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Relativestrength

RSI Indicator LIES! Untold Truth About RSI! The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a classic technical indicator that is applied to identify the overbought and oversold states of the market. While the RSI looks simple to use, there is one important element in it that many traders forget about: it's a lagging indicator. This means it reacts to past price movements rather than predicting future ones. This inherent lag can sometimes mislead traders, particularly when the markets are volatile or trade in a strong bullish/bearish trend. In this article, we will discuss the situations when RSI indicator will lie to you. We will go through the instances when the indicator should not be relied and not used on, and I will explain to you the best strategy to apply RSI. Relative Strength Index analyzes the price movements over a specific time period and displays a score between 0 and 100. Generally, an RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, while an RSI below 30 suggests an oversold condition. By itself, the overbought and overbought conditions give poor signals, simply because the market may remain in these conditions for a substantial period of time. Take a look at a price action on GBPCHF. After the indicator showed the oversold condition, the pair dropped 150 pips lower before the reversal initiated. So as an extra confirmation , traders prefer to look for RSI divergence - the situation when the price action and indicator move in the opposite direction. Above is the example of RSI divergence: Crude Oil formed a sequence of higher highs, while the indicator formed a higher high with a consequent lower high. That confirmed the overbought state of the market, and a bearish reversal followed. However, only few knows that even a divergence will provide accurate signals only in some particular instances. When you identified RSI divergence, make sure that it happened after a test of an important key level. Historical structures increase the probability that the RSI divergence will accurately indicate the reversal. Above is the example how RSI divergence gave a false signal on USDCAD. However, the divergence that followed after a test of a key level, gave a strong bearish signal. There are much better situations when RSI can be applied, but we will discuss later on, for now, the main conclusion is that RSI Divergence beyond key levels most of the time will provide low accuracy signals. But there is one particular case, when RSI divergence will give the worst, the most terrible signal. In very rare situations, the market may trade in a strong bullish trend, in the uncharted territory, where there are no historical price levels. In such cases, RSI bullish divergence will constantly lie , making retail traders short constantly and lose their money. Here is what happens with Gold on a daily. The market is trading in the uncharted territory, updated the All-Time Highs daily. Even though there is a clear overbought state and a divergence, the market keeps growing. Only few knows, however, that even though RSI is considered to be a reversal, counter trend indicator, it can be applied for trend following trading. On a daily time frame, after the price sets a new high, wait for a pullback to a key horizontal support. Your bullish signal, will be a bearish divergence on an hourly time frame. Here is how the price retested a support based on a previous ATH on Gold. After it approached a broken structure, we see a confirmed bearish divergence. That gives a perfect trend-following signal to buy the market. A strong bullish rally followed then. RSI indicator is a very powerful tool, that many traders apply incorrectly. When the market is trading in a strong trend, this indicator can be perfectly applied for following the trend, not going against that. I hope that the cases that I described will help you not lose money, trading with Relative Strength Index. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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by VasilyTrader
34
BLS - Gearing up for 15% - 20% move ?In early Feb, the stock faced price rejection around 430 levels and was pushed back to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it has been consolidating for almost three months. Now it is attempting to move up, it is about to cross the current price rejection level at 358. The relative strength is also turning positive and the money also started flowing into the stock. The volumes have been increasing including the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers are stepping in. The momentum has and Buying Pressure have been increasing recently. Once we have a positive close above 358 levels, we could see the stock testing the supply zone around 430 levels. This is a stock to watch.
NSE:BLS
by karthikmarar
CENTUARY PLY - Moving out of the Accumulation Zone. The stock has finally moved out of the consolidation zone. Late last December, the stock met with price rejection around 850 levels and it was pushed down below the 200 DMA levels. Then it started consolidating for almost three months now. The money flow had started increasing for the past month and the relative strength also started showing signs of recovery. Today, the stock moved out of the consolidation zone with a gap-up opening and a widespread up-bar. Of course, it did meet some supply. as we can see, the close was almost in the upper mid of the bar. The stock also moved above the short-term and the long-term moving averages and we can see the convergence of the averages as well. The relative strength also is moving into the positive territory. The volume has also started increasing and we can see increase in delivery volumes as well. The momentum has been positive for almost a month now. Looks like the stock is now poised to test the rejection zone at 850 again. However, we need to see some increase in the relative strength and the momentum as well. There is also a possibility of a retest of the accumulation zone.
