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Resistance_level

Crude Oil Outlook: Key Levels Shape the Path AheadHello Traders, Trust you are doing great. Please take some moment to go through my analysis of USOIL and share your thoughts. Overview USOIL is currently trading at 70.08, with mixed trends across timeframes. On the H4 chart, the pair remains bullish, recovering from a recent correction. Meanwhile, the H1 chart shows a bearish trend in a corrective phase, with resistance emerging in the 70.19–70.90 region. Idea An impulsive rally from 67.045 on December 5th corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 68.78 on December 13th, where support was established. This led to a bounce toward 70.19-70.21, which now acts as resistance. If this resistance holds, a downward move is expected, targeting 67.70 and 67.08, areas where a bullish bounce may likely occur. The short-term bias remains bearish unless price breaches the Friday high of 71.38, which would shift focus to the 71.66–72.21 zone as a potential turning point. Conclusion In the short term, the bearish outlook is dominant, with 71.38 as the key invalidation level and a stop-loss reference. A break below 69.65 would add confidence to the bearish scenario, while any move above 71.38 could signal further upside, targeting the 71.66–72.21 zone for a potential reversal. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
TVC:USOILShort
by Samuel124
USDCAD Bulls Eye 1.4140 Amid Momentum ShiftHello Traders, Take a moment to read my outlook on USDCAD, and share your thoughts Overview USDCAD is currently trading at 1.40623, showing bullish trends on both the H4 and H1 timeframes. However, the bullish momentum on the H4 appears to be weakening, suggesting the uptrend may be nearing a potential reversal zone. Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by increased volatility, but momentum on the H1 timeframe has noticeably decreased, signaling reduced upward strength. Idea The pair is expected to continue its rise toward the 1.4140 price region, a key resistance level with the potential to halt further upward movement and trigger a bearish reversal. Price action is currently rejecting off the H1 order block, which could act as a short-term support level. I will monitor the 1.39797 level closely, as a break below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling a potential shift in market structure. Conversely, a sustained move above the 1.4140 resistance would indicate renewed bullish momentum and the possibility of further gains. Conclusion This outlook suggests further upside potential toward 1.4140 which is about 80pips move. However, a clear break below 1.39797 would invalidate this idea, and could provide opportunities for short positions. Cheers and happy trading!
Long
by Samuel124
1
GBP/USD Analysis: Key Levels in Focus Amid Mixed TrendsHello Traders, Trust you are great. Below is my perspective on the probable direction of GBPUSD in the coming days. Overview On the H4 timeframe, GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend. However, on the H1 chart, the pair is consolidating within a bearish structure. Key resistance levels are observed at 1.27219 and 1.27026, with the recent high at 1.27496 marking a critical threshold for further upside movement. Idea There is potential for a short-term rise in price, but the advance is likely to remain capped below 1.27496. The overall expectation is for the pair to break below the trendline after this upward movement. A confirmed close beneath the trendline could lead to a decline toward the 1.25400 price region, where strong support might trigger a bounce. Additionally, earlier unusual volatility caused a sharp downward spike, but this has since eased, and momentum has weakened significantly. Conclusion While a downward move appears probable, a break above the Friday high of 1.27496 would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Do let me have you thoughts. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
2
AUD/NZD: Potential Short Opportunity: False Resistance BreakoutThe AUD/NZD pair is currently exhibiting signs of a false breakout at the resistance level of 1.1145, subsequently forming a rejection Pinbar, which indicates that sellers may be regaining control in the short term. What is a False Breakout? A false breakout occurs when the price briefly exceeds a key support or resistance level, only to swiftly reverse and return to the opposite side. In this instance, the price momentarily broke above the 1.1145 resistance, yet the insufficient buying pressure led to an immediate rejection. This behaviour suggests that sellers were poised above this level, ready to enter the market. False breakouts can often result from market manipulation, where institutions and major players seek to trigger stop-loss orders from traders positioned near support and resistance levels. By instigating an initial breakout, they create liquidity for large contrarian positions. Reversal