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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios. 🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase. ⌛️ Recent Market Behavior Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present. 🧲 SMA25 Analysis The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend. 📈 Bullish Confirmation Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout. 📉 Bearish Scenarios In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
This Bitcoin signal has a 71% winrate.This signal purely based on RSI happened only 7 times on the daily chart history of BTCUSD. The formula is the following: RSI is at the 50 days lowest and is rising for 3 bars, and is lower than the 160 days RSI with 5 (as RSI value) added and RSI is below 37.5 Signal history: 3 April 2014: 46% move up 18 August 2014: fail 16 June 2018: 30% move up 27 November 2018: +200% move up 22 May 2021: 80% move up 13 December 2021: fail 26 August 2023: 173% move up Total Winners * 100 / Total Trades = 5 * 100 / 7 = 71.4% Winrate Average winning trade: +105.8% Important Note: The rarity of the signal (only 7 times) induces that a small amount of backtest data, and should not be used as sole indicator in your trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by cyatophilum
Potential Short Opportunity for BTC/USD at $61,000Overview: In this analysis, I present a short trade setup for BTC/USD with an entry point around $61,000. This idea is based on the confluence of volume profile levels and Fibonacci retracement zones. Volume Profile Analysis: The volume profile indicates significant trading activity around the $61,000 level, which suggests it as a strong resistance zone. This implies that there may be considerable selling pressure once the price reaches this level. Fibonacci Retracement: Applying the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the recent swing low, the 0.618 retracement level aligns closely with the $61,000 mark. This confluence adds strength to the resistance at this level, providing a high-probability short entry. RSI and ADX Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing bearish divergence, indicating a potential reversal or pullback. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at a high level, suggesting a strong trend which could soon see a correction. Trade Setup: Entry : Short at $61,000 Stop Loss : Above the $62,500 level to allow some room for potential volatility. Target : First target at $56,000 (next significant volume node), second target at $50,000 (support zone and 1.618 Fibonacci extension). Conclusion: This trade setup leverages technical analysis tools to identify a high-probability short entry point. As always, ensure proper risk management and adjust the trade parameters based on market conditions.
Short
by wittawatkhondee55
2
USDCAD 1D Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the USDCAD pair in the 1D time frame. ⌛️ Long-term Range Box In the 1D time frame, we observe a large, long-term range box that spans 664 days. This box has experienced a complete High Wave Cycle (HWC) range, which is confirmed by the flat SMA99, indicating minimal slope and nearly flat movement over a long period. ♟ Key Levels Range Box Bottom: 1.31434 Range Box Top: 1.38725 Breaking either of these lines will likely initiate a new trend for the HWC. Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) Support: 1.35973 MWC Resistance: 1.37805 🪤 Momentum Indicators As discussed in yesterday’s analysis, momentum oscillators like RSI are less effective in range-bound markets. In this case, although the RSI broke the 43.14 support, the market did not gain bearish momentum because of the ranging condition. This exemplifies why RSI should not be heavily relied upon in such scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario If a candle closes below the 1.35973 area, we can expect the price to move towards the bottom of the range box at 1.31434. This support is crucial and could push the price back to the top of the range. 📈 Bullish Scenario Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.37805, it may move towards the top of the box at 1.38725. However, this move is less likely due to the weakness observed in the green candles, indicating weaker buyer strength. 🔍 Candle Analysis Examining the candles shows that reaching the top of the range box takes significant time, with small green candles. Conversely, reaching the bottom of the box from the top happens quickly with strong red candles. Given the weak green candles in the latest upward move that didn't even reach the top of the box, the likelihood of a downward breakout is higher. 🎯 Target Levels In case of a downward breakout, switching to the weekly time frame helps identify important levels: First Target: 1.30183 (0.5 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 1.27624 Third Target: 1.22926 (a very significant support for this pair) 📝 Conclusion The USDCAD pair is currently trading within a long-term range, showing weak buyer momentum and stronger bearish tendencies. A breakout from this range, particularly to the downside, seems more probable given the current market conditions. Traders should watch key levels closely for confirmation and be ready to act accordingly once a breakout occurs. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
1
Bitcoin ALL-TIME-HIGH is STILL COMING: Here's WhyA hint... the RSI. The RSI is one of those reliable old-timers, especially useful in higher timeframes to determine longer period price action, such as near term and long term. Together with Elliot Wave Theory, I'm going to present to you an argument for why Bitcoin is STILL BULLISH and what my strategy/expectation is for the coming weeks. I'll also share key metrics to watch and do regular updates should the conditions mentioned in the video be met. Although I am short term bearish, I remain longer term bullish, making it really impossible to label this post as solely "short" or "long". Cheers to the Top10%'ers 🥂 __________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