NSE:CENTURYPLYLong
by karthikmarar
3
GREENPLY INDUSTRIESThe stock was moving up and in the last week of February, it encountered a BC bar or a buying climax like bar. Then because of the supply of the BC bar, it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it started recovering. Then it attempted to take out the Supply shadow of the BC bar but did not succeed. Then again recently did try to go into the shadow of the BC bar. It was struggling and pulled back a little and then now it has moved past the supply shadow of the BC bar. It would mean that all the supply has been fully absorbed now and the stock would be ready to move up. As you can see, the relative strength is becoming positive and the money is also flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing and the volume has also increased. Also, we can see the good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers stepping in. Now with a positive close above 287, the last close would take the stock into the next higher trajectory. So, it is a stock worth watching.
NSE:GREENPLYLong
by karthikmarar
GRANULES - A stock to watchThe stock after facing price rejection around 466 to 480 area was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. It took support from there and started moving up and now it's making a higher high and higher low. The relative strength is also positive and we can see good volumes coming in. Money is flowing into the stock and the momentum is also positive and increasing. Also, we can see good increase in the delivery volumes recently indicating committed buyers stepping in. A bullish close above 480 would take the stock to the next higher trajectory.
NSE:GRANULESLong
by karthikmarar
2
Overbought vs Oversold - What do the Stochastic Levels mean?There is a lot of speculative information around the Stochastic RSI and its levels. Many strategies are just outright wildly false for example talking about crossovers of levels but I want to give you guys some insight of what these levels actually mean to help you better use the stochastic RSI. In this article I mention many levels but I want to focus on the 50 level or the MIDLINE depending on the Stochastic that you use. I want to point out something very important here. The Stochastic was LEVER meant to be used as an entry exit tool so if youre trying to find the perfect settings to tell you when to GO / NO GO, stop looking. There arent any. No perfect timeframe, no perfect lengths, etc. THis is to be used in combination with other tools and analysis to help confirm whats about to happen. The stochastic is lagging like any other indicator. But its calculation is very fast so you need to devise a plan of action on your charts well before putting it into use. This articles content is based on a few things: My experience with the Stochastic. How it's math works. What does momentum mean across an oscillator. The physics of momentum and force. (Science stuff huh?) So lets get into it. First off if you want to get your hands on my special and custom version of the Stochastic, you can. Its on called "The Stocashi" A Heiken Ashi version of the stochastic with a few hidden features. STOCASHI + Caffeine Crush: A heiken ashi stochastic The Big Issue At Hand is the Stochastic 50 (mid level) value and what does it mean. Let's talk about the Mid-Level (50) in the Stochastic Oscillator Neutral Point - Midline The 50 level in the Stochastic Oscillator represents a neutral zone where neither bullish nor bearish momentum is dominant. It is the midpoint between the extremes (0 and 100 in the traditional Stochastic). Momentum Indication Above 50: When the %K line is above 50, it indicates that the asset is gaining bullish momentum. The higher the value, the stronger the bullish momentum. Below 50: When the %K line is below 50, it indicates that the asset is experiencing bearish momentum. The lower the value, the stronger the bearish momentum. Trend Confirmation and Reversals Crossing Above 50: If the %K line crosses above the 50 level, it may signal the beginning of a bullish trend or an increase in bullish momentum. Traders might look for additional confirmation from other indicators or price patterns. Crossing Below 50: Conversely, if the %K line crosses below the 50 level, it may indicate the start of a bearish trend or an increase in bearish momentum. Strength of Momentum The distance from the 50 level reflects the strength of the current momentum. The farther the %K line is from 50, the stronger the momentum: Near 100: Indicates strong bullish momentum. Near 0: Indicates strong bearish momentum. Near 50: Suggests weak or neutral momentum, which could mean consolidation or indecision in the market. Market Conditions Overbought/Oversold: Traditional overbought and oversold levels (80 and 20, or in your adjusted version 50 and -50) provide additional context: Overbought: %K above 80 (or 50 in your version) suggests the asset might be overbought and due for a correction. Oversold: %K below 20 (or -50 in your version) suggests the asset might be oversold and due for a bounce. Relative Strength The mid-level can also be seen as a relative strength indicator. Staying above 50 for extended periods indicates sustained strength, while remaining below 50 indicates sustained weakness. Practical Interpretation Trend Identification: When the %K line is consistently above 50, it indicates that the asset is in an uptrend. Traders may use this information to stay long or look for buying opportunities. When the %K line is consistently below 50, it suggests a downtrend. Traders might use this to stay short or look for selling opportunities. Signal Filtering: Crossovers of the mid-level can be used to filter signals. For example, a buy signal might be considered more valid if the %K line is crossing above 50, while a sell signal might be more valid if the %K line is crossing below 50. Consolidation and Breakouts: When the %K line hovers around 50, it can indicate a period of consolidation. A breakout from this zone can signify the start of a new trend.
