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Reserve Rights $RSR Reserve Rights is used for staking to overcollateralize reserve stablecoins RTokens and govern their configuration via proposals and voting. Team Nevin Freeman CEO Miguel Morel is the co-founder and CEO of Arkham. Prior to founding Arkham, Morel co-founded Reserve Protocol, a stablecoin designed for use in emerging markets and hyperinflationary economies. and others Investors Coinbase and Paypal, and others TVL Just start growing Positioning and development RWA Structure - We can see how this works in the chart on the left. First, Pre-pump after pump and super-pump This is a chart from the 2020 From a technical point of view of the project. they have made a lot of progress. From a token point of view, they know how to make pumps Funds are still holding the project's tokens With a good market, they should be the leaders in the RWA sector in terms of growth performance I have this project in my portfolio Best regards EXCAVO
CRYPTO:RSRUSDLong
by EXCAVO
2
USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week!USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bullish Bias for the Upcoming Week (Sept 23-29, 2024) As we look ahead to the coming week, USDJPY appears poised for a potential slightly bullish bias. This outlook is based on a confluence of fundamental factors and current market conditions that favor USD strength relative to the Japanese yen. Below is a breakdown of key drivers supporting this outlook, along with insights that could influence price action. 1. Federal Reserve's Hawkish Stance One of the key drivers for a potential bullish bias in USDJPY next week is the persistent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Although the Fed opted to pause rate hikes in September, policymakers have indicated that they are open to further tightening if inflationary pressures persist. Recent inflation data in the U.S. showed a slight uptick in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggesting that the Fed may still consider additional rate hikes in 2024. Higher U.S. interest rates would continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, driving demand for USDJPY as traders seek yield differentials. 2. Bank of Japan's Dovish Policy In stark contrast to the Fed, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control. The BoJ's dovish approach continues to weigh on the Japanese yen, especially in an environment where other major central banks are tightening monetary policy. While some market participants expect the BoJ to consider policy changes in the future, there have been no concrete signals indicating a shift in the near term. This widening policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ is a key factor supporting a bullish outlook for USDJPY. 3. Safe Haven Demand Waning The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, particularly during periods of global market volatility. However, recent market stability, coupled with optimism surrounding global growth prospects, has reduced demand for the yen as a haven. As risk sentiment improves, investors are more likely to allocate capital into higher-yielding assets, which could further weaken the yen. Moreover, geopolitical tensions that previously supported yen demand have eased slightly, making USDJPY more likely to drift higher in a low-risk environment. 4. U.S. Treasury Yields Rising Another factor contributing to the bullish bias in USDJPY is the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Higher yields on U.S. government bonds make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors, adding upward pressure to USDJPY. The correlation between USDJPY and U.S. Treasury yields is well-documented, and as yields rise, so too does the currency pair. Traders will be closely monitoring U.S. economic data next week, including durable goods orders and GDP figures, to gauge the potential for further yield increases. 5. Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading within a well-defined range, but with a slight bullish bias as long as it holds above key support at the 147.50 level. A break above the psychological 150.00 level could open the door to further upside, with resistance seen at 151.50. On the downside, failure to hold above 147.50 could lead to a test of lower levels around 146.00. Momentum indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are currently neutral but leaning slightly toward overbought territory, suggesting room for further gains before a pullback. 6. U.S. Economic Data Next Week Next week, market participants will pay close attention to several high-impact economic reports out of the U.S., including the Durable Goods Orders on Tuesday and GDP Growth on Thursday. Positive readings on these metrics could fuel further gains in USDJPY, reinforcing the bullish bias. Conversely, any disappointing data could dampen USD strength and lead to some consolidation in the pair. Conclusion Given the combination of hawkish signals from the Fed, the BoJ's ongoing dovish stance, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and waning safe-haven demand, USDJPY appears to have a slightly bullish bias heading into next week. Traders should watch for any shifts in risk sentiment or unexpected economic data that could alter this outlook. The key levels to watch are 147.50 for support and 150.00 for resistance. Keywords: USDJPY forecast, USDJPY bullish, USDJPY analysis, Bank of Japan policy, Federal Reserve rate hikes, U.S. Treasury yields, Japanese yen, safe-haven demand, forex trading, USDJPY technical analysis, USDJPY key levels, USDJPY next week, trading USDJPY.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action. 1. Diverging Central Bank Policies One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). - Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards. - Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY. 2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment. - US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum. - Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate. 3. Japanese Economic Conditions Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation. Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path. 4. US Bond Yields US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY. 5. Technical Indicators Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum. - Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher. Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by: - Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ. - Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields. - Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits. - Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen. Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week. --- Keywords: - USDJPY forecast - USDJPY bullish bias - USDJPY analysis September 2024 - USDJPY technical analysis - USDJPY key drivers - USDJPY trading strategy - USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy - USDJPY support and resistance levels - USDJPY risk sentiment - USDJPY bond yields impact
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
FOMC FORWARD GUIDANCE SINCE 2018 w/FED SPEAKERS w/SPX The chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations and economic behavior. By examining the interplay between FOMC forward guidance and these key economic indicators, investors, policymakers, and analysts can gain insights into the likely direction of monetary policy and its potential impact on financial markets and the broader economy. I have also included comments from various FOMC speakers to better form a picture of the past.
