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RUNE USDT the journey of getting back-in.I would love to see RUNE go back in these FIB levels. (These fib levels are mine do not get confused or do not chat the proper way of using fib. Because I do not give a single damn about what you are about to tell me, unless you will take time to improve it and share to me then I will be willing to learn) As I'm analyzing this chart, I see several signals that hint at why a pullback to the 0.886 or 0.84 Fibonacci level is plausible. First, the Fibonacci tool is crucial in my analysis—it provides a roadmap of where prices might find support or resistance. These particular levels are known to act as a magnet for price after a significant move, indicating a natural retracement. The Heikin Ashi candles, with their smoothed presentation, show a trend losing its momentum, and that's my first clue that a retracement might be on the horizon. Then, I look at the moving averages: the 20, 50, and 200-period MAs. Prices tend to gravitate back to these lines, especially after a prolonged move away from them—it's like an elastic band snapping back. Now, the Stoch RSI Divergence is especially telling. It's been in the overbought territory with 'R' signals flashing. This suggests that the market's energy is waning, and a reset is due—a dip to lower levels where the market has previously found equilibrium. It's a cycle I've seen repeatedly: a burst of activity, overextension, and then a return to a level that the market perceives as more balanced. The Smart Money Concepts indicator aligns with this. It suggests that the institutional money, the 'smart money', may be taking profits or repositioning. These players have significant influence, and their actions can signal a forthcoming change in direction. Combining these signals, I can infer that there's a confluence of factors suggesting a retracement. It's like the market has sprinted up a hill and now needs to catch its breath before deciding on the next move. The 0.886 or 0.84 Fibonacci levels are where I expect the market to find a foothold—if it aligns with the 'smart money' and the Stoch RSI reset, then that's where I'd anticipate a potential rebound or consolidation. It's all about reading the market's language through these indicators, and right now, they're speaking the language of a reset.
Short
by osodatsismoso
3
BTC confirmed the bear flagIn this Bitcoin update can we see that the price confirmed the bear flag but need to confirm the 30k range to confirm a recession as this price range while when the price has confirmed the 25k range would the price be in a free fall period. This free fall line is confirmed by the 200 EMA on the Weekly time frame and if the price, with confirmation, would fall below this line would the price be in a free fall zone. This price range would also act as support in the past but this bearish confirmation is confirmed by the Ichimoku clouds showing bearish signs. Meaning that the price does not have tangible support or resistance more than guestimates and if the price would reach levels like the 20k range and the 10k range.
Short
by vf_investment
3
The Great Reset!!!CAUTION ONLY BIG BRAINS FROM HERE ON OUT!!! White: US 10 Year Bond Yield Orange: US Debt to GDP Blue: US yoy inflation "Inflation transfers wealth from creditors to borrowers for all sorts of nominal debt, not just government debt." -- Christopher J. Neely, Vice President at St. Louis Fed. What is the Great Reset? Is it a new 1929 Crash, a new Great Depression? No. The real Great Reset is the controlled writing down of US debt-to-GDP which has reached unsustainable levels and surpassed those at the end of WW2. In fact this chart only shows government debt (orange), in truth when you add corporate and all other forms of private debt, you get a figure currently in excess of 700% of GDP. People believe inflation is the problem, they don't understand that in most of the world it is a tool for writing down debt. This was also the case in the US after WW2. How do you write down debt measured against a country's productive output? Well, the easiest way is to increase GDP, but because in reality growth is limited (in some cases almost zero), it's easiest to do this by increasing the nominal value of GDP by ramping up inflation: Nominal GDP = Real GDP * inflation factor So by increasing inflation we increase GDP nominally and we decrease our debt with respect to productivity. So what does this have to do with the chart? Look what happened after WW2, when bond yields bottomed and debt-to-GDP peaked. These two reversed over the next 40 years until 1980, when they reversed again. Look what happened to the long-term inflation in that same 1945 to 1980 period: ignoring the many short-term spikes (known as surprise inflation), the curve slopes exponentially upwards, gently at first until culminating in the inflationary spial of the late 1970s. This same process is beginning again. We will see many short-term inflation spikes in the coming years (surprise inflation) but they will mask an underlying increase in long-term inflation. What does this mean? It means your savings will be wiped out with respect to purchasing power. It means diversify into bitcoin and other dead (non-productivity related) assets over the coming decade and decouple from the fiat. The same principle applies to Eurozone and other so-called developed countries with excessive debt-to-gdp ratios. Further reading: St. Louis Fed blog entry "Inflation and the Real Value of Debt: A Double-edged Sword" Russell Napier interview "We Will See the Return of Capital Investment on a Massive Scale" The truth is wealth is being transferred from the creditors, i.e. the citizen, to pay down government debt: as your savings lose purchasing power, the value of debt also vanishes. This is really why we say inflation is a tax!
