Rejection
DENIED But still bullish! - Bitcoin BeatsHello, Hello, Hello,
And welcome back, to Bitcoin Beats.
Yes. We got DESTROYED by the Chinese whales. Yes. I WAS bullish yesterday. BUT. I also said NOT to long until we CLOSE the daily candle outside of our resistance line. Because, AND I QUOTE "This could still be a trap here".
So I hope you're all having a great day, we have evidence here that we are more bullish as we haven't even wicked over that resistance line since $14,000 so there is hope and I am still very bullish to get to the next area upwards but this is still a rejection and we could head down from here in the short and medium term. For continuation upwards we need to either consolidate this area or bounce hard from $8500.
Thanks and Goodbye, From Bitcoin Beats
I'll Take "What Is A Bear Trend" For 500 AlexHello all,
This is just an update from my last chart better representing levels, just in case we continue our bearish trend.
This chart, compared to our last, is charted on the daily rather than the 4 hour time frame.
We have touched basis with our trend and rejected, if we don't make another move to break out in the next week i suspect we will be descending deeper/ possibly retesting our lows in 2018, but that is unlikely as of now.
(At this moment in time my last chart is still active, but if our total drops below ~228B we are most likely continuing our bearish trend)
Grey Lines represent Fib levels.
(Fib levels starting point is December 2018 Lows/ ending point June 2019 Highs)
Red lines Represent Support and resistance zones.
If we fail to break out of our long standing bearish trend, represented by the Red line directly above our candle stick patterns, we will most likely head down for lower lows during February-March.
In my opinion it is not wise to be over leveraged in either direction at the moment as we are at a turning point in the market.
Feel free to comment and share your views.
As Always DYOR and safe trading.
AUDNZD rejection + breakout on a descending triangleAUDNZD action, in the past 20 trading days, seems to be represented very well on the H4 chart by this descending triangle.
Right now, we are having some important upper shadows on the upper part of the triangle, showing that sellers might be interested in getting that range of prices for their short positions.
This is a standard trade for traders who have watched my course on Swing Trading. There is something unusual though. Since the price is already in the last part of the triangle, we don't really have room to trade a rejection with a take profit at the bottom of the chart pattern, because we would have a very bad risk to reward ratio. In this case, I will also consider a possible breakout of the pattern, placing my take profit below it. Regarding the take profit, standard measured move applied to breakouts.
Setup of moving averages is in favor.
Risk to reward ratio better than 1:3, it is a good chance to trade.
USDJPY rejection on the Ichimoku cloudUSDJPY is in a short term downtrend that is highlighted very well by the Ichimoku indicator, with the two fundamental conditions that are in favor of a bearish scenario.
At the moment, we don't really have a concrete reason to open a short position:
1. There's no sign of sellers. Just a few bearish candles, but nothing special. Two weak bearish engulfing patterns and one strong red candle that has been immediately matched by a strong green candle;
2. Chikou span just crossed the price, going above. This is usually a buy signal;
3. Price above the kijun sen;
4. Tenkan sen above the kijun sen
For these reasons, I would like to propose a sell stop entry order, instead of a market order.
Trading a rejection here makes sense because the price is not only approaching the Ichimoku cloud, but also two key-levels. A first key level is shown in red, it is the horizontal line that starts from last important swing high (red arrow). It is obvious that, if the price goes above it, we need to question the existence of a downtrend, since we would have a higher high, that is a characteristic of an uptrend.
Another important level is highlighted in light blue, with the horizontal line showing a recent short-term resistance, with the price clearly struggling to go above it.
So, if from one side, trading a rejection makes sense, from the other side, we also need to wait for a confirmation, since we still have 4 points (mentioned above) that are not clear or not in favor of a short position.
I placed a sell stop entry order at 108.24, waiting for the price to go down, leaving this short term congestion phase.
At 108.24, we will also have the price very close to the blue line, the red line heading down again and the Chikou span about to cross the price from above.
I decided to place the stop loss above the resistance analyzed before, that would also be above the cloud about 20 candles from the current price.
Regarding the take profit, standard measured move with a small discount, that would give a risk to reward ratio that is better than 1:2.
XAUUSD 4hr - At 5 Month highs. Awaiting breakout or rejection.Gold is currently sitting around the resistance zone at a 5 month highs.
We are expecting breakout here for continuation or rejection and for gold to fall. If the rejection happens this is a great opportunity to catch a lot of pips on the downfall.
This is one we are watching closely at the moment.
We will be looking very closely for rejection here or a possible breakout to the upside.