SP:SPX
by koyking
Rising interest rates are not affecting Bitcoin anymore Before significant interest rate hikes, I have claimed that Bitcoin is decoupling from the rest economy (which probably happened). However, the effect of rising interest rates still had some power over the Bitcoin in the tank. It seems that this power of raising interest rates is diminishing for Bitcoin relative to the rest of the economy which will probably suffer quite a bit more after this post. The chances of Bitcoin being affected by raising interest rates are becoming lower and lower. The bitcoin community is pricing in these hikes a lot earlier than the rest of the market. The same thing happened when inflation started (2020), when Bitcoin moved significantly quicker than the CPI. My estimate is that the Bitcoin public generally sticks (as do I) to the rule that Inflation is defined as an increase in money supply and deflation is defined as a decrease in the money supply. These numbers are available much quicker than CPI (Consumer Price Index) which is a trailing indicator and can lag 15-24 months on average. The same thing happened in reverse now. One more important point is that monetary inflation is much more difficult to reverse through rising Interest rates, and the community is also aware of this. In my previous posts I have explained how interest rates cannot curb inflation (even in theory) unless they overshoot the current CPI number, which at the time was over 9%. Interest rates could have bigger effects at <9% rates only if they break the economy (which slowly might start happening), but this will still not be enough to reduce the money supply. This could stop further inflation at <9% interest rates, however at the cost of economy. What they cannot do is reverse inflation, meaning that all the money that is in the system will stay in the system and prices will not come down. Killing inflation this way will be paid for through increased poverty and decreased standard of living, until the economic growth "eats" through that "debt". Which at a 2-3% rate could take multiple years. If we account for all of these effects and consider the Bitcoin community world views, the chance of further fall is very low, while the stock market still has a lot of down room.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by josip
8
Great opportunity to buy some more BTC - My take on the FED It is possible that BTC will go to 20 000 and maybe even below that, but chasing the bottom is not the smartest idea. This is the opportunity that we've been waiting for. Everyone wanted to buy BTC if only it was a little cheaper. Well, now it is, but everyone is scared :) The wise words of Peter Lynch are that NOBODY can predict the bottom, and nobody can predict anything within a year or two. What we can see is that Bitcoin demonstrated more than 2x higher demand than this. Even though the Crypto market wasn't positively affected by inflation, you have to remember that in macroeconomics some trends require even years to settle even though the signs were obvious. Everyone with some common sense could tell that inflation was going to be massive if we just looked at the money supply increase of 2020 and 2021, let alone 2022. But what everyone forgot is that, according to Milton Friedman, real-world effects of inflation go in phases. In the first 6 months, there is some "positive" effect on the economy, due to the massive inflow of currency in the system. Also, keep in mind that inflation is felt IMMEDIATELY in the stocks and bonds. The very second money printing starts. But 18 months after that, the effects of inflation are first felt. Keep in mind that this statistic puts just the start of 2020 inflation at the beggining of 2022. So the inflation will keep at this pace for at least the next 2 years with yearly inflation of 15-30%. The fact that federal reserve is increasing interest rate will NOT get the inflation under control. Restraining inflation that way never worked long term. It can only create short term FUD and selling. What happens with the money that people withdraw from their overinflated accounts after 2 years of 20+% gains on S&P500? They start to spend it, because inflation is not under control. What happens then? Inflation becomes even worse. It takes some money fot the money to come back, usually a couple months to a year. The money in the system will just switch places from fictional (stocks, index and funds) into real life (food, housing, services). 90% of the money that FED has been "printing" for the past 2 years didn't even enter the real life. It was fictional. It was conserved in the markets. Real life effects therefore weren't noticable until recently, when people started cashing in. Interest rates on bonds will NOT be enough for any average investor. Bonds are only used as a small percentage of portfolios for hedging some risks in the markets. This text is also the reason why the FED should NEVER interfere with monetary policy, and shouldn't exist at all. All of these money printing and recession cycles are exploiting the human need to gamble. They will crash the system at random intervals. They will overinflate it when nobody expects it. You will enter the trades even after it's been going up for too long. You probably got burned 5 times before that by trying to short it because it was rational. You can be 100% correct and still lose money. And you will lose money both ways.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by josip
FOMC FORWARD GUIDANCE SINCE 2018 w/SPXThe chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations and economic behavior. By examining the interplay between FOMC forward guidance and these key economic indicators, investors, policymakers, and analysts can gain insights into the likely direction of monetary policy and its potential impact on financial markets and the broader economy.