TVC:US10Y
by cuibono
7
Macro Bear Market JUST beginning??BTC is in a very dangerous spot right now, people aren't losing their jobs fast enough (unemployment at 3.5%!!) and Netflix keep on raising subscription prices in Ukraine (war!!!) The FED might have to issue more hikes all the way to 2024, mid terms are also coming which is historically bearish for extreme risk assets (BTC??!!) TA wise, BTC is forming an extremely BEARISH descending triangle (explosive move?,!!) which could see 3k target in no time Trade wisely and close any longs, cut your losses if required as this will get MUCH much worse Macro-economical factors seem to be pointing to a structural bear market could take up to 111 months for full recovery (according to Goldman Sachs) Please share this idea as I will be providing more tips on how to navigate a full blown financial collapse!! CAREFUL
Short
by deathtotrade
5
DJI - Preparing For The Last Blow Of Top Before Big DepressionDJI is continuing to follow fractal from the "roaring twenties". While it clearly shows that we are about to experience one of the biggest financial reset, we should first get the last euphoric blow of top, sending DJI into 38-40k area. I highly doubt we will go much higher than 40k. Be careful, don't laverage the euphoria, instead think of exiting the market as DJI starts to break into new ATH. I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advice. DJ:DJI
DJ:DJI
by CR35
9
The 4th TURNING and Davos' GREAT RESETThe 4th Turning is a sociological study of the last 600 years of Wester culture. In it, the authors conclude that society goes through 4 stages culminating in the 4th Turning, a time of chaos and upheaval that ends with the establishment of a "new order". We are in that period now, and the excessive debt, inflation and political tensions around the world indicate that there is a monumental change coming. Perhaps Davos' GREAT RESET as annunciated by Klaus Schwab, Perhaps something worse. Only time will tell.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by midnitepoet
3
CRWD : RESET / POSITION TRADECrowdStrike: Another Solid Quarter; Buy Opportunistically ~ After solid F1Q22 results, we reiterate our buy rating on CrowdStrike. We urge long-term investors to buy shares on weakness and existing shareholders to remain invested in the stock. ~ Elevated security spending, new customer additions and upsells into its install base, low churn, and displacement of legacy vendors will drive CrowdStrike revenue. ~ CrowdStrike will become a formidable competitor to Splunk with its Humio acquisition. CrowdStrike hinted on the call that it displaced Splunk at a major customer. ~ CrowdStrike reported another exceptional quarter beating all metrics and guided up. We expect CrowdStrike to remain a dominant security vendor in the near term. ~ CrowdStrike stock will remain expensive and volatile. Hence investors should be buying shares on weakness as when opportunities are presented. SOURCE : Tech Stock Pros, SeekingAlpha, 04-Jun-21 seekingalpha.com
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by TradingMavericks
ROKU : RESET / POSITION TRADEThe Cable Box Is a Relic of the Past Linear TV has offered viewers thousands of channels for a seemingly low price, but users today want more modern options and a better deal. While ~86 million households in the US still pay for linear TV, its days seem to be numbered. Disruptive innovation typically follows a pattern: it evolves slowly at first and then all at once. Since peaking in 2011, the number of US linear TV households has declined 2.1% at an annual rate. That said, according to our research, by 2025, the number of US linear TV households will be cut nearly in half, from ~86 million at the start of 2020 to ~44 million, a level last seen more than 30 years ago. As was the case with print media, we believe ad dollars are likely to shift from linear TV to more efficient platforms like streaming, a trend that traditional media companies have recognized. For example, during the past year alone, Comcast, Fox, and Viacom have acquired three players in the ad-supported streaming space: Xumo, Tubi, and Pluto TV, respectively. That said, connected TV platforms are becoming a threat to traditional media companies. TV operating systems like Roku, Fire TV, and Android TV motivate many, if not most, television purchases. During the next five to 10 years, if the ad market for streaming soars, as we believe it will, TV operating systems like Roku will benefit from the share shift in revenues, taking 30% of the $70 billion ad load on each of their channels. SOURCE : Nicholas Grous, Analyst, March 09, 2021, ARK INVEST ark-invest.com
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by TradingMavericks
TESLA (TSLA) : RESET / POSITION TRADEARK’s Price Target for Tesla in 2025 Last year, ARK estimated that in 2024 Tesla’s share price would hit $7,000 per share, or $1,400 adjusted for its five for one stock split. Based on our updated research, we now estimate that it could approach $3,000 in 2025. ARK’s bear and bull case suggest that Tesla could be worth roughly $1,500 and $4,000 per share, respectively. SOURCE: Tasha Keeney, CFA, Analyst, March 19, 2021, ARK INVEST ark-invest.com