1
Has EUR/USD Bottomed-Out???Here I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart! Now we see Price on EU has made a sort of "Rounded Bottom" making its official LOW @ 1.06660 Now with Price struggling with the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.08441 - 1.08266 ) it is beginning to form what looks to be a Potential CUP & HANDLE PATTERN!! This pattern after the completion of the "Bowl" is typically followed by the formation of the "Handle". This will be considered a HIGHER LOW which should be followed by Bullish momentum to the Top of the Cup (Resistance Zone) again, then to BREAK and possibly continue HIGHER!! -The RSI is showing that price is Over-Bought which tells me we could see price needing to make a decline! -Strengthening the Bullish Bias on this idea is also backed by the fact price is now trading ABOVE the 200 EMA! *Before we can confirm this is a Cup & Handle Pattern, we must see Price make a retracement from this High to the ( 1.07751 - 1.07647 ) Range for potential BUY positions! **If Price decides to Break Below our Fib Entry Zone, The potential Cup and Handle Pattern will be INVALIDATED!!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
GBP/USD : Key Levels and Trading Strategies for Upcoming Moves📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing the GBP/USD pair with the main timeframe being weekly. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective. 🔍 In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 1.31915 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 1.42385 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 1.20670. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 1.31915. If the candle closes below the 0.382 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618. 🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. 🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 1.42385, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward. 📈 For a long position on the weekly timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 1.31915 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 1.42385. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move. 📉 For a short position, breaking below 1.20670 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for GBP/USD is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise. 📈 For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers. 📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 1.2776, which is the riskiest one with a target of 1.31915. The next trigger is at 1.31915 with a target of 1.42385. The final trigger is at 1.42385. 📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 1.2615, and the second trigger is the break of the support area. ♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 1.2776, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 1.31915 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 1.42385 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area. 📝 In summary, GBP/USD is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.31915 resistance level. Depending on the break above 1.31915 or below 1.20670, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in Forex trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
5
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend. It's always important to know where your market is currently trading. Is it bullish, bearish, or range trading? If you have established the trend, you can trade with the trend instead of against it. Trading against the trend ( for example shorting during a bullish cycle ) adds unnecessary risk to an already risky trade (leverage). 1) Bollinger Bands 2) Logarithmic View 3) Super Trend 4) Moving Averages + RSI Let me know how YOU determine the macro trend! _________________________ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT MEXC:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:BTCUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
Education
by CryptoCheck-
4
Fetch.AI HTF Fetch.ai soon to be ASI (Artificial super intelligence) after the merger with Singularity (AGIX) and Ocean protocol (OCEAN) has been a victim of the recent altcoin market drawdown. As on of the leading projects in the AI space, FET surged to a high of $3.47, since then price has been retracing back down the range created by the rally previously. BEARISH: Now back at range low FET finds itself in a key area where the bearish trend can continue, break below range and continue to fall. This would be mostly influenced by a further sell off in BTC as alts are still at the mercy of Bitcoin. Should BTC continue to reject the '21 ATH and 4H 200EMA levels then price will naturally search for buyers with conviction. This chop has already been devastating to the altcoin market without a big flush. So this outcome is not improbable. BULLISH: On the bullish side we have a very good R;R HTF entry level at range lows, in addition to a fully reset RSI in the oversold area compounded with a very bullish divergence being shown on the High timeframes. All three of these conditions add up to a high probability entry IF BTC behaves. Naturally if BTC decides to sell off then so will altcoins and FET is no exception. However, in this probability game this setup is one of the better LONG setups you could ask for. Couple that with the AI narrative and good fundamentals this looks bullish.
