Relativestrength
District0x Long Opp-- RSI trading As you can see I've been playing DNT like an absolute fiddle. I see this as a great long opportunity because I still consider DNT undervalued in terms of market cap, and think it has a lot of room for growth. Since its initial pump, it's been staying faithfully within the ascending channel while drawing down between fib levels of resistance. I definitely see DNT remaining in this upward channel for at least until it recoups the initial losses to the ATH, then I will revise this idea accordingly. Not much opportunity to backtest the RSI settings on this one, it's only been on the exchange a week or two. However, I'm looking at the hourly chart with 18 periods in the RSI and as you can see the negative divergence highlighted in red signaled the end of the run.
I'm using 24 periods in the STOCH RSI to include a larger time frame, smooth the indicator a bit and provide fewer false signals by accounting for more of the macro trend. When a divergence appears here, it will be more reliable than on the other RSI indicator.
Watch for any breaks below the long term trend line in green.
Ripple to correct another 20% as bitcoin pumpsRipple is forming support along long term support level (green line U) and also forming a triangle pattern. As bitcoin pumps higher, I suspect diagonal support line 1 will be tested, followed by the 62% retracement, green support line T and the 100 day moving average, followed by support line 2. Touching support line 2 would represent a more than 20% correction.
RSI has dipped below its bullish trendline. Lets watch to see if it can rebound off the bearish trendline.
Long term bullish on XRP
Crypto portfolio: 1 year performance comparisonHere we can see a few altcoins pitted against Bitcoin, to see how the fiat value of each evolved throughout the year. Investors look at these metrics often, and in this case, it tells us about the relative strength and liquidity, of all these instruments, and potential risks when being invested.
ETH started very volatile, but while it was in a positive trend, it was acting well, with a low volatility trend, despite the explosive price movement. During its consolidation it shed a lot of its value, but it's showing signs of risks being behind it, with constructive price action after bottoming recently. Volatility quieted down, both in Bitcoin, and in some altcoins lately, so I'm interested in being invested in this market in particular.
XMR and DASH show some promise, but both tend to cater to people wanting to obfuscate their transactions, and thus, might see some kind of risk if the IRS, FBI, or some government is interested it going after the people using it to transact with them. This creates a negative stigma associated with them, although Darkcoin's developer wanted to distance himself, and rebrand the coin lately, I think it's just an excuse to bring it to the limelight again and get more people to buy his creation (he has a gigantic premine, so it's in his best interest). I'm not sure if he's sold all of it yet, but I recall that the masternodes had made these individual a lot of money back in the day.
XCP: Too volatile and illiquid to be safe. Some people might be able to trade this, but I'd rather not. Just a good example of how an illiquid market looks.
LTC: People still ask me about it, look how it fared, this coin just had a name because it came out some time ago. It fared pretty badly, over a year, and it'll continue to underperform Bitcoin, stay far away.
Conclusion: Do your due diligence, as far as charts go, I can read the activity in them if there's sufficient liquidity, if the market is too thin, it's simply not worth it to trade at the mercy of exchanges and manipulators.
Also, look at correlation and performance relative to Bitcoin here. Treat it as 'the market', and altcoins as bonds, or smaller companies. ETH is not correlated, and many times anti correlated, so it is a good addition to a crypto portfolio. It doesn't derive its fiat valuation merely from BTC, but underperforming, like the other alts. It derives its value from its particular characteristics. This makes it interesting as well.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Dollar rally: A tutorial on relative strength analysisHi traders. I'd like to share a few tips, that many traders ignore (I'd dare to say most).
If we compare the different dollar pair's performance over different time periods, we can glean important information, as to what cross pairs to trade, and reap some nice uncorrelated to oil, DXY and stocks returns. This is one of the advantages of including Forex in your trading portfolio and strategies.
In this chart, we take a look at a 5 week line chart of all dollar pairs. We can see that some started the week up, and went down, and only one closed up for the week (GBP). Out of all the pairs that fell, the ones that fell the most are the most interesting ones to short. We can look to short them against the dollar, to ride the main fundamental trend, kicked off by the Fed today - or we can look to trade cross pairs, taking advantage of the Pound's fundamental edge over the rest, as evidenced by the relative strength chart.
The idea is simple, go to the GBP cross pair charts, and find the most optimal technical setups to build your long GBP portfolio.
I'll leave that part to you, feel free to post your setups in the comments section, and I hope you find this technique useful.
There's more to this process, but I'll leave the extra bits of information to my trading students. This is already a great start to improve your Forex analysis and trading results, and stop wasting time looking at endless amounts of charts every day.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Ps: Check out this link, you can see Forex daily/weekly/monthly performance ranking of all currencies.
www.finviz.com