Signal A false breakout, particularly when accompanied by candlestick formations like the Pinbar, often indicates a potential trend reversal. In this case, the failed breakout signifies that buyers who attempted to sustain the move upwards were unsuccessful. Current Scenario : Has the False Breakout Been Confirmed? The 1.1145 level represents the highest price since 2022, establishing it as a significant resistance zone. The initial breakout above this level was swiftly followed by a strong rejection, illustrated by the long wick at the top of the Pinbar candlestick. This pattern underscores the weakness among buyers and suggests renewed strength among sellers. Possible Short Opportunity If the price breaks below 1.1090, we may expect a more substantial downward movement over the following days. First Target: 1.0880 This target corresponds to a notable support zone, aligning with previous lows and the projection of the rising trend line established since February. Final Target: 1.0780 This represents a significant area, marking an important horizontal support level observed over recent months. Stop Loss: A suitable stop loss could be placed above the Pinbar high at around 1.1180 to protect against an unexpected reversal. Alternative Scenario: Resistance Broken The recent sequence of green candles with elongated bodies and minimal upper shadows suggests a potential alternative scenario, wherein there may be sufficient buying pressure to breach the resistance level in the coming days. A buying opportunity could materialise if the price breaks above 1.1200. Next Targets: In the event of a breakout, the first target could be around 1.1300, with a final target at 1.1450, where the AUD/NZD would encounter significant resistance on the weekly chart. The AUD/NZD pair is at a critical technical juncture at 1.1100, indicating a potential false breakout of resistance. It is essential to monitor price action closely in the upcoming sessions. A sustained downward movement, particularly a break below 1.1090, would reinforce the selling pressure, while a breakout above 1.1200 could signal a continuation of the upward trend towards 1.1450. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
2
$GME Potential Movement (11/11/24)Hey Traders, NYSE:GME is back on the radar, showing its classic meme-stock momentum! On the 1-hour chart, we’re watching a solid structure here: there’s a break of structure at $25.02 that’s been tested twice today but has held as strong resistance so far. Our key support zone sits at $24.53 (previous higher high and BOS), with another potential test point nearby at $24.64. If we break through that $25 resistance on the 1-day chart, we could see a push toward the gap fill at $25.56. Stay disciplined and remember to secure those gains! David Diz-Plin Trading
NYSE:GME
by DizPlin
1
EUR/CAD Approaches Key Resistance Level on the Daily ChartEUR/CAD is currently trading near its highest resistance level since 2021, around 1.5200. This price zone has been tested multiple times in recent months, indicating strong resistance that the market has struggled to overcome. The repeated testing without a definitive breakout suggests that selling pressure may be building, which could lead to a reversal if the support below is breached. Key Resistance at 1.5200: This resistance level has been challenged several times, establishing it as an important psychological barrier in the market. The ongoing difficulty in breaking through this area supports the notion that a retracement could occur in the coming weeks. Support at 1.5075 (Potential Trigger Level): The 1.5075 level is identified as a significant support point in the short term. If the price drops below this level, it could generate considerable selling pressure, indicating that the pair has lost critical support and triggering potential short positions. Potential Selling Opportunities: Given the recent behavior of testing resistance and the absence of a sustained breakout to the upside, the current market structure suggests a possible sell-off. The trading plan may include: Short Entry: A short position could be considered if the price breaks below 1.5075, confirming the loss of support and signaling a potential reversal. Upon this breach, EUR/CAD could decline towards the 1.4900 level, where another crucial support area exists on the daily chart. Alternative Scenario: Conversely, EUR/CAD remains in an uptrend (as indicated by the black trendline on the chart), suggesting that a breakout above the 1.5200 resistance might still occur. If this level is surpassed and the price maintains above it, EUR/CAD may transition into a new price range. In this scenario, the current resistance might turn into support, with the potential for EUR/CAD to rise towards the 1.5350 region in the coming days, where additional resistance can be anticipated on the daily chart. Caution Against Fake Breakouts: Levels of resistance in EUR/CAD present ideal scenarios for fake breakouts that can lead many traders to incur losses. A fake breakout occurs when the price temporarily breaks above or below a relevant level, only to reverse quickly, misleading traders. These often manifest as candles with large wicks or tails. Therefore, it is crucial to seek confirmation before entering a trade to mitigate the risk of getting caught in such false movements. Monitoring Key Levels In summary, as EUR/CAD approaches significant resistance at 1.5200, traders should carefully monitor both resistance and support levels. A prudent approach will involve waiting for confirmation of price movements before entering positions, particularly in the context of potential fake breakouts. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
