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Reporting of the Reporting? (Jan 1st 2021)Not a metric one would hope keeps exploding upwards, but it will be interesting to see what the USA COVID-19 death reporting looks like over the next year now that 2020 is over with. Hopefully by summer we see these numbers flatten again, but I expect a new surge around August/September 2021 along with the changing of the seasons and weather. These conclusions should be pretty obvious to most. Expected 2021 EOY USA Cases: 650,000 - 786,000 Deaths Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
D
by Hambooger
Bitcoin versus the Great ResetSo it became obvious that Bitcoin was initially created by the intelligence community to make the population consent to a 'world currency'. From A to Z, this currency has been manipulated. Most of it is owned by a couple of addresses. Central banks have shown their interest for crypto since 2017 (that's initially why I got into crypto btw). They are about to introduce their own stablecoins: www.ecb.europa.eu Following this old prediction, and based on the known date of the great reset (spring 2021) : Here is my analysis. The US debt is increasing at an unsustainable rate. In the US money is given directly to the population, so they can buy cryptos to try to become rich. So the collapse of the US dollar is soon. We have had negative interest rates for quite some times. The lockdowns make the implosion inevitable on the short term. Political instability in the US might lead to a split of the country, destroying its currency. All of these factors point to a collapse of currencies globally for spring 2021 (according to many 'leaks'). We know that stablecoins from countries like China or the EU, will be distributed to the population via a UBI system. This will start as soon as the collapse happen, to 'feed' the population. Stock markets are correlated to Bitcoin, when they go down bitcoin goes down. Obviously they will go down in spring and so will bitcoin. They can easily bring the value of BTC to zero since they own most of it. People will flock into stablecoins, which at this point will be the offical stablecoins from china, the EU, and maybe the US. But I wouldn't be surprised if only the EU and China get a stablecoin: The states that compose the USA could join the EU (a failed brexit will make the UK rejoin). In an alternative scenario, like in the book 1984, the UK will create a bloc with the remains of the USA, and get its stablecoin. There is no way that Bitcoin can survive the great reset, it was expandable and created by the elites to make people consent to digital supranational stablecoins. They control it. Therefore I am expecting the peak of BTC to happen rather soon, before or shortly after spring. I believe it will not go down before the stablecoins are introduced, because the idea is to make people adopt these stablecoins as a safe haven to a falling bitcoin. So if there is a delay in the technical implementation of their coins, I believe BTC will not go down, and this could lead us to 2022, because normally BTC follows a 4 year cycle, so this would have been the default scenario, if we didn't know the date of spring 2021. On a side note the digital euro is officially not supposed to be introduced before mid 2021, so maybe end of 2022 is more accurate. This means that you should go long BTC until the supranational stablecoins are introduced, then short it. We will experience months of bull market. I believe that they will have to moderate the bull market, to make it last until their coins come into play.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ickylevel
3
AUDJPY: 68.15 | 72 - 57 - 88 | Reset Rebook Re-Loaded 3000 pips for long term investors 1000 pips for mid term position players 500 pips for range traders 150 pips for momentum intra day week dealers -- requirement: discipline and position sizing important requirement: CAPITAL for averaging down HEDGING and keeping ones morale spirits in tact.. == note: determine condition as Position Swing or simply a day trade =========== down up down up... a random at first glance yet pre arranged for folks with STAYING power on both long short and churning motives
by senyor
3 Reasons why Gold will break above $1600!If you follow my work, you know that I am very bullish on Gold (and Silver) and Bitcoin will also initially be doing well. As a student of the markets, history and economics, I approach everything through the lens of classical economics as opposed to mercantile economics, today called Keynesian economics. Classical economics is about hard money and low taxes, while Mercantile/Keynesian is about soft money. Keynesian has been taught in school since 1971 and I believe for a reason. Keynesian is all about aggregate demand, essentially government playing a huge role in economics and having high taxes to pay for it. It is a win-win for governments and economists because governments get bigger with this theory, and economists get hired by