Cot report data released last May 27thBased on the provided data from the CFTC's COT report for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of May 23, 2023, here is a detailed summary:
Bitcoin Futures:
Total open interest: 13,043 contracts
Non-commercial traders:
Long positions: 10,124 contracts
Short positions: 9,231 contracts
Spreading positions: 1,544 contracts
Commercial traders:
Long positions: 168 contracts
Short positions: 1,413 contracts
Net positions:
Non-commercial net long position: 893 contracts
Commercial net short position: 1,245 contracts
Changes in commitments from May 16, 2023:
Non-commercial traders:
Increase of 69 contracts in long positions
Increase of 187 contracts in short positions
Commercial traders:
Increase of 5 contracts in long positions
Decrease of 213 contracts in short positions
Micro Bitcoin Futures:
Total open interest: 10,042 contracts
Non-commercial traders:
Long positions: 6,399 contracts
Short positions: 7,955 contracts
Spreading positions: 885 contracts
Commercial traders:
Long positions: 160 contracts
Short positions: 0 contracts
Net positions:
Non-commercial net short position: 1,556 contracts
Commercial net long position: 160 contracts
Changes in commitments from May 16, 2023:
Non-commercial traders:
Increase of 76 contracts in long positions
Increase of 155 contracts in short positions
Decrease of 426 contracts in spreading positions
Commercial traders :
Decrease of 77 contracts in long positions
No change in short positions
In terms of open interest distribution, for Bitcoin futures:
Non-commercial traders represent 90.7% of the total open interest, while commercial traders represent 9.3%.
The largest four or less traders hold 63.3% of the total open interest, while the largest eight or less traders hold 71% of the total open interest.
For Micro Bitcoin futures:
Non-commercial traders represent 74.1% of the total open interest, while commercial traders represent 25.9%.
The largest four or less traders hold 31.7% of the total open interest, while the largest eight or less traders hold 40.8% of the total open interest.
the commercial traders in Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of May 23, 2023, have a net short position of 1,245 contracts. Comparing this to the previous data, there has been an increase of 127 contracts in their net short position since May 16, 2023. This suggests that commercial traders have become slightly more bearish or less bullish in their outlook for Bitcoin futures.
On the other hand, the non-commercial speculators have a net long position of 893 contracts as of May 23, 2023. Comparing this to the previous data, there has been an increase of 69 contracts in their net long position since May 16, 2023. This indicates that non-commercial speculators have become slightly more bullish or less bearish in their outlook for Bitcoin futures.
Based on the provided data, we can analyze the open interest shifts from last week to determine the sentiment of the big traders (commercials) in the Bitcoin futures market. However, please note that the open interest shifts alone may not provide a conclusive indication of bullish or bearish sentiment, as they need to be considered in conjunction with other factors and market analysis.
In the case of Bitcoin futures, the net change in commitments from May 16th, 2023, to May 23rd, 2023, for commercials shows an increase of 69 contracts in long positions and a decrease of 187 contracts in short positions. This net change suggests a slight shift towards a more bullish sentiment among commercials.
It's important to remember that open interest shifts represent the changing positions of traders but do not provide information on the specific direction or magnitude of price movements. To gain a more comprehensive understanding of market sentiment, it's advisable to consider multiple factors such as technical analysis, market news, and broader market trends.
Note that the day the commercial decrease the net long on btc micro we had a flash crash follow below..
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DYOR
Reports
Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Meetings on Stock PricesAs a stock trader, it's important to pay attention to major events that can impact the market, such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. These meetings can have a significant impact on stock prices, and understanding their historical trends can help you make informed trading decisions.
In preparation for the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, we've analyzed the highs from each FOMC meeting since 2021. We've compiled this data into a timeline that shows the market's reaction to these meetings, with vertical lines indicating market open and close.
As you can see from the image below, the majority of market movers occur in the after-hours trading following the FOMC meeting. This can be attributed to the fact that traders are reacting to the decisions made by the committee and adjusting their positions accordingly.
We've also calculated the percentage change from the original opening line to the high point for each meeting, with the highest mover being 6.14% and the lowest being 4.25%. These results were found at market close on Thursday following the FOMC meeting.
It's worth noting that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the market can be unpredictable. However, analyzing historical trends can be a useful tool for stock traders who want to be prepared for potential market movements.
