The $2680 Question: Will Gold Correct or Continue to Fall?The current chart setup for Gold is decidedly bearish: we’re seeing a breakdown through key support and a local low. This is clear and hard to miss. Retail traders are diving in, buying the dip, and they’re not in a rush to close their long positions, hoping to ride it out. This sentiment is actually quite good for the bearish trend.
That said, when we zoom out and look at the bigger picture, a potential correction to around $2680 is on the radar. It might not happen, of course; I’m not a fortune teller. But it’s definitely a possibility worth considering.
Here’s the reasoning behind this potential correction scenario:
We have a solid liquidity level where buyers could be lurking, and there were compelling visual cues to establish positions there (uptrend + buying after a pullback + following a strong bullish candle). Plus, the open data backs this up (see attached screen)
So, if we do see that correction materialize, I’ll be looking to open some shorts at that level.
Retailtraders
$HIMS THE NEXT EXPLOSIVE RETAIL STOCK! NYSE:HIMS THE NEXT EXPLOSIVE RETAIL STOCK!
3 Reasons Why in this Video: 📹
1⃣ My "High Five Trade Setup" strategy
2⃣ Massive Cup N Handle Pattern, 88%+ measured move.
3⃣ Review my "HOMEMADE" Valuation Metric for NYSE:HIMS , showing us a fair value of $35!
Video analysis 1/5 dropping today. Stay tuned!🔔
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Comment what stock you want to see charting analysis on below.
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NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:SOFI NYSE:PLTR NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:IBRX NASDAQ:WULF NASDAQ:UPXI #TradingSignals #TradingTips #options #optiontrading #StockMarket #stocks #Retail
SOFI LONG: SYMMETRICAL TRAINGLE BREAKOUT! 80% MOVE INBOUND! NASDAQ:SOFI LONG: SYMMETRICAL TRAINGLE BREAKOUT! 80% MOVE INBOUND!
Everything is FINALLY looking on track for NASDAQ:SOFI stock! See analysis below and my Symmetrical Triangle Breakout trade details at the bottom of the post! Not Financial Advice.
STOCHASTIC UPTREND
MACD UPTREND & BREAKOUT OVER ZERO LINE
RSI UPTREND
STOCK PRICE UPTREND
SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE BREAKOUT
- MEASURED TRIANGLE: 727 BARS
- BREAKOUT MOVE 727 BARS HIGHER
(86.87%) $15.63
- TAKE PROFITS: TOP OF THE TRIANGLE
(39.78%) $11.70
- STOP-LOSS BELOW MA's AND VOLUME SHELF
2.5 RISK TO REWARD (15.89%) $7.04
Institutional and Retail Traders: Where the Difference LiesInstitutional and Retail Traders: Where the Difference Lies
There are many players in the financial markets who can cause changes in trend direction, but let’s focus on institutional and retail traders. This FXOpen article compares retail vs institutional trading. You’ll learn about the characteristics of these types of traders, how they affect the markets, as well as the differences and similarities between them.
What Is a Retail Trader?
Let’s start with a retail trader definition. Retail traders refer to individual traders or small investors who participate in trading for speculative purposes.
They typically trade with smaller capital and have fewer resources and less access to information than institutional traders. Retail traders often use leverage, which allows them to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. Leverage may increase potential returns, but it also escalates the exposure to substantial losses.
The collective impact of retail trading has grown significantly in recent years, shaping market dynamics. The rise of online platforms has democratised financial markets, allowing retail traders to participate more actively. Their collective actions can amplify market trends and contribute to increased market volatility.
How Do Retail Traders Trade?
Retail traders often engage in day, swing, and news trading. They usually rely on online resources for self-education. They may attend educational courses and use the services of mentors. They may use technical analysis, social media discussions, or market sentiment analysis to inform their decisions.
The collective power of retail trader communities, fuelled by social media discussions, can impact asset prices. The “Reddit effect” exemplifies how retail trading, through online forums, can challenge traditional market dynamics.
What Is an Institutional Trader?