banks who then propose, whenever there is a liquidity or solvency crisis, for government to bail the banks out using taxpayer money. Human history is cycles of hard money and soft money. No soft/fiat money has ever survived. We always revert back to hard money. We go to soft money when government becomes greedy and decadent just to name a few reasons. Before I begin, I recommend you read my posts on the US Dollar going higher, and why the Fed is cutting (linked below). I argue we will enter a period where both the US Dollar and Gold move together. The academic approach to markets is to run into the US Dollar because it is the safe haven/reserve currency. Forget about Gold it is useless. While the classical and those who study history realize Gold goes up for one reason, and one reason only. A CONFIDENCE CRISIS. Many market participants have not realized the trouble coming, but they very soon will be. Gold goes up whenever there is a confidence crisis in the government, the banks, and the money. 1) Government The division is clear. Just think about the US elections in 2020. The losing party will NOT accept the results. The division is just ready to boil. What excuses will be used next after the Russians? Think about the protests on the streets regardless of the Republicans or the Democrats winning. This also leads to the idea of government debt. Government's in the western world are all broke. Taxes will have to increase to pay for it all. There is even ideas now of government supplying universal basic income or the MMT model. More socialism More bigger and authoritarian government. I argue we will go to a digital currency so government can track money for taxation...this has to do with MMT which we will discuss when we look at the money crisis. 2) Banks Perhaps the most important. Central Banks are stuck. What we are seeing is central banks attempting to MAINTAIN CONFIDENCE in the system. They cannot come out and say "we messed up". We are seeing the beginning of central banks easing...and a lot of the academia people cannot understand why. The economy is supposed to be the strongest ever. Look at the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England (to name a few). They are at negative interest rates, or close to zero...how will they respond to the next recession? The ECB has come out saying they will provide more stimulus and cut rates further negative (again, the keynesians cannot admit they were wrong...we did not cut rates deeper to the negative nor did we print enough money...our policies are not wrong, we just did not do enough of it). Again, in my article linked below I talk about why the Fed is actually cutting rates. A lot to do with debt levels, an upcoming recession, and geopolitics. It is likely we are going back to Quantitative Easing. The Fed has come out saying they will stop Quantitative Tightening... meaning they may go back to QE. Remember, QE was supposed to be a ONE time desperate policy to prevent another 1920-30's like global depression. There was so much debt and bad debt in the system that they could not allow them to fall. These bad debts were bought, and the crisis was averted by central banks being active purchasers... really we didn't solve the problem...we just papered it over with more debt. Once market participants realize that QE was not a 1 time desperate policy, and in fact will be the norm, people will realize these central banks are stuck. I argue their mandate is to keep assets propped up...but this will morph into the central banks being the BUYER of last resort. They will become the most powerful institution in human history. Now the question is, how much more stimulus can they provide? Again this goes back to confidence. THe ECB and BoJ have over 5 TRILLION on their balance sheet. The Fed went from 800 Billion to 4.2 TRILLION during their 4 rounds of QE... their balance sheet is probably around 3.8 TRILLION right now. Since the Fed is the central banks of central banks... how will the market respond if they go to 5 trillion? 6 trillion? Not to mention having to suppress yields meaning the Dollar may lose reserve status. This I believe is when market participants will realize we are on QE and central banks running the show forever. No free markets. 3) Money Again, no fiat money has ever survived. We seem to be in a currency war where central banks are trying to out do each other to see who can devalue faster. The US Dollar went up because every other central bank is cutting. In fact, the ECB out did the Fed. This is why many were saying the Fed should have cut 50 basis points to out do the ECB. It is a race to the bottom now. To see who can devalue their currency more. This will lead to a inflation and disaster. The middle class/main street will pay for this. Right now the market is confused on whether more rate cuts are coming. Powell delivered a some what hawkish rate cut. More cuts are coming. Look at the bond market. Again, in order to cut more, the Fed needs to do it in a way to save