USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USDJPY as trading activities were largely sideways during the course of last week's trading session. So, price action was caught within the 145.000 and 144.200 zone, emphasising the indecision in the market at this juncture. Though price action is still within the sell window at the psychologically important 145.000 area which was identified in my previous analysis (see the link which includes daily commentary for reference purposes), the current structure could lead either way as participants in this market anticipate NFP coming up this week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Reversalpattern
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USOil as we did make a minimum of 350pips in total to close last week. Oil bulls culminated in a loss during the later part of last week's trading session after a surprisingly higher U.S. inflation print for August reinforced expectations for more super-sized Federal Reserve rate hikes. Even as the selling pressure appears emphatic, the current market structure remains ambiguous.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NVDA: Doing as planned. Could it keep climbing?• NVDA is still in a bear trend, doing lower highs/lows, while trading below the 21 ema;
• In theory, the 21 ema is supposed to work as a resistance, and NVDA would perform a top sign in this area before resuming the bearish sentiment;
• In this scenario, we would just head to the $115, the next support level;
• However, if NVDA breaks the 21 ema, and closes a candlestick above it, then it might seek the $144 next. This wouldn’t be a reversal sign yet, but could be the beginning of one;
• If NVDA triggers a reversal sign in the future, the next resistance to work with would be the $192;
• Read my last analysis on NVDA for more details on what it takes for NVDA to reverse (link to it is below this post);
• For now, there’s no evidence of a reversal, but it is important to keep an eye on the 21 ema in the daily chart for now, as this is the most important resistance in the short-term for NVDA;
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AB=CD PatternThis pattern is actually in high reliability as the price action shows a pivotal sign in confluence to a 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Hidden bearish divergence on Fisher Transform oscillator which crossing on H1 reinforces the idea of a peak for this cycle. A 2nd target to watch @ 14.6%.
SPY: Could this be the DIP on SPY? Let's see.• SPY is trying to react today, however, this reaction alone is not good enough;
• SPY is still in a Descending Channel, as evidenced by the purple lines above;
• Only if SPY breaks the upper trend line it’ll trigger a stronger reversal sign. As long as it doesn’t, or if it loses the lower trend line, it’ll just resume the bear trend;
• If SPY is about to react, now is the best time since June, as the index is reacting just above the support at $360 and the volume is as high as seen in nearly four months;
• The sentiment is still bearish, and there’s no bottom sign confirmed on SPY yet. For now, let’s focus on the Descending Channel in the 1h chart, as this pattern could trigger a reversal, if a breakout occurs.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AAPL: Time to BUY the DIP? Let's see.• AAPL dropped sharply last week, and it lost its previous support level at $141.92;
• In theory, since it is a bearish momentum, our next stop is the support at $133;
• However, today’s reaction might jeopardize this reading;
• So far, AAPL is doing a bullish reaction, and if it closes above the $141.92, it’ll give the impression of a false breakout and a bear trap;
• If this scenario materialize, AAPL will probably bounce back up to the next resistance at $148;
• This isn’t a mid-term bullish reversal, but could be the beginning of one;
• For now, let’s focus on the $141.92, and on how it’ll close today.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsAfter testing its highest point since 1980 - just right above the 151.00 area last week, the CHFJPY lost over 600 pips to signal a risk of further decline as projected in my previous analysis on this pair (see link below for reference purposes). Will the BoJ's intervention in the FX market signal a boost for the Yen in the coming week(s)? This video illustrates the trading option I am looking forward to in the coming week(s).
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe BoJ kept rates unchanged which diverged from other central banks but at the same time intervening in the USD forex market which sent the USDJPY pair sharply lower during the latter part of last week's trading session. This illustrates how I intend to sell the USDJPY as long as the price does not break above the supply zone at 145 area.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
UBER: A bullish reversal pattern! Will it REVERSE?• UBER is reacting today, however, this reaction alone is not good enough to characterize a true bullish reversal;
• Today it is doing a Piercing Line candlestick pattern just above the previous support at $27.10 (black line) – a bullish reversal structure;
• Although this is a decent reaction, it seems it is too soon to tell if this reaction will last long enough. As far as I know, the trend is still bearish, and UBER is heading to fill the last gap at $24.62;
• In addition, UBER did a Double Top chart pattern at $33.78, which indicates more sell-off in the mid-term;
• Could UBER perform a better reversal sign? Yes, but it must not frustrate this Piercing Line candlestick pattern (meaning, it must not lose yesterday’s low at $26), and it must close above the $27.69 (dotted line);
• Why above the $27.69? By doing this, it’ll frustrate the Double Top chart pattern I mentioned above. This point is the previous bottom seen on September/August and the trigger point of this Double Top;
• Only if UBER does both things I’ll see a recover to the $33 again (mid-term). The volume must increase as well, as it has been quite low recently.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
MU: Reacting at a SUPPORT LEVEL!• MU is reacting this week, but the trend is still bearish;
• MU is doing lower highs/lows, and in theory, it is seeking the next support at $46.23 (red line);
• Could MU bounce from here? Yes, and this week is doing a bullish reaction, but it must close above the $51.30 again in order to recover to the $58 - $60 area again;
• By closing above $51.30, MU will trigger a false breakout from a previous support level. Along with the recent increase on the volume, this might be what it takes for MU to recover;
