NDX - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- NDX is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- The index has given a positive signal from the double bottom formation by a break up through the resistance at 12042.
- Further rise to 13396 or more is signaled.
- The index is between support at points 13000 and resistance at points 13700.
- A definitive break through of one of these levels predicts the new direction.
- RSI diverges negatively against the price, which indicates danger of a reaction downwards.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
A Post-event look at Daisin Retail Trust (CEDU)Based on simple TA indicators on Monthly Chart
note : Monthly Chart can be seen as long term view, but may not as long as 5~10 years ba long long term
1. price chart
2. 20 month SMA, quite a long-term Moving Average to break or reverse
3. RSI, like price chart, using previous High/Low as resist/support and trendline to determine breakout/breakdown
4. Volume may be ignored if too many irregular high volume months seen (maybe due to married deal)
1st part:
RSI falls below L1 in Aug 2019, falls below 20 SMA too which signal a bearish sign. Since this was found in monthly chart, we can assume that something went wrong.
(a decision point where investors still consider to hold onto or trim their position)
2nd part:
RSI further falls below 40 in Feb 2020, stock continues to trade below 20 SMA, somethings' getting more wrong than right (investors seriously consider to hold onto or trim position)
3rd part:
RSI bouncing around level 40 to form a Triangle with leveled support. Hugh breakdown below support in Jun 2021 is the final warning that the stock is in trouble. By now, 20 SMA has been trending down for nearly two years! ( long term to break or reverse as mentioned above )
XLP - Horizontal Trend Channel- XLP is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the medium long term.
- A break upwards will be a positive signal, while a break downwards will be a negative signal.
- The price has broken the resistance at 77.23 of an an inverse head and shoulders formation.
- Decisive breaks of such formations are considered strong signals of further rise.
- The stock has marginally broken up through resistance at 77.30.
- Volume tops and volume bottoms correspond badly with tops and bottoms in the price.
- RSI above 70 shows that the stock has strong positive momentum in the short term.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which is an early signal of a possible trend reversal upwards for the price as well.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
XLK- Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- XLK shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- The stock has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- XLK is testing resistance at 151.
- This could give a negative reaction, but an upward breakthrough of 151 means a positive signal.
- Volume tops and volume bottoms correspond badly with tops and bottoms in the price.
- This weakens the rising trend and could be an early signal of a coming trend break.
- RSI diverges negatively against the price, which indicates danger of a reaction downwards.
- Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
QQQ - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- QQQ has given a positive signal from the double bottom formation by a break up through the resistance at 294.
- Further rise to 327 or more is signaled.
- The stock is between support at 318 and resistance at 334.
- A definitive break through of one of these levels predicts the new direction.
- Volume has previously been low at price tops and high at price bottoms.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
NVAX Biotechnology Watch Dead Cat Bounce LONGNVAX is fundamentally weak with a shallow pipeline and no products currenly marketed
to fund earnings and so research. On the 15 minute chart , NVAX is seen near to its
demand zone as shown by the Luxalgo indicator. In the meanwhile, the RSI indicator
shows considerable recent strength which is decreased today.
So the question is whether NVAX can dead cat bounce with a potential 20% uptrend
to reach the supply one or if it instead will break support and continue its descent
from a double top April 14-17. I will watch this for the price action to determine
whether to take a long trade or short sell this again. Other " vaccine stocks"
may be in action as well including VBIV, VCNX, VAXX and MRNA.
MILN Electric Vehicle Penny Stock MULN is a nine-penny stock that is high volatile with a wide ATR.
On the 15-minute chart, price is currently sitting above the support zone
shown by the Luxalgo indicator. Upside to the resistance zone is
nearly 40% which this stock can do in 1-2 days. Just in the past two days
MULN formed a double top at 12 cents near to the VQAP + 2 then tended down.
After the downtrend price currently in the undervalued range one standard
deviation below VWAP which MULN is using for support.
The RSI confirms price as in the low oversold zone while the high relative
volume in the past couple of days affirms trader interest. Once a reversal
is steadily underway I suspect a volume surge will drive price higher
and do so quickly.
I see this as a great opportunity to take swing long trade looking for
at least 1/2 of the upside 40%. The stop loss will be set just below the support zone.