by CoffeeshopCrypto
ADANI PORTS - Ready to Move to next upper Trajectory?The stock on its upper trajectory faced a price rejection around 1425 levels and it was driven down to below the 50 DMA levels. From there it took support and then started recovering. Recently there was an attempt to take out the price rejection zone but that move did not succeed and it was pushed back to test the price rejection zone. Now it is again attempting to take out the rejection zone. We can see increasing momentum and also the relative strength is positive. The money flow needs to become positive. We can see some increase in the volume as well. Now this stock is likely to succeed in taking out the rejection zone. A good close above 1457 would take it to the next upper trajectory.
NSE:ADANIPORTSLong
by karthikmarar
UNION BANK - Gearing up for a Break out?The PSU bank index has been moving in a slightly inclined upward channel showing positive bias. However, this stock has been moving in a sideways range for almost four months now. Now the stock is testing the top of the sideway range. The MFI indicates money is flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing, the relative strength is also turning positive. We can see increases in the volume as well. Also, we can see increases in the delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in here. The minor trend and the immediate trend are also up. Looks like the stock is gearing up to break out of the range and move into the next higher orbit. So the level to watch out is 162. This stock should find a place on your watch list.
NSE:UNIONBANKLong
by karthikmarar
6
KNR CONSTRUCTION - A watch list StockThe stock after facing rejection at 317 levels was pushed down below the 200 DMA level. From the bottom in June 22, the stock has been moving almost sideways for almost two years now. Finally, the stock seems to be making an attempt to move up. It is about to take out the minor price rejection zone. You can see an increased volume and also you can see that the money flow has been increasing. Now the relative strength is also turning positive. So once now the stock is likely to test the major rejection zone at 317 to 343 levels. Once that is taken out, that is if we have a bullish candle above the 343 levels, we can expect this stock to go into the next phase of uptrend. A stock to watch.
NSE:KNRCONLong
by karthikmarar
JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
NSE:JUBLFOODLong
by karthikmarar
1
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher. We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
NSE:EXIDEINDLong
by karthikmarar
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
NSE:GICRELong
by karthikmarar
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
NSE:ABFRLLong
by karthikmarar
DEEPAK NITRITEIn early January, the stock faced rejection around 2520 levels and it retreated to sub 200 DMA levels. From there, it recovered. In early May, it made an attempt to take out the price rejection zone. There was a move on very high volume. Unfortunately, that move did not succeed and it was pushed back below into the supply shadow of the BC bar which happened on the April 24th. Now, again it is attempting to move above the shadow of the BC bar and the price rejection zone. The relative strength is still positive but the money flow is lacking and also the volume is very low. The momentum has also dropped. So, once this stock succeeds in taking out the price rejection zone and goes above the shadow of the BC bar, the stock is likely to move up higher. We also see a very nice consolidation pattern almost like a cup and handle pattern. So, we need to wait and watch for the volume to increase and the money flow to be positive and the momentum also to come in. So, this is a stock worth watching
NSE:DEEPAKNTRLong
by karthikmarar
1