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingMavericks
The "CRAZIEST" Crypto Coincidence EVER! - XRP/USDFor the record, I am not a lunatic but rather an unconventional sort of outlier-type of thinker. What can I say... other than that I can not help myself from doing so 😁 From current book titles of "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order" to symmetrical price patterns, to brief excursions into some possible contrasts from ancient history with today. Heck! Who knows what's coming next in the world. It's becoming weirder by the day - or so it seems.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by tradesetups
5
Technically, anyone short the Dollar (DXY) is a madmanThis chart is pretty simple. There is a decades long falling wedge and price action has broken out of the wedge and spend 4 years retesting the wedge as support. After that we got some lift-off and DXY was rejected by the 200 quarter SMA and had a pull back. Currently price actions has set a higher low and is finding support on the 100 quarter SMA. In general, the longer it takes a falling wedge to play out the more reliable it will be when it comes to target setting. The two targets are very simple, they are the height of the wedge from initial break out (shown) or retest (not shown) or the Hight of the wedge. I suspect once price action confirms a whole candle body above the 200 quarter SMA we will have about 5-7 years of insanity as DXY appreciates over 60%. Down below we also see the effective federal funds rate is also in a falling wedge. I have been watching this for years and have been calling for negative real interest rates for year and perhaps even nominal negative interest rates (which didn't appear) and then a massive increase in interest rates. The dollar and interest rates pumping at the same time sets up some very interesting (and painful) economic conditions. The implications of this are very far reaching. But in short a lot of stuff is going to go down.
INDEX:DXYLong
by This_Guhy
5
FUTU : RESET / POSITION TRADEFutu Holdings Limited operates an online brokerage and wealth management platform in Hong Kong and internationally. The company provides trading, clearing, and settlement services; margin financing and securities lending services; and stock yield enhancement program. While Robinhood gets most of the hype in the US, Chinese wealth management platform Futu Holdings (NASDAQ:FUTU) continues to perform at a high level. For Q1 of 2021, Futu reported revenue of $283.56 million and EPS of $1.03 per share. While many companies beat estimates, it's impressive the degree that Futu beats at. Revenues came in $65.52 million over estimates, a beat of 30%. Meanwhile, analysts were expecting EPS of $0.61 (the $1.03 was a beat of 68%). This isn't the first time that Futu Holdings has beaten analyst estimates. The company is a "serial estimate beater" and has continually outpaced estimates. In Q1 Futu saw accelerated user growth. Paying clients totaled more than 789K, which was a 231% YoY growth. Futu saw YoY paying client growth of 160% in Q4, so the growth in paying users is accelerating. Total revenues were $283.6 million for the quarter, an increase of 349% YoY. Futu Holdings seems to fly under the radar when comparing its valuation and growth rates to other companies with higher multiples and lower growth. A sustained triple-digit growth rate is remarkable, and Futu's Q1 earnings showed that this trend remains intact. While execution always needs to be proven quarter by quarter, a business growing as rapidly as Futu Holdings can quickly build a margin of safety due to its high growth rates. Source : Wealth Insights, Seeking Alpha, 20-May-2021 seekingalpha.com seekingalpha.com
NASDAQ:FUTULong
by TradingMavericks
TDOC : POSITION TRADE / RESETTeladoc is the sixth-largest holding in the ARKK ETF - a top performing actively managed fund focused on disruptive innovations. Teladoc reported third-quarter revenue up 109% year-over-year to $288.8 million. Total visits increased 206% year-over-year to 2.8 million. The company expects to end the year with 50 million to 51 million U.S. paid members and 21 million to 22 million visit fee only members. The Teladoc - Livongo merger has created the singular global, consumer-centered virtual care platform. Together, they have formed the dominant category leader with a massive $121 billion Total Addressable Market. seekingalpha.com
NYSE:TDOCLong
by TradingMavericks