In conclusion, the FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, is likely to have an impact on the stock market. By understanding historical trends and analyzing market data, traders can be better equipped to make informed trading decisions. We hope that this analysis has provided some useful insights and helps you navigate the market with confidence.
I hope that this analysis of previous FOMC meetings and their impact on the stock market will be helpful to anyone who is curious or considering trading tomorrow. However, we want to emphasize the importance of doing your own due diligence and research before making any trading decisions. The FOMC meetings can be highly unpredictable, and it's essential to trade smart and cautiously.
As our analysis shows, the majority of market movement following the FOMC meetings tends to occur in the after-hours trading, making it even more crucial to be cautious. Therefore, it's crucial to stay informed, keep an eye on market trends, and use historical trends as a guide while making informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, I hope this analysis provides helpful insights for traders and investors, but remember to exer cise caution and always be mindful of the risks involved in trading. Happy trading!
Looking at price action on AUDUSD following CPI reportsInflation is one of the key factors in FED's decisions. It is expected to move the market every time it gets released, especially now that FED is watching.
Previous CPI was on 13/10 - 0.6% against 0.4% forecasted.
There wasn't any directional move on that day, just liquidity sweep on both sides.
Before that, another report came out on 13/09 - 0.6% against 0.3% forecasted.
Price broke out previous session's high before the event and dropped massively with its announcement. So far, this is a never-look-back level.
On 10/08, there was second of only two reports this year that turned out with negative surprise - 0.3% against 0.5% forecasted.
There isn't any immediate low or high breach worth mentioning, the price just rocketed through everything in close vicinity. However, as I marked with Yellow line, there was a significant swing high in 60 days period that was breached only for price to return below it and never look back after. I am adding daily chart below with all of the reports.
From the daily chart, we may conclude that CPI report has a tendency to create Monthly or even multi-month Lows and Highs. Just in the latest 60 day window, the highest price was September's CPI, the lowest price in that window is October's CPI. With the exception of June, the reports always created a significant High or Low or were or were only one day away from it.
Most CPI candles also exert visibly above-average movement and like to take on liquidity in close proximity to the price.
A negative surprise (inflation lower than expected) would likely lead above 0.655, perhaps up to 0.66, but is unlikely to change the trend. This would, therefore, be another highest high for months to come.
A positive surprise could quicklu steer the price below 0.625. I don't think it will go back up on positive surprise, it looks like that would high resistance run, because the price has provably tried to go there and failed on Wednesday's London session. It dropped instead and following New York session made another attempt, yet did not even beat London session there.
Legend:
Lines:
Violet - Monthly Highs and Lows
Dark blue - Weekly Highs and Lows
Cyan semi-transparent - Daily Highs and Lows
Cyan dashed semi-transparent - New York Midnight
Yellow semi-transparent thick - estimated liquidity area
Other:
Purple channel - Single Print, price went either down or up without any overlaps on higher timeframe charts
Yellow, blue, ted rectangles - key forex sessions, first three hours
$GNOG Earnings Crusher Please do yourself a favor and deposit some money into Webull and buy at least 25 shares of this stock.
I listed some key buying points and the future for this stock is very positive.
Enjoy and trade safely
EURCHF - NEXT MOVE - COT REPORT - SEASONAL Hello, Traders! We are currently looking for a nice push to the downside from EURCHF. As risk leaves the market once again we can see an Increase in Long orders for CHF as investors move their money into safe bonds and low-interest currencies such as the CHF/JPY. We can also see short orders being added for the EUR over the last two weeks showing a possible change in the overall direction and strength for this currency. Seasonal data shows a decrease in value during the month of October which is expected from the EUR. However, we have yet to see this!
DECEMBER REPORT: On DEC 7, something will change, Late DEC, BUSYFirst, sorry for a delayed TA, I needed to gather some thoughts, find time, and energy to put the gravity of Crypto for the last year of 2019.
So far this year have been one hell of a roll coaster. I have feeling that December, is just going to get just as wild.
First, we have a fractal on Dec 7th , so this Weekend, we can expect fireworks. I trully, hope this is some relief rally, that we all need, and btc will be at 8k.
I know, how everyone loves to talk shit about their favorite Shit coin, and crypto world in general.
I think it is time to remind and educate those that don't follow the world news. What is actually happening, besides hackers, and scammers.