SP:SPX
by koyking
Currency scuffleAs you can see we prepared update for the currency agenda, we have added gd, jpy, rub, and inr to the fuse, as you can see fibonacci cycles stayed the same in the anbsence. We think or at least clearly see on a chart that rub was the most profitable currency available. In the later arrivals we will try to discover most profitable assets nominated in rubles and compare them to assets in other curencies. Feel free to read, analyse, comment and enjoy the party.
by UnknownUnicorn462803
1
Gold climbs on global uncertaintyOvernight Gold approached the 3-month high of $1985, since June & July 2023. This was likely due to the - Fed chair Jerome Powell's comments which indicated that the rise in yields might lessen the need for additional rate increases. With the increasing probability of the US Federal Reserve keeping rates on hold at the November meeting, the DXY saw brief moves to the downside. - Continued escalation in geopolitical uncertainty, as troops are reportedly gathering at the Gaza border, suggesting an expected ground invasion, financial markets are seeing a strong move toward the reserve commodity. Do you think Gold will continue its climb higher to the key resistance of $2066?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JinDao_Tai
Gold Outlook 22 March 2023Gold retraced strongly following the move to the 2000 price level. Forming a head and shoulder pattern, Gold traded down to the 1938 price level which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement price level The next directional move on Gold is going to be highly dependent on the volatility of the DXY, especially with the FOMC interest rate decision due. In the short term, if the price breaks below 1933 (the 61.8% fib level), gold could continue trading lower, down to the key support level of 1914. However, in the medium term, anticipating further DXY weakness, look for Gold to bounce either at the fib level or the 1914 support level to continue with the uptrend to retest the 2000 price level again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JinDao_Tai
2
Gold Outlook 20th March 2023Gold traded significantly higher last week, due to several key events; 1) gross market uncertainty increased as banks collapse (SVB and Credit Suisse). 2) flight toward the reserve commodity 3) weakness in the DXY Currently, the price is retracing and is trading along the 1973 price level, with further downside expected. The price is likely to test the support level of 1956 which sits between the 23.60% and 38.20% Fibonacci retracement levels. However, as the uptrend of Gold remains strong, anticipate the retracement to be brief with the price likely to rebound from the support to trade higher again. The next key resistance level is at the round number level of 2,000 which was last visited in April 2022
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JinDao_Tai
2
RSR MAINNET 90% COMPLETED$RSR MAINNET : 90% COMPLETED / TO DO 10% An introduction to Reserve Imagine a stable universal currency (let’s call it R$): R$ is stable in the sense that if you hold your savings in R$ you never have to worry about the prices of goods and services rising over time and the value of your money being inflated away, no matter where you live. R$ is universal in the sense that whenever you want to buy something, your R$ will automatically convert into your local currency to be spent. That’s what we’re creating. So far, we’ve achieved something close to this in Venezuela. We’ve created a digital currency, the Reserve Dollar (RSV), that maintains 1-to-1 parity with the US dollar (highly stable relative to the Venezuelan Bolívar), and a mobile app that makes it easy to store money in RSV, get paid in RSV, and pay for things with RSV (either at the thousands of merchants that now accept RSV, or by converting RSV into bolívares within seconds). Essentially we extended the stability of the US dollar to those who faced hyperinflation in Venezuela in recent years, and we are expanding to other countries in Latin America where inflation continues to be a pressing issue. Concurrently, we are working towards releasing a smart contract protocol that will enable the creation and decentralized governance of more currencies like RSV. These currencies, called “RTokens”, will have values that can be pegged to diversified baskets of assets instead of USD or any fiat currency, making them unaffectable by USD inflation or any centralized monetary policy. Once that protocol is released, we as a company will cease to have control over RTokens, but we as a team, in different modes of coordination, will go on to participate in the decentralized governance of RTokens, apply RTokens to more real-world problems, and foster an ecosystem of other teams that want to build in an aligned direction. Looking far ahead, the applications of RTokens are vast, from extending financial services to people who are discriminated against by the existing system, to having an alternate international reserve currency that isn’t controlled by any single nation. The 5-min video intro below is from back when we were getting started in 2018. A new intro video is in the works.
