Is GOOG ready for bullish continuation?GOOG has had a good month thus far rising about 9% and relatively strong compared with
QQQ ( black line on chart) as shown on this one-hour chart. The past couple of days it has
rested in consolidation at the upper volume shelf on the profile. The stochastic RSI has the
lines low below the oversold /undervalued line of 25 and "curling up" suggesting they are about
to cross. The 24 hour running average volume indicator shows stable volume at a level higher
than April. No matter it may be overextended, GOOG has consolidated to base the next leg
up. Its high liquidity and low spreads make for a long entry of stock or call options.
Relativestrength
APOLLOTYRE CONSOLIDATION BREAKOUT The stock has finally broken out towards the upside after a lengthy period of consolidation, and all signs point towards potential gains. With the momentum firmly on its side and various technical tools indicating a clear path towards higher levels, now is the time to consider jumping on board. Apollotyre has the potential to soar towards price targets of 400/450/500+ and beyond!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad.
Unlocking the Power of Volume: Combining Volume with TAIn our previous blog posts, we explored the importance of volume analysis in understanding indicators that can be used for volume analysis. Today, we'll delve deeper into how combining volume analysis with technical analysis can provide valuable insights for traders and investors alike. We will do so by laying out a strategy that anyone can use that will utilize volume.
The Significance of Volume in Technical Analysis
We have previously discussed how volume plays a crucial role in technical analysis. It is essential to examine volume patterns alongside price action, as it helps traders determine liquidity and identify potential trading opportunities. When combined with technical indicators, volume offers a more comprehensive view of market activity and can enhance decision-making in trading.
Indicators to Combine with Volume Analysis
Here are some popular technical indicators that traders can use in conjunction with volume analysis:
1. Moving Averages
Moving averages (MAs) are one of the most widely used technical indicators, as they help traders identify trends and potential support and resistance levels. The two most commonly used moving averages are simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA). We'll use a short-term EMA (e.g., 9-day EMA) and a long-term EMA (e.g., 21-day EMA) for a strategy later in this post.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions and readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions. The RSI can help traders identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points.
The Strategy That Incorporates Volume
1. Identify Trend Direction
First, apply the 9-day EMA(shown in white) and the 21-day EMA(shown in purple) to your price chart. The trend direction is determined by the relationship between the two moving averages:
Uptrend: The 9-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA
Downtrend: The 9-day EMA is below the 21-day EMA
Sideways: The moving averages are intertwined, with no clear direction
2. Confirm Trend Strength with RSI
Apply the RSI to your chart, and use the 30 and 70 levels as reference points:
For uptrends, look for the RSI to stay above 30 and preferably above 50.
For downtrends, look for the RSI to stay below 70 and preferably below 50.
3. Analyze Trading Volume
Compare the volume levels during the trend to the average volume over a specific period of your choosing using your desired volume indicator (see previous post on volume indicators). If the volume is above average during the trend or is rising, it confirms its strength. Conversely, a decreasing volume may signal a weakening trend or a potential reversal.
4. Entry and Exit Points
Long Entry: In an uptrend, look for the RSI to pull back below 50, and then cross back above it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential buying opportunity.
Short Entry: In a downtrend, look for the RSI to pull back above 50 and then cross back below it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential selling opportunity.
Exit Points: Use the moving averages as trailing stop-loss levels. For long positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses below the 21-day EMA. For short positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses above the 21-day EMA.
Practical Tips for Combining Volume with Technical Analysis
Here are some practical tips for effectively integrating volume analysis with technical indicators:
1. Use Multiple Timeframes
Analyze volume patterns and technical indicators across different timeframes to identify potential trends and reversals more accurately. We always recommend a top-down time frame approach, starting at higher time frames and working down to your desired time frame for entries.
2. Look for Volume Confirmation
When a technical indicator signals a potential trading opportunity, confirm it with volume analysis to ensure the move is supported by strong market activity.