• MU is a promising stock, but for now, it must do better signs in order to become attractive again.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
SOFI: New ALL-TIME LOW! Is it the time to buy?• SOFI is crashing sharply today, and it did a new all-time low today, at $4.79;
• However, it seems it’ll close above the previous all-time low / support at $4.82 (black line);
• If SOFI is about to react, now is the best time. Below this point, there is no other technical support level to work with, and then only a very strong bullish reversal sign would reverse the bear trend again;
• By reacting at its all-time low, we can assume it might bounce back up to the $5.57;
• This wouldn’t be a bullish reversal structure yet, as we must see higher highs/lows for that;
• If SOFI performs a mid-term bullish reversal structure in the daily chart, the area around $8 will be the next technical target;
• For now, let’s pay extra attention to this support level, as we might see an opportunity on SOFI soon, and be extra careful. Don't trade without confirmation.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
NVDA: Heading to the next support level! What to expect?• Since it lost the $134 support, NVDA is just heading to the $115, and there’s no technical evidence indicating it won’t do this, as we lack strength, and there’s not a single bottom sign at the moment;
• The $115 is a support level that dates back to 2 years ago, September 2020;
• In addition, the daily chart suggests a continuation of the bear trend. Since it performed the Double Top, as evidenced in the chart above, NVDA has been doing nothing but lower highs/lows;
• Only if it does a higher high/low again, and if it breaks the 21 ema as well, we might assume NVDA will do a recovery;
• For now, there’s no evidence of a recovery, but at $115 it might get oversold. Either way, we must wait for more confirmation.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
BBBY Reversal Area we visiting an important support for NASDAQ:BBBY which is holding above the 6$+, if we consolidate above that support , we going to test our resistant and first profit taking around the 8.16$, and then if we break it , we going to test the second profit taking around the 11$+.
if we broke the 6$ support , it's means the short is in control , and go to other bottom above the 4$+.
OIL crash: Good NEWSHello traders!
Welcome back to another strategy with analyst Aadil1000x.
Our last week's Buys are in good profit and now there is another Good NEWS where I have figured out a crash in oil price. This is great NEWS and low oil prices will make our everyday life easy and Businesses will run smoothly.
Surety from my side is not less than 100% and I am seeing Oil price below 30$ per barrel. The key line is at 33.13 and it will not reverse from there, it will push it further downside and can touch 28-27.
It will also give a clear buy signal at the bottom and i will post the signal from the perfect bottom. We did miss the peak as i missed the analysis but there is 50% more dip incoming and we will catch the perfect bottom.
F Head and Shoulders SHORTFord had great earnings and revenue beats in July however inflation
is eroding the purchasing power while Ford raised the price of its flagship
EV, the Lightning by $8000+ and supply chain issues persist.
The 2H Chart shows a head and shoulders pattern with price currently
sitting at the trigger area at a time when the general markets are
"challenged".
Shown on the chart are the mid-Fibonacci levels on the retracement
of the uptrend which started July 5th and ended about August 16th.
Thye may suggest that F could downtrend into targets in the range of
14.3 to 13.05 over the typical slow and weak month of September.
In consideration of this, I will go flat on call options and watch for
Ford's further trend.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsIt is worth noting that Japan has been more aggressive in jawboning the Yen in the past week and results might start trickling in the coming week.
However, from a technical standpoint, the multiple rejections of the 145.000 area in the last 7 days appear to be revealing the possibility of the selling opportunity getting ready to explode! I have been looking forward to this bias in the last couple of weeks and the breakdown of both the bullish trendline and key level at 142.500 identified on the daily timeframe this week might be the beginning of the reversal structure.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsThe Greenback remains firm and strong ahead of the FOMC meeting this week. During the course of last week's trading, we witnessed a significant breakdown of the demand zone at around the $1,700 area to incite a bearish signal. So, is the price going to retest the $1,700 zone to confirm a selling momentum or will there be an opportunity to buy right above the $1,700 this week?
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week A successful breakout of the supply zone at the 144.00 area at the beginning of this month incited a strong bullish momentum. However, the character of the price movement during the course of last week's trading session insinuates a possible decline in the momentum as the reversal pattern evolves after multiple rejections of the 150.600 area. In this video, I have illustrated how I intend to trade the CHFJPY in the coming week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
SP500 INDEX PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (REVERSAL!)Overall evaluation of the SP500 is bearish within a 1-2Y time frame mini trend, but not on the grand picture. Greetings everyone, we dumped very hard this past few days but this is a sign of a potential reversal. The fact that the candle closed as a DRAGONFLY DOJI , this is a warning for all shorters to consider that the bulls are now entering the market. The proper way to trade this signal is to wait for confirmation on the next daily candle, but seeing as how
it is a text-book perfect dragonfly doji on any manual you can find, this is especially stronger in a daily time frame.
We will probably get rejected again on the moving averages after this mini-trend change. The catalyst for the mini dump we had today was a negative sentiment report from U.S. Michigan.
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TIP:
SP500 also had a reverse hammer on the hourly charts followed by a green candle -- also called as a bullish harami.
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