What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish.
It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend.
Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom):
Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise.
There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising.
There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows.
Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run.
It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow.
We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth.
We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less).
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
DXY + 10Y TANKING = BULL MARKETAs expected, the DXY is TANKING alongside the 10Y, and the WMA9 is finally breaking below the 20.
This combo is turbo juice for markets, as it allows Central Banks around the world to stimulate and opens the door for more growth in the US economy.
Ignore asset prices.
Focus on the macro.
This is a leading indicator.
HODL.
Trading is the realm of response
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It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
-
Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
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If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
-
To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
-
The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
-
What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
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Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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USDCHF Confirms Rounded Top ScenarioOANDA:USDCHF is exhibiting a Rounded Top Pattern suggesting further decline is coming
Price is currently Breaking Confirmation of the Pattern
- RSI Below 50
- Bearish Volume Building
Waiting for a Break and Close to Validate a True Breakout
Once Validated, we can look for a Break and Retest Trade Set-up for Shorts from the .898 Area to take down to the Range Target ( .892 - .891 )
$HNT Bullish Exaggerated Divergence on Daily RSIBeen accumulating a very large position of FWB:HNT
Bullish Exaggerated Divergence on the Daily RSI.
Price looks to have bottomed claiming previous lows.
Helium Mobile is one of the strongest IRL DePin projects 💯
$600m Market Cap is extremely undervalued compared to the rest of the industry.
BTC At Critical Support on 200DMA + RSI Way Oversold₿itcoin testing critical support on the 200DMA 🚨
Last time it closed under on July 4, 2024 it ranged for 101 days.
RSI hasn't been this oversold since August, 2023.
Last time BTC was at this RSI level and closed under the 200DMA it ranged for 60 days.
HOWEVER, the only time BTC has ever closed under the 200DMA on a Post-Halving year was in May 2021, where it then went on to rally to another new ATH.
I'm personally buying here 💯
Bullish momentum intact: Gold price Analysis and Forecast !Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Consolidation Phase
Gold's price action over the past week can still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase, following the recent strong move up to record highs. Although the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is close to the 70 mark, indicating a potential need for consolidation or a modest pullback, the bias remains firmly in favor of the bulls.
Key Support Levels
- $2,920-2,915: A crucial support zone that may attract dip-buyers
- $2,900: Additional support level that could provide a temporary floor for Gold prices
- $2,880: A key support region that, if broken decisively, could lead to further losses
Potential Downside Targets
- $2,860-2,855: A potential downside target if Gold prices break below $2,880
- $2,834: Another key level that could provide support, but may also be vulnerable to a breakdown
- $2,800: A round-figure mark that could attract sellers, leading to a potential extension of the downfall
Outlook
The path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the upside, with the bulls firmly in control. However, caution is advised as the market may experience some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for further gains.
Share Your Insights!
What's your take on the Gold market? Do you think the bulls will maintain control, or will the bears stage a comeback? Share your comments below!
Help Us Grow!
If you found this analysis helpful, please like and share it with your fellow traders and investors! Your support helps us provide more insightful market analysis and forecasts!
Best wishes Tom 😎
$SOL RSI Most OVERSOLD Since June 2023!Still no clear signals on CRYPTOCAP:SOL yet.
However, the RSI on the DAILY IS THE MOST OVERSOLD its been SINCE JUNE 2023.
I personally opened a long here.
Not for the faint at heart.
Could dip down to $133’ish and range between $146.
We DO NOT want to range too long in this area as you can see there has already been HEAVY consolidation.
Look for a V-Shape reversal trying to reclaim that ~$157 level for bullish confirmation.
Use RSI Like a GoldmanYou might be wondering, do the traders at Goldman Sachs use the Relative Strength Index (RSI)? The answer is, perhaps they do, and perhaps they don’t. However, based on my experience, I can confidently say that even the most seasoned and professional traders rely on RSI from time to time.