by ProR35
2
Market Analysis: Bitcoin and AVAX📅 Today's market conditions aren't significantly different from yesterday. Given that it's Sunday, it's essential to minimize risk and avoid unnecessary positions. I'll start with a Bitcoin analysis and then move on to AVAX. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 In the 1-hour timeframe, as I mentioned yesterday, there was a potential reaction at 60718, which occurred around 60739. Following this, the price moved upward with strong momentum, forming two powerful bullish candles. However, volume has started to decrease, indicating that the bullish momentum has temporarily subsided. We need to wait for a confirmation to see momentum re-enter the market. 📈 For a long position, I still wait for a break of 62168, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. If this level breaks, the price could move up to 63583. If the RSI stabilizes above 70, we could consider entering a long position earlier. 📉 For a short position, our trigger has shifted slightly to 60739, considering the market's reaction to this level yesterday. This could be a good short trigger with a target of 59323. However, volume needs to increase in the market, so it might be better to wait until the new week starts. ⛓ AVAX Analysis 🗂 The AVAX project operates on its blockchain, where AVAX is the primary coin used for transactions, fees, staking, and DeFi applications. 🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, after a decline, the chart hit the support level at 23.84 and started to correct, now moving upward in the Low Wave Cycle. However, the decreasing volume favors a bearish trend continuation. We can expect the downtrend to continue if the price stabilizes below the 23.84 support. 📈 For a long position, you can enter upon breaking 28.59, but keep in mind that the volume is low, and you're trading against the main trend. The target for this position could be 30.88. If the RSI enters the overbought territory, it can provide confirmation to keep the position open. 📉 For a short position, you can enter upon breaking 27.69, though this trigger is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 23.84; breaking this level allows entering a short position. A break of 50 on the RSI can provide a suitable confirmation for bearish momentum entering the market. 📝Both Bitcoin and AVAX are at critical points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while AVAX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
Long Term Analysis of Nifty my observations and a conclusion.The chart above is the chart of Nifty 50 since 1991. This chart here tells a few stories. I will tell you my version of these stories or observations you can derive your own conclusions from them: 1) India is a continuous bull market. There are blips due to Micro and Macro reasons but the chart keeps moving forward in the parallel channel. We are in the upper half of the channel since 2005 indicative of an economy that is moving forward and GDP that is continuously growing. There are couple of times when the market went into the lower half of the channel once was during the 2008 Sub-prime crisis and once during the COVID19 global crisis. Lot of countries of the world have still not come out of the trauma but we bounce back each time. This tells us about strength of our nation and our economy. 2) There is lot more room to grow before we hit the channel top resistance. Even in case of some major political event or market correction. We can get the mid channel support and the support of Mother line 50 Months EMA. 3) Relative Strength index is a lagging indicator used by a lot of analyst to check if the market is overbought or oversold. As per my observation over the years. We start to enter the overbought territory once the index is above 70. RSI above 80 is indicative of a market that is overbought. Similarly when the RSI levels are below 30 we enter the oversold territory and When RSI is below 20 we are in the highly oversold territory. Now if you look at the chart carefully each time monthly RSI of Nifty has gone near / above / substantially above 80 levels there has been a correction in the market. Some corrections have been large some not so substantial but inevitably market has corrected. Right now RSI of Nifty is 78.94. The levels to watch out for reversal / Consolidation / correction in my opinion can be anywhere between 79.88 and 91.35. I am not trying to scare you or predict a doomsday scenario, I am just presenting historic data in front of you. 4) Market can remain irrational for period of time beyond human comprehension. Market can remain irrational more than an investor can remain rational. So while we ride the upwave changing sectors and changing our stories and choices shuffling between