What is institutional trading? Let’s first take a look at the institutional market definition. In the context of trading, the institutional market refers to the segment of the overall market where institutions and corporations manage their assets. Institutional traders buy and sell different financial instruments for the accounts they manage on behalf of others, and they handle large pools of capital. Therefore, they can influence market trends and liquidity. Their collective actions may lead to market-wide shifts, affecting prices and levels of volatility.
Examples include hedge funds, mutual funds, investment banks, endowment funds, pension funds, and insurance companies. They have different goals, for example, hedge funds pursue absolute returns, and investment banks engage in market-making and proprietary trading.
How Do Institutional Traders Trade?
Institutional trading is characterised by its scale and impact. By handling significant volumes of capital, they take advantage of access to privileged information and influence market movements. For example, in institutional forex trading, central banks have the greatest price impact in the spot FX market, followed by hedge funds and mutual funds, while regular traders have much less influence on dealer pricing.
Institutions commonly employ sophisticated strategies, such as quantitative trading and algorithmic trading. Their strategies often involve in-depth market analysis and the use of advanced instruments.
Retail Trader vs Institutional Trader: Key Differences
The primary differences between institutional and retail traders lie in factors such as capital, risk tolerance, and time horizons. These and other aspects are collected in this table:
Aspect - Retail - Institutional
- Capital - Limited capital - More capital-rich
- Price Influence - Limited influence - More significant influence
- Knowledge - Self-taught, usually from internet resources - Educated in finance or economics from college
- Trading focus - Technical systems, price patterns, indicators - Fundamentals and trading psychology
- Account - Personal accounts - Accounts they oversee on behalf of a group or institution
- Time of trading - A shorter time horizon - A longer time horizon
- Risk tolerance - Disciplined risk management, a lower risk tolerance - A higher risk tolerance, a focus on growth
- Market Access - Retail and online brokerages with standard trading instruments - More difficult instruments, including swaps
These differences profoundly impact trading strategies. Institutions can afford more complex and resource-intensive strategies, while retail traders may focus on simpler approaches. Time sensitivity, risk aversion, and regulatory constraints further differentiate their decision-making processes.
Similarities and Overlaps
While institutional and retail traders differ in many aspects, there are areas where their trading strategies may converge. Both groups may use similar trading tools and strategies, for instance, technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and algorithmic trading.
The influence of technology has also contributed to blurring the lines between these trading types. Retail traders can now access sophisticated tools, while institutions may adopt more agile and cost-effective technologies.
You may trade over 600 assets at the TickTrader trading platform using modern instruments for market analysis.
Final Thoughts
Institutional and retail traders play distinct but significant roles in the financial markets. While institutions have advantages such as access to more financial instruments and extensive resources, retail traders have the flexibility and freedom in trading decisions.
The convergence of strategies and the evolving influence of technology indicate that the landscape will continue to shift, creating new opportunities and challenges for traders across the spectrum. If you want to trade on various markets with tight spreads and low commissions, you can open an FXOpen account.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Euro Bulls Take Charge: But Are Options Traders Hiding a Secret?The euro is looking good for bulls right now. It's hit those liquid levels twice now and broken through them. The way it's crossed those levels, №1 and №2, is a sign of growth, at least for the short term.
But I can't do not noticing that the options market is putting in a drop in quotes and buying PUTS out- of- the money in this case.
For instance, on Friday someone bought $2.8 worth of PUTS at strike 1.10. I don't think anyone would throw that much money around without having some sort of prediction in mind.
However, let's not go with the crowd and turn the market upside down . The moment is clearly bullish.
The screenshot shows a bunch of different portfolio options and when they happened. They're all pretty close to the same level, around the yellow line.
TITAGARH could get a rebound from 1154-1219 levelsTITAGARH is a stock that is known to never fall much. But in the current scenario, a lot of long term investors are trapped and a lot of panic selling is seen in this stock. In my view, it may get a rebound from 1154-1219 levels once again. This level is the place where last heavy buying was observed last which created a big fair value gap in the price.
