August Report: Alt Coin Power? @ Aug 8th, 12th, 17th: IV-V WaveThings are turning interesting here.
Decreased volatility for the last few days is an indication of volatile price change is in the near future.
We are more likely to have a rally, than a decline, as we are finishing what appears to be a micro 1-5,abc pattern.
If the price continue to stabilize, this will lead for the price action for Alt coins accumulation, thus creating new bottoms of 2019.
I am sensing that alt coins are slowly, but surely waking up.
I am expecting big double digit gains in the alts.
Revisit your old favorite coin: Don't forget that somebody else's shit coin - is a diamond to you - in a few years.
On July 31,2019, FED begin to cut rates?
We could see a price increase in the Crypto, as a value of dollar will decline against Cryptos.
High interests are good for market, and bad for main street and crypto.
However, low interest rates are good for Crypto, and complicated for stock bubble, as central banking will continue to inject capital into stock market, as long as Earning Reports are good.
This year we can see some significant movements by government to make regulatory inclination. We have hearings in Congress because of Facebook Libra.
Hot Summer just getting hotter for Crypto Community.
Good luck everyone ;)
**LEGENDS**
BLUE = Bear/Resistance
Yellow = Bull/ Support
~Explore the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~
/*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/
If you want your coin to be analyzed, JUST ask.
If you got a question, ASK away!
And please keep those Stop losses in place!
Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation - vertical lines!
Thank you,
Ajion
Report
The price returned to test the medium term key supportThe price returned to test.
The price returned to test the medium term key support at 123.8. If it were violated to the downside with closure below it would be a strongly bearish scenario. This would immediately lead it to the next static support at 122.6. Within a couple of sessions then could try to break it down. The pair could reach the next support area at 118 in a week. If, on the other hand, this level, where is the price now, resisted, a very short uptrend will follow up to the static resistance set at 125.7.
Most plausible scenario
Given the macroeconomic situation that is causing markets and investors worry, it is very likely that shortly we will be able to see a retracement of the main indices. This shifting investors to Japan’s currency. The scenario that is taking shape in the European currency also weighs heavily. The ECB’s stagnant economic and monetary policy is weakening the euro. The currency will continue to depreciate throughout 2019.
Intel Releases their Annual ReportINTC Annual Report
Five years ago, we set out a strategy to transform from a PC-centric to a data-centric company. Our 2018 results serve as a strong proof point that our strategy is working and our transformation is well underway. We achieved record revenue and earnings per share (EPS), driven by strong business performance, continued operating leverage, and a lower tax rate. Revenue from our data-centric businesses collectively increased by double digits. Our PC-centric business grew above our expectations and continued to be a source of profit, cash flow, scale, and intellectual property (IP). While we have had delays in implementing our 10 nanometer (nm) manufacturing process technology, we have continued to innovate in our 14nm products, introducing leadership products that deliver more value to our customers. We've expanded beyond PC and server businesses with significant growth in adjacent products, and gained share in an expanded $300 billion TAM1. Our employees are executing to our strategy by developing compelling technology and delivering innovative products to our customers, enabling strong financial growth.
Unum Market Commentary: Recession Realities Hit JSE; Rand SlidesOn Tuesday, the reality of South Africa's economic challenges manifested itself in the data set released by Statistics South Africa which showed that the economy contracted by 0.7% for the second quarter of 2018, following on from a 2.6% contraction in the first. Immediately following the release, weakness was seen in the Rand which saw a sharp sell-off from 15.02 to 15.21 versus the US Dollar. This weakness continued throughout the day with the local unit reaching a low of R15.38 versus the greenback by 8pm Tuesday evening. As a result of the poor GDP print and subsequent currency slump, shares with widespread South African exposure saw sharp declines. These shares included Bidvest (-6.60%), Firstrand (-5.00%) and Vodacom (4.54%) while MTN (-17.05%) saw sharp losses on the back of fresh claims out of Nigeria. Benefiting from the weaker currency was Kumba Iron Ore (4.69%), Mediclinic International (2.45%) and British American Tobacco (+2.37%). On European markets, declines were seen across the board with the Euro Stoxx 50 index shedding 1.06% on the day, dragged down by luxury goods retailer LVMH (-3.51%) and semiconductor producer ASML (-3.20%). This morning, the Dollar starts on the back foot while Asian equities are down over 1% on average.