small and mid and large caps do not forget to put in your stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses are our friends that protect our capital and trailing stop losses are our friends that protect our profits. While we use them it can happen that a stock takes your trailing stop loss and again bounces back to huge upside but it is fine, either we learn or we win. If you have the capital you can invest again. If you will not have the capital it is an irreversible loss. Conclusion: Stay Positive but be cautious. Use stop losses with discipline and trailing stop losses generously. The chart shows that history repeats. The chart shows that India is a continuous bull market. The chart shows that long term investor will always win if he has discipline and follows a process in stock selection, profit booking and staying vigilant.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Delving into the Depths: Bitcoin & POLS Analysis📅 Today, we're diving into the analysis of POLS, a coin suggested by one of our followers in the comments of yesterday's analysis. If you have a coin in mind that hasn't been analyzed yet or if the analysis is outdated, let me know in the comments, and I'll be sure to provide an analysis for you. But before that, as always, let's start with Bitcoin. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 I'll analyze Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe, as usual. Yesterday, the 61273 trigger was activated, and it's likely now in a risk-to-reward 1 area. As I always say, the first target should be at least a risk-to-reward of 2, as I don't find 1 or 1.5 risk-to-reward ratios worthwhile. So, if you opened a position with yesterday's trigger, I suggest keeping it open. 📊 New selling volume is entering the market, and in the last two strong candles, significant selling volume has entered. 📉 If you don't have a position and want to open a short one, the 60635 trigger can be very suitable. However, I prefer it to test this support again and break it next time, as this would make me more confident in the trigger. The RSI trigger is also being activated at 35.86, which will likely confirm the entry before the price does. 📈 For long positions, we still need more space and structure, but I think a suitable structure for a long position will form by tomorrow, and I'll discuss it then. 💎 POLS Analysis 🔍 Now it's time to analyze POLS. The analysis will be done in the daily timeframe, but I'll also check lower timeframes for futures. First, let's review the project. 🗂 The POLS project is a blockchain-based platform that provides infrastructure for new projects to conduct presales and raise funds for their projects. Projects on this platform are very risky, and most of them fail, but if you have the necessary knowledge to evaluate projects and conduct your own research, you can discover new market gems and earn significant profits after their tokens or coins are listed. Additionally, the gam3s project is a subset of this project, acting as a game launcher. Just as the main project is a platform for viewing and purchasing blockchain projects, gam3s is a platform for viewing and purchasing crypto games and Play-to-Earn games. 🎲 In the daily timeframe, POLS had a long-term range box, and after breaking the box from below, it started its downtrend, forming a descending trendline from the price lows, which can be considered as the target for each wave. The SMA25 has also effectively supported the price in this trend, preventing it from losing its bearish momentum. Currently, the selling volume in the market is decreasing, indicating that these moves could be among the last in this cycle. For the downtrend to continue, selling volume needs to increase again, and ideally, the RSI should break the 27.32 support to bring bearish momentum into the market. 🪤 There was a Fake Breakout from the 1.1738 ceiling, which initiated the bearish move. I want to talk more about these fake breakouts. The analytical use of fakes is such that each fake breakout has a trigger, which in this example, was the 1.0577 trigger. After breaking this trigger, we can say the market turned bearish. The reason is that buyers broke the resistance and gained control but couldn't maintain it, resulting in a lower high and introducing bearish momentum into the market. 🛒 For spot buying, considering the bearish market, there are no resistances yet for this coin that would make a spot purchase logical. The closest trigger for a spot buy is 0.7492, which is quite far, and before that, the price will likely form a new structure and provide a lower entry point. 🚀 For futures trading, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. ⚙️ In this timeframe, another fake breakout occurred, but in this example, the trigger wasn't activated, and the price is moving downward again. 