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Regulation

Why Alibaba might miss expectations on its earnings reportQudian, a China P2P lending company, today withdrew its full-year guidance because of a worsening regulatory environment in China. Qudian is still in good enough financial shape to buy back $500 million worth of shares, but nevertheless the company says it has seen default rates rise and volume fall sharply as a result of regulatory changes. With Alibaba having recently acquired a $9 billion+ stake in Chinese P2P lending company Ant Financial, the Qudian news is bad for Alibaba (and also, by the way, for Yirendai). Potentially we could see a miss of expectations on BABA's upcoming earnings report. I wouldn't call this a short play, however, because fintech is just one segment of BABA's business, and overall this is a strong company with strong upward momentum.
NYSE:BABA
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
Bitcoin in a 350$ range downward Channel(Bitfinex Prices) On the left Side of the Chart you can see my former Analysis from the 13th January. What are my takeaways from the last 2.5 Weeks: 1. I didn't expect the down move on January 13 - just Minutes after I published my Idea. But we moved back into the channel 22h later. 2. I expected the Up-move to happen earlier. Instead of 14/15 January the Up-Move happened on Saturday 19th. 3. Expected a Wick up to 3880$ or even 4000$. Halted exactly at 3880$, so it wasn't a really strong move.One day later we had a down move to 3570$. So what happened since then: 1) A (fake) breakdown and horrible Wick to scare Longs on Jan22. 2) Wick Up on Jan26. 3) Slow and steady downtrend toward 3420$. We saw some resistance there, followed by the current, small up move which seems to fail at this Moment. But it could still go higher towards 3600$ and some Alts are pumping too. Personally I expect that this up move will fail spectacularly and will be followed by a brutal breakdown towards 3200 Because: - Volume is still very low. There is no fresh money incoming, just no interest out there to buy at even this low levels. - Long/Short Ratio - still to many Longs. Before every major breakdown Shorts were at a lower level. - 4h Channel seems to build strong resistance to the upper side - but of course also for the downside. Breaking one of them will be followed by a major pump or dump. The last days are telling us that a dump is more possible (as we are in Crypto - the more obvious scenario does not have to play out of course). After that breakdown: Small recovery - and then diving below 3000$ in March / April. Low in Summer around 2000$. If adaption, regulation, decentralization and public interest looks better in autumn, the bear market may be over but unless none of them changes dramatically there is no reason this centralized coin - owned by some whales - has a future.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Broodwar86
2
BTC Cryptocrash and how to profit from itCash hedge, liquidation 25k, keep scaling in from small to high price and let it ride to the ground. The higher the price, the bigger the profit, keep adding positions and cash hedge when need to, preferably futures over swaps. Regulations coming faster than anybody thinks, goxed bagholders wanting to gtfo at best price possible, especially before end of year for taxes before new taxlaw is passed in Europe. Crackdown on a) exchanges and b) manipulators (individuals/groups) in the West & East are expected, tether and finex court case still ongoing, asset forfeitures market sold, strict Korean regulation in the making (I don't see Bithumb (with their free fee and rebate structure, with their bots, washtrading and moneylaundering) last, at all) and I could go on and on and on. No new money coming in, market is contracting (fiat going out), yet this f#cking tethers keep coming back in the market. Complete unsustainable and fake shitshow. Run or cry later. Accumulate bitcoin, sell all shitcoin (like previous 3 bubbles, they go back to -98% at best and -99.9% at worst from ath). Contrary to what people believe, regulations will cause the greatest bullrun ever, after manipulators have capitulated and market dumped their bags. You cannot compete vs the central banking system played by Wallstreet, competitors are eliminated by any means. Play the game or be played.
Short
by CryptoSwindle
15
Once ETF misdirection recognized, BTC goes up at warp speed.Somehow i think that the general players in the BTC market are letting the Government misdirect their attention, allowing their ETF approval/disapproval game to manipulate and control the market. They're somehow forgetting that Bitcoin hasn't had ETF before. It actually was created to have a currency that was free from manipulation, control and regulation by banking or governments. Once they remember this, or are reminded of that by the alt-coins, they will realize Bitcoin once reached 20K without ETF. And maybe it didn't do that despite not having ETF but maybe it did it because it had no such regulations conformity. At that point the actual important things like crypto-currency adoption, penetration and saturation will become the market's motivators. That has been steadily increasing despite the market's volatility, be it at a slower pace than before. Also there's a point coming at which the ICO-tsunami will end, putting an end to the ludicrous number of coins, crypto-based projects and block-chain to asset gluing attempts that we've been seeing over the past year. This will be the start of the alt-coin massacre during which many coins and other trade-able crypto stuff will plummet in value and eventually disappear. If the bitcoin is still there when that happens it will of course shoot up in price at warp speed. If not Bitcoin then whichever alt-coin has been able to show it can remain fast, anonymous, safe and still be cheap to use. So i am confident that when the "ETF Show" is over the bitcoin price will go back to following its own path. It will return to its rebellious roots, and its fundamental need, its purpose, to be the decentralized, safe, anonymous cheap and independent currency of the world. I predict that before the end of the year it will pass the 10k boundary and won't look back until the last coin has been mined. What happens then, no one knows.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by deuZige
EU GDPR may make non-private blockchains illegalI just thought it was worth pointing out, while people are freaking out about governments banning private cryptocurrencies, the new GDPR that takes effect 2018-05-25 will make it illegal to permanently store Personally Identifying Information (PII) in a computer database. Systems that store such information will require a mechanism for the person who is the subject of such PII to request that information's permanent deletion. It will be impossible for Bitcoin and other decentralized, public, transparent blockchains to comply with this regulation, since there is no centralized authority who can delete a record from the blockchain. It will be irrelevant for Monero since there is never any PII stored on the blockchain. So - when the topic of government bans comes up, Monero may be the only survivor. twitter.com Note the heavy use of "may" above. While it's clear that Bitcoin and other transparent coins will be in violation of the GDPR, it's not certain that Monero is in the clear, yet. The PDF document linked in this tweet has an initial analysis of the situation: twitter.com
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Emperor_Penguin
2
#XRP goes to official Japanese REGULATED market or only seems? @Ripple published third time post twitter.com with some allusions. Reason could be new level of merge Japanese regulated bank system to cryptocurrency technology or only seems like that. Will see in the evening tomorrow. I guess Japanese like be one of the most technological folk in the world. twitter.com - "2 themes coming together, #banking & #blockchain"; twitter.com - "3 days of mind-blowing #content and #speakers";
Short
by DenisNeporada
4
Historical SPX500 "It's my party and I'll short if I want to"What a journey!!! I have sweated and bled trading up the levels on the SPX500 in recent weeks. Fortunately my personal view and analysis set me up for the strongest positions possible. Taking long profits all the way to 2140 but that is where I am drawing theline. Could we have a further higher level of historical price? Yes. Can I tell the future? No. Please therefore be careful. In my opinion however from here and for the rest of this week, this month, next month and even into September we will be coming further back down the price levels. Here on my chart you can see my Fib work and SHORT position indicator set. At this moment I have taken a poorly hedged account, cut 250k out of dead weight, added 150k back into the balance through longs and im now anchored up to hang for the short price to come. Essentially I'm almost there, just need the price to start falling from here and I'm a hero. Hopefully I'll make it 3/3 spot on analysis posted. I expect a rate of 2070 or below come close this Friday. #bitchbetterhavemymoney :) #shortyshorts #falldownprediction #mysticmeghasnothingonme
FX:SPX500Short
by RSCexclusive
2