JSE Major Sectors
Resources 10 +0.55%
Industrial 25 -1.75%
Financial 15 -3.10%
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Join the Unum Trading Desk on Friday 7 Sep 2018 starting at 14:15 as we look to trade the EURUSD Forex pair on the NFP data. t.me
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In currencies, the South African Rand trades as follows:
USDZAR -0.25% to 15.30
GBPZAR -0.23% to 19.67
EURZAR -0.17% to 17.74
Gold trades at $1198
Platinum at $778
Brent Crude Oil at $77.83
International Markets
This morning, Asian equities are as follows:
Nikkei 225 (-0.30%)
Hang Seng (-1.67%)
Shanghai Composite (-0.92%)
Latam Markets closed as follows:
Merval 25 (-4.10%)
Bovespa (-1.94%)
INMEX (-1.18%)
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Company News
Steinhoff International Holdings N.V - Sale Of Interests In The Poco Furniture Group
On 26 April 2018 the Group announced that it had agreed in principle a settlement of the German litigation proceedings between the Group and entities controlled by Dr Andreas Seifert (the “Seifert Entities”). It was noted in the 26 April 2018 announcement that the Seifert Entities had offered to acquire the Group’s remaining 50% interest in the POCO furniture group (“POCO”).
The Group’s subsidiary LiVest GmbH (“LiVest”) holds the Group’s shares in POCO and has today entered into a sale agreement with the Seifert Entities by which the Seifert Entities will acquire LiVest’s shares in POCO and certain related properties for a total consideration of €270.685 million (the “POCO Sale”). In addition, the POCO business will retain debt of approximately €140 million, with no recourse to the Group. The closing of the POCO Sale is subject to typical conditions precedent including German and Austrian competition and merger control provisions. Closing of the POCO Sale shall bring the German litigation proceedings with the Seifert Entities to an end.
As noted in the Company’s Q3 2018 trading update, following the declaration of a dispute by the Pohlmann family regarding the 2015 sale of their interest in LiVest to Steinhoff, any proceeds from the sale by LiVest of its 50% share in POCO will be held in escrow while the Pohlmann dispute is finalised.
Shareholders and other investors in the Company are advised to exercise caution when dealing in the securities of the Group.
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Aus miners:
BHP Billiton (-2.42%)
Rio Tinto (-2.48%)
S32 (-2.31%)
FANGs
Facebook (-2.60%)
Amazon (+1.33%)
Netflix (-1.11%)
Google (-1.66%)
FTSE Miners:
Anglo American plc (-1.48%)
BHP Billiton plc (-1.92%)
Glencore plc (-1.81%)
Alibaba Holdings (-2.61%)
Tencent Holdings (-2.48%)
Share Link: bit.ly/JoinUnum
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Please feel free to contact the Unum Trading desk for any queries : 011 384 29 29
Should Read Their Yearly ReportWas wondering why the sudden decision to close Sam's Club but once you see that Sam's Club has not been generating as much revenue. It all makes sense. Interesting move that makes their numbers look amazing really. So how does this play out in the long run. 1) Closing stores brings down cost since running those stores are not cheap in any way. 2) Makes the math look great. There's a college joke that goes around. If we drop the students with the lowest GPA and transfer them to another school. The GPA of both schools will increase. (Sad through really). They close Sam's club that are doing poorly and in return, the numbers for Sam's Club on paper will increase. As is Sam's Club really did not have a great few year.
s2.q4cdn.com(1).pdf
If anything, if you were a shareholder and saw Sam's Club results. You would most likely drop them too. As is Walmart does not have the greatest reputation so increasing wages and closing stores randomly helps them in both front. Wage increase shows their care for their workers and random closure just keeps people guessing. (Which explains why their stocks did not go as high as it should have.)
Anyways, have fun dissecting the rest of the report. Got to go back to class now.
Tesla Short Term Daily TurnaroundTesla's share price has just double bottomed on both the 200 day EMA and MA, two very strong trend support/resistance zones. Coupled with the pending quarterly earnings report tomorrow (November 1st, 2017), I expect a bullish week ahead. This is a very low risk trade with a stop loss ~$3 below the entry, which is right below the 200 EMA/MA, and an initial target of $338 just below the 0.236 fib, which is entirely dependent on the details of the earnings report. On the last earnings report on August 2nd when earnings were beat by 0.61 points (yet still at a loss below -$1/share) price immediately jumped from that daily open of $318 to the next daily open of $345 to continue upwards into the next week, topping at $370, an increase of 16%. I anticipate similar results for tomorrow if analysts earnings estimates are beat again.