Long on USD/JPY Post-FOMC
Currently Long on UJ after FOMC, we took out low of the Asian range which led us out of a consolidation range, DXY was giving the same reaction after taking out a daily low. Potentially to turn around, but it is just an idea. I trade my plan you trade yours. I have taken out 50% of my lots on this at 1:1, and already set to breakeven. So worst case scenario I walk away with +0.50%. Otherwise I am looking for price to take out an Asian High from recent swing highs.
Silver Is Under PressureSilver has hit a support level and might even try to rebound a bit, but considering all the factors, like the recent COT report and retail traders activity, there's no way it's going to have any serious growth.
Plus, that 25-strike put that had a lot of trading in the options market is still out there and it also suggests that it could keep getting weaker.
Retail Sentiment Points to Lower Prices? If we break through that support level, we'll probably head down to 28.5 or even lower.
And the retail sentiment is also in line with this scenario.
At the moment, most are long, and short positions are starting to shrink (check out the chart).
Guys, who else sees the same level of support as us? And why? Let's discuss it
USDJPY DAILY OUTLOOK AFTER THE END OF Q1The 1st Quarter of the year has come to an end and buyers dominated the market for the past 3 months. And price closed at the previous years high. The question going into the mind of trader is, “will the bullish strength continue ? Well,to get answer to that, we’ve been able to identify couple of trend-lines & key levels to help us navigate the potential trajectory of the market. If price is able to break above 151.820 and provide one of the valid entry requirements, we’ll go long while a break below trendline and 146.740 insight a bearish sentiment.
XAU Weekly - BearishThis Week we Say OANDA:XAUUSD was Super Bullish, But is It?
gold has Engineered Liquidity up and Down, I believe its going up to Hit Retail Stop loss and then Revert to go Down .
I have noted Levels that I am interested in Chart
Another Confirmation : If you Check #Gold Seasonality, Normally OANDA:XAUUSD is Bearish in October and November !
Disclaimer : this is Just Technical Analysis, You Should never use this information for real Trading, Do your own Research.
Sincerely,
Sobhan JTN
Traders' Inverse Relationship with Breakouts⚡Retail traders often find themselves entangled in false breakouts or breakdowns. However, it's important to recognize that taking advantage of breakout opportunities isn't inherently flawed. The key lies in being mindful of the associated risks and never trading beyond what is considered an acceptable level of risk. By doing so, traders can protect themselves from unnecessary losses and navigate the market more wisely.
⚡Another crucial aspect of successful trading is planning for potential failures. While the solution seems simple – cutting losses and exiting the trade – it's essential to define what constitutes failure beforehand. Identifying these conditions before entering a trade allows traders to establish clear criteria for when it's time to step back and avoid further losses.
⚡To increase their chances of success with breakout trades, traders can consider adopting a strategy of trading pullbacks after a breakout has occurred. Typically, stocks pull back to retest their breakout levels, presenting attractive trading opportunities. While this approach can mitigate some failures, it's important to acknowledge that no trading strategy is foolproof. There may be instances where traders miss out on certain opportunities due to a lack of pullbacks, leading to feelings of "Fear of Missing Out" (FOMO). Remember, trading involves inherent uncertainties, and no strategy guarantees a 100% success rate.
⚡Lastly, traders should keep in mind that support levels offer potential buying opportunities, while resistance levels indicate potential selling opportunities. Being attentive to these key levels can assist traders in making informed decisions and improving their overall trading performance.
Regards
Do hit boost 🚀 for motivation.
GBPJPY Upside PotentialHey Traders! 👋
For Day 27/100 of our challenge, we will look at GBPJPY for upside potential this week/month
Technicals:
- Overall uptrend
- Breaking into a new high
- Currently in impulse phase
- Expecting pullback towards 174.0/5
- Targeting daily key level 176
- Idea invalid if 172.6 breaks
Other technicals:
- Seasonality forecasts more upside this month
- Retail traders at 90% short (trade against)
That's it for today! Let's start the week off well by ticking off all your trading routine tasks. I believe in you 🥂
History: 17th Century to 21st Century: Retail Investors.Retail trading is the practice of individual investors using their own funds and accounts to purchase and sell financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and derivatives. Retail traders are frequently referred to as DIY investors or self-directed investors. They are different from institutional traders, who work for major institutions like banks, hedge funds, pension funds, and mutual funds and execute trades on their behalf.