by Marketscom
Gold Rebound Strategy: Capitalizing on RBS and Bullish EngulfingTrade Idea Based on Technical Analysis: Chart Analysis: 1. Horizontal Line of Resistance Become Support (RBS): • The horizontal red line at 2,741.90 indicates a significant level where previous resistance has now become support. This RBS zone suggests a potential area where buyers might re-enter the market, providing a solid opportunity to go long if the price pulls back to this level. 2. Horizontal Line of Resistance/Support: • The price faces resistance around 2,748.94. This level has acted as a ceiling for price movements, where sellers are likely to enter. If price breaks this level, it may indicate further bullish movement, but it currently holds as a short-term resistance level. 3. Bullish Engulfing Zone (Yellow Box): • The yellow box marks a crucial bullish engulfing pattern zone between 2,737.64 and 2,740.53. This pattern indicates a strong buying momentum as the price reversed from a previous sell-off. This zone serves as a high-probability entry point for buyers. Trade Setup: • Entry Point: Look for a buy entry around the RBS level (2,741.90) or within the yellow bullish engulfing zone (2,737.64 - 2,740.53). If the price retraces into this area and shows bullish confirmation (such as a bounce or candlestick pattern), it’s a good opportunity to go long. • Target Price: The first profit target should be around the resistance level at 2,748.94. For a more aggressive approach, you can target 2,750.00, as round numbers tend to act as psychological resistance. • Stop Loss: Set your stop loss just below the engulfing zone, around 2,730.46. If the price breaks below this level, the bullish setup would be invalidated. Why I think this trade idea give chances: • The RBS level offers a strong area for a bounce, and the bullish engulfing zone indicates a reversal where buyers have taken control. These combined factors suggest the market has bullish potential, especially if price retraces to these levels. • The resistance level at 2,748.94 provides a clear exit point for taking profit, and the stop loss below the engulfing zone minimizes risk if the price goes against the trade. By waiting for price action confirmation around these key levels, this trade idea presents a well-structured and risk-managed opportunity for going long in the current market setup.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AdibAziman_
Gold at Key Resistance: Short Opportunity Before Breakout?Based on my chart, I’m analyzing XAU/USD (Gold) on the multi-timeframe, with key levels and trendlines marked. Here’s a potential trade idea derived from this technical setup: Trade Idea: • What: Short sell (SELL) Gold (XAU/USD) around 2,734–2,735 zone. • Why: • Price Action Resistance: The price is nearing a strong resistance area around 2,735–. 2,740, indicated by the horizontal orange and red lines. These levels have acted as significant selling zones in the past, which could cause a reversal. • MSS (Market Structure Shift): There’s a shift in the market structure (MSS) slightly below, indicating a possible breakdown of bullish momentum after the recent uptrend. • Ascending Trendline: The price is currently respecting an ascending trendline (in purple), but if it breaks this support level, it could trigger more downside. • Fibonacci/Support Levels: The levels 2,730.46, 2,723.67, and 2,714.22 (orange and red lines) represent possible key retracement or support points where price could fall to if resistance holds. How: • Entry: Enter a short position near the current price of 2,734–2,735. • Stop Loss: Place your stop-loss above the resistance at 2,741 to protect against further upward movement if price breaks above this zone. • Take Profit: Target support zones at 2,730.46 (first target) and 2,723.67 (second target) for potential profit taking. Risk Management: • Ensure you manage position size to risk no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AdibAziman_
2
