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AGNC new bottom?Here we have a MONTHLY chart for $AGNC, a mid-cap monthly paying dividend REIT (Real estate investment trust). As you can see we breifly wicked to this price before and if you switch to a daily chart there is some evidence for a recovery. That being said, with the increasing rates from the FED, housing prices starting drop as demand lowers, and combined with higher material cost for building homes (starting to shrink), it seems likely we'll see a bear rally, followed by another "bullwhip effect", particularly driven by new homes or lack there of. If you google, "is agnc a good stock to buy", the analysists expect it to reach "$11.86 by Oct 5, 2023" which means you'd effectively double your money in a year, while also receiving ~$12/month for every 100 shares (~$800). Although I disagree and suspect that AGNC will be at best ~$9-10 by that date, I still feel like that this is a great time to SELL PUTS as a means to get paid to DCA into the stock. That being said, I could see the stock reaching as low as $5/share so be careful and DYOR...
NASDAQ:AGNC
by livingdracula
DBRG is taking SWCH private? What now?Well, right after data center infrastructure stock SWCH announced solid 1st quarter earnings results, we get an announcement that it's going private. DBRG and IFM Investors are taking it private for $11 billion. Shareholders will get $34.25 per share on the transaction. The price action gapped up to around that level and it will stay in this range until the transaction is complete and SWCH shares disappear from the exchanges. This looks like a good thing for SWCH fundamentally, as the company continues to expand its data center capacity. You need investors to keep buying up land for data center infrastructure. Solid Revenues and Net Income growth make the purchase a sweet deal for NYSE:DBRG and IFM, which is not publicly traded. But don't go running to buy the REIT DBRG just yet. It's taking a dive like most other large caps. And an acquisition is a costly thing for any company--this can put a dent in the trend of the share price. Like I've been writing throughout the index correction: WAIT for the bottom to develop. Most traders and investors are just impatient. If you'd just wait for it... Thanks for reading, hope you learned a little something. Visit my website to learn more.
NYSE:DBRG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
REITs looking bearish across the sector. H&S setups galoreFirst noticed this when I was scouting $ABR as a potential candidate for puts. I was looking for H&S setups, and liked the look of it. If you look at $ABR chart (daily or weekly) I imagine you'll see what I mean. Looks like we're peeling off the 20MA on the 1D to the downside. (Earnings are tomorrow, as a heads up) But yes, this led me to look at other names in the sector to try and add to my overall conviction. And I found that while some have already made their move to the downside - I also found a bunch of tickers that seem like they're on the cusp of breaking down Apart from $ABR the other names I'm looking at for moves toward downside in the sector are $O and $UDR . $O especially. In terms of more of a 'macro' view this year I think with increasing interest rates, inflation through the roof etc. I think real estate sector is going to feel some notable pain this year. But of course, theories only mean so much, let's just focus on the chart setups as/when they come. For now, the sector looks bearish The options I'm personally trading currently are: $ABR Mar 18th '22 $17.5p (cost basis 2.51) and $O Mar 18th '22 $67.5p (cost basis 2.05) Posting this moreso to draw attention to the sector in general, rather than my exact personal plays necessarily. Hence using $SCHH as the image for this 'idea' so people can see the sector overall. Note the rejection/inability to breach the 20MA on the weekly. I think this thing could sag and fold over. Hope this is helpful to some! And as always, please let me know your thoughts/comments if you have any! I'm always open to new ideas, viewpoints and constructive criticism etc.
AMEX:SCHHShort
by llbtrader5
1
PINE: Short (signaled by 3 indicators)Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is a real estate company, which owns and operates a portfolio of single-tenant commercial properties. The company was founded on August 19, 2019 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, FL. Recent News (nontechnical analysis): Dec2: Alpin Sells $24.5 Million towers; Dec 3: Falling asset prices Moving Average, MACD, and RSI indicate resistance has been reached a price decrease + volume decrease is on the way in the coming days.
NYSE:PINEShort
by lydiascherr777
CTRE (BUY) - Entrance + Exit StrategyCTRE is a REIT focused on adult care facilities. Overview beyond the technical analysis: In the past, CTRE it has been recommended by highly experienced real estate attorneys as a long-term REIT for holding/dividends. Given the aging boomer population and focus on healthcare amidst the pandemic, this REIT stands out from others. Technical Analysis: CTRE is approaching a golden cross in the coming week. Even if history does not repeat, it often rhymes. 2 of the 3 previous golden crosses for CTRE have resulted in 60% increase over the period of several months. At the current price point, CTRE may be able to expect new ATHs in 2022.
CLong
by lydiascherr777
ALX - Rising Revenue is Not Enough Alexander's, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust. The firm engages in leasing, managing, developing, and redeveloping its properties. Its operating properties are located in the greater New York City metropolitan area. The company was founded on May 16, 1955, and is headquartered in Paramus, NJ. Despite some nontechnical indicators (i.e rising revenue & location), ALX seems positioned to continue losing value. Fibonacci retracement from the previous All-Time High (ATH) is in a "red" zone, the lowest level of support in the trend. This could indicate "nowhere to go but up." So I decided to test that hypothesis with two indicators: 1) RSI and 2) Bollinger Bands. Both indicators insinuate an imminent downward price trend. Entry: After support level at the time of publishing is broken. Exit: After 5% -10% drop in price
NYSE:ALXShort
by lydiascherr777
$COR: A CORE Position For A Deflationary Environment?Real Estate has seen some specific winners starting to emerge, however, as the Fed soon begins the tightening process, is it possible we still see more in the tank for IYR (REIT ETF) as the Dollar continues it's rally? Keep in mind, a rate hike currently isn't priced in until July of 2022 and the inflationary pressures have been strong but with some patience on the REIT investor's part. I do believe the company could be primed to make an early run before a defensive cycle emerges. I'll scale in and manage risk based on price / sentiment toward the defensive names as a whole.