REPORT. Prediction of the S&P and how you can react Q4-Q1 (2017)Gold as save haven?
No expiration timeframe, no extension possible.
S&P500 correlated to deutsche bank (DB)
Highly correlation between them. A price of 12,00 for one stock deutsche bank is to high.
take a look at this figure:
in bad fincial times we seek really horrible figures... On this moment Europe and the US have more or less the same problems in political and financial way as in 2008
take a look at my last report:
we are seeing that gold is a save investing, and the S&P reacts on financials.
information derived from Bloomberg, ING TA/FA
none of these information influence the market, trading is at you'r own risk.
Clearly this is bearish!!SHARE PRICES, SINCE FRIDAY’S MARK, HAVE MOVED NOWHERE as our International Index has lost one single point as five of the ten markets in our Index have fallen and as five have risen. Given that our Index finished last year at 9,556 and given that it is 9,238, for the year-to-date stocks in global terms are down 3.3%, while stocks here in the US as represented by the S&P are as close to unchanged as they can be for the S&P closed last year at 2,044 and it closed Friday at 2,046.
What is more important, however, than the year-to-date change is the change from our Index’ all-time high late last May at 11,185, for from that high stocks globally are down a very material 17.4%. Clearly this is bearish; clearly stocks in global terms are not bullishly inclined and clearly too here in the US , as evidenced by the chart of the NASDAQ included here this morning at the lower left of p.1, the very nature of the US market is turning for the worse as the upward sloping trend line that has defined the bullish run here in the States is about to be put very much to test.
Quietly, but steadily, in our own account… our retirement funds here at TGL and the only money we manage but money that is really rather important to us, obviously!... we are turning bearish of equities. Friday, because our position in aluminium has been turning against us, we cut that position yet again, for we always try our best “to do more of that which is working and less of that which is not.” We began cutting that position late two weeks ago and quietly but steadily cut it back last week and now have 1/3 of the position that we had on at its peak. It’s hurt us badly that we did not cut it more swiftly and more severely, but that is the nature of our trading activity; we are relatively slow to add to positions and we are equally, but relatively slow to cut them back, but do it we have.
For the record, as of Friday’s close we are +4.3% for the year-to-date, out-performing our International Index handily and still out-performing the S&P and thus most hedge funds; but clearly the past two weeks have not been our best. Today, however, given our positions in gold we should see the “spread” between our performance and that of the broad global and parochial US markets widen pleasantly in our favor.
Crude under pressureCrude (22.05.2015) traded lower as per our expectation as mention in our previous article, however it fail to reach to $55.70 mark & bounced back with current week inventory support.
Now crude is trading around $60 mark & as we can see on charts, crude trying to retest the broken trade line of ascending channel. The bounce was supported by volume as well as pattern is not very ideal for recovery. On elliott wave count , crude probably trading under 1st downside wave with probably V wave down now. However the count is not very ideal still there is no other probability available this time.
On fundamental side, although we witness a good withdrawal last week, total inventories still roaming around all time high while strong dollar likely to continue.
Based on above technical picture , crude probably move downward once again. Level $55.70 & then $51.50 will be on radar.
MCX -> S2(3610) S1(3724) cmp(3832) R1(3910) R2(3980)
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/ sell recommendation.
Read more articles here www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Copper breaking down Copper (19.05.2015) finally providing some directional momentum after spending more than 3 weeks in range.
Now copper is trading around $2.8626 & as we can see on charts , after spending more than 10 trading session , finally copper providing a downside breakout with aggressive volume. The reversal coming in copper is from 61.8% fibonacci retracement level as well as very close to the top line of long descending channel . Below $2.8398 mark we may witness more weakness in prices.
On fundamental side , upcoming FOMC meeting on Wednesday could provide hint for a rate increase & thus may support dollar price while hurt the base metal sector. China still not performing well in respect to economic data.
copper
Based on above studies, we prefer to stay on sell for possible levels around $2.80 followed by 2.7050 in coming trading session.