3. Monitor Divergences
Divergences between volume and price action can signal potential trend reversals or continuations. Keep an eye on these discrepancies to make informed trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Combining volume analysis with technical indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about market trends and potential trading opportunities. By understanding the relationship between volume and price action and incorporating this knowledge with technical analysis, traders can unlock powerful insights and enhance their overall trading strategy.
NiftyMidCap : Probable Breakout and Historical perspectiveNifty MidCap is exhibiting good strength presently.
There are three key Intervals in time I want to highlight.
>> Early 2018: There was a breakout in Relative Momentum and Price, but very soon the price as well as Momentum retraced and what followed was 2 years of MidCap correction.
>> COVID Bottom: By 2020 the MidCap correction was coming to an end, the index was preparing for a rally, COVID happened. There was a big correction in price, but the upward sloping Relative Momentum trend line never broke. This is when the biggest MidCap rally of the decade started!
>> Present Day (6th May 2023): MidCap index is 3.5% away from ATH, 9% away from the last Swing Low. It's better to not get biased by what happened in early 2018 and analyse the present situation at face value. Hence, on the lookout for new leaders (sector/individual stocks) if there is a possible STAGE 2 from this point onwards.
|| Will keep this Idea up-to-date, so better follow the same ||
Reliance: NeutralReliance not yet participated in the rally in Indian market.
Reliance = 10% of Nifty,
Hence, it's very important to understand the direction Reliance takes to understand Nifty50 direction.
My view is neutral, and entirely depends on which side the Relative Momentum breaks out/down. We will know very soon!
GBPJPY - Potential Reversal TradeHey Traders! Today we're taking a look at a bearish trading opportunity on the GBPJPY. At heart this trade is a structure-based reversal trade but as you'll see in the video, to find our entries we're actually taking a continuation trade type of approach. -
More reasons to throw out the names "continuation" & "counter-trend"
Anyway, I hope you guys enjoy & if you have any questions or comments please leave them below.
Your Trading Coach - Akil
FISV - Cup formationFISV peaked @ 125 on Feb2020, then went into consolidation and retested this level more than a year later in Apr2021 (surpassing by HKEX:2 +). The breakup of Cup-1 failed and this time FISV went into a 2 year consolidation (forming Cup-2). It now looks ready to revist this neckline (125 - 127) in the coming weeks.
I suspect the odds of a successful break up this time is higher as since hitting the low in June 2022, FISV has shown good relative strength to SPX as it began to rebound (despite it's volatility, including a brief plunge in March brought on by the fear from Silicon Valley Bank's collapse).
I might consider to test a small amount now (with initial stop just under 115) and look to add if it managed to break up above 127 successfully (ie having a "close" above the neckline for more than a few days).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie positions sizing, stop loss etc) is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Judging Markets at a Glance - ETH/USD Case StudyNow is a time to be very careful trading, even though price has seemed strong and doing well, if we take a closer look at a few points on the ETH/USD chart, we can vastly improve our trading outcomes.
I don't expect we're going to start a bull run soon, there seems to be some accumulation that needs to happen still. I'll explain through this post on why I believe this.
First, look how much ETH loves the $1550-$1850 liquidity zone. Even though it's broken below it multiple times, it's pretty much always returned here. This is a good indicator that this is our main accumulation zone for this cycle. Investors feel comfortable in this range. If it drops below, panic ensues, and the one time it moved above since June 2022 it was likely an intentional liquidation move.
Secondly, we can get a very good idea of when price is going to break up or down by using two indicators: RSI and Engulfing Candles.
I have highlighted some examples of these events with the vertical lines and arrows to indicate the RSI at the time of the engulfing candle. The rules are pretty simple:
- If you get a BULLISH engulfing candle AND the RSI > 50, that's a good indicator to go long. See the green arrows and lines for these.
- If you get a BEARISH engulfing candle AND the RSI < 50, that's a good indicator to go short. See the red arrows and lines for these.