GBPCAD is at its highest level since 2020. Time to sell?The GBPCAD is currently at a crucial resistance level of 1.8000, marking the highest point since 2020. The formation of a double top on the daily chart reinforces the notion of a potential bearish trend reversal. This reversal pattern indicates that the market is testing its ability to sustain prices above this resistance, yet has struggled to produce new consecutive highs, suggesting signs of buyer exhaustion. Furthermore, the emergence of a pin bar on 15 October highlights a clear rejection of prices above 1.8000, illustrating that the market has rejected attempts to breach this resistance and swiftly retreated to lower levels. The pin bar is recognised as a reversal candle with significant bearish implications, indicating profound selling pressure. When this pattern occurs at important resistance zones, as seen in this case, it increases the probability of a downward movement. Key Technical Indicators: Price at its highest level since 2020 at 1.8000. Formation of a double top on the daily chart. Classic bearish divergence on the daily chart. Formation of a pin bar indicating rejection of buying strength. Potential for Downward Movement Considering the above elements, a selling strategy could be justified if the price successfully breaks below the support level of 1.7920. This support level would serve as a trigger for confirming the anticipated downward movement. A breach of this level would indicate a loss of buying strength, paving the way for a sell-off towards lower support levels, such as 1.7750 and 1.7550. Alert for Traders In conclusion, the current market conditions and technical patterns suggest a bearish reversal may be on the horizon for GBPCAD. Traders should keep a close eye on the key support level of 1.7920, as a break below this point may present a valuable selling opportunity in the market. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
Mastering Support and Resistance: An Essential Tools for SuccessSupport and resistance are cornerstone principles in trading, offering crucial insights into price dynamics and market behavior. These levels act as key indicators, signaling points where an asset's price is likely to either pause or reverse direction. Support refers to the price level where strong demand prevents further declines, while resistance marks the point where selling pressure halts a price rise. Understanding and effectively utilizing these concepts can make a significant difference in trading success. In the realm of technical analysis, which focuses on using historical market data to predict future price movements, understanding support and resistance is essential. Traders rely on these levels to pinpoint optimal trade entry and exit points while also managing risk effectively. By recognizing where the market may reverse or maintain its trajectory, traders can craft more robust strategies. Decoding Support and Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels are vital price points on a chart that traders use to forecast future market behavior. Support represents a level where a downtrend is likely to pause, driven by a concentration of buying interest. In other words, it's the price point where demand is strong enough to stop further declines. For instance, if a stock repeatedly drops to $100 and then bounces back, $100 becomes a recognized support level. On the flip side, resistance is the price level where an uptrend often halts due to a high volume of sellers. Unlike support, resistance is where selling pressure overpowers buying interest, preventing prices from climbing further. If a stock consistently hits $150 and then retreats, $150 serves as a resistance level. Example Support and Resistance on Silver These levels are significant because they represent psychological thresholds for market participants. When prices approach support, buyers may step in, seeing it as a good entry point. Conversely, when prices near resistance, sellers might take action, expecting the price to struggle moving higher. Understanding how these levels work helps traders refine their timing and make more informed decisions. The Impact of Support and Resistance in Technical Analysis Support and resistance are pivotal in technical analysis, guiding traders in interpreting market movements and predicting future price trends. These levels act as psychological barriers that help determine whether a price trend will persist or reverse. For example, if a stock repeatedly approaches a resistance level but fails to break through, traders may interpret this as strong selling pressure and consider selling or shorting the asset. Conversely, if a price consistently rebounds off a support level, traders might see it as a buying opportunity. Example Resistance and Support on Apple Stock Visual tools like charts and diagrams are indispensable for identifying support and resistance levels. By drawing horizontal lines at points where the price has historically reversed, traders can easily spot critical levels and predict potential market movements. These visual aids enhance decision-making by providing a clear picture of where key price barriers lie. The Crucial Role of Support and Resistance Levels in Trading Strategies Support and resistance levels are