Long
by TradingEagle1903
9
It's called the world reserveGold investors have taken a pummeling so far this year. The SPDR Gold Shares exchange-traded fund, which tracks the price of bullion, is down 5.3% in the year. Many precious metals investors would have found that disappointing especially given that there is widespread belief that gold is believed to be a long term hedge against inflation. And yes, inflation has been rising this year, hitting a recent high of 9.1% in June and falling to 8.5% in July. Gold continued its recent struggles on Friday to set a new two-year low after a slew of central banks followed the US Federal Reserve in raising interest rates to cool inflation. Gold’s decline comes on the back of a rallying US dollar, which touched a 20-year high, curbing demand for the greenback-priced metal. Benchmark 10-year yields also jumped to their highest since April 2010, further dampening demand for bullion. “We’re seeing relentless dollar strength here and that’s going to keep gold vulnerable in the short term,” Edward Moya
TVC:GOLD
by icheeetah
US DOLLAR/ Dollar dips on FED hike viewThe US DOLLAR has topped out and now beginning it correction. This is very bullish/positive for US Stocks for a new "potential" indication set up for them to breakout on a impulsive wave up. It had touched my previous forecast of 110 as my last target. Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive approach in hiking interest rates next week. Expectations for a 100 basis points rate hike by the Fed at its policy meeting next week stood at about 29%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool after reaching as high as 80% last week. The Fed seems to be leaning more towards 75 basis points than to 100 basis points," said Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust. A strong start to the trading session for stocks on Wall Street fizzled out, however, as a drop in Apple Inc (AAPL) weighed following a Bloomberg report that the iPhone maker plans to slow hiring and spending growth next year in some units to cope with a potential economic downturn
TVC:DXYShort
by fintechwire
Why the U.S. dollar is strengtheningYellow= Support or Resistance Green= Positive trendlines Blue= Strong and trend effecting S/R The analysis concern USD bound to SEK, however its a great general directional indication to USD weighing against all other. The Analysis is about the current positive trend. Due to its already developed for some time its not in its beginning, therefore its not an obvious buy, so im neutral and HOLD at the moment, passing the orange line would say SELL, enter short, EXIT LONG. Otherwise we are currently at green trendline bottom and if passing many yellow lines (current resistances) we aim next to rebounded up until upper green trendline resistance. Like & Share if this was worth anything, only then ill hare more ideas.
by daujones
1
The FeD new strategy.As equities and crypto are bludgeoned to death in 2022. It is becoming increasingly clear the intention of the Fed; contrary to its speeches, is not, to cause a soft landing for the economy. In order to effectively counter the East the West will need a financial Bazooka to re-structure manufacturing as well as commodity markets. From this perspective, looking at event, pa and a number of indexes. It is my analysis that the FED will exceed its rate guidance throughout 2022, as to justify a level of economic stimulus currently unfathomable. Given the time constraints imposed by the conflict in Ukraine (Commodities) aswell as Chinese un-willingness to lift Covid Restrictions and popular inflationary and access to debt popular displeasure. The FED finds itself racing to "Break" the economy. Only to re-build it from the ground up starting December 2022. The level of stimulus and economic public spending will be nothing short of a Mega-Project, grounded in a need for Re-shoring the industry and securing commodities. Bitcoin will go nothing short of Parabolic in Q4 2022-Q1 2025 Long for financial freedom, we are all at risk of begging for industry factory line jobs by the end of this economic squeeze that 2022 is and will remain being.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheBitcoinGeneration
5