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/ sell recommendation. Email us at mantracommodity@yahoo.com
MCX levels -> S2(393) S1(401.80) cmp(407) R1(409.70) R2(416.50)
More reports @ www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Crude can hit back again.Crude(25.03.2015) broken downside & traded lower towards $43 mark as mention in our last analysis. However the recovery was quite sharp to resistance zone once again.
Now crude is trading around $47.50 & as we can see on charts, its approaching to the broken tradeline of last symmetrical triangle pattern. This recovery seems to be a corrective one due to less volume & weak candlestick structure. However small timeframe charts showing some positivity but day & weekly charts are still bearish. To convert this rally into a reversal crude must provide a close above $55 mark otherwise a deeper fall may occur this time.
On fundamental side nothing have changed. Crude inventory & production still on higher levels while next OPEC meeting due on 5th june 2015 at Vienna, Austria is far away.
Based on above studies, we will prefer to stay on sell side & may witness a fall back towards $44 mark & may be followed by $41 in coming weeks.
MCX -> S2(2810) S1(3020) cmp(3130) R1(3300) R2(3560)
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us
Call Us : 088890 34986
www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Crude waiting for breakoutCrude (10.03.2015) fall more than 60% in last 6 months & now consolidating in tight range , probably looking for another big move.
Crude is trading around $50.80 & as we can see on charts it is trapped in a range & producing a symmetrical triangle pattern. Generally these patterns appear before a big move & provide a either side breakout in 50-75% length range. Candlestick pattern are neutral with RSI. Decreasing volume from last few weeks hint for the same.
On fundamental side, upcoming crude inventory will decide future direction while Greece uncertainty & dollar strength will keep pressure on oil prices.
Based on above studies, we will prefer to go with the breakout of current symmetrical triangle while $58 mark on upside & $43 on downside act as profit booking levels.
MCX -> S2(2810) S1(3020) cmp(3130) R1(3300) R2(3560)
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation.
More reports available here www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Tesla: Negative reports exaggerated, positive news ignored.Recently with Tesla, Positive news has been ignored and negative news has been exaggerated. This irrational pessimism, combined with high short interest might indicate a rapid momentum upwards swing is in order. This is especially true if Tesla chooses to announce their CPO program or their stationary storage product soon.
Silver with a bull start of 2015Silver(07.01.2015) remain very quite for more than 2 months & traded in range. However this range bound trading came with some surprising moves which plotting the future movement story most probably.
Fundamental remains very weak for silver from last few months, gold with bad performance in 2014 kept pressure on silver as well as slowdown in leading manufacturing economy china slashes silver demand as industrial metal. With a positive start of 2015 from gold & a major expectation of QE from china , japan & europe together could provide a supportive ambiance for this metal.
Coming to the technical picture, Silver trading at $16.35 while i am writing this & as we can see on chart in December 2014 silver made a low around $14 mark & bounce same day with some extra volume. This move almost tested the 261.8% fibonacci retracement level of last upside move. This move also provided a strong positive divergence on charts as well as a falling volume under consolidation period suggest absence of sellers on current level. Thus a combination of bounce from lower trendline of long term descending channel & a most possible inside bullish channel hinting for a recovery ahead. Area around $17.70 & then $18.70 could be targeted in coming trading session.
SILVER MCX has same story like comex silver still on mcx charts, silver looks more comfortable , probably due to INR movement. A strong black cloud cover candle with great volume & follow up by a consolidation period with thin volume. RSI generating a positive divergence . Silver also broken above a descending trendline & currently following a minor upside channel. This technical setup suggest for a bounce ahead to retest the previous high around 39000 & then may be 41000 in coming trading session.
At the end time will tell us the true story.
Best of luck.
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us
Call Us : 088890 34986
www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Natural gas consolidation likely to continue.Natural gas (03.12.2014) made high round $4.6 on unexpected cold front in November month while upcoming mild weather forecast forced trader to book profit on higher levels.
On fundamental side, mild weather in US expected to continue for coming 2 weeks & will put more pressure on prices. On other hand current inventory level of natural gas is 3432 bcf which is down by 400bcf compare to 5 year average. Inventory forecast for this week is -51 while 5 year average withdrawal is -17. These inventory level might help natural gas prices to hold above current year low.