However, if you get an engulfing candle but the RSI is on the other side of 50, that's not a strong enough signal to enter a trade. Price will either move sideways or opposite how it appears that price action is moving. See the yellow arrows and lines for these. It's best to avoid opening trades during these events.
Now, it appears that we're seeing some bullish price action happening, but we also have some gnarly RSI divergence, paired with the fact that the RSI is just barely pushing above 50 on the sequential engulfing candles. It's my opinion based on these two conditions we're currently seeing that we will see a brief increase in price, for ETH this should be to about $2000-ish. After which a quick sell-off will drop the price to the bottom and likely below the current long-term liquidity zone for a major accumulation event that will likely be the catalyst for the next bull run.
I would expect this large accumulation to take place in April, and although this is where most whales will pick up their bags which they will eventually sell at the height of the next bull run, I wouldn't expect the bull run to happen immediately. After accumulation, there's a good chance we'll trade sideways somewhere around the current levels for most blue chip currencies.
This might not be financial advice, but hopefully you have a good and simple framework for which to quickly analyze the state of a market using just price action and RSI!
Cheers,
_heyJonBray
RSI Spikes an correlating market structure.When using .768 and .236 for the upper and lower RS] bands, and then drawing a rectangle around all correlated candles, you can see how clearly the market reacts to these areas of interests in high value.
When, combined with the three primary market sessions drawn as an indicator based on Jerusalem time zone, it is clear to see how to exploit this and time your entries and exits with a moderately higher chance of accuracy than without or with traditional Fibonacci levels. I will often draw a candle around the first 15 minutes of market price in the day based on Jerusalem the timezone, (not showing on chart) thusly, giving a very accurate area of interest and high value as well.
RSI Spikes an correlating market structure.When using .768 and .236 for the upper and lower RSI bands, and then drawing a rectangle around all correlated candles, you can see how clearly the market reacts to these areas of interests in high value. When, combined with the three primary market sessions drawn as an indicator based on Jerusalem time zone, it is clear to see how to exploit this and time your entries and exits with a moderately higher chance of accuracy than without or with traditional Fibonacci levels. I will often draw a candle around the first 15 minutes of market price in the day based on Jerusalem the timezone, (not showing on chart) thusly, giving a very accurate area of interest and high value as well.
📊 Best Beginner Technical IndicatorsTechnical indicators are mathematical calculations based on an asset's price and/or volume that are used to analyze market trends and identify potential trading opportunities.
📍Trend indicators:
These indicators are used to identify the direction of the market's trend over a given time period. Some popular trend indicators include moving averages, trendlines, and the Average Directional Index (ADX).
📍Relative strength indicators:
These indicators compare the strength of a security's price action to the strength of a market index or another security. They are often used to identify potential buying or selling opportunities based on whether a security is overbought or oversold. Examples of relative strength indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic oscillator.
📍Momentum indicators:
These indicators measure the rate of change in a security's price over a given time period. They can be used to identify potential trend reversals or confirm the strength of a current trend. Examples of momentum indicators include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Rate of Change (ROC).
📍Volume indicators:
These indicators measure the trading volume of a security over a given time period. They can be used to confirm the strength of a trend or identify potential trend reversals. Examples of volume indicators include the Chaikin Oscillator and On-Balance Volume (OBV).
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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EURUSD: Expect Volatility This WeekThis week, there are high-impact news events scheduled that may cause volatility in the EURUSD pair. The German ifo Business Climate, CB Consumer Confidence, and Richmond Manufacturing Index may affect the pair on Monday and Tuesday. The Pending Home Sales m/m on Wednesday and German Prelim CPI m/m and Spanish Flash CPI y/y on Thursday may also have an impact. The EURUSD pair technical analysis suggests a retracement to the 1.06000 demand zone.
Will $FICO continue its ascend? After the bottom in May of 2022, the price gapped up and broke through its resistance in $550.
