Repeat
KLCI Cycle & elliotwave analysis. 11/July/22.KLCI “based” on its cycle analysis. KLCI is still forming its expanding flat pattern in (A)(B)(C)(cyan) in wave 2 ( Red Circled) which probably ONLY completed by end of 2022 as long term cycle 8 (purple) alway reached near by the red vertical line. (Year end).
Btc going bullish (historic repeat)The april 2021 drop of $36000 lasted 96days in total before bouncing up and making all time highs in November 2021 now since November as you could expect the price has been dropping by a substantial amount ($25000+ to be more specific). Using this info i can work out a wide estimate of when btc will start to rise again.
Using some basic math i have concluded that the present drop in btc should last 67.2days in total give or take 10days (More specific time range in bold at the bottom of this idea), we are currently around the 62 day mark of the drop so we should be expecting price to reverse back tot the upside fairly soon. (see my analysis below don't take my word for it)
How i came to this conclusion:
Looking at the current triangle pattern on the daily timeframe you can already estimate the price where we will start to see the rise but just not when it will rise, so for the sake of this example and so its not a complete guess lets just stick to the amount btc has already dropped in the present dip ($25000) even tho i expect it to drop atleast another $1000.
The math behind the statement:
Drop1(April 2021) $36000 - 96days,
Drop2(November 2021) $25000 - ?
Basic math -
drop2 is 70% of drop1 ($25000 is 70% of $36000).
So if i do 70% of the total days the drop took to complete in drop1 i will have a rough (to ratio) drop time.
70% of 96days is 67.2days.
Additional info:
Obviously this is a estimation but a fairly accurate one, i would suggest to give or take 10 days.
Also i would like to add this math was done on a $25000 drop more realistically id expect to see $28000, so below ill use my formula to recalculate the time it will take but substitute $25000 for $28000.
Drop1(April 2021) $36000 - 96days
Drop2(November 2021) $28000 - ?
$28000 is 78% of $36000.
78% of 96days is 74.88Days.
Overall id expect it to take in between these 2 answers no longer and no shorter but as you will all know you can never be certain.
62.2days - 74.8days would be my most precise answer so if you read this far there you go and please let me know what you think.
BTC Bear Market 1st Peak FractalAre you all starting to understand or see what i have been talking about?? Get ready for BTC's Longest Bear Market to Date..
Now Let me State That Yes I can bee 100% Wrong here. I Could be completely wrong and be making judgement too early and it be that we actually do see a parabolic run up soon before the bear market begins but as the state of the current Stock market is looking so bad i can't see us going on much longer without seeing a black swan event.
US30 --- FRACTAL PLAY POSSIBILITY --- HISTORY REPEATS**************************************
Market Structure Alignment
US30 DOW JONES
M = B
W = B
D = B
H4 = B
H1 =
M15 =
M5 =
M1 =
**************************************
BIASES:
BB = Bullish BIAS
BRB = Bearish BIAS
****************************************
CODES:
b = Bullish
bg = Bullish Range
br = Bearish
brg = Bearish Range
****************************************
Bimb = Buyers IMBalance
Simb = Sellers IMBalance
****************************************
Boms = Break of Market Structure
Bboms = Bullish Break of Market Structure
Brboms = Bearish Break of Market Structure
****************************************
DZ = DemandZONE
SZ =SupplyZONE
************************************
H = High
HH = HigherHIGH
HL = HigherLOW
L = Lower
LL = Lowbrow
LH = LowerHIGH
*************************************
POI = Point Of Interest
IMB = Imbalance
IC = Institutional Candle
MIT = Mitigation
*************************************
Black = Monthly
Red = Weekly
Green = Daily
Yellow = H4
SkyBlue = H1
NavyBlue = M15
Pink = M5
Purple = M1
Orange = Alerts
************************************
Vertical SPY PUT Short 2021Opened SPY Vertical Put Spread for $0.14 and expires on March 31, 2021. 85 SPY Put Buy at 271 and 85 SPY Put Sell at 266. Max gain is $41,310 and Max loss is $1,190. All the evictions pending, restriction of movement from state to state, election uncertainty, potential conflict in the Middle East against Iran since the 1 year anniversary of Qassem Soleimani and the Yearly sell off.
Will History Repeat itself ? BITCOIN Christmas Tree Pattern!Merry Christmas Everyone! and hope 2021 will be the best of luck!
I want to thank each and every one of you for supporting me this year, and I promise to keep pushing forward...
If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
This Christmas pattern is just for fun but at the same time may be relevant to the current situation.
Will history repeat itself this Christmas. Let's see how it goes!
As per my last Bitcoin video analysis, I mentioned that price is approaching a strong round number 25k so we will be looking for sell setups. but that doesn't mean that we should sell now, we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes, with extra confirmation and trigger. (or whatever suits your trading plan)
Good luck everyone and thank you once again.
Have a blessed season!
Sideways until the end of October?Hello, traders.
Today's question is pretty simple, does the history repeats itself?
Because if they do, we can predict the price more certainly about the next movement, see this example on BITCOIN:
After an almost 50% raise, the BTC started an accumulation pattern which took approximately 90 days to begin a new impulsive wave, which made the price rise almost 40%, and after that, the price started a new accumulation phase that is happening right now.
So if the history repeats itself, we can expect another big sideways movement until the end of October.
And another 40% - 50% rise is expected.
Best Regards.
rinse and repeatCall me crazy, but we are doing the same thing over and over again here.
I'll elaborate.
On the right chart you will see the 15 minute candles around May30th to may 31st. Large head deviation only to return to trading range.
On the left chart, you will see 4h candles, where the H&S I just mentioned looks much smaller.
Remember that big sell off yesterday? once again we returned to our trading range. Big ol' head, and we are currently trading up what could be the right shoulder.
So why does this matter? Check the daily chart I am about to link.
You will notice we are doing the exact same thing.
WD Gann Geometric Pattern Repeats - 4 dimensional marketthe narrow range bounded market in September followed with a sharp drop in Dow - looks very much alike with today's market, which there is very narrow movement between 28050-28200 and then a big drop. "There is no new thing under the sun, History merely repeats itself", today looks like a new rally for at least 200-300 points to come.
SELBThe slow climb of Selecta Bioscience. It trades/trends within the channel and reaches the highs and lows. Every Nov/Oct it's been falling down but takes it's time within teh channel to ramp up to a certain peak.
News definitely adds as catalyst but it doesn't go beyond the channel. It's interesting to see how it traders after the dip and now the ramp up will begin.