the foundation of successful trading strategies, offering traders the tools to optimize entry and exit points, maximize profits, and manage risks effectively. For example, when a price hovers near a support level, a trader might take a long position, anticipating a rise in value. Simultaneously, they could place a Stop Loss just below the support level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly drops. Similarly, resistance levels provide invaluable insights for deciding when to exit trades or set profit targets. If a price approaches resistance, it might be wise to close a position to secure gains or prepare for a possible reversal. Understanding and identifying support and resistance levels also play a vital role in risk management. Setting Stop Loss orders near these levels helps traders protect their capital from significant losses if the market turns against them. This disciplined approach not only enhances profitability but also promotes long-term success in trading. Different Forms of Support and Resistance Support and resistance levels come in various forms, each providing unique perspectives on market behavior. The most common types include horizontal levels, trendlines, and moving averages. --Horizontal Support and Resistance: These levels are drawn at points where the price has consistently reversed in the past, making them straightforward and widely recognized. Horizontal Resistance on Tesla Stock --Trendline Support and Resistance: Trendlines connect a series of higher lows in an uptrend or lower highs in a downtrend, acting as dynamic support and resistance. In an uptrend, the trendline can signal buying opportunities, while in a downtrend, it might serve as resistance. Trendline Support on EUR/USD --Moving Averages: Moving averages, such as the 50-day or 200-day average, often act as support or resistance. For instance, during an uptrend, a pullback to the 50-day moving average can indicate a buying opportunity. Moving Averages Used as Support and Resistance on USD/CAD How to Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels To identify strong support and resistance levels, traders use several strategies: --Spot Price Clusters: Look for areas where the price consistently reverses direction, signaling strong support or resistance zones. --Use Technical Indicators: Tools like Fibonacci retracements help identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks by dividing a price move into key percentages (38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%). Fibonacci Tool used as Support and Resistance areas on DXY Common Pitfalls When Using Support and Resistance in Trading While support and resistance are essential, there are common mistakes traders should avoid: --Over-Reliance on Exact Numbers: Support and resistance are better viewed as zones rather than exact values. Prices may fluctuate slightly above or below these levels before reversing. --Ignoring Confirmation Signals: Jumping into trades without confirmation can lead to losses. Always look for signs like candlestick patterns or increased volume to confirm that the level will hold. --Chasing Breakouts Too Hastily: Not all breakouts result in sustained trends. Waiting for confirmation, such as increased volume, helps avoid being caught in a false breakout. --Impatience: Many traders act prematurely at support or resistance levels. Patience is key—stick to your trading plan and wait for the right setup. Advanced Strategies for Support and Resistance Trading For more experienced traders, support and resistance levels can serve as the basis for advanced strategies: --Breakouts: A breakout occurs when the price moves above resistance or below support, often signaling the start of a new trend. Confirming breakouts with increased volume helps reduce the risk of false signals. Breakout Confirmation on BTC --Fakeouts: Prices may temporarily breach support or resistance before reversing direction. Advanced traders capitalize on these by waiting for the price to return within the range and then taking positions in the opposite direction. Fakeouts on BTC --Reversals: Traders use reversal strategies when the price changes direction after hitting support or resistance, often signaling the start of a new trend. Area $72000 resistance used as reversal on BTC Conclusion Mastering support and resistance levels is vital for any trader aiming for long-term success. These concepts are the backbone of technical analysis, guiding traders in making informed decisions about when to enter, exit, and manage risks. By understanding and identifying key support and resistance zones, traders can predict price movements, spot opportunities, and refine their strategies. Incorporating technical analysis into your trading routine will boost your confidence in navigating the market. Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, honing your skills with support and resistance can lead to more disciplined and profitable trading.
Education
by FOREXN1
14