Bearish Wedge + 61.8% Retracement - AJHere I have AUD/JPY on the 4Hr Chart!
Since Prices decline, we see Price after making its New Lower Low @ 90.116 and has made a steady Fibonacci Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone being our Fib Entry Zone!
All along the way, creating Higher Highs and Lows forming a Bearish Wedge!
Price is unable to Close above 97.472 being the 61.8% level, so I suspect we will see price continue DOWN!
*Potential Sell Entries will come once price Breaks and Closes below the Rising Support of the Bearish Wedge!
Retracement
B/C Correction for E/G Before Descent To .8400?!Here I have EUR/GBP on the 4Hr Chart!
Ever since EUR/GBP made its transition into a Downtrend from the High @ .86248 to Lower High @ .85928, Price has been strong on the decline eventually giving Break to the .8510 - .8500 Area.
This Correction Wave, based on the Fib Trend Ext Tool, has eyes on the Range Target of .84409 - 8405!
Before the Final Extension can happen, I suspect Price will need to make a Retracement to the Fib Entry Zone @ .84976 - .85133!
*Golden Zone @ .85032 - .85087
After which I will be looking to take Sell Opportunities to finish the Wave!
Indicators:
-Price Trading Below DSR
-Price Trading Below 200 EMA
-DSR + EMA leading to "Death Cross"
-RSI Below 50
-BBTrend Printing Red Bars
PFC: Retrace from Support and Strong FundamentalsFundamental View
➡️ Market Cap: ₹1,66,177 Cr
➡️ PE Ratio: 8.02 | Dividend Yield: 2.68%
➡️ 52-Week High/Low: ₹580 / ₹200
➡️ Net Profit: ₹7,182 Cr (June 2024) | Revenue: ₹94,821 Cr (TTM)
➡️ ROE: 21.3% | Book Value: ₹306
Technical View
➡️ Major Resistance: ₹577
➡️ Ascending Trend Line in play
➡️ Retrace from Support
➡️ RSI near 47, indicating neutral momentum
Bitcoin - The dump before the massive pump !!!By now a lot of traders and investors are very nervous about Bitcoin's next move, and justifiably, I don't think many people saw this particular setup coming, although it is normal for Bitcoin to have such volatility.
However, In the above chart, we see a particular situation which could present itself with various moves and targets. This is combined with a possible Black Swan event (meaning large scale military conflict) or even significant loss of confidence in the petro dollar, due to external influence such as BRICS and the mere fact that the USA is printing more $$$ into their way into oblivion and hyper-inflation. Why does it matter if the USD takes a hit? Unfortunately at this current point in time, Bitcoin seems to be +80% correlated with the S&P500.
Thus, we are at a critical point in the market where, based on previous price action (chart history) and some issues that have affected and/or will affect the market, we now have 5x Potential targets as follows:
Target #1 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $57,736.05 to $59,535.00
Target #2 = Daily Gap: Range between $45,288.65 to $46,800.00
Target #3 = Daily Gap: Range between $44,396.50 to $45,242.12
Target #4 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $43,399.98 to $44,331.10
Target #5 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $40,300.24 to 41,394.34
Target #1 is where the current price is centered inside a DAILY FVG + OB. This would be the optimal reversal point, however going by my Level count, we are still in Level 2 which means an inevitable drop again to a lower price point, either within the Lower FVG+OB range between $52,088.00 to $54,476.47 or to one of the lower targets #2 through to 5. My guess is there will be another dump, either due to some financial issue or possible military action in the Middle East or Ukraine. I labelled this as Possibility #1 in the chart above.
Target #2 is where price action could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. I see this as a low probability move, especially due to the fact that Bitcoin has an irritating habit of retracing back to 98% of it's previous high.
Target #3, again, could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse.
Target #4, is a high probability reversal point where due to the Daily FVG + OB being where most of the liquidity would be held, seems the most logical target before a solid reversal. I have labelled this as Possibility #2.
Target #5, is a high probability reversal point due to the Daily FVG+OB as well as it being at the 98% retracement point that Bitcoin seems to so often follow. I have labelled this as Possibility #3.