face and maintain confidence. "Oh our policies were working, now this happened so now we need to cut when we did not want/need too". Enter President Trump and his China tariffs a day after. If you believe the Fed mandate is to keep stocks propped up, the Fed will now be cutting rates (the Powell Put). They will keep stocks propped. In this environment, when REAL rates are yielding 0 or negative, why not just hold Gold? Central Banks will just continue to print and prop and even do the MMT thing meaning they will kill the fiat money. For MMT, you need a digital currency. The socialist economists realize that when people have a lot of money, but the number of goods and services do not increase, you will see inflation. The solution is the government "kills" excess money by removing it through taxation (excessive taxation). On a final note, Ray Dalio has spoken about this in the past. He says we are in the 7th inning (out of 9-Baseball reference) of a debt crisis. He has come out recently saying he recommends increasing one's allocation of Gold because there will be a 'paradigm shift'. Paul Tudor Jones has come out saying Gold will be the best investment for the next few years. Again, Gold is money. It is just a repeat of human cycles. Finally, I want you to all look at the charts. Gold had a very strong break above the 1360 resistance zone. Yes it can be retested, but I like Gold above this level. A very important break. 1600 is the next target, but I think we will surpass this as people realize the amount of trouble we are in. Now look at Gold compared to other fiat currencies: Gold vs the EUR not at all time highs yet. Gold vs the GBP made all time new highs just this week! Gold vs the Yen is testing highs. Gold vs the Australian Dollar making all time new highs! Gold vs the Kiwi Dollar not there yet. Gold vs the Canadian Dollar at all time new highs! You can also look at the other currencies, Lira, Yuan etc against Gold. This is telling us something! Fiat is dying and being devalued. This is now about wealth preservation going forward.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Uncharted-FX
2
3 Reasons why Gold will break above $1600!If you follow my work, you know that I am very bullish on Gold (and Silver) and Bitcoin will also initially be doing well. As a student of the markets, history and economics, I approach everything through the lens of classical economics as opposed to mercantile economics, today called Keynesian economics. Classical economics is about hard money and low taxes, while Mercantile/Keynesian is about soft money. Keynesian has been taught in school since 1971 and I believe for a reason. Keynesian is all about aggregate demand, essentially government playing a huge role in economics and having high taxes to pay for it. It is a win-win for governments and economists because governments get bigger with this theory, and economists get hired by banks who then propose, whenever there is a liquidity or solvency crisis, for government to bail the banks out using taxpayer money. Human history is cycles of hard money and soft money. No soft/fiat money has ever survived. We always revert back to hard money. We go to soft money when government becomes greedy and decadent just to name a few reasons. Before I begin, I recommend you read my posts on the US Dollar going higher, and why the Fed is cutting (linked below). I argue we will enter a period where both the US Dollar and Gold move together. The academic approach to markets is to run into the US Dollar because it is the safe haven/reserve currency. Forget about Gold it is useless. While the classical and those who study history realize Gold goes up for one reason, and one reason only. A CONFIDENCE CRISIS. Many market participants have not realized the trouble coming, but they very soon will be. Gold goes up whenever there is a confidence crisis in the government, the banks, and the money. 1) Government The division is clear. Just think about the US elections in 2020. The losing party will NOT accept the results. The division is just ready to boil. What excuses will be used next after the Russians? Think about the protests on the streets regardless of the Republicans or the Democrats winning. This also leads to the idea of government debt. Government's in the western world are all broke. Taxes will have to increase to pay for it all. There is even ideas now of government supplying universal basic income or the MMT model. More socialism More bigger and authoritarian government. I argue we will go to a digital currency so government can track money for taxation...this has to do with MMT which we will discuss when we look at the money crisis. 