GBPJPY → Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑FX:GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement...
The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance.
Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0
Resistance levels: 195.5
The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth...
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Regards R. Linda!
Resistsance
GOLD → Risk zone! One step away from a prolonged correctionFX:XAUUSD is trading in the lower half of the key range. The price failed to hold above 2493, the market is spilling back to support. But, there are nuances pointing to both a rebound and a possible fall.....
The trend is still bullish. The price is entering the risk zone of 2470 - 2480. If the bulls do not keep the price above this zone, we should expect a prolonged correction. But, there are Initial Jobless Claims and NFP report ahead, which traders are waiting for so much. The economic nuances can both strengthen local movements and revive the global trend.
On H1 the price is strongly declining to the support, such a fast movement is fraught with a rebound, which can bring the price back to 2493 - 2500 and this is probably the key movement. But there is a but everywhere! It is hard to tell from the volumes that the buyer is ready for any action. False breakout and consolidation above 2477 may affect the growth.
Resistance levels: 2493, 2500
Support levels: 2477, 2473, 2450
But the fall is not excluded. If there is no reaction to the 2477-2473 zone in the form of a rebound, and gold starts to consolidate near the support, then we should consider a decline, the key target of which could be the 2450 zone and the trend line on D1.
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Attempting to recover inside a new range FX:XAUUSD declines after the CPI report to the local liquidity zone of 2440, forming a new trading range. But, buyers come back and try to hold the psychological zone of 2450 again.
The bullish trend persists, gold is trading within the “Symmetrical Triangle” consolidation pattern
Traders await US retail sales data for fresh signals on Fed policy. Although the annual inflation rate in the US slowed down for the fourth consecutive month to 2.9%, but these CPI figures have raised fears that the US Fed will decide to cut interest rate heavily next month.
A weak US retail sales report could revive recession fears....
Technically, we should focus on the local levels inside the range of 2440 - 2477.
Resistance levels: 2458, 2467, 2477
Support levels: 2440, 2431, 2320
Technically buyers are trying to keep the price from falling, but all the emphasis is on the news, favorable fundamental data can provide strong support for gold, which can use the energy for another retest of 2477, but an unpredictable report can intensify the sell-off and bring the price to 2425.
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GOLD → The calm before the storm. 2400 or 2200?FX:XAUUSD reduces volatility and shrinks into a narrow range before the news. US GDP did not play any role and traders are waiting for the general fundamental background. Locally, the downtrend.
The trend is downtrending, but on yesterday's news the price is trying to break the channel resistance, forming a consolidation of the price above the line. But if the price returns to the channel, due to the formed consolidation, the market may see a strong momentum towards 2280.
Ahead of the news, traders are waiting for PCE. But, the market believes that the index will remain at the same level and this generally complicates the situation because if in fact the situation changes it may trigger a violent reaction
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328, 2306
Globally bullish trend, but there is no strong buyer yet. Everyone is waiting for the news. Locally the trend is bearish, to confirm the change of the trend to a local bullish one, the price should overcome the area of 2354 - 2364 and consolidate above, in this case - the way to 2400. But, a break of 2328 will make the market panic
Regards R. Linda!
GMTUSDT → the coin is moving into the realization phaseBINANCE:GMTUSDT is entering the realization phase after a long accumulation. Price is testing resistance for a breakout.
On the High timeframe, the coin is testing the resistance area. A breakout and bullish momentum is forming. A price consolidation above 0.4000 will open a new potential for the bulls. The coin is quite far behind the market and if the bulls keep the price in the new zone, a long rally to 1.11 and 1.75 may be waiting for us ahead.
Technically, now we are interested in 0.4060 and the upper boundary of the channel. Possible retest after the breakout, but price consolidation above this zone will form an intermediate bottom, which will favor the market.
Resistance levels: 0.4060, 0.4867
Support levels: 0.2566
The market is ready to turn around and show us strong growth, but for this the bulls need to keep the price in the green zone.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The market is waiting for the FOMC. What to expect? OANDA:XAUUSD is reducing volatility amid expectations of FOMC data release. Earlier we saw an attempt to break the strong trend resistance, but now there are nuances appearing
The Federal Reserve is not going to raise or lower rates (at the level of rumors). In any case, this is positive-neutral news for the dollar. That is, if the situation does not change, the negative background for the gold market will be confirmed, and an attempt to break the trend resistance will be a trap on the part of the market maker. A false breakout will increase the liquidity volume and may form a strong red impulse. At the moment the level of 1928 separates us from the fall. And in general, the resistance of 1938.9 is important for the market - the level has not been tested yet, and it may happen at the moment of reporting publication due to the increased volatility. But, if TVC:DXY happens to get a weak (negative) fundamental background, gold may confirm the breakout of trend resistance and head towards 1950.
Price is trading inside the moving averages range, the market is giving us a false breakout of MA-50
Resistance levels: 1932, 1935, 1939
Support levels: 1928, 1922
The medium-term outlook for XAU depends partly on today's FOMC press release, which comes out at 18:00 GMT. Strong data for $ will negatively impact XAU pricing and vice versa
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The certainty of a strong market or the trap of MM?OANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening at the end of the week and closed above Monday's open. BUT! The dollar is also strengthening and on the chart we see several key elements forming and an important zone that can give us strong signals.