Big things coming for Gold over next week guys.
GBPUSD- TRENDLINE BOUNCE SOON-LONGDuring this couple weeks, #GBP pairs were very dodgy, being influenced a lot by major news, but as i said, trading is 90% technical, the price started fixing the huge volatility and gave us a new perspective of a new channel. The rejecton was very beautiful and now the price is preparing to touch the current trendline, touching also and intra support&resistance. the stochastic RSI looks good. Now all we have to do is to wait !
Follow me here and on instagram too @samurai.trader
USDCHF rejection on the up-channelUSDCHF reached the top of an ascending channel that we've been monitoring for the past 2 weeks.
Sellers had a nice reaction, with a shooting start, followed by a bearish engulfing pattern.
Risk to reward ratio is very good for this trade, so it's worth a try.
A complete analysis of it is available on my last video on my YouTube channel.
200 EMA says BTC will drop to 5k in 2 weeks.The chart is showing up 200EMA indicator .
This idea displays an unavoidable scenario which bulls are doing their best to stop it. BTC will drop to $5000 in the following weeks (2).
On the other hand the volume is decreasing, which supports the idea about sideway trading = further price crash .
Open shorts whenever you got a profit (even if that's less than 1%) while you can do it. Stop losses = 1%.
EURGBP trading an ordinary pennant with an unusual tradeOk, this is not an ordinary trade, so let's start from the analysis of what is standard in this chart.
There is a very standard pennant, with the price that is forming lower highs and higher lows.
Elements for a short positions:
1. Pennant after a down-movement, breaking a tight range that lasted for nearly one month (bearish chart pattern, in this case);
2. I expect GBP to be strong during this first half of the month. I talked a lot about it in a video on my YouTube channel;
3. Last reaction at the top of the pennant, has been quite strong. To be fair, even last reaction by buyers at the bottom of the pennant, has been very strong. This was mainly due to a strong EUR with a positive Economic Calendar at the beginning of this trading week. Certainly not due to a weak GBP, that is actually behaving quite well against other currency pairs.
Why do I say that this is an unusual trade? Because I'm not trading any rejection, since the price is in the middle of the pennant, but I'm trading a breakout before this is actually happening. The two main reasons for this are: I see GBP starting the trading week with low volatily, as in the previous month, but getting momentum today, with some strong candles at the opening of the London session. The second reason is that I can take advantage of a very good risk to reward ratio, better than 1:3.
Not an ordinary trade, probably the first exotic idea that I publish here on TradingView, but still following what I believe is the best, without deviating much from my trading strategy.
I took some time to write this, I see that the price is meanwhile at 0.8534, I hope you can still plan your trade carefully and wisely :)
HOW MANY TIMES U WILL FALL FOR THIS BTC SAME SCENARIO EVERYDAY, LOOK HOW MANY TRENDLINES EVERYDAY, IF YOU DRAW ALL THESE LINE YOU CAN TRADE WITH A WORKING STRATEGY.
PEOPLE THINK THE CME GAP AT 7.8K WILL BE FILLED BEFORE MORE DOWN, TECHNICALLY THIS IS NOT NEEDED, SOME GAPS CAN TAKE MONHTS, SO IN CASE WE GO HERE PLACE YOUR SHORT AT THAT LEVEL.
indicator used:
DIP DETECTOR (RED DOTS, ALERTS WHEN DURING STRONG DIP, IN CASE YOU WANT LONG)
BSE:SENSEX is at ATH but got rejected by a year old trendlineBSE:SENSEX has recorded a All Time High today(26-Nov-19) but it was rejected by a trendline that extends from August 2018 till today. If this trendline is broken on a daily closing basis then I am expecting SENSEX to continue to the upside.
GBPCHF out of a 5-week congestion period!GBPCHF seems to have the necessary strength to get out of a 5-week congestion phase. that is quite unusual for such a volatile currency pair.
Buyers seem to push the price higher, already attempting once to break the resistance formed by the sideways trend. Bad news is that the price is currently also forming lower highs, showing a very tight pennant on the chart.
In this case, we need to have a second confirmation by buyers, so we will wait for a stronger action that would push the price out of the long term sideways trend and the short term pennant.
USDCAD on a triple possible level of support!USDCAD is on a support formed by a very important swing high that we had before. In addition, right on the same level, there are the red and the orange moving averages that could work as dynamic key-levels.
Normally, we wait for a sign of rejection, but we can get an extraordinary risk-to-reward ratio structuring our trade like this, so I'm going to reduce a little my risk per trade and try to go the distance with it :)