The development of stock markets in the 17th and 18th centuries can be linked to the history of retail trading. In Amsterdam, the first stock exchange opened its doors in 1602, where Dutch East India Company shares were traded. At first, the market was only open to wealthy merchants and nobles since they had access to brokers and agents who served as middlemen between buyers and sellers. However, more people from various socioeconomic groups and backgrounds started to participate in the trading activity as the market expanded and became more accessible.
Actual ledger from the first public IPO, The VOC charter, the organization's founding document from March 20, 1602, had made mention of the IPO. Article 10 said that "all the inhabitants of these lands may purchase shares in this Company." There was no minimum or maximum investment amount; subscribers could choose their own amount. Posters announcing the IPO would be placed up, according to the article that followed.
The South Sea Bubble in 1720, when a speculative frenzy over the shares of the South Sea Company drew thousands of investors from all walks of life, was one of the earliest instances of retail trading. Many people purchased the shares in the hopes of becoming rich by taking out loans or selling their belongings. However, the company's failure to keep its promises caused the share price to crash, and the bubble to burst. Many small-scale retailers lost their savings and filed for bankruptcy.
The Wall Street Crash of 1929, which signaled the end of the Roaring Twenties and the start of the Great Depression, is another significant incident in the history of retail trading. When investors recognized the stock market was inflated and unsustainable, a wave of panic selling rushed through the New York Stock Exchange, setting off the crash. Many retail investors who had used borrowed funds to buy stocks on margin were unable to fulfill margin calls and were forced to liquidate their investments at a loss. Millions of people worldwide were impacted by the crash, which destroyed billions of dollars' worth of wealth.
The environment of retail trading has changed as a result of technological and regulatory advancement in the 20th and 21st centuries. Retail traders now have more affordable and convenient ways to enter the markets and carry out their trades thanks to the development of electronic trading platforms, online brokers, discount brokers, and robo-advisors. The number of alternatives and techniques available to individual traders has increased with the advent of new financial instruments including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options, futures, contracts for difference (CFDs), and cryptocurrencies. To safeguard retail traders from fraud, manipulation, and abuse by market participants, laws and regulations like the Securities Act of 1933, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Investment Company Act of 1940, the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, and the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 were passed.
Some of the most influential figures in retail trading history include:
- Jesse Livermore:
Known as the "Great Bear of Wall Street" and the "Boy Plunger," Livermore was a renowned trader who amassed and forfeited a number of fortunes over his career. He was renowned for his insightful reading of market psychology and trends as well as his audacious bets against the market. He participated in both the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the Panic of 1907, making millions by shorting stocks during each event. Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, a famous trading book he also penned, is still read by many traders today.
-The "father of value investing," Benjamin Graham :
, was a pioneer in fundamental analysis and security selection. Based on an analysis of an undervalued stock's intrinsic value, earnings potential, and margin of safety, he devised a methodology. In addition, he coached a number of great investors, including Warren Buffett, who is recognized as one of his most well-known pupils. He also taught at Columbia Business School.
- George Soros:
One of the most successful hedge fund managers and currency speculators in history. Soros is known as "the man who broke the Bank of England." His prediction that the British pound would have to devalue or leave the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992 is what made him most famous. From this trade, he allegedly generated over $1 billion in profit while also sparking a financial crisis in Britain.
- Peter Lynch:
Considered to be one of the best mutual fund managers of all time, Lynch oversaw the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990, with an average annual return of 29%. He adhered to the straightforward maxim, "Invest in what you know," which meant that he sought out businesses that he was familiar with and that had a promising future. A number of his best-selling books on investing, including "One Up on Wall Street" and "Beating the Street," were also written by him.