NYSE:CORLong
by Fox_Technicals
RE - Real Estate Double Top Before FOMCIdea for Real Estate: - Real Estate testing a double top after some exhaustion Sept-Oct. - MBB's rolling over, rejected at -1 Std Dev: - Because every other market component is already at +2/-2 Std Dev, and Real Estate is relatively less volatile than say S&P 500, I think the +1/-1 Std Dev is a good signal. - We will have more confirmation next week depending on Fed's decision to taper MBS purchases. I think the Fed will stick to their signaled schedule in hopes of avoiding any sort of a "tantrum". - Historically, RE and MBS's lead declines in equities. - We have seen both commodity prices, Building Permits and pending Home Sales come down, so a decline is natural: - Overseas property market declining is likely to have headwinds as well: GLHF - DPT
AMEX:XLREShort
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
4
EverGrande Real-estate situation in China = Black Swan Event?Will the EverGrande Real-estate situation in China be the catalyst that pops our real estate bubble and slow down our homebuilder industry? This was last year, when they listed their stock to the HK market and scammed retail money. Now they are out of cash again, and their bonds are worth less than 30% on the dollar. If this thing collapse, it could be China's version of the Lehman Collapse. " The world’s most indebted developer has warned Chinese officials it faces a potential default that could roil the nation’s $50 trillion financial system unless regulators approve the company’s long-delayed stock exchange listing. Shares and bonds fell in volatile trading. China Evergrande Group mapped out the scenario in an Aug. 24 letter to the Guangdong government seen by Bloomberg, in which the company sought support for a restructuring proposal needed to secure the listing and avert a cash crunch. Some of Evergrande’s biggest strategic investors have the right to demand their money back if the company fails to win approval for a backdoor listing on the Shenzhen stock exchange by Jan. 31. If investors refuse to extend the deadline, Evergrande will need to repay as much as 130 billion yuan ($19 billion), equivalent to 92% of its cash and cash equivalents."
AMEX:XHB
by WallSt007
HTA Healthcare Trust of America Inc 🧙Healthcare Trust of America Inc is a healthcare facility REIT. The company operates one segment, which engages in acquiring and operating medical office buildings. The company generates all of its revenue in the United States. It relies on its in-house leasing platform in order to generate scale, maximize expense efficiency, and build tenant relationships. Its strategy focuses on stable cash flows with relatively low vacancy risk, with consideration of merger and acquisition investment to supplement its operational growth strategy. Industry REIT - Healthcare Facilities
HLong
by yura_trades
$GEO going for $8+ - The Geo Group REITIs GEO about to to go on a small run? It looks like GEO may have just experienced wave one of an uptrend and is looking to continue that trend with wave 2. It briefly broke it’s this trend on July 19th but quickly hoped back on board and has been holding true since and has formed a nice level of support at $6.61. As of the 28th we appear to have broken out of the downwards trending dynamic resistance line that had started on the 19th of June after a rather large peak and selloff. If the trend line holds true I believe we could see $GEO reaching over $8 in the coming weeks. Currently resistance at $7.01 is proving hard to break with a few runs taken at it on the 4hr chart. Keep an eye on the resistance zones as we progress through the range. * This Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as investment, financial, or other advice.
NYSE:GEOLong
by Magic-Charts
If bottom picking is your shtick - HYPROP - SA Listed PropertyYup, on the 1D JSE:HYP chart it's all bad: - Bear channel (not bull flag!), - MACD death cross, - RSI @37 but looks like it has more to give, - Price < 5EMA < 15EMA < 200DMA. Yucky. HOWEVER, if you enjoy rolling the dice on bottom picking, consider the following: - During the peak of the Covid selloff (no vaccines, armageddon, etc) HYP was trading in a range call it R15 to R25 - Current price is at the top of this range - in other words, the price is now as good as it was when there was no hope. - Depending on whether you're a glass half full or half empty person, you could view the current charts as a great confirmation for a short. End of days etc. Conversely, you could view it as an accumulation zone between R23.15 and R25.15. Things can't get any worse etc. Regarding fundamentals, some additional considerations: - HYP does have some exposure to Africa & the Balkans, but it is primarily an SA large shopping center owner (85%+ of income). Its prospects are thus primarily correlated with economic growth & the efficacy of the vaccine rollout over the next year. - It has no KZN exposure & some of the best quality assets in WC (Somerset Mall & Canal Walk). - It has very little office exposure, so work form home is not a valuation driver here. - LTV's, especially after the Atterbury disposal, are now 35.8%. Low & safe, nothing to see here. - It has completed its book build (read: your dilution is already factored in) @R28.00. The institutional types who do things like buy book builds were happy to pay 13% more than the current price. - Its NAV Dec-2020: R74.48. June-2019: R95.78. Therefore it's trading at call it a 66% discount to NAV after Covid write downs were properly factored into NAV, and at call it a 75% discount to pre Covid NAV. That seems like a lot. - Before the world ended it was paying divs in the R6.60 p.a. area. Even if only half of that is restored (R3.30), you're still looking at a 13-15% div. To be clear, the price can still get worse, this thing is clearly rolling down the hill. However, if you have a medium term view and the stomach & balance sheet to ride out some volatility & drawdowns over the next 6 months, accumulating a position at R23-R25 or cheaper may pay off very handsomely over a 12 month period. Safe trading UC ps. a nice summary of the risks involved: www.moneyweb.co.za
JSE:HYPLong
by unclecool787