Then formed a base to digest this move before continuing its trend up, this was my signal to buy as it broke out above $636. After that it didn't follow through and its RSI signaled weakness so I sold.
I don't like to hold positions that aren't going anywhere even if I'm on profit.
Still, its relative strength againts its benchmark ( AMEX:IJH ) shows leadership and the price is still near highs so, I'll wait and see if it can breakout this base-over-base.
The RS ratio already broke out, the price could follow.
If not, I won't buy it again.
Trade Divergences with a 100% chance of winning
Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and baristo eric. By this time everybody knows how to see and plot divergences on your chart. The one thing that I fail to see in a lot of people is to give you a winning solution or strategy on how to trade divergences after you've found them. The answer is in your algo and how the RSI moves against its own pivot levels.
Now that may sound confusing to you but if I show it to you in a video it'll come to you very easily so in today's video I'm going to show you how to trade after a Divergence and where to take your profit.
Pullback buy in LTHLife Time owns and operates a chain of “athletic country clubs.” They are basically high-end gyms offering everything from free weights and elliptical machines to steam saunas and smoothie bars.
The company went public in late 2021, right before the bear market began.
But the stock is now soaring…
I have circled the signs of accumulation in the volume candles at the bottom of the chart.
Notice the huge influx of buying on the way up and the relatively light volume on retracements. This looks like institutional buying and a sign that buyers are still in control.
Last week’s pullback to the 21-day moving average is buyable in my opinion and should be a good entry point as long as the overall market holds up.
I am taking a position here with a stop below 17.00.
How to Spot next leader ? Ideas for Swing Sector Leader : NSE:CNXIT
Relative strength compared to Nifty 50 - NIFT IT clear outperformer since Jan 2023. Remember Nifty 50 is on downtrend while IT is on uptrend.
Now look for stocks which have better chart pattern than NIFTY IT. Some examples. These are going to perform better once NIFTY 50 turn positive
1) NSE:PERSISTENT
2) NSE:KPITTECH
3) NSE:SONATSOFTW
4) NSE:TCS
BTC/USD - Interesting times ahead with an Ascending ChannelBTC/USD 1 day chart quick update.
Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart.
BTC is in an Ascending Channel Pattern.
BTC is still in a Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still in a Descending Channel.
BTC is still in a massive Ichimoku Y Wave Pattern.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is fighting to stay back above its 200MA. If BTC CLOSES this or tomorrows daily candle ABOVE the 200MA and stays above it, and we see a successful re-test of the 200MA as strong support, then we could see BTC attempt to break out of its Falling Wedge Pattern upper trend-line.
Note that BTC has not closed above its 200MA since Monday 27th December 2021.
Note that BTC is also back in the Bullish Zone of its Ichimoku Cloud.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are expanding away from each other indicating increased volatility for the upside because the Middle Band is also pointing upwards. The Price is also walking up the outside of its Upper Band.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is in the Overbought Zone on this 1 day timeframe. The RSI is still above its 9 Period EMA. With the RSI in the Overbought Zone doesn’t mean it will drop as the RSI line can range sideways for a prolonged period of time.
Interesting times ahead if BTC manages to CLOSE this daily candle ABOVE its 200MA and then its Falling Wedge Pattern’s upper trend-line. A successful re-test of these 2 levels as strong support will be further confirmation that the bottom is in and a new uptrend has started. Note that after such a huge rise, maybe not yet, but we should expect at some point a correction downwards on this1 day timeframe. Who knows, if this continues, we may eventually see a Golden Cross on this 1 day timeframe when the 50MA crosses back above the 200MA.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Correction on chart as i had the wrong trend-line signed above for the Ichimoku Y Wave lower trend-line. Below is the correction. Apologies.
What if RSI and EMA produce similar results?█ What if RSI and EMA produce similar results?
In the world of trading , technical indicators play a crucial role in making informed decisions. One such indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and another is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Both of these indicators have been widely used by traders to analyze market trends and make predictions about future price movements. However, it has long been a topic of debate among traders as to which of these two indicators is better.
