This Simple Error Cost Me Big on XAUUSD! Learn From My Mistakes!Key Levels and Zones
Highs and Lows:
HH (Higher High) and LH (Lower High) are marked on the chart.
The chart shows a recent HH and LH indicating a bullish trend with a potential pullback.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
4HR LQZ at 2474.891: This zone might act as a significant resistance level.
4HR LQZ at 2432.126 - 2432.046: This zone was previously a resistance level that may now act as support.
4HR LQZ at 2348.453: Another support zone lower on the chart.
Daily Bull Flag:
A daily bull flag is drawn, suggesting a potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price breaks out upwards.
Trading Plan
Identify Key Zones:
Mark key support and resistance levels on your trading platform.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for confirmation signals (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering a trade.
Set Alerts:
Use trading alerts to get notified when the price reaches key levels.
Risk Management:
Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Ensure your risk-reward ratio is at least 1:2.
Review and Adjust:
Regularly review your trades and adjust your strategy based on market conditions.
Reversalpattern
Small inverse H&S in many stocksThis is just for St James's Place, but you'll find inverse head and shoulder patterns in a lot of stocks on the FTSE 100. For me, that means a reversal on the pullback, and this week for example, STJ is confirming the reversal with a break about the neckline and 200 EMA acting as support.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold has delivered impressive gains of over 18% so far in 2024, and June looks promising for investors. With finite supply and fluctuating demand, gold prices are sensitive to economic and geopolitical news. This video dives deep into the current market dynamics and what to expect in the coming month.
In June, geopolitical unrest could significantly impact gold prices. Any major news on this front may push gold prices higher.
On Friday, gold retraced to our key level at the $2,325 zone, undoing gains made after the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data for April. This report, showing cooling core price pressures (0.2% month-over-month, down from 0.3%), suggests a higher likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates sooner. Lower interest rates are typically positive for gold, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-yielding asset.
However, US interest-rate expectations are just one piece of the puzzle. Gold demand is also being driven by Asian buyers hedging against their depreciating currencies. Fund flows into Chinese gold ETFs are rising at the fastest pace since April, even amid surging US yields. This trend indicates that the US Dollar's strength may not be as negatively correlated with gold as it was in the past.
In this video, we'll explore how to navigate these complex market dynamics as we prepare for an active trading month. Expect increased trading activity as fund managers and investors rebalance portfolios to meet allocation targets or adjust for market performance.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is fixed on the critical $2,325 level for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,325 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Brace Yourself: Is Gold's Bearish Trend to Continue Next Week!?Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
$2,480: Recent high, acting as a strong resistance level.
$2,449.525: Previous high, another significant resistance level.
Support Levels:
$2,391.612 (4HR LQZ / TP 1): First significant support level and target point.
$2,348.723 (Daily LQZ / TP 2): Second support level and target point.
$2,289.000 (TP 3): Third support level and long-term target.
Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a clear descending movement from the recent highs, indicating a bearish trend.
The price has broken down from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal.
Indicators and Patterns:
Rising Wedge: The price action formed a rising wedge, and the breakdown confirms the bearish trend.
Price Action: The current price movement shows lower highs and lower lows, which aligns with the bearish trend.
Volume: Consider monitoring the volume for further confirmation of the trend. High volume on down moves indicates stronger bearish sentiment.
Strategy:
Short Positions: Traders might look for shorting opportunities at resistance levels or breakdown retests.
Target Points: The support levels ($2,391.612, $2,348.723, and $2,289.000) serve as potential target points for short positions.
Stop Loss: Place stop-loss orders above the recent highs to manage risk.
Conclusion:
The technical breakdown of XAUUSD indicates a bearish trend continuation. With the price breaking down from a rising wedge and confirming lower highs and lower lows, traders should consider short positions, targeting the support levels mentioned. Keep an eye on the volume and price action for further confirmation and manage risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
SQQQ leveraged inverse QQQ LongSQQQ on the 15 minute chart has trended down into a reversal at the end of the last trading
session. A snapshot of the 3 minute chart inlaid shows a reversal about 14:45 EDT 75 minutes
before market close. I took a long trade of shares and call options striking $10.00 for June 14th
at that point. I am expecting a 5% quick return on the shares and far more on the options.
The relative volatility indictor is helpful to further pinpoint the reversal for best entry.
(red to green) The set of Hull Moving Averages ( 14 and 35) also serves to signal "death" and
"golden" crosses which serve to further aid trade entry accuracy. The relative volume indicator
( of veryfid) also helps in that regard. It has extreme volume spikes in black. OF particular
interest, the last 15 minutes of the trading week has a volume spike of buying in SQQQ.