While it may not be their sole tool for decision-making, it’s often included in their broader strategy due to its effectiveness in identifying overbought or oversold conditions in the market. RSI is one of many technical indicators that can serve as a helpful signal in navigating market trends, and even the best traders find it useful on occasion.
When trading with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), having a clear and structured approach is crucial to maximizing its effectiveness. While RSI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trend reversals, it’s essential to understand the right conditions and context in which to use it.
Below are some key principles and guidelines that can help you apply RSI more effectively in your trading strategy. Whether you’re a swing trader or a day trader, these tips can help you avoid common pitfalls and make more informed decisions in the market.
⚙️ Keep Settings Simple
Keep the RSI settings minimal to avoid confusion. Stick to the standard 14-period lookback, which is widely used and reliable for most market conditions.
📉📈 Ensure Divergence Occurs Outside of Key Levels
Divergence should only be considered when the RSI reaches extreme levels, typically above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold). This helps to identify potential trend reversals. Divergence at neutral levels (like between 40–60) may not be as effective.
🔥 Base Divergence on Candle Closes, Not Wicks
Always look for divergence based on the closing price of candles. Divergence created by wick movements is unreliable and can lead to false signals. Stick to the body of the candle to ensure accuracy.
⏳ Watch the Lookback Period
The RSI’s default lookback period is 14, and divergence with a gap of more than 14 candles is generally less reliable. Wider gaps often signal weak price momentum and a higher chance of failure, so focus on shorter, more recent divergences for better results.
💧 Liquidity Must Be Taken Before Entering Trades
Liquidity is essential when confirming trade setups:
The first high or low should take out liquidity from higher time frames (such as range highs and lows).
The subsequent highs or lows should take out local liquidity, which can be identified by overbought or oversold RSI conditions. Ensure there’s a clear market structure shift before entering trades.
⏰ Timeframe Considerations for Different Trade Types
For swing trades, focus on longer timeframes like the 4-hour chart to capture larger market moves and trends.
For day trades, the 15-minute timeframe is ideal for capturing short-term price action and finer market details.
🔄 Use Divergences for Trend Reversals, in Confluence with Other Analysis
RSI divergence is best used to identify potential trend reversals. However, it should not be used in isolation. Always look for confluence with other technical analysis methods (such as support/resistance levels, moving averages, or candlestick patterns) to increase the reliability of the signal. Combining multiple tools enhances the accuracy of your trade setups.
Stay sharp, stay ahead, and let’s make those moves. Until next time, happy trading!
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment.
Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high.
Scenario
An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment.
DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach
Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below).
The case for beginning the investment approach now
The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment.
The case against beginning the investment approach now
The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH.
Swing trade
Entry: 200
TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head
SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL )
R/R: 1:2
The case for the swing trade
The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times.
The against a swing trade
Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade.
Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
META run almost finished? Just a little fun and brainstorming with higher time frame charts. Utilizing RSI, patterns, and time cycles.
Lots of similarities between now and the 2020-2021 bull run. Not to mention a lot of good data suggesting we are close to a recession at best. (Weak housing data/stocks, yield curve uninversion)
What are your thoughts?
JUPUSDT Swing Long IdeaJupiter is the second largest DEX on Solana and its price has been ranging for almost 1 year.
If all of crypto is getting ready to bounce JUP looks primed to breakout of the range,
RSI is crossing above the RSI MA and midpoint,
MFI is crossing above the midpoint,
JUP has outperformed TOTAL according to MA Based relative performance,
We recently saw the largest ever volume and volume MA.
All of this makes me think JUP wants to breakout from this range soon, hopefully TOTAL and BTC will allow that to happen.
GBPJPY Inverse Head & Shoulders Set-UpOANDA:GBPJPY has formed the Bullish Reversal Pattern, Inverse Head & Shoulders!
Price has broken up above the Down-sloping Neckline to confirm the pattern.