Therefore at this point in time, due to the many issues currently under the microscope together with potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and/or Ukraine, and the level count showing a level 2, I see it highly probable that the current boxed reversal zone will be invalidated and we will achieve a much lower reversal point more than likely between Possibility #2 and Possibility #3.
Note that I am still very bullish on this, even though the DAILY EMA shows BEARISH trend, it is only temporary as the WEEKLY EMA is still very much BULLISH !
I shall update when price action reveals more useful information.
Cup & Handle Forming!! - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the 1 Hr chart!
Price dipped down into the Support Zone that was recently used in the beginning of July making its Low @ 1.2707!
Afterwards, price came right back up to make an Equal High @ 1.28404 forming quite a popular Reversal Pattern, the Cup & Handle!!
Now this PA formed the "Bowl" and after the Equal High, using the Fib Retracement Tool, we can see Price made a 61.8% Retracement beginning the formation of the "Handle"!
This Higher Low tells us that if this Fib Retracement holds, we could be seeing the end of this Downtrend and the beginning of an Uptrend to the Potential Range Target of 1.29992 - 1.30502!
- Bullish Divergence @ Support
- Violation of Structure from LL to HL
- RSI ABOVE 50
Divergence: RSI vs. PriceHey everyone!
In my years of trading, I've really come to love Reversal Strategies and my favorite is in the form of a DIVERGENCE!
Today, I took some time to put together an Educational Video on:
1) What a Divergence Is?
2) How to Spot them!
&
3) How to Trade them!
I hope you find this helpful!
**Tips
- Divergence is never good enough to trade alone, YOU NEED CONFIRMATION!
- The longer the Divergence takes, the more reliable it is
- Change in Momentum is KEY!
4 Stages of Price Delivery (ICT Concepts)In this video I go through the 4 stages of price delivery as it pertains to ICT Concepts.
Generally, the market is going through either of the following:
Consolidation
Expansion
Retracement
Reversal
Price starts from a consolidation, where Smart Money accumulates their position, and then an expansion, where price is trending in a direction for the purpose of seeking liquidity and/or manipulating sentiment. From an expansionary phase, price will either retrace to re-accumulate orders and expand again, or have a complete reversal.
Now, it is important to note that price is fractal, meaning the signatures you see on a lower timeframe perspective could also be seen on a higher timeframe perspective. In a singular candlestick, there can be multiple phases of price delivery happening.
Once one can fit all these pieces together in regard to how market makers book price, one can have a clear insight into where price is likely going and where it likely won't go again, all with a high degree of accuracy.
Thanks for watching and reading!
- R2F
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing.
The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally.
Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
Has EUR/USD Bottomed-Out???Here I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart!
Now we see Price on EU has made a sort of "Rounded Bottom" making its official LOW @ 1.06660
Now with Price struggling with the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.08441 - 1.08266 ) it is beginning to form what looks to be a Potential CUP & HANDLE PATTERN!!
This pattern after the completion of the "Bowl" is typically followed by the formation of the "Handle". This will be considered a HIGHER LOW which should be followed by Bullish momentum to the Top of the Cup (Resistance Zone) again, then to BREAK and possibly continue HIGHER!!
-The RSI is showing that price is Over-Bought which tells me we could see price needing to make a decline!
-Strengthening the Bullish Bias on this idea is also backed by the fact price is now trading ABOVE the 200 EMA!
*Before we can confirm this is a Cup & Handle Pattern, we must see Price make a retracement from this High to the ( 1.07751 - 1.07647 ) Range for potential BUY positions!
**If Price decides to Break Below our Fib Entry Zone, The potential Cup and Handle Pattern will be INVALIDATED!!
USDCHF: Recent Trendline Breakout, Temporarily BullishPrice has recently broken out of the (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the (D) 50% Fib retracement level and proceeded to the downside to retest support. The price has now broken out of the (4H) downtrend line. I anticipate the price will retest and reject this level of support, and temporarily continue to the upside.
