STM - is it about to start a new EW pattern and breakout?EURONEXT:STM
Might be a potential swing here. Currently trading at 4x its ATR and 4x its relative volume in the past 30min. Chart looks promising for bulls IMO. Support is the 200 MA on the daily so stop loss is TIGHT right now but the upside would be 52 if $46 is broken and held. I would look to NVDA and AMD though to see how the market is going to react to the semiconductor industry for context. Also a possible corrective wave C just ended and we are about to begin a new EW pattern.
Relativevolume
Bitcoin VPA-style volume signal at broadening formation lowsQuick note on this relative volume-per-range signal (in the vein of VSA / VPA / volume spread analysis / volume price analysis).
The basic concept is simple: volume per range tells you how many shares it takes to move an asset by $X. The higher this number, the harder it is for price to move, and the more likely it is that support/resistance or supply/demand levels are nearby. The lower this number is, the easier it is for price to move and the less likely it is that supply/demand are nearby.
So the signal here on Bitcoin could be indicating support coming in. This also coincides with the lows of a broadening formation, a DeMark reversal buy signal, and Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price levels (aVWAPs or Midas lines) from the most recent previous swing points.
Just a heads up.
BRN - Technicals and Fundamentals Aligning For a Nice RunReasons to be bullish based on technicals as shown on the chart:
Bounce off of EMA 200 at the end of April
Strong accumulation trend shown on CMF 20
As of July 6, lingering in oversold territory on the RSI histogram
Relative volume on an uptrend
Reasons to be bullish based on fundamentals:
Crude oil’s recent resurgence
Recent insider buying
Low float, with retail investors beginning to buzz the stock
Smart Money Surged in at $1700 - $1900. As can be seen in the relative volume chart attached, a surge of volume came in around the 21st of June when ETH dipped down below $2,000 for a couple of days.
That strong support seems to have helped keep an extended bearish run at bay, and is perhaps sparking a bullish run past the established resistance between $2300 - $2400.
SBUX - Potential Breakout & LevelsSitting just under support here on SBUX wedge, looking for a move back into the trend or a breakout below.
Here are my levels for calls and puts:
Calls <114.24
Puts > 110.02
Relative Volume is @ 0.74 right now, we are looking for Rel Vol over 1.00 to confirm an entry.
keep this one on your watchlist
NFLX Cup and HandleNFLX has been in a range for some time, but a very clear C&H is developing. Today's candle with a long lower shadow and support at the 21 EMA. Confirmation for me is a break of the handle with a significant amount of volume (at least 1x Relative Volume). Measurements on the chart for the move. Let me know your thoughts!!!
VVPR Cup and Handle DevelopingVVPR appears to be developing a cup and handle dating back to October. We are missing the handle, though. This may be a brief pullback leading to a run up. Measurements for the cup are on the chart at approximately $7 from the top. On watch for a handle to develop or break out of the cup.
Volume was something to mention. The volume on the Weds run up was 16.5 million on a daily average of 1.625 million. A 10x Relative Volume.
Also worth mentioning, price reentered the RSI bull zone on 12/22 prior to the Weds run up.
volume : main force behind major market moves Volume is one piece of information that is often neglected, however, learning to interpret volume brings many advantages and could be of tremendous help when it comes to analyzing the markets. In addition to technicians, fundamental investors also take notice of the numbers of shares traded for a given security.
Volume analysis can help to confirm the existence, or a continuation, of a trend - If trading volume increases, prices generally move in the same direction - or trend reversal - If there is no relationship between the trading volume and the price of a security, this signals weakness in the current trend and a possible reversal.
Essentially, trading volume can legitimize a security's price action, which can then aid an investor in their decision to either buy or sell that security.
So let’s begin by having a closer look at what volume is and how it can help traders!
What is Volume?
The volume represents all the recorded trades for a security that occurs in a given time interval. It is a measurement of the participation, enthusiasm, and interest in a given security. Think of volume as the force that drives the market. Volume substantiates, energizes, and empowers price. When volume increases, it confirms price direction; when volume decreases, it contradicts price direction.
In theory, increases in volume generally precede significant price movements. However, If the price is rising in an uptrend but the volume is reducing or unchanged, it may show that there’s little interest in the security, and the price may reverse.
A high volume usually indicates more interest in the security and the presence of institutional traders. However, a rapidly rising price in an uptrend accompanied by a huge volume may be a sign of exhaustion.