Once the Break is Validated by retesting the Neckline and is Supported, the pattern could deliver a good buying opportunity around the 188.5 area to take up to the February Resistance Level and potentially further!
Fundamentally,
GBP has GDP on Thursday
**Beware of False Break creating a Bearish Trap. Watch for adequate Bullish Volume to Follow the Break and the Retest suggesting Bulls are interested!
UJ Prepping Falling Wedge Breakout To Start 2025?FX:USDJPY starts 2025 in what appears to be a Falling Wedge, but following the 50% Fibonacci Retracement based from the Low @ 148.639 to start December 2024 to the High @ 158.874 last month, Price seems to may be ready to setup for a Bullish Break of this Pattern.
To see if FX:USDJPY has truly Broken Out of the Falling Wedge, here are some signals:
1) While price travels lower in the Falling Wedge, we can see Volume picks up the lower price goes
2) The Breaking Candle following the 2nd 50% Retracement touch generates a good amount of Bullish Volume compared to the similarly sized printed Bullish Candle following the 1st 50% Retracement touch (both candles marked in yellow to compare)
3) Following this Break, we see RSI Break above the 50 mark moving into Bullish territory.
** Buy Opportunities will come if Price successfully retest the Break of the Falling Resistance and finds Support.
-- Beware of a False Break if Price decides to fall back down Below the Falling Resistance too soon before a legitimate test.
#ZECUSDT #1h (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakoutZcash regained 50MA support and broke out bullish on hourly, looks good for short-term recovery towards 200MA resistance and more.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
49.41
Entry Targets:
1) 48.62
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 52.63
Stop Targets:
1) 46.61
Published By: @Zblaba
$CRYPTO:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +82.5%
Possible Loss= -41.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
Duo-Reversal Patterns Show USDCAD Rally "Hanging By A Thread"Price has rallied quite a bit for OANDA:USDCAD since its last visit of the Rising Support @ 1.34189 and we currently see Price showing quite a bit of exhaustion at the March 2020 Highs @ 1.44664!
This exhaustion comes in two Reversal Patterns:
Advance Block - 3 Candlestick Reversal Pattern
+ (Bearish Confirmation Candle)
Hanging Man - Single Doji Reversal Candlestick Pattern
Both these Reversal Candlestick Patterns and RSI in Oversold territory, spell possible trouble for Bulls in which signaling Bears could potentially overcome and Push Price Down!
This suspected drop in Price could be a Retracement to Previous Structure of Past Resistance @ (1.39775 - 1.38784 ) which happens to land right in the 50% - Golden Ratio Fibonacci Zone.
Fundamentally, USD and CAD both last week showed flying colors when it came to their Employment and Unemployment Results both showing an Increase in Work and Lowering in Jobless. This week will be news heavy for USD with:
Core PPI/PPI - Tuesday
Core CPI/CPI - Wednesday
Core Retail Sales/Retail Sales/ Unemployment Claims - Thursday
If overall week results are negative, we could see USD lose all strength and CAD take the stage!
$PEPE - Price Action, MACD, RSI, Stoch RSII have had accumulated some Pepe back in May of 2023. I have not sold any and am looking to exit my position sometime this year.
I have charted up the divergence between Price action making lower lows while RSI and MACD have made higher lows. I have gone back through the past to find 3 different examples of divergences resulting in trend shifts from being bullish to bearish. Then after the bearish correction with some time you can see that there is a consolidation period. RSI MACD And Stoch RSI resets. Price RSI and MACD then diverge and after sometime price will base or then break out of a base resulting into a higher leg up.
Pepe has been a very well performing Crypto Coin and has yet to make a higher high this year. Last time was in dec of 2024.
I am currently looking for continued consolidation, Divergence of Price action RSI and MACD which I see some development of and I expect that in the near future we will see another leg Higher. What I will look for is a break out either above or below the consolidation and see how that correlates to the indicators I am starting off using this year. I do expect a higher leg up given the current environment of a President, Regulators and sentiment Leaning PRO Crypto.