**Rationale:**
L1:
~ Break of channel (D)
L2:
~ Retest of support (D)
~ Impulse wave completion
L3:
~ Break of trendline (4H)
~ Retest of support
**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
** Annotations:**
Categories:
1. Naming: (N1)
2. Labeling: (L1)
3. Forecasting: (F1)
Sub-categories:
1. Naming: (N1.1)
2. Labeling: (L1.1)
3. Forecasting: (F1.1)
---
#scalping
#intraday
GOLD Retracement 10.06.2024After a drop on Friday a retracement is quite possible.
Gold drop heavily after the data showed that the Central Bank in China stopped buying. After this reversal the price could move upwards to the 61.8% of the whole downward movement.
__________________________
Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure.
BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd.
BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene.
BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350)
Disclaimer
CADJPY | Short H4 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 a time-frame.
- Price action is reversed off the Supply Zone
- Targeting the other Demand Zone
- Price action looks like it will retrace first before grinding up higher.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 113.70 - 114.20
SL @ 114.92
TP 1 @ 112.92 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 111.82
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.06 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
S&P500 Retracement 31.05.2024U.S. Indices: Friday's Jump 31.05.2024! What's next?
S&P500 H1 Chart Remarks and Technical Insights:
- A reversal, crossing the 30-period MA on its way up potentially ending the downtrend.
- Confirmation of the bullish divergence (RSI: higher lows, Price: lower lows).
- The index is near the upper band of the 50- period Bollinger Bands indicating resistance for moving further to the upside.
- Retracement to the 61.8 Fibo level (back to the 61.8% of the total movement to the upside is more probable.
Target Level is near 5,265 USD
Less probable alternative scenario could be the breakout of the 5,300 USD resistance pushing the index more to the upside with target level near 5,330 USD.
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Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure.
BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd.
BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene.
BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350)
SPY Fibonacci Price Theory And BreakOut BarsThis instructional video teaches you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory in conjunction with Breakout Bars and how price is the ultimate indicator.
Throughout this video, I try to provide instruction on key elements related to the Fibonacci Price Theory (Unique & Standout Highs/Lows). Additionally, I've also included Breakout Bars and Fibonacci Price Retracement concepts.
What I really hope you learn from this video is to see price as the true ultimate indicator for your trading decisions. Using technical analysis techniques is fine, but use price as the key element when trying to confirm or reject your trading ideas.
I hope this helps you understand that price, action, and reaction through trends, peaks, and troughs are the most important components of the chart. Everything else is peripheral.
ICT Short setup SPY swing trade, retracement trade👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in SPY for Swing trade.
Of course SPY is in up trend in Daily chart, so this is a retracement trade for reference.
Or you could consider to buy SPY after reaching the demand zone marked on chart.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Sell Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
SAREGAMA INDIA have Broken and Sustained at Retrestment LevelCompany is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.0%
Company’s Operating Revenue for Q4 FY24 stood at Rs 2,631 Mn growing at 29% both on YoY as
well as QoQ basis, with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs.864 Mn registering a YoY growth of 40%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 760 Mn with a 31% YOY growth.
Company’s Revenue from operations for FY24 stood at Rs 8,030 Mn with a strong adjusted EBITDA
of Rs. 3,029 Mn with a margin of 38%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 2,708 Mn with a 34% Margin
and PAT of Rs 1,976 Mn for FY24
Key Operational Highlights:
➢ The company’s strong performance is led by growth in music licensing on account of strong
advertisement revenues driven by its investment in new music and the revenues generated
through the artist management vertical
➢ This quarter saw music release of A.R.Rahman and Diljit Dosanjh’s Chamkila, Ajay Devgn’s
Maidaan, Ram Charan and Kiara Advani’s Game Changer, Yami Gautam’s “Article 370”,
Mohanlal’s Malaikottai Valliban, Diljit Dosanjh single Love Ya, multiple songs by Bhojpuri star
Neelkamal, Pawan Singh and Gujrati’s No.1 singer Rakesh Barot.
➢ During the Quarter, Company released 290 plus Originals and Premium Recreations
across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Gujarati, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi and
Bengali languages. Company also released 2,000 plus derivatives (LoFi, Trap Mix,
Cover, Acoustic etc.) which is driving the popularity and growth of its catalogue.