Blockchain tech is slowly, but surely is taking over the world.
Here is a glimpse of what i saw in just in November: Have fun reading, just think how story was different in the beginig of 2019, 2020 is shaping up more and more as the year that Crypto will begin to shine again.
Remember TIME is on our Side!! Please help me reach 1000 followers, by 2020, I;ll try to analyze coins every day for fun and profit :)
THE LIST:
HSBC Shifts Records To Blockchain To Track $20 Billion Of Assets
South Korea Moving Ahead with New Bill to Legalize Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin ATM Firm Partners With Largest Shopping Mall Operator In US
HODLer: PayPal CEO Dan Schulman Admits That He Owns Bitcoin
BRICS Nations Discuss Shared Crypto To Break Away From USD And SWIFT
Bitcoin And The ‘Great Wealth Transfer’
Blockchain taking over the Middle East
Ripple Partner and Early XRP Adopter Nium Working With Visa to Power Cross-Border Payments
"No Capitulation" - Bitcoin Miners Completely Unfazed By Crypto-Collapse
The Xi Effect: China To Invest Over $2 Billion On Blockchain In 2023
Venezuela To Pay Retirees And Pensioners Christmas Bonus In Petro
cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin Fixes This: PayPal Cuts Payouts To Over 100,000 Pornhub 'Models'
Ripple partners MoneyGram, Ria to power Walmart’s money transfer service
America's Giant Debt-For-Equity Swap Exposed
In Venezuela, I Used Bitcoin to Pay for the Birth of My Son
Brave browser becoming increasingly popular in Spain, overtakes Firefox
XRP Becomes More Decentralized: Almost 80% Of Nodes Run By Third-Party Entities
Swiss Government Moves to Remove Legal Barriers for Blockchain Development
New EU law: Banks allowed to hold and sell Bitcoin as of 2020
I hope you got the idea lol. There is no more BTC is going to die, or Crypto is heading to zero! It is more likely now, that a DOLLAR will head to zero, than say, future version of ETH, or whatever other world traded blockchain!
Good Luck Everyone!
**LEGENDS**
BLUE = Bear/Resistance
Yellow = Bull/ Support
Vertical Lines: Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation.
~Explore the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~
/*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/
Feel free to request: your coin to be analyzed! Please keep those Stop losses in place!
Thank you,
If you like what i do, please follow, and give likes! Love you all, good fortune to you all!
A Closing Retrospective Market ReportHi guys, for certain reasons today we will not have a general market report. But we bring you a closing retrospective. Look what happened between today and yesterday
It was surprising how after Bitcoin it broke the $ 9.8k support and then recovered in a few hours.
The market closes today with $ 273 billion. With a 24-hour volume registered of $ 74.1 Billion.
Bitcoin dominance 67.4% and is currently back trading around $ 10.2k mark. But please take care !!
RISKY GOGO TRADE - GOOD END OF YEAR PREDICTED Gogo, Inc. engages in the provision of in-flight broadband connectivity and wireless entertainment services. It operates through the following segments: Commercial Aviation North American (CA-NA); Commercial Aviation Rest of World (CA-ROW); and Business Aviation (BA). The CA-NA segment offers a broad range of connectivity and entertainment services to commercial airlines flying routes. The CA-ROW segment covers satellite-based connectivity and entertainment services to foreign-based commercial airlines and North American based commercial airlines when flying routes outside of North America. The BA segment comprises of a broad suite of in-flight Internet connectivity and other voice and data communications products and services under its Gogo Business Aviation brand to the business aviation market. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.
SHORT INTEREST
34.83M 07/15/19
P/E Current
-1.91
P/E Ratio (with extraordinary items)
-2.05
Average Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT
Average Target Price: 6.40
Wait for a pullback on this move...
Possible CHF/JPY Short Position !!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 3-4 Days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair creating a Double Top . Currency pair will move south to the @112.550 level.
B – Beliefs
Market will be rejected at @113.850 level and move towards the first Target 1 level @ 112.550 level.
FX:CHFJPY
Trade Management
Entered @ Still waiting for confirmation. Will wait until the High Importance news report comes out for the CPI JPY
Stop Loss @ 114.150
Target 1 @112.550
Risk/Reward @ 3:1
Happy trading. Will let you know closer to the time if or when executed:)
Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !!
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Thank you for your support :)
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!