2) Banks Perhaps the most important. Central Banks are stuck. What we are seeing is central banks attempting to MAINTAIN CONFIDENCE in the system. They cannot come out and say "we messed up". We are seeing the beginning of central banks easing...and a lot of the academia people cannot understand why. The economy is supposed to be the strongest ever. Look at the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England (to name a few). They are at negative interest rates, or close to zero...how will they respond to the next recession? The ECB has come out saying they will provide more stimulus and cut rates further negative (again, the keynesians cannot admit they were wrong...we did not cut rates deeper to the negative nor did we print enough money...our policies are not wrong, we just did not do enough of it). Again, in my article linked below I talk about why the Fed is actually cutting rates. A lot to do with debt levels, an upcoming recession, and geopolitics. It is likely we are going back to Quantitative Easing. The Fed has come out saying they will stop Quantitative Tightening... meaning they may go back to QE. Remember, QE was supposed to be a ONE time desperate policy to prevent another 1920-30's like global depression. There was so much debt and bad debt in the system that they could not allow them to fall. These bad debts were bought, and the crisis was averted by central banks being active purchasers... really we didn't solve the problem...we just papered it over with more debt. Once market participants realize that QE was not a 1 time desperate policy, and in fact will be the norm, people will realize these central banks are stuck. I argue their mandate is to keep assets propped up...but this will morph into the central banks being the BUYER of last resort. They will become the most powerful institution in human history. Now the question is, how much more stimulus can they provide? Again this goes back to confidence. THe ECB and BoJ have over 5 TRILLION on their balance sheet. The Fed went from 800 Billion to 4.2 TRILLION during their 4 rounds of QE... their balance sheet is probably around 3.8 TRILLION right now. Since the Fed is the central banks of central banks... how will the market respond if they go to 5 trillion? 6 trillion? Not to mention having to suppress yields meaning the Dollar may lose reserve status. This I believe is when market participants will realize we are on QE and central banks running the show forever. No free markets. 3) Money Again, no fiat money has ever survived. We seem to be in a currency war where central banks are trying to out do each other to see who can devalue faster. The US Dollar went up because every other central bank is cutting. In fact, the ECB out did the Fed. This is why many were saying the Fed should have cut 50 basis points to out do the ECB. It is a race to the bottom now. To see who can devalue their currency more. This will lead to a inflation and disaster. The middle class/main street will pay for this. Right now the market is confused on whether more rate cuts are coming. Powell delivered a some what hawkish rate cut. More cuts are coming. Look at the bond market. Again, in order to cut more, the Fed needs to do it in a way to save face and maintain confidence. "Oh our policies were working, now this happened so now we need to cut when we did not want/need too". Enter President Trump and his China tariffs a day after. If you believe the Fed mandate is to keep stocks propped up, the Fed will now be cutting rates (the Powell Put). They will keep stocks propped. In this environment, when REAL rates are yielding 0 or negative, why not just hold Gold? Central Banks will just continue to print and prop and even do the MMT thing meaning they will kill the fiat money. For MMT, you need a digital currency. The socialist economists realize that when people have a lot of money, but the number of goods and services do not increase, you will see inflation. The solution is the government "kills" excess money by removing it through taxation (excessive taxation). On a final note, Ray Dalio has spoken about this in the past. He says we are in the 7th inning (out of 9-Baseball reference) of a debt crisis. He has come out recently saying he recommends increasing one's allocation of Gold because there will be a 'paradigm shift'. Paul Tudor Jones has come out saying Gold will be the best investment for the next few years. Again, Gold is money. It is just a repeat of human cycles. Finally, I want you to all look at the charts. Gold had a very strong break above the 1360 resistance zone. Yes it can be retested, but I like Gold above this level. A very important break. 1600 is the next target, but I think we will surpass this as people realize the amount of trouble we are in. Now look at Gold compared to other fiat currencies: Gold vs the EUR not at all time highs yet. Gold vs the GBP made all time new highs just this week! Gold vs the Yen is testing highs. Gold vs the Australian Dollar making all time new highs! Gold vs the Kiwi Dollar not there yet. Gold vs the Canadian Dollar at all time new highs! You can also look at the other currencies, Lira, Yuan etc against Gold. This is telling us something! Fiat is dying and being devalued. This is now about wealth preservation going forward.
OANDA:XAUCADLong
by Uncharted-FX
10