📉 The short trigger for this coin was 0.5515, which has been activated. The target for this trigger could be the trendline drawn in the daily timeframe or the static support at 0.4636. The trigger for this move in the RSI is 38.06. 📈 For long positions, the 0.5728 trigger is suitable, but the price is far from it and might reach it in a few days. 📝In conclusion, the market conditions indicate potential short opportunities for Bitcoin while POLS shows promise for long positions if the resistance is broken. Always remember to use appropriate risk management techniques and adhere to your trading strategies. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
P
by itsparham96
1
DXY Weekly Analysis and Its Impact on Forex PairsLet's dive into today's analysis. Today, I want to share a Forex analysis with you, focusing on the DXY index. The timeframe for this analysis is weekly, but we'll also take a look at other timeframes. 🧲 Long-Term Support First, let's examine the curved trend line on the monthly timeframe, which has been significant since 2008, acting like a magnet attracting the price. This trend line is a crucial support for the dollar and has kept the overall trend of the dollar bullish for years. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels Additionally, in this timeframe, if we apply a Fibonacci extension from the previous wave, we see that the top of this wave, which corresponds to 113.7, has completed at the 1 level. If this peak is breached, we could move up to 1.618, which is 131. However, there's a significant resistance at 119.76. 📰 Interest Rates and Economic Outlook Given that the US interest rate is already high, it's unlikely to increase further beyond 5.5% as it could harm the US economy in the long term. On the other hand, inflation has reached 3.25%, nearing the 2% target. Therefore, there's no reason to raise interest rates further. If they start reducing the interest rates, we could see an uptrend in stock markets like crypto and renowned global stocks such as Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, etc. If this happens, the DXY trend will turn bearish and could potentially drop back to the 89.59 support. 📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis In the weekly timeframe, the curved trend line is also evident, and the price is near this trend. Drawing Fibonacci from the previous wave shows that the price has bounced back from the 0.5 level, overlapping with the old support at 101.195, and has created a range box between this area and the 0.236 level at 106.723, forming since late 2022. 📈 If 106.723 is breached, we could target 113.701 and the next target at 119.76. However, due to anticipated rate cuts, I believe the USD will remain bearish and won't go beyond 113. 📉 For a decline, if 101.195 breaks and the Federal Reserve starts lowering rates, we could expect a drop to the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, which are 98.023 and 94.374, respectively. 🔎 RSI Indicator The RSI is ranging between 66.02 and 34.17. Given that FOMO is less powerful in the Forex market compared to crypto, if we reach either of these numbers, it might be time to take profits as the trend could weaken. 💵 Impact on EURUSD and USDCAD 🇪🇺 EUR/USD If the DXY drops, we might see the EUR/USD break the 1.1064 resistance, and even move towards 1.1205, and then target 1.16588 and 1.22423. However, 1.22423 seems distant and unrealistic given Europe's current strength. In case of a DXY increase, the EUR/USD could head towards the historical low of 0.96801 after breaking 1.05195, though it's likely to find support sooner. 🇨🇦 USD/CAD For USD/CAD, a rising DXY could push it to 1.43687 after breaking 1.38713. Conversely, if the DXY drops, the trend line might break, and after breaking 1.31457, it could move towards 1.20374. 📝 Conclusion In summary, the DXY index is at a critical juncture with significant supports and resistances on both the monthly and weekly timeframes. Anticipated changes in US interest rates could significantly impact its trend. While the USD may see some strength in the short term, a long-term bearish trend seems likely, particularly if interest rates begin to decrease. This will, in turn, affect major Forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/CAD, with potential bullish moves in EUR/USD and bearish moves in USD/CAD depending on the DXY's movement. Always remember to conduct thorough research and apply sound risk management in your trading strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by itsparham96
4