Now natural gas is trading around $3.772 & as we can see on charts, natural gas once again came below the long term descending trendline running from 2013 high of $5.475. Technical picture suggest for more downside move towards previously broken support & then towards 2014 low at $3.611. However the volume associated with this move is quite low & thus this move could be temporary.
Mcx natural gas trading at 235.50 mark while i am writing. Mcx natural gas has almost same story , keep falling after putting a temporary high of 281 while falling continue on mild weather forecast. From technical aspect break below support trendline & 61.8% fibonacci retracement suggest for more weakness ahead. Most possibly natural gas can fill the contract gap ( 229-223.5) on charts. It will be very interesting to watch when the gap will be filled & winter will arrive again.
Based on above studies, we will prefer to sell natural gas on some rise for mention downside targets in coming trading session.
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation.
Our blog - www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
visit www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
Swiss gold referendum - A bear trap ???Gold (01.12.2014) reverse from $1207 mark which we mention as first resistance for bulls. However fall from mention level should taken as correction or profit booking but swiss gold referendum added more fuel & created panic selling.
Now gold is trading around $1275 & we have witness a sharp bounce from recent low $1142 made just after a NO answer from swiss gold referendum. The bounce producing a major among trader that how actually this NO going to react. Here is the most possible answer.
Swiss gold referendum YES would force swiss banks to buy tonnes of gold to increase the gold holding from 8% to 20% but a NO answer is actually not going to change anything for gold normal trading. The panic selling come in first trading session was not supported by volume (see chart), while the NO answer avoided the immediate buying from swiss banks but now it is mandate for central bank to buy gold from open market or off market.
Coming to technical picture, gold made a low of $1142 & now trading above $1169 which represent the 61.8% fibonacci retracement of last upside move till $1207. A stability above this mark with volume & a very positive divergence on day chart suggest that gold already digested swiss result & a technical upside move will continue for coming trading session. A break above $1207 will provide more strength & we may witness a quick move towards $1247.
MCX GOLD traded lower with spot gold however the correction more deeper due to removal of 80:20 rule by indian government & low volume. Still on technical front gold was able sustain above previous low. This particular move forming a double bottom pattern which is well supported by positive divergence as shown in the chart. Channel resistance situated around 26780 & if this is broken we may witness a sharp move 26900 & more.
Swiss gold referendum could prove a big bear trap if above technical picture stay alive.
Best of luck
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us
Call Us : 088890 34986
Corrective bounce ahead Crude (12.9.2014) fall sharply in last few weeks & reach to the $90 sociological level.
Now crude is trading around $92.40 & the bounce $90 mark is well supported by many factors like 261.8% feb ret. , a lower tradeline of descending channel as well as a very strong positive divergence. All this together providing a buying opportunity at current level.
On fundamental side , continue demand for sanction on russia putting a dent on crude production future.
Based on above studies , crude possibly move towards $94.80 & then $96.50. a day close below $89.50 will delay the forecast.
MCX -> S2(5550) S1(5550) cmp(5678) R1(5740) R2(5833)
Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us
Call Us : 088890 34986
Copper reversal aheadCopper (19.8.14) traded lower as per expectation & reach to the support zone.
Now copper is trading around 6913 of lme & as we can see on charts, copper provided a false breakout below the lower tradeline of the ascending channel.However it was able to bounce in over night electrinic trading. The bouncing area was well supported by the 61.8% feb correction of the last bull wave as well as representing a parallel support from mid june 2014. RSI recovering on day charts while on 4h overcoming 50 mark.
On fundamental side , continue improving data from US might start supporting commodities as well as in this week fed meeting is pending & expecting interest rates to keep on life time low for some more time.
Based on above studies, copper has major probability of reversal & reach to possible levels 6970-7058 in coming trading session.
Note - above view is based on technical studies & do not represent our buy-sell recommendation
For recommendations call 088890 34986
JCP waking up, laggard playThis retailer had couple dissapointing earnings before, but on the last it beat above consensus with EPS surprice 0.11 and gapped up with pivot support @ $7.00 that was confirmed and retested in the mid of April. And from the beginnig of May it is building nice upper-level base in front of resistance $9.30. Yeasterday, it broke up tight consolidation which triggered my entry. Will be great to see continuation through resistance then we have 200 MA at $10 which could be our first target.
Stop below moving averages $8.20ish
Stock was underperforming vs overall market because of weak fundamentals. We have earnings on 15 of May.