides the clear picture where the steep curve is intact and yet to be broken on a retest. This is due to the OL still yet to be tapped and the current zone acting as a strong tested zone - whether this will hold. The four day supplies are nested within the weekly chart so the above information holds as the structure of the market is outlined above. Daily Chart Where can price go? - it looks clear upon the current price cycle that price is looking towards the retest of the double bottom at the low of $17,500, this depends on the current double daily bottom of the $18.2k to be over come first. The downward channel as been creating multiple impulse, corrective and subsequent impulses again - this is due to the market structure (left) this enables the price action to show where price can free fall and where a hurdle has occurred - forming a pivot point for a correction or a consolidative base formation. latest update Daily Chart re-aligned for present values as at 16th Dec 2022 all notes above still apply - the only difference now is that after the break of the smaller channel - BTC is indicating a short term pivot to a selling level to continue the sells. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXII
BNC:BLX
by LupaCapital
Power Function Regression of Bitcoin Tops and BottomsThis is a power function regression of tops and bottoms. There is a separate regression for open, high, low, and close values for tops and bottoms. There is a separate regression for each possible iteration of bottoms ( both bottoms of a double bottom, only the lowest bottoms of a double bottom, the first bottom of a double bottom, etc.) The green circles show which data points were used for the regressions. On those days, all OHLC values were used to perform separate regressions. All power function regressions returned R^2 values over .97, with the vast majority being >0.99 The upper regression lines accurately predicted both tops of the recent cycle. Note that those data points were NOT part of the regression, showing the tremendous predictive potential of this method. The lower regression lines have a wide range due to the multiple iterations of regressions performed. Despite the wide range of the bottom regression functions, none of them indicate that the current cycle has reached a bottom. The equations for each regression can easily be viewed in the script.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MarkLefevre
BTC Bottom Around $11,000A lot of people have asked “Where is the bottom for Bitcoin?”. Of course nobody knows for sure but it is fun (and arguably important) to speculate. Here I’ve plotted the BTC price since several months prior to it’s parabolic run in fall 2020 to the present. I’ve added trend lines to smooth out the data and used linear regression channels to highlight the up trending and down trending time periods. The transitions between an up trending environment and a down trending environment are given by the blue vertical lines. The take home message is that we might see BTC bottom around $11,000 around Oct 2022. This corresponds nicely to the price observed prior to BTC’s parabolic run in fall 2000 and also corresponds quite nicely with projections made with the Phoenix Ascending indicators.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eightchains
2
Regressive VWAP Band Buffer Strategy on GC 10RRequired add-on (free): NEXT Regressive VWAP Target market: COMEX:GC1! 10R chart Strategy Overview: - Long when price crosses upper band (green) - Short when price crosses lower band (red) - Do not initiate trades in the buffer zone (between the bands) - that is our filter Setting Alerts: Here is how to set price (close) crossing band alerts: open a chart, attach NEXT Regressive VWAP, and right-click on chart -> Add Alert. Condition: Symbol, e.g. ES (representing the close) >> Crossing >> Regressive VWAP >> Upper ( or Lower) Band >> Once Per Bar Close.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by ChartVPS
You are so beautiful , to me BAT/BTC #crypto $BATHere we have our Bat bitcoin pair on a 3 day chart .As you can see Bat broke down from that channel it had been in and had a hard dip down as most alts did when Bitcoin pumped over 15 k yesterday making a new yearly high . The rsi has also bottomed out here and I have to say this is looking beautiful to have probably a 100% rise ,in my opinion . Now sitting at 1296 sats and looks like it should easily come up to the bottom of that pitchfork near 2000 sats ( the blue area above our current price . ) But we could also easily go up to that red heart on my chart which is the bottom of that Ichimoku cloud near 2700 sats . That would be over 100% from where we are now but either way it's a good return . First we need to break out of this regression channel we are in ( this downward channel we are in ) we need to find bottom and then start to turnaround and break upward but it is looking highly likely . If we break through that Ichimoku cloud we could see more than 2700 sats but I'm not necessarily expecting that . Such a beautiful chart ....
by shimmeringpath
$4600 Bitcoin as 2021 low ? BTC/USD #Bitcoin $BTC #cryptoHere we see that huge pink and blue regression channel on our 3 day chart . You can see we have reliably remained in this channel since 2018 even through highs and lows. It seems until All Time High is breached above 20k that we will remain in it . That means we will revisit the bottom pink part of the band at some point . If that happened , for instance , next summer of 2021 it would line up perfectly with our bottom trendline ( that thin purple line ) and bring us a $4600 Bitcoin price next summer . You can see it on my chart where the orange B is . Also that area is roughly where our .236 fib is from our full fib . This is a great collection of different indicators that we will see a great price sometime next year . I believe the price could always wick a bit above or below there though , say from 4200 to 5800 but for sure we should see sub 6k and as long as we don't break below our 2019 low of 3150 we are still long-term bullish .Good things ahead !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by shimmeringpath
6
13300k Incoming ? BTC/USD $BTC #Bitcoin #btc #cryptoBitcoin surged last night above 11800 and right now is 11950 - just under 12k . Surely 12200 will come soon. But more importantly we are now inside the 'blue' band of that pink and blue regression band . We had been in the lower pink part of that band for awhile but last night we broke up into the blue part of this 'regession channel '. That's bullish imo . That should mean we head up to the top of the blue area of the band . That should bring us to 13300 area and possibly higher ! I myself called for 14 k Btc by Halloween , see my idea linked below . Also the 13350 area is a .618 fib on the chart ( running your fibs from 2019 low of 3150 up to 20k . ) That's an important fib and almost certainly we are going there now . That red star on my chart should be the next level up we hit . Patience definitely brings good things to those who can wait !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by shimmeringpath
2
Volume Regression Trick (feat. Serbian Užičko Kolo dance music)Okay, this is a simple trick with the built-in Linear Regression indicator. I have used two instances of the indicator, but with different sources. The first one uses price of an instrument and the second one uses volume of an instrument. Yes, it is possible to use non-standard source because the indicator has a special input for that. As result you get a simple tool for trend analysis and its common cases like trend exhaustion or confirmation. Good luck and stay cheeki breeki!
NYSE:CVXEducation
by everget
43
Band Practice BTC/USDT #regressionband #Bitcoin $BTC #cryptoThis is that Pink and Blue Regression Band that Bitcoin has been in since the March dump . You can see we just wicked the bottom edge of the pink part of the band earlier today near 10600 . We are still inside it though and unless we go down and close below the band then we are still good to see some upside. See the red arrow ? Near 14k ? That is going to wick us up to the top edge of the blue part of the regression band . Whether we could go even higher after that ,it's always possible . But we seem to be going towards 14k .You can place a regression band on your chart very easily by just placing it and it clicks into place automatically so to speak .You will find it in the left side free indicators in Trading View , the first drop down menu .
by shimmeringpath
2