Correction Wave 5 in Reliance Industries Complete? Now what?Correction phase of Reliance industries has been patience testing for it's investors. As per my personal analysis these are the 3 paths that it can probably take.
Path1) Now it can go either from a to b with stoppages. Closing above 1252 will enable Ril reach from a to d that is 1252 to 1429. If we get a breakout near 1429 upside targets will be 1452, 1479 and 1500 to 1600 range.
Path 2) The path that it can take is a to c to d to e and e to f. Which is from 1251 it can again fall to 1203 from 1203 it can again travel to 1251 from 1251 down to 1110 and from 1110 to 1379 levels.
Path 3) The path that it can also take is a to c to d to g. Which is from 1251 it can again fall down to 1203 from there it can reach 1252 and from there it can jog to 1323 levels.
Reliance is conglomerate of Oil and Gas, Retail, Green Energy, Media and Telecom, Textile etc. businesses. In the short medium or long term it will rise again in all probabilities. An investor can take a decision to hold, compound, average or add Reliance Industries to their portfolio. I have personally added a good chunk of Reliance stocks to my portfolio where it existed already. Right now Reliance is in an patience testing phase of an investor's journey. I believe that rewards will come sooner rather than later. Reliance has been part of my Portfolio since I started my investment journey so there is a chance of bias in my analysis so invest wisely after looking at the chart.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Reliancesuppourtandresistance
Reliance near major support zone. Reliance is a large cap company with a market cap of Rs.17,15,224 Crores. CMP of the stock is Rs.1268 with and EPS of Rs.50.2. PE of the company is 25.2. Ten year PE is 21.2. PE in July was 30.9 which has corrected to 25.2 now.
Reliance Industries is a fundamentally strong stock. The company covers following sectors.
1) Energy
a) Oil and Gas Exploration & Production
b) Refining & Marketing
c) New Energy & New Materials (Production of Green energy
2) Petrochemicals
a) Textiles
b) Polymers
c) Polyesters
d) Fibre Intermediates
e) Aromatics
f) Elastomers
g) Reliance Composites Solutions
3) Retail
a) JioMart
b) Smart Bazaar,
c) Reliance Digital
d) Just Dial
4) Jio
a) Digital Services
b) Telecom
5) Media and Entertainment
a) Jio Cinema
b) via com18
c) Network 18
d) Jio Studios
Thus Reliance is a company with vivid portals of revenue generation and investing in one company called Reliance empowers you into investment in spectrum of companies with multiple revenue sources. Investing in Reliance is like investing in Mutual fund.
The Weekly Chart (which we use for gaining long term perspective of a company) of Reliance indicates it is near a support zone. Immediate support being at 1254. 200 Weeks EMA of the stock or the Father line support is at 1176. This indicates that the stock might be near the bottom if it has not formed the bottom already. On the upper side when Reliance starts to move upwards the resistances will be at 1331 and 1396. 1396 being major Mother line resistance of 50 Weeks EMA. Above 1396 weekly closing Reliance will be very bullish again and can regain the levels of 1532 and 1600+ levels in 6 to 12 month. Channel top seems to be in the range of 1753 to 1980 range depending on the future results and future performances of various revenue streams. Bollinger band suggests a bounce in short to medium term in the stock. Looking at the index and weightage of Reliance in the index it will be imperative for Reliance to bounce for index to bounce in a most probable scenario. The waiting period can be 6 to 12 months as the stock is not very strong on technicals. however it is not below 200 Weeks EMA either.
Overall Reliance is a large cap stock that has created immense wealth over the years and I do not see any reason currently why it can continue to perform and create wealth for years to come. Outlook for the company in the year 2025 specially 3rd Quarter onwards looks very upbeat once the Green Energy production and revenue strats to trickle in. There is also a possibility of listing of JIO Digital and Telecom as a separate company in they year 2025. Listing of Reliance Retail as a company will be next. (Post Jio telecom listing). The potential of value unlocking in the stock remains immense in our opinion.
To know more about Techno-Funda investing, Mother Father and small child theory, Parallel channel you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. My book is now also available on Google Play books. Do read it. Have a look at the reviews which say that the book is a masterpiece and can be considered as a hand book for investing in equities.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.