Navigating NEAR: Strategic Moves in a Bearish Market🔍 Let's dive into the NEAR project. NEAR Protocol is designed to be a high-performance, scalable, and user-friendly blockchain platform. It aims to empower developers and users by offering a decentralized, developer-friendly environment. This platform is well-regarded for its ease of use and scalability, making it a strong contender in the blockchain space. 📉 As observed on the chart, NEAR has experienced a sharp decline and recently broke through the significant support level at 5.163. This decline was marked by a substantial increase in volume, suggesting a strong bearish momentum. ⚠️ The RSI is currently at 30.44, indicating that NEAR is in the oversold territory. This suggests that while a short-term bounce is possible, the overall bearish trend remains dominant. The red candle with high volume might indicate a sell-off. 🔻 For a short position, the next critical level to watch is 4.5. If the price breaks below this support level with increasing sell volume, it would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. A short position could be initiated at this point, with a stop-loss order placed above the recent high around 5.163 to manage risk. 📉 The target for the short position would be the next major support level around 2.733. Monitoring volume is crucial; if sell volume continues to rise, it reinforces the bearish outlook. 📈 A long position should be considered only after the market shows signs of forming a new structure. Given the current bearish trend, it's prudent to wait for a clear reversal signal. A potential long entry could be considered if NEAR breaks above the key resistance level at 8.507 on the daily timeframe, confirmed by increasing buy volume. 🛠️ Patience is key here. Wait for the price to build a solid market structure and break above the mentioned resistance before considering a long position. Setting a stop-loss order below the recent low would be a prudent risk management strategy. 📝 In conclusion, NEAR is currently exhibiting strong bearish signals. For short positions, wait for a break below 4.5 with high sell volume. For long positions, patience is essential until a clear reversal and market structure form, with a potential entry on a break above 8.507. Always monitor RSI and volume indicators closely to confirm momentum shifts and manage risk appropriately in volatile market conditions. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
RSI Indicator LIES! Untold Truth About RSI! The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a classic technical indicator that is applied to identify the overbought and oversold states of the market. While the RSI looks simple to use, there is one important element in it that many traders forget about: it's a lagging indicator. This means it reacts to past price movements rather than predicting future ones. This inherent lag can sometimes mislead traders, particularly when the markets are volatile or trade in a strong bullish/bearish trend. In this article, we will discuss the situations when RSI indicator will lie to you. We will go through the instances when the indicator should not be relied and not used on, and I will explain to you the best strategy to apply RSI. Relative Strength Index analyzes the price movements over a specific time period and displays a score between 0 and 100. Generally, an RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, while an RSI below 30 suggests an oversold condition. By itself, the overbought and overbought conditions give poor signals, simply because the market may remain in these conditions for a substantial period of time. Take a look at a price action on GBPCHF. After the indicator showed the oversold condition, the pair dropped 150 pips lower before the reversal initiated. So as an extra confirmation , traders prefer to look for RSI divergence - the situation when the price action and indicator move in the opposite direction. Above is the example of RSI divergence: Crude Oil formed a sequence of higher highs, while the indicator formed a higher high with a consequent lower high. That confirmed the overbought state of the market, and a bearish reversal followed. However, only few knows that even a divergence will provide accurate signals only in some particular instances. When you identified RSI divergence, make sure that it happened after a test of an important key level. Historical structures increase the probability that the RSI divergence will accurately indicate the reversal. Above is the example how RSI divergence gave a false signal on USDCAD. However, the divergence that followed after a test of a key level, gave a strong bearish signal. There are much better situations when RSI can be applied, but we will discuss later on, for now, the main conclusion is that RSI Divergence beyond key levels most of the time will provide low accuracy signals. But there is one particular case, when RSI divergence will