Traders usually look for breaks of support and resistance to enter positions. When security break critical levels without volume, you should consider the breakout suspect and prime for a reversal off the highs/lows
Volume spikes are often the result of news-driven events. Volume spike will often lead to sharp reversals since the moves are unsustainable due to the imbalance of supply and demand
Important note: there’s no centralized exchange where trades are recorded, so the volume data represents what happens at a particular exchange only
In most charting platforms, the volume indicator, one of the oldest market indicator, is presented as color-coded bars, green if the security closes up and red if the security closed lower, where the height of the bars show the amount of the recorded trades. Additionally, there are many custom studies, available on trading platforms as it is the case for @TradingView, where the volume information is presented with added additional insight, such as adding volume moving average, presenting relative volume with four colored histogram
What Else?
Apart from the volume itself, your ability to assess what volume is telling you in conjunction with price action can be a key factor in your ability to turn a profit in the market. It makes little sense to analyze the volume alone. To correctly interpret the volume data, it shall be seen in the light of what the price is doing. there are a lot of other indicators that are based on the volume data as well as price action. Analyzing those volume indicators has always helped traders and investors to better understand what is happening in the market. Here are some of the commonly used volume indicators:
• On Balance Volume
• Money Flow Index
• Chaikin Money Flow
Shortly;
On Balance Volume
The On Balance Volume indicator, is a technical analysis indicator that relates volume flow to changes in a security’s price. It uses a cumulative total of positive and negative trading volume to predict the direction of price. The OBV is a volume-based momentum oscillator, so it is a leading indicator — it changes direction before the price
Granville, creator of OBV, proposed the theory that changes in volume precede price movements in a measurable way. He believed that volume was the main force behind major market moves and thought of OBV’s prediction of price changes as a compressed spring that expands rapidly when released.
It is believed that the OBV shows the interactions between the institutional and retail traders in the market
If the price makes a new high, the OBV should also make a new high. If the OBV makes a lower high when the price makes a higher high, there’s a classical bearish divergence — indicating that only the retail traders are buying. Another type of bearish divergence occurs when the price remains relatively quiet and fails to make a higher high but the OBV soars higher than the previous high — indicating that the institutional traders are accumulating short positions. On the other hand, if the price makes a lower low and the OBV makes a higher low, there is a classical bullish divergence, showing that the institutional traders don’t believe in that move
Money Flow Index
The Money Flow Index indicator (MFI) is a tool used in technical analysis for measuring buying and selling pressure. This is done through analyzing both price and volume. When the MFI rises, this indicates an increase in buying pressure. When it falls, this indicates an increase in selling pressure. The Money Flow Index can generate several signals, most notably: overbought and oversold conditions, divergences, and failure swings
The MFI is essentially the RSI with the added aspect of volume
Chaikin Money Flow
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator (CMF) is a volume indicator that measures the money flow volume over a chosen period. The money flow volume is a measure of the volume and where the price closed relative to the trading session’s range. It comes from the idea that buying pressure is indicated by a rising volume and recurrent closes in the upper part of the session’s price range while selling pressure is demonstrated by an increasing volume and repeated closes in the lower part of the price range.
Both buying and selling pressures are accompanied by an increase in volume, but the location of the closing prices are in accordance with the direction of price
There are many others, that you may be interested to check further
• Price-Volume Trend (PVT)
• Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI), Dormeier’s awarded study
• Ease of movement
• Accumulation/distribution, base for Chaikin Money Flow
• Volume-Weighted Average Price
• Volume-Weighted Price Bars, present if price movements are supported by Volume
• …
Additional example custom studies to the one presented with the idea
Conclusion
Volume analysis is very important to traders and investors. There are numerous volume indicators out there, but we have discussed some of the commonest ones. Study them and add them to your analysis tools to improve your trading.
Morning Ideas November 13, 2019Stuck in the middle of this upper balance.
It's a good thing and a bad thing for the longs.
It's good because we aren't rejecting this upper balance, we are still very much in the middle of the balance.
The bad news here is that we can still pull back to the lower end of the balance so if you're long, you may have to sit through some heat.
VPOC from yesterday is above us and this market is likely to be pretty choppy on the open because we are in an area of acceptance.
Refrain from chasing the market in such environments.
Morning Ideas November 5, 2019Some good news out of china overnight send the market up with a little spike.
We are ranging near the value high and wold expect this market to continue in this direction,but we may need to dip into value first.
I would continue to be long, and although there will be some short opportunities, make sure you are not overstaying them!
Morning Ideas November 4, 2019Good morning from Colombia!
We are at ATH again, and we continue to accept higher.
Listen to that again, we continue to accept higher prices.
The market is NOT showing any signs at this point, so you have to be long, IMO.
The market is stretched overnight on low volume, so I'll wait for low 70's.
Morning Ideas September 25, 2019After the news of impeachment yesterday, the market took a nice 50 point dive. It ran my trades over, and I took a loss yesterday.
I would expect some continued weakness on the open, but I would expect the market to be bought later in the day, especially around 2940 area.