If price moves there the trade is invalidated. If not the target is 12 cents at the
level of the double top or alternatively a more conservative target of one standard
above VWAP ( blue line) at about 11.4 cents. Lastly, there is the alternative of
inexpensive options which if taken strategically can significantly leverage
the returns of a stock trade.
RSI vs. Stochastic OscillatorRecently, I was asked to write an article about the differences between two popular technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator. As someone who has utilized both indicators in my trading journey, I was excited to share my insights and help others better understand these powerful tools. In this article, we will delve into the purposes, advantages, and disadvantages of the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator, as well as explore their effectiveness on different instruments and how they can be combined with other indicators for optimal trading results. Let's dive in!
1. Calculation method:
a. RSI: The RSI is calculated using the average gain and average loss over a specified period (usually 14). The formula is RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (Average Gain / Average Loss))). The RSI ranges from 0 to 100, with 30 and 70 as common thresholds for oversold and overbought levels, respectively.
b. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator compares the current closing price to the price range over a specified period (usually 14). It consists of two lines, %K and %D, with %K representing the raw Stochastic value and %D being a moving average of %K. The formula for %K is: %K = (Current Close - Lowest Low) / (Highest High - Lowest Low) x 100. The Stochastic Oscillator also ranges from 0 to 100, with 20 and 80 as common thresholds for oversold and overbought levels, respectively.
2. Sensitivity:
a. RSI: The RSI is generally less sensitive to price fluctuations, which can result in fewer false signals. However, it may not react as quickly to price changes as the Stochastic Oscillator.
b. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is more sensitive to price fluctuations, which can provide earlier signals but also result in more false signals. Traders often use additional filtering techniques to reduce false signals, such as waiting for %D line crossovers or using other indicators for confirmation.
3. Performance in different market conditions:
a. RSI: The RSI works well in trending markets, as it can help identify potential trend reversals. However, it may produce false signals in range-bound markets or during strong trends.
b. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator performs well in both trending and range-bound markets, as it considers the price range in its calculation. This makes it more adaptable to different market conditions, although it may require additional confirmation from other indicators due to its sensitivity.
4. Application in trading strategies:
a. RSI: Traders often use the RSI as a standalone indicator or in combination with other indicators such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, or MACD. The RSI can also be used to spot divergence, where the price makes new highs or lows, but the RSI fails to confirm them, signaling a potential trend reversal.
b. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is often used with other indicators such as moving averages, MACD, or ADX to provide confirmation of trade signals. In addition, it can be used to spot divergence, similar to the RSI, as well as identify potential trend reversals through crossovers of the %K and %D lines.
In summary, while both the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are used to identify overbought and oversold conditions, they differ in terms of calculation, sensitivity, performance in different market conditions, and application in trading strategies. Understanding these differences can help traders choose the most suitable indicator for their specific trading style and market conditions.
Bitcoin Price Prediction About Rising ChannelAs it is known from the upper band of the channel we are in, the 200-week simple moving average and even a solid horizontal resistance area, we were rejected with the contribution of the deathcross realization and the negative discrepancy in the relative strength index and price correlation on the daily timeframe.
The predicted decline and reaction rise areas do not seem to be very pending.
As I expected, the main decision area seems to be around $18,500.
Feel free to comment, knowledge multiplies by sharing.
🔥 A Simple BTC Guide On How To Sell The Top And Buy The BottomPeople say that timing the market is difficult. But is it really?
The monthly Bitcoin RSI seems to be following a very predictable pattern since its inception back in 2011. Actually, the pattern is so predictable that we can draw a perfect channel onto it.
Bitcoin tops around the time that the monthly RSI hits the top resistance, and bottoms once it hits the bottom support. Sure, you won't catch the exact top or bottom, but neither do 99.999% of traders.
If you will buy around the area where the RSI hits the support and sell around the time the RSI hits the resistance you will still be outperforming the vast majority of traders.
For the next cycle, I'm simply going to assume that we're going to top somewhere around the time that the monthly RSI hits the top resistance.
What are you favorite top / bottom indicators? Share them with the community 🙏
SPY long term channel Channel from the high and the low in a downward angle, currently we are in a uptrend. Ultimately I personally think if we hold vwap (purple line) we mayonnaise test the top of the channel. If we loose vwap things could get ugly. Majority of the technicals look good but any economic data or news that’s is bad could change everything in a matter of minutes. Play it level to level dont predict just react and trade. The daily RSI is pretty high so expect large moves up until it crosses back down from being over bought.
V - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- V is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- The stock has broken up through resistance at 231.
- The short term momentum of the stock is strongly positive, with RSI above 70.
- However, particularly for big stocks, high RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards.
- The stock is overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
🔥 Bitcoin Following Elliot Wave Pattern: Correction Incoming?A couple of week ago I made an analysis on Bitcoin and the fact that we can potentially follow an Elliot Waves pattern. For now, my idea seems to hold.
With BTC breaking out this week, we're now in a huge resistance zone that goes back all the way to 2021 and 2022. Furthermore, the weekly RSI is approaching overbought territory quickly.
We can easily move up another HKEX:2 ,500 from here, but I think we need some serious buying to break through HKEX:32 ,500.
Consequentially, I think that there's a lot of investors waiting for the weekly RSI to reach overbought that either want to sell their BTC that they bought in 2023, or that look for shorting.
Not sure where the correction will bring us. For now I look at the August 2022 top around HKEX:25 ,200, but it could also be higher.
FTNT - Breakout Ceiling Falling Trend- FTNT has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
- The stock has met the objective at 57 after a break of the double bottom formation.
- The price has now fallen, but the formation indicates further rise.
- The stock has support at 63 and resistance at 71.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
🔥 SXP: Scouting Oversold BounceSXP has been one of the major winners of the last few weeks, where it gained well over 270% in a very short amount of time.
However, it appears that SXP has topped for now.
I'm waiting for the first hourly oversold reading to occur before scouting an entry. Ideally, we will get in the yellow area of resistance before reversing.
Targets in blue.
BTC 1H Range I find it very interesting just how well BTC can respect the quarterly lines of a range. You can spot certain price action patterns within the overall range but trading within the boundaries of the range can be very beneficial in a sideways environment that we find ourselves in.
When range quarters are hit and coincide with oversold indicator triggers they are great places to go long while we are stuck in this range between 26.5k & 29.2k
Indicators:
RSI
CM_Williams_Vix_Fix
RBLX - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- RBLX shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- The stock is testing resistance at 47.
- Volume tops and volume bottoms correspond well with tops and bottoms in the price.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which supports the positive trend.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Learn 7 Classic Free Indicators For Technical Traders
◻️MACD(Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
Traders use MACD to identify changes in the direction or strength of the asset’s price trend. MACD can seem complicated at first glance, because it relies on additional statistical concepts such as the exponential moving average (EMA). But fundamentally, MACD helps traders detect when the recent momentum in an asset’s price may signal a change in its underlying trend. This can help traders decide when to enter, add to, or exit a position.MACD is a lagging indicator. After all, all the data used in MACD is based on the historical price action of the asset. Because it is based on historical data, it must necessarily lag the price. However, some traders use MACD histograms to predict when a change in trend will occur.
◻️VWAP(Volume-Weighted Average Price)
The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) is a measurement that shows the average price of a security, adjusted for its volume. It is calculated during a specific trading session by taking the total dollar value of trading in the security and dividing it by the volume of trades. The formula for calculating VWAP is cumulative typical price x volume divided by cumulative volume. VWAP gives traders a smoothed-out indication of a security’s price (adjusted for volume) over time. It is used by institutional traders to ensure that their trades do not move the price of the security they are trying to buy or sell too extremely.
◻️EMA(Exponential Moving Average)
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. An exponentially weighted moving average reacts more significantly to recent price changes than a simple moving average simple moving average (SMA), which applies an equal weight to all observations in the period.
◻️THE FOUR TYPES OF EMA:
▪️9-EMA is use for short term trading
▪️21-EMA is used for day trading
▪️50-EMA is used for analysis
▪️200-EMA is used for long term view
◻️RSI(Relative Strength Index)
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100.Generally, when the RSI indicator crosses 30 on the RSI chart, it is a bullish sign and when it crosses 70, it is a bearish sign. Put another way, one can interpret that RSI values of 70 or above indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued. It may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective price pullback. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition. Overbought refers to a security that trades at a price level above its true (or intrinsic) value. That means that it's priced above where it should be, according to practitioners of either technical analysis or fundamental analysis. Traders who see indications that a security is overbought may expect a price correction or trend reversal. Therefore, they may sell the security.
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