█ What if RSI and EMA produce similar results?
We wanted to determine the relationship* between the RSI and the EMA, specifically examining the hypothesis that when the RSI crosses above the value of 50, it returns similar results as when the price crosses above a certain length of an EMA. Similarly, when the RSI crosses below the value of 50, it returns similar results as when the price crosses below a certain length of an EMA. Our goal was to determine whether the RSI and EMA were related* in any way.
█ Our Simulations
We designed a series of simulations to compare the accuracy of the RSI and EMA in predicting market trends. The simulations were designed to test the assumption that the RSI and EMA were equal* in terms of accuracy in predicting price movements.
█ Our definition of "predict price movements."
If RSI crosses above the value of 50, there is a higher likelihood of a bullish move. If RSI crosses below the value of 50, there is a higher likelihood of a bearish move.
█ Our assumption for this study
When the RSI crosses above the value 50, it is equal* to when the price crosses above a certain EMA length, and when the RSI crosses below the value 50, it is equal* to when the price crosses below a certain EMA length. This assumption had never been tested until our team decided to put it to the test.
█ Results
To our surprise, we found a strong relationship* between the RSI and the EMA. We discovered that when the RSI crosses above the value of 50, it returns similar* results as when the price crosses above a certain length of an EMA. Conversely, when the RSI crosses below the value of 50, it returns similar* results as when the price crosses below a certain length of an EMA.
The assumption was accurate and that the correlation* between the RSI and EMA was 1, indicating that the results of both indicators were highly consistent. This means that there is an EMA length that performs exactly* the same as the RSI in terms of predicting market trends.
Validity Checks
We stored crossover values for both RSI and EMA in 2 different arrays, and by running the following tests, we could conclude our findings.
Correlation Check
The correlation between RSI and EMA provides insights into the relationship between the two arrays.
Array Size Checks
The "diff" tells us how different the sizes of the two arrays are. If the size of both arrays is the same, "diff" would be 0, indicating that the two arrays have the same number of elements.
Percentage Check
The percentage difference between RSI and EMA is a measure of the similarity between the two arrays. A percentage difference of 0 indicates that the two arrays are the same size, while a higher percentage difference indicates that the two arrays are different in size.
Ratio Check
The ratio represents the relationship between the two arrays, in terms of the sum of their elements. If the ratio is equal to 1, it means that the sum of the elements in the two arrays is the same. The higher the ratio, the more the elements in RSIa are relative to the elements in EMA. The lower the ratio, the less the elements in RSI are relative to the elements in EMA.
█ What is the exact relationship between the two indicators?
After further testing and analysis, we discovered that the length of the EMA that returns results similar* to the RSI is given by the formula: "2* RSI Period - 1". This formula provides traders with a clear, scientific method for determining the length of an EMA that will return results similar* to the RSI.
█ What does it mean for Traders?
The study has provided valuable insights into the accuracy of RSI and EMA. It has shown that both indicators are approximately equal in terms of accuracy and that traders can use either one without having to sacrifice accuracy. This means that traders can choose RSI or EMA, depending on their personal preferences and trading style.
█ Conclusion
Our study has shown that when the RSI crosses above the value of 50, it returns similar* results as when the price crosses above a certain length of an EMA. Similarly, when the RSI crosses below the value of 50, it returns similar* results as when the price crosses below a certain length of an EMA. Furthermore, we have discovered the exact* relationship between the RSI and EMA, given by the formula "2 * RSI Period - 1". These findings provide valuable insights for traders and demonstrate the potential for data-driven approaches in trading.
We showed that the RSI and EMA were highly correlated*, indicating that the results of both indicators were highly consistent*. This knowledge can save traders time and effort, as they can use one indicator to validate the results of the other.
-----------------
Disclaimer
*Our results are approximate. We encourage you to test the assumption yourself. We do not guarantee that you will get the same results. This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The findings/results may or may not be true.
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!