- Kathy Lien:
Lien, a former chief strategist at FXCM and BK Asset Management, is regarded as one of the world's foremost authorities on currency trading. She frequently contributes commentary to media sites like Reuters, CNBC, and Bloomberg. She has authored a number of books on forex trading, including "Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market" and "The Little Book of Currency Trading".
Any more.
In closing, Retail trading has evolved from a privilege reserved for the wealthy to a widely accessible activity for individuals from all walks of life. From the early days of stock markets to the modern era of electronic trading platforms, technology and regulation have played a pivotal role in shaping the landscape of retail trading. Influential figures like Jesse Livermore, Benjamin Graham, George Soros, Peter Lynch, and Kathy Lien have left their mark on the industry, each with their unique approaches and contributions. While retail trading presents opportunities for individuals to grow their wealth, it is essential to recognize the risks involved. The lessons learned from past episodes, such as the South Sea Bubble and the Wall Street Crash, remind us of the importance of informed decision-making and prudent investing. As we look towards the future, it is likely that the landscape of retail trading will continue to evolve, driven by advancements in technology, regulatory developments, and emerging financial instruments. However, the core principles of risk management, knowledge, and adaptability will remain crucial for retail traders to navigate the ever-changing markets successfully.
In the related ideas you will see my post about the early days of TradingView and also the history of Japanese candlesticks
What ChatGPT has to say about Retail vs Professional Indicators?When it comes to trading, novice traders may be tempted to rely solely on retail trading indicators such as RSI, MACD, Stochastic RSI, Bollinger Band, and ADX. However, relying on these indicators can lead to traders losing money in the long run. One of the main problems with retail indicators is that they tend to generate false signals, which can lead to traders entering and exiting trades at the wrong time. Retail indicators are based on historical price data and do not take into account other factors that can affect market movements, such as news events, economic data, or geopolitical developments.
In contrast, professional trading indicators such as market internals, volume profile, market profile, open interest, and volume delta are essential for traders who want to stay profitable in the long run. These indicators provide a deeper understanding of market conditions, which allows traders to make more informed trading decisions.
Market internals can provide insights into the underlying market sentiment and identify potential changes in trend. For example, the NYSE Tick Index measures the number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange that are trading on an uptick minus the number of stocks that are trading on a downtick. A high tick reading can signal bullish market sentiment, while a low tick reading can signal bearish market sentiment.
Volume profile, market profile, and open interest can help traders identify support and resistance levels, potential breakout points, and market structure, which can improve the accuracy of their trading decisions. For example, volume profile analysis can reveal where the most significant buying and selling activity is happening, which can help traders identify potential turning points in the market. Market profile analysis can reveal the market's value area, which is the price range where the majority of the trading activity has occurred. This information can help traders identify potential breakout points or reversal areas.
Volume delta can help traders identify market imbalances and potential trend changes. For example, if the price is going up, but the volume delta is negative, it can indicate that selling pressure is starting to build, which could lead to a potential reversal.
Professional traders also tend to use more advanced techniques, such as order flow analysis and footprint charts, which allow them to see the actual orders being executed in the market. This provides a more accurate view of market conditions and can help traders identify potential trading opportunities. For example, order flow analysis can help traders identify potential order imbalances and see where the big players are positioning themselves in the market.
Understanding the difference between lagging and leading indicators is crucial for traders who want to stay ahead of the market. While lagging indicators may provide some insights into past market conditions, they are not sufficient for making profitable trading decisions. Traders must learn to use leading indicators, such as professional trading indicators and advanced techniques, to gain a deeper understanding of market conditions and make more informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, relying solely on retail trading indicators can lead to traders losing money in the long run. Professional trading indicators, such as market internals, volume profile, market profile, open interest, and volume delta, provide a more accurate view of market conditions, which allows traders to make more informed trading decisions. Advanced techniques, such as order flow analysis and footprint charts, can help traders identify potential trading opportunities and gain a competitive edge in the ever-changing market.