➢ The other highlight of the quarter was the use of our songs for Shahid Kapoor and Kriti Sanon
starrer 'Teri Baaton Mein Aisa Ulhja Jiya' (Hindi), for Mahesh Babu’s 'Guntur Karam’(Telugu),
for Dulquer Salmaan’s'King of Kotha’ (Malayalam) etc. and by brands like HUL Lux, Meesho,
Junglee Rummy, Andrex etc. in their ad films.
➢ Riding on the success of its Tamil Serial “Ilakkiya”, Company started its Malayalam remake
“Mangalyam Thanthunanena” on Surya Tv. We released “Crushed Season 4” series from Dice
of Pocket Aces on Amazon mini-TV.
➢ In Q4FY24 Yoodlee released Mohanlal starrer “Malaikottai Vaaliban” , Tovino Thomas starrer
“Anweshippin” in Malayalam and Gippy Grewal “Warning 2” in Punjabi.
➢ Digital footprint across Saregama owned and controlled channels touched 239Mn followers
and subscribers across YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.
XAUUSD Retracement 24.05.2024GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis. Quite interesting H4 Chart:
Could be a good opportunity for catching a retracement. Lots to consider.
- Reversal to the downside crossing the MA on its way down.
- BB Lower band reached.
- RSI in oversold area and beginning to show bullish signals.
- 2,325 USD/oz could act as a strong support at the moment.
Target level at near 61.8 Fibo Retracement level, at 2,360 USD/oz.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure.
BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd.
BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene.
BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350)
Retracement short trade of BTCUSDT, short term idea👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an ICT Short setup in BTCUSDT for scalping.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Supply Zone),open for take profit.
BTCUSDT daily chart is in uptrend or ranging market, this is just a retracement trade idea and you could consider buy BTCUSDT after reaching the demand zone marked with a reversal to upside chart pattern in H1 or higher timeframe.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Up Up and Elliot Wave!? EU to March Levels and Beyond?!Here I have EUR/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!!
Upon deeper analysis of EU, the LOW created on Apr. 16th happens to be a NEW LOW since the LOW back in Oct. of 2023!!
Since that low, price has been in an UPROAR! Moving fairly Bullishly! Not to mention that it seems we could be seeing the end of an Elliot Wave!!
Price is currently at a STRONG ZONE tested Multiple times throughout Price action in the past few months but we are seeing this Level as SUPPORT!!
Now with the Current HIGH @ 1.08949 and based off the LOW @ 1.06494, we see our Targeted Fibonacci Range @ ( 1.08125 - 1.07717 )
**If Price is unable to Break down Below this Zone, We could be seeing the NEW LOW being the next best area for BUY OPPORTUNITIES!! W/ Range Target being ( 1.08949 - 1.09528 )
Fundamentally, EUR and USD both came in with Strong SERVICES and MANUFACTURING PMI numbers!!!
The only difference is:
EUR is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as July!
USD is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as Sept!
(*Fed unsatisfied by Progress towards optimal 2% Inflation meaning Rates stay "Steady For Longer"
Lets See What Happens!!
AUDNZD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Trade-Related TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone (Blue Area) & has Resistance Trendlines around
- Aiming for the 38.2% Fibo retracement to TP
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0970 - 1.1010
SL @ 1.1060
TP 1 @ 1.0920 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0838
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
UCHF on a Correction Wave!!Here I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart!!
Now given its remarkable rise to its current HIGH @ .92242, followed by the strong drop to the LOW @ .9005 ..
This week we've seen Price make a Fibonacci Retracement back to the Golden Zone meaning price is CORRECTING AFTER THE IMPULSE ELLIOT WAVE!!
Now with Price working past our LOW, we could see price drop as low as the ( .87447 - .86612 ) Range!!
A great opportunity on Livepeer (LPT)?Livepeer BINANCE:LPTUSDT seems to be giving us a great opportunity by retesting the top of its previous accumulation range. The Perfect Cloud (BPC) remains green, indicating that the uptrend is intact for the time being.
This retracement back to this very strong structural level is further reinforced by the Vegas Daily (blue cloud) of the Trend Identifier (BTI) !