NEM : RESET / POSITION TRADE / HEDGENewmont Mining just came off a record quarter in Q3 with free cash flow of ~$1.3 billion, and increased its dividend by 60% to $1.60 per share annually. Despite these bullish developments, the stock has slumped with the rest of the sector, down more than 20% from its August highs. This correction has left the stock trading below 13x FY2021 annual EPS estimates, with a dividend that's 70% higher than that of the S&P 500. Therefore, if we see any further weakness below $57.25, I would view this as a low-risk buying opportunity for long-term investors looking for steady free cash flow and yield. seekingalpha.com
NYSE:NEMLong
by TradingMavericks
AMD : RESET / POSITION TRADEObviously any investment comes with risk (some more than others). With AMD you are paying a very high PE with the hope that growth can justify that number. Long term - I think it can. Short term is a bit of a gamble, but given the demand for GPUs I think AMD is a good speculative bet if you keep your bet small. Given how high the market is, I do not want to go overboard on AMD and get tied up if the market has a downturn and the music halts. On the flip side, stimulus money is going to flow into the markets to some extent and should keep the game of musical chairs going on a bit longer. Cyberpunk mania is not going away and crypto GPU mining might be a flash in the pan until things stabilize. Source : Austin Craig, SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingMavericks
GOOGL : RESET / POSITION TRADETo sum up everything, GOOGL is a great business. Search is wonderful, and provides a continuous tailwind for the business. There's very little that can stop GOOGL, including competitors and the government. My favorite reason to own GOOGL is its huge pile of cash, which provides a tremendous margin of safety, to weather any storm. That cash also offers wonderful optionality, including the possibility of buybacks. Personally, I'm a buyer up to $2K. Source : John Rhoades, SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by TradingMavericks
2
SLV : RESET / POSITION TRADESLV: Breakout Potential SUMMARY : The iShares Silver Trust ETF is trading under pressure and the instrument has lost more than 17% of its value since August 10th, 2020. However, irrational exuberance in stock markets, a negative unemployment trend in the U.S., and an alarming surge in U.S. money supply could help SLV to break above prior highs. As a potential breakout trigger, we will be watching the $24 level because we think that a sustained bullish move here could extend into a much wider rally into 2021. SOURCE: Dec. 15, 2020 3:13 PM ET / iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) seekingalpha.com
AMEX:SLVLong
by TradingMavericks
SILJ : RESET / POSITION TRADESILJ is likely to outperform the metal on the next leg higher Now could be the perfect time to purchase silver mining shares on a scale-down basis before the next leg to the upside. Silver mining shares tend to outperform the price of silver on the upside and underperform during price corrections. Therefore, they act as leveraged tools for the silver market. Most leveraged products involve time decay as they use put and call options to create the gearing. However, silver mining shares have no expiration dates. The leverage comes from the ability to extract more silver at higher production costs from the earth's crust as the price of the metal appreciates. As we return to a more normal economy, we are going to face challenges. No one knows what is ahead. The 10 year note is beginning to indicate that there are some inflationary pressures. Rates have hit 175 as a recent high. The 10 year note is anticipating inflation. But interest rates cannot go up. In the 1970s, even though we had inflation, the debt was not that much of a problem and the US dollar had just come off the gold standard, so we could print a lot of money. Today, we are in a very different situation. We have massive debt of almost $30 trillion and the US dollar has lost most of its value. As the government prints more and more money, the dollar will continue to lose value, and gold and silver are becoming increasingly attractive investments. REFERENCES : EQUITY MANAGEMENT ACADEMY, 17 Apr 2021, SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com ANDREW HECHT, 23 Mar 2021, SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com
AMEX:SILJLong
by TradingMavericks
2
POLKADOT : DOTUSD NEW BASE / POSITION TRADEPolkadot: Networking For Blockchains The Polkadot blockchain aims to provide interoperability and security to other blockchains, helping to solve issues like scalability. In a multi-blockchain world, interoperability could be a potentially valuable function. If a small number of blockchains becomes dominant this value proposition will be significantly weakened though. Polkadot is currently the leading interoperability blockchain, but its value is uncertain and dependent on how the blockchain ecosystem evolves in the future. SOURCE: Richard Durant, Polkadot: Networking For Blockchains, Mar. 08, 2021 11:38 PM ET, SeekingAlpha seekingalpha.com Polkadot: Can DOT 10x in 2021?? DEEP DIVE!! (Video) SOURCE : COIN BUREAU, Jan 12, 2021, YouTube www.youtube.com
BINANCE:DOTUSDLong
by TradingMavericks
1