RELIANCE
Short RIL: Once 1975 breaks. Today's strength may be illusionRIL all time high came way ahead of the Nifty in September 20 itself. Since then it has had made rapid declines and from mid november ran sideways in to a triangular formation.
Today's leap up could turn out to be the final wave e within this triangle that forms a larger degree wave iv.
A goal of 1650 wont be audacious with a review in between at 1840 for take profits or not, but this setup triggers ONLY when RIL futures move below 1975.
It is stocks like Reliance and a few other large caps that took rest after peaking out ahead of the broader market and all side stocks in the derivatives space and cash non derivative stocks created frenzy making a number of "knowing too much" traders get hesitant on the indices. Now with a resumption of the downtrend possible in these biggies and the side-market having frenzied out who knows Nifty may give a deep good 10% correction signal too if it closes below 13585 today.
Stay tuned. Outlook and analysis subject to change, soon as market produces any other pattern or signal! The only sure thing in life is hunger and the other sure thing that relieves from this only one sure thing is death. Rest is all risky!
RELIANCE - SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE - Swing/Short term tradeThe above analysis is based purely on price action & chart patterns.
The analysis is done on 60 min TF, hence it may take price to reach the targets in few days to few weeks.
Trade setup along with Entry strategies + SL & Targets are given in image itself.
Pls note that at this point, chances of breakout as well as breakdown, both are possible. Although chances of up-move are higher as per price movement
Traders can take the advantage of above study in intraday trades as well.
Traders must do their own study before entering into any trade. They must trade with their own money & risk management.
Feel Free to comment for any suggestion or query regarding price action analysis.
NIFTY (Strategy)Hi Everyone,
We are in a great period of time with great momentum and bullishness in the market, one of the fastest recoveries in history from the dip. The momentum seems to be really good but there comes the catch.
The stretch we are currently seeing is filled by strategies laid out by the Government/RBI, not because of real GDP growth.
One of the Important points we have to note is the current NIFTY PE Ratio is standing at 36.73 (To be frank, we have never seen such a high PE ratio in the last 10-20 years). We are at a critical stage, that NIFTY 50 companies need to generate at least double their profits to reduce the PE ratio between 20-25. Will this happen quickly? Anyone can answer this question.
My point here is: The current chart shows we are at a critical point. We may go higher/lower depending on the below points,
we still have some bullish catalyst for the markets to go higher: New stimulus package approval before Christmas by Biden.
We also have a bearish catalyst for the markets to go lower, Biden to introduce Higher corporate tax rates and Higher Long term capital gains tax.
But please be aware anyone having long positions, have the below strategies until the market gives a clear view:
1. Trim the positions
2. Keep tight stop loss
3. Buy Nifty Puts with risk management (for Ex: if your portfolio is 1 lac - keep 10% for buying put options this can help you protect your portfolio in downfall)
Having good trading strategy is very important, so please keep a close eye on NIFTY
Thanks!
Disclaimer: This is just my view and not trading advice
Reliance - Still no upward movement confirmationReliance after forming three Doji in last five trading sessions of November remains locked inside the marabozu candles levels.
RSI about to breakdown below 40
No longs to be initiated before closing above 1985
Lower levels are open as soon as the support line is broken on closing basis.
Reliance - Downward Journey StartsFinally Reliance cleared it's direction after three Dojis towards down side by breaking all three Doji lows of 1920 in intrady and RSI is now below 40 again.
It's all set to test recent low of 1835 on Tuesday itself and then next two are fibo Retracement levels of:
61.8% - 1795
50% - 1680
Excellent buying opportunity below 1680 once RSI starts the Support sign.
Reliance Formed Third Doji - Range 1980-1920#Reliance formed a third Doji in last four days of Trade. There is strong clash between bulls and bears within the range of 1980 to 1920.
With expiry keeping things unclear, the #December series can see sharp moves in either direction once this range is broken on closing basis either side.
Ultimate targets remain the same - 1600 on lower side and 2200 on upper side with further upmove on closing above 2200