give the worst, the most terrible signal. In very rare situations, the market may trade in a strong bullish trend, in the uncharted territory, where there are no historical price levels. In such cases, RSI bullish divergence will constantly lie , making retail traders short constantly and lose their money. Here is what happens with Gold on a daily. The market is trading in the uncharted territory, updated the All-Time Highs daily. Even though there is a clear overbought state and a divergence, the market keeps growing. Only few knows, however, that even though RSI is considered to be a reversal, counter trend indicator, it can be applied for trend following trading. On a daily time frame, after the price sets a new high, wait for a pullback to a key horizontal support. Your bullish signal, will be a bearish divergence on an hourly time frame. Here is how the price retested a support based on a previous ATH on Gold. After it approached a broken structure, we see a confirmed bearish divergence. That gives a perfect trend-following signal to buy the market. A strong bullish rally followed then. RSI indicator is a very powerful tool, that many traders apply incorrectly. When the market is trading in a strong trend, this indicator can be perfectly applied for following the trend, not going against that. I hope that the cases that I described will help you not lose money, trading with Relative Strength Index. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
34
EURUSD:: IntradayBy taking a deeper look at Daily chart we could easily see a bearish move! Latest reaction was to top of the channel an we are going to reach to bottom of the channel. However, We see the RSI is forming a trend line which seems hard to be broken down. I think we could see a reversal to MA of RSI. So we might have one or two range days. Therefore we are both ready for Bearish and range days. By taking a look to 1h chart we could see that a great zone to short the pair is available! However by breaking the 1.0770 we could consider the trend bullish. What is obvious in the main chart is that today Fibonacci R1 is in coincide with yesterday Pivot and these two are perfectly in our zone! I'm waiting to sell from there! the channel in 15m chart could be used as liquidity hunt! These are important levels of today you can search for more reasons or places to short the pair
Short
by AliSignals
Market Analysis: RNDr Coin Deep Dive🔍 let's delve into the RNDR project. RNDR, short for Render Token, is a project aimed at decentralizing GPU-based rendering solutions. It leverages the power of blockchain technology to connect users who need rendering work done with GPU owners who have spare processing power. This innovative approach aims to create a more efficient and scalable rendering ecosystem. 📉 As seen on the chart, RNDR has experienced a sharp decline and is approaching the support level at 6.999. This support is crucial as it is marked by a primary support line in blue, which holds significant importance for the price action. ⚠️ The RSI is currently at 29.06, which is in the oversold territory. This suggests potential for a short-term bounce, but the overall bearish trend remains strong. The sell volume has been increasing, indicating that the bearish momentum is still intact. 🔻 For a short position, consider entering if the price breaks below the key support level at 6.999. This would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. The increasing sell volume supports the potential for further declines. It's recommended to set a stop-loss order above the recent high around 7.141 to manage risk. 📉 The target for the short position would be the next support level at 6.237. Monitoring the volume is crucial; if sell volume continues to rise, it strengthens the bearish outlook. 📈 A long position might be considered if the price shows signs of a reversal from the oversold RSI condition. If RNDR bounces off the support at 6.999 and breaks above the descending trendline, confirmed by a break above the trigger level at around 7.300, it could indicate the start of a bullish reversal. 🛠️ Wait for the price to break above 7.300 with increased buy volume before entering a long position. The next target for a long position would be the resistance level at 8.397. It's important to set a stop-loss order below the recent low around 6.870 to manage risk. 📝 In conclusion, RNDR is exhibiting strong bearish signals. For short positions, wait for a break below 6.999 with high sell volume. For long positions, look for a bounce off this support and a break above the trendline trigger at 7.300 with increased buy volume. Always monitor RSI and volume indicators closely to confirm momentum shifts. Manage risk appropriately, especially in such volatile market conditions.