This comforts me to know that other traders saw what I saw. I am fortunate that I saw it
about 45 minutes before them and got a better price. This demonstrates the value of indicators
and knowing how to apply and interpret them. Trading is not as complicated as the pundits
and the fee for services and trading room coaches will have you to believe to make you
financially dependent on their "guidance and assistance".
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Does FFIE have another bullish move left? LONGFFIE had an explosive move from about 0.50 to 4.00 before retracing down to the 1.10 range
where it got support from the 0.786 Fibonacci level. That is to say it retraced beyond the typical
0.5 to 0.618 levels. The question now is can it move higher and will buyers pile into the
stock at this relative discount. I think that they will. As a result, FFIE could retrace the trend
down by 50% and end up targeting 2.30. The sequence of candles for the reversal setup are
noted in the text box on the 30-minute chart. This is a potential 100% trade. The stop loss is
the recent pivot low at 0.75. The Reward to Risk is about 4. The stop loss of about 28% will be
moved to break even if the price gets over 1.35 making the trade risk-free thereafter.
FFIE needed to rest but could easily resume with another leg of bullish momentum.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold prices are on a roll, climbing for the third consecutive quarter! What's driving this surge? 👀 It's all about inflation and the Federal Reserve.
This gain comes after a key U.S. inflation gauge, favored by the Federal Reserve, was broadly in line with expectations, fueling hopes of potential interest rate cuts by September.
On Friday, market sentiment shifted as traders bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by September and again in December. This speculation followed the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index report, which showed no inflation rise from April to May. The PCE's steady data and moderate consumer spending have influenced this outlook.
Despite Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin's neutral stance on rate cuts and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's positive remarks on current policy effectiveness, the market remains hopeful. Economic indicators, including declining business spending on equipment and a widening goods trade deficit, underscore a slowing economic momentum. This, combined with a weakened dollar and falling benchmark 10-year yields, has made gold more attractive to investors.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in an 89% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, up from 64% before the latest inflation data release. This video will show you how I plan to position for the next move in the gold market.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,330 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,330 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldPrices #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #FedRateCut #TradingStrategy #EconomicIndicators #ForexTrading #Investment #MarketSentiment #CMEFedWatch #FinancialNews📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
How I Caught the Spike Down on NZDCHF Using This Great StrategyIn this video, I explain the Restricted Market Structure strategy and how it differs from the traditional Market Structure strategy. You'll learn how to set up trades using this unique approach and discover which currency pairs are best suited for it, as well as which pairs to avoid.
Key points covered:
Detailed explanation of Restricted Market Structure strategy
Differences between Restricted Market Structure and Market Structure strategies
Step-by-step guide to setting up trades with the Restricted Market Structure strategy
Best currency pairs to use this strategy with and pairs to avoid
Real-life example with NZDCHF, showcasing how it caught the big drop on the H1 chart perfectly
Join me for an in-depth analysis and practical tips to enhance your trading skills. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading strategies and expert insights. Let's master the markets together! 🚀💹 And remember to hit the Boost Button on this video to support our Trading View community!
Disclaimer: Forex trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Carefully consider your financial situation and risk tolerance before entering any trade. Always perform your own research and seek advice from a licensed financial advisor if needed.
DMART - Momentum is building for upside move - Time to go LONG!DMart looks like it has bottomed out, presenting an opportunity for a long trade with a tight stop loss in place!
Trade Idea Explanation:
- Entry Point: Best around 4300+
- Stop Loss: Tight SL to 4100 on closing basis of D tf candle
- **Target:** Expecting a significant upside around 5900++
Stay updated for further insights and trade safely!
If you have liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recomendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do you due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn this video, we examine the recent performance of the GBP/USD, which closed Friday at a fresh five-week low, marking its third consecutive week of decline. The Bank of England's (BoE) recent interest rate decision did little to bolster confidence in the British pound. Meanwhile, a late-week surge in the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) dampened risk appetite, giving the US Dollar a lift heading into the weekend.
On Thursday, the pound and UK bond yields fell after the BoE left interest rates unchanged at 5.25%. Some policymakers noted that their decision not to cut rates was "finely balanced". Additionally, British inflation data revealed a drop to 2% in May, hitting the BoE's target for the first time since 2021. However, concerns remain over underlying price pressures, particularly in the services sector.
With positive US economic data reducing the likelihood of an early rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), market sentiment shifted towards the safe-haven Greenback on Friday.
Looking ahead, UK economic data remains sparse heading into next week, leaving Sterling traders focused on next Friday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) release. In the US, economic data releases are also limited to mid-tier reports early next week, with the US GDP update scheduled for next Thursday.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.26750? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Next week analysis: FANG & Energy Sector up? Hello everybody, thank you for checking out my trade idea and rundown of the stock market from last week. My analysis here covers the broad stock market, the energy sector, money inflow to small caps, and a potential trade setup in FANG, XLE, or ERX for next week. Please let me know if you have any questions about entries when to enter how to enter how to exit how to scale out or if you have any questions about the indicators I use or the indicators I don't use. I like to keep things simple; most indicators are derived from the price and volume, so I don't need to use indicators to tell what's going on. Have a great trading week and good luck.
Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price DeliveryGreetings traders!
Welcome back to today's video! In this educational session, we'll delve into the concept of institutional order flow. Our objective is to accurately identify market reversals and trend continuations. By mastering the draw on liquidity, we will gain a clearer understanding of whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish institutional order flow. To accomplish this, we will analyze the behavior of smart money and trace their footprints.
Join us as we uncover these crucial insights together.
If you haven't seen the " Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading " video, here is the link:
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
XrpUsd - Rally back to previous resistance (+100%)?BITSTAMP:XRPUSD is one of the most interesting cryptocurrencies for potential setups in the near future.
For a couple of years now, XrpUsd has been trading in a symmetrical triangle trading pattern. Always when XrpUsd retested support in the past, we simply saw a very nice rejection away towards the upside. And as we are speaking, XrpUsd is once again retesting such a confluence of support from which we could see a rally towards the upside. Target is the previous resistance of the triangle pattern.
Levels to watch: $0.491, $0.911
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates at their current levels and delay any potential rate cuts until at least December. Officials foresee only a modest quarter-percentage-point reduction for the year, emphasizing the importance of managing inflationary pressures.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted that despite robust growth and low unemployment rates, the central bank remains cautious, waiting for clear economic signals before making any adjustments. The market reacted to this news, with gold prices climbing over 1% on Friday, fueled by expectations of a possible rate cut soon. Concurrently, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield trended lower towards 4.2%, influencing the XAU/USD pair upward as the week came to a close.
This video offers a detailed strategy to help navigate various market scenarios, empowering us to make informed decisions as the market digests the latest developments.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,335 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,325 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this video, we delve into the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and its potential impact on the price of Gold. The decisions made during this meeting could significantly influence the market. Gold recently experienced its lowest finish in about a month, influenced by stronger-than-expected monthly U.S. jobs data and reports of China's central bank pausing its bullion purchases.
China, a major driver of the gold rally, might not be done buying gold, but the current pause could signal short-term profit-taking activities. Additionally, the latest US Nonfarm Payrolls report for May revealed an increase in workforce numbers, albeit with an uptick in the Unemployment Rate and a slight rise in Average Hourly Earnings. These factors could lead the Federal Reserve to delay its decision to cut interest rates, which is negative for Gold as it raises the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset.
As market participants await next week's US inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to remain steady, but a reacceleration could trigger further losses for the gold.
Join me as we dissect the latest market dynamics and explore potential strategies for positioning ourselves for the upcoming price movement
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,325 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,325 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD continues to decline, hitting a one-month low below $1.2700. Factors contributing to the British Pound's weakness include declining inflation expectations, potential policy shifts by the Reform Party, and broader economic uncertainties.
Amidst indications of a possible rate cut by the Bank of England this summer, both inflation and the labor market are showing signs of ongoing softening.
In April, inflation dropped below expectations while the latest jobs report revealed concerns as more individuals claimed unemployment benefits in May. With the UK economy stagnant in April and inflation, particularly services inflation, posing challenges, the BoE is closely monitoring the situation.
UK inflation is projected to decrease further, with upcoming data anticipated to show a decline in core CPI y/y to 3.5% and headline CPI y/y to 2.0%. The BoE aims to reach its target inflation rate of 2% soon.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe U.S. dollar made a strong comeback on Friday as the latest economic data revealed a much higher job creation rate than anticipated. The U.S. economy added 272,000 jobs last month, significantly surpassing expectations. This robust job growth suggests that the Federal Reserve might delay starting its easing cycle this year. Additionally, the average hourly earnings increased by 0.4%, up from a 0.2% rate in April, further strengthening the case for a strong dollar.
Following this positive jobs report, the likelihood of a rate cut in September dropped to around 50.8%, compared to nearly 70% the previous Thursday.
On the other side of the pond, the focus shifts to the United Kingdom, where the Pound Sterling will be influenced by upcoming Employment data, set to be released on Tuesday. The UK has seen a decline in the number of employed people for three consecutive periods. Any further indication of layoffs could weaken the Pound Sterling, increasing speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might implement early rate cuts.
Investors are also keenly watching the UK Average Earnings data, a critical measure of wage growth. The UK's persistent wage growth has been a key driver of high service inflation, posing a challenge to bringing price pressures back towards the 2% target.
In this video, we analyze the dynamics between buyers and sellers as they interpret recent economic data and prepare for the upcoming reports this week.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain selling pressure below $1.27500? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.