In the coming week, the following news is worth paying attention to:
09.19
CPI (YoY) EUR
09.20
CPI (YoY) USD
FOMC
FED
09.21
Initial Jobless Claims
FED
09.22
S&P Global Services PMI
It is worth paying attention to the W1 dollar chart and the XAU 1D. A bearish wedge is forming on the chart, but a large candle was formed on Friday, within which gold has little chance of breaking through this area yes and in tandem with a rising dollar. There is a high chance of a correction beginning as we see a false break of a strong resistance zone on the hourly timeframe.
The price is forming a fljt 1928 - 1903. The upper boundary is being tested and at the same time price is forming a false breakdown of a key liquidity and resistance area and most likely we may see a correction to 1916 or even 1903 on Monday. BUT! If the dollar, which is giving a strong signal to break resistance, fails to go up and starts a correction, then gold may well be able to break the above upper zone and start rising towards 1950, as the price is now looking more correct than expected on the back of TVC:DXY strengthening.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - The false breakthrough of global resistance Gold in the global perspective is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. There are several reasons both for the price fall and for further growth. But in priority we consider the realization of a false breakout.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A bearish price channel dominates the market for several months. The price retests the resistance after 1 month
2) There is little chance of a breakout at the moment, if a correction and a retest is formed within 1 week, then the probability of a breakout will be higher.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A false breakout and further consolidation is formed against strong resistance
2) Price forms a false breakout of 1948 resistance, another retest fails and closing around 1946 confirms the presence of a strong seller in the market.
3) The area of 1935 and 1939 plays an important role for us. A break of one of them will form an impulse.
4) But a break of 1935 support will send the price to trend support, which will determine the future direction
Key resistance📈: 1939
Key support📉: 1935, 1931
GBPUSD → Pin-bar and reversal pattern on the support line FX:GBPUSD on the daily timeframe is forming a situation that suggests a buyback, at the same time a candlestick pattern and a false breakout are forming
The currency pair is in the format of the ascending price channel. Earlier support was tested and on the background of news the market bought back the fall at 1.36 which is quite a strong reaction.
After the local rally, the price is forming a correction, most likely to support or retest, which may be followed by a growth phase, coinciding with the trend direction.
Moving averages form a cross and play the role of resistance, it is worth paying attention to the support area of the uptrend.
Resistance levels: 1.27275, 1.28484
Support levels: 1.26800, trend support, 1.26065
I expect the end of correction in the area of uptrend support with the subsequent strengthening of the price within the uptrend.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → Expected correction within consolidation BITSTAMP:BTCUSD forms a false breakdown of the key resistance after which the format of the movement passes into the correction phase. The price is consolidating between 0.236 and 0.382 fibo
Paying attention to the chart we see the continuation of the ascending price channel formation. The price indicates a rather high interest on the part of buyers, as the price after long consolidations continues to strengthen and does not give deep corrections.
A correction is forming within the new movement, which may reach 0.382 fibo in the near future. The rebound within the bullish trend can follow both from this level and from the level below - 28474.
The trend at the moment is bullish, although recently the price has not reacted much on the hype around BTC-ETF, but the potential is still on the side of buyers.
The hash rate continues to grow, glassnode in its reports claims that the price is coming out of the capitulation mode, SEC accepts applications of funds for spot BTC-ETFs for consideration - these nuances give some bullish prerequisites.
Support levels: 0.382, 28474, 0.618.
Resistance levels: 0.236, 30575
I expect the correction to continue, I don't think this movement will last long. Another retest of the nearest strong resistance will provoke a new impulse. In the medium term I expect a retest of 30575 and growth to 34000.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Global ascending triangle. Retest 2020BINANCE:ETHUSDT is forming an interesting situation. For more than a year the price has been trading under the strong resistance of 2020. After a while we begin to realize that this level is the upper boundary of the ascending triangle.
This pattern can be interpreted as consolidation of potential by dynamic buyers with the purpose of possible overcoming the resistance and reaching new tops.
A symmetrical triangle has been forming for several months as well.
The price is in consolidation and on the background of bitcoin correction the price may form a decline to the support of the pattern.
MA-200 clearly outlines the ascending support of the bullish triangle, which only strengthens the essence of this formation.
In the medium term, the price may either make a false breakdown of the local support line or decline and retest the MA-200 and trend support.
The further target is growth with the aim of breaking through 2020 and strengthening to 2450.
Support levels: 1875, 1830, 1800
Resistance levels: 1938, 2000, 2020
I expect the correction to continue to the nearest support levels from which a reversal and resistance retest may follow.
Regards R. Linda!
MATICUSDT → Breakout figure and an attempt to change the trend BINANCE:MATICUSDT breaks through the resistance of the key figure and opens a new bullish potential. If the nearest resistance is broken through, the price can form a strong momentum.
Earlier we saw an attempt of strengthening, which smoothly changed from an ascending price channel to a bearish wedge. The latter figure is quite capable of breaking the trend and changing it, for this in our case, the price needs to pass through the resistance of 0.7440.
Recently cryptocurrencies, both bitcoins and altcoins, start to recover, and there are even some fundamental reasons for that.
The moving averages act as resistance, but at the moment the MA-50 is being tested and in case of a breakout the 31% range will open, which is quite an interesting prospect for us.
Support levels: 0.6500
Resistance levels: MA-50, 0.7440
I expect consolidation near resistance, followed by a breakout and bullish momentum. The medium-term target is 0.9700.
Regards, R. Linda!