R
by itsparham96
2
Market Analysis:ACH Coin Breakdown🔍 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market shows a bearish momentum, and the coin we are analyzing today has the potential for a sharp drop in the 4-hour timeframe. Bitcoin Analysis 📉 Starting with Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe, the support level discussed yesterday has been broken. The price has now reached the trigger at 65197 and may start correcting and resting. 📉 If this trigger is broken, we can move towards the 64429 support, which could be the next target. 📈 Breaking 25.23 in the RSI could bring even more momentum into the market, potentially targeting levels like 63356. ⚠️ A crucial point to note is the significantly increasing selling volume, indicating the strength of the downward trend. 🔻 Overall, I consider Bitcoin's downtrend more likely than an uptrend and will be looking for short positions in the market today. ACH Coin Analysis 🔍 Now, let's look at the ACH project. I haven't researched it extensively, but I know it's a bridge for converting fiat currencies to crypto. If you'd like a comprehensive analysis of this project, let me know in the comments, and I'll do that for you. ACH Coin Chart Analysis 📉 As seen on the chart, ACH has experienced a very sharp decline and is moving towards the support at 0.2168. This support is significant as it aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the 1-day timeframe wave and the 1 fibo extension point, making this area even stronger. ⚠️ However, never underestimate the power of momentum. If the RSI stabilizes below 24.29, the bearish momentum will increase, and we might see lower prices like 0.02034. Therefore, despite the significant drop without a correction, I recommend opening a position with low risk and small volume if the RSI breaks 24.29. 📉 The volume of ACH is also increasing, indicating the strength of the bearish momentum. Daily Timeframe Quick Check 📅 Lastly, let's quickly check the daily timeframe. As shown, the price is in the 0.707 to 0.786 Fibonacci range. If this range breaks to the downside, the price could even correct to the 0.01761 area. 📝 In conclusion, both Bitcoin and ACH coin are exhibiting strong bearish signals. Bitcoin's support levels and RSI indicators suggest potential further declines, while ACH coin's sharp drop and increasing volume indicate a strong bearish momentum. Caution is advised, and for those looking to open positions, it's crucial to monitor RSI levels and volume indicators closely. Always manage risk appropriately, especially in volatile markets like these. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
Avalanche (AVAX) Analysis: Testing Critical Support Amid Market📆 Coin of the Day: Avalanche (AVAX) About the Project: Avalanche is a highly scalable blockchain platform aimed at decentralized applications and enterprise blockchain deployments. AVAX is the native token used for staking, transaction fees, and governance within the Avalanche ecosystem. 🧩 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe This analysis focuses on daily trends, identifying critical levels and potential scenarios. 📉Support and Resistance: Key Supports: 31.98 23.03 Key Resistances: 41.42 49.96 60.71 🔍 Current Scenario: Testing the Demand Zone Demand Zone: AVAX is currently testing a crucial demand zone around 31.98. This zone has historically acted as a strong support level, indicating high buying interest at these price levels. Implications of Holding the Demand Zone: Potential Reversal: If AVAX can hold above the 31.98 level, it may indicate that buyers are stepping in, potentially leading to a reversal. This could lead to a bounce towards the next resistance levels at 41.42 and 49.96. Confirmation Needed: For a bullish reversal, it's essential to see confirmation through increased volume and a break above the descending trendline. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Break Below Demand Zone Immediate Implications: If AVAX breaks below the 31.98 demand zone, it would suggest that the selling pressure is overwhelming the buying interest, leading to further downside. Next Support Level: The next significant support level to watch is around 23.03. A break below the demand zone could lead to a swift move towards this lower support, as the lack of strong support in between could accelerate the decline. Volume and RSI Analysis: Volume Analysis: Recent trading volume has been moderate. An increase in volume is needed to support any significant move, whether it be a bounce from the demand zone or a break below it. RSI Analysis: Current RSI: 34.11, indicating that AVAX is nearing oversold territory. This could suggest a potential buying opportunity if the price holds the demand zone. 👨‍💻 Trading Positions Long Position Entry Trigger: Hold above 31.98 with confirmation from RSI and volume. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a hold above this level, targeting higher resistance levels at 41.42 and 49.96. Use tight stop-loss orders to manage risk. Short Position Entry Trigger: Break and retest below 31.98. Strategy: Open a position if the price confirms a break below this level, targeting 23.03. Adjust stop-loss orders accordingly. 📝 Avalanche (AVAX) is at a crucial demand zone, and its price action around this level will be pivotal. Traders should closely monitor the 31.98 level for potential bullish reversals or bearish breakdowns. Volume and RSI trends will provide additional insights into momentum shifts. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1