SPX: Still in a "danger zone"! What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today!
First, the index is still in our “danger zone”, and the trend is still bearish. As long as it keeps doing lower highs/lows, nothing will change, and the SPX will just seek its next support levels.
The 21 ema, along with the resistance at 4,456 did a very competent job holding the price, as we expected in our previous study, yesterday:
Now, we are in a similar position again. Although there’s no clear resistance for us, we still have the 21 ema, which seems to be working again as a resistance today. However, I’ll still believe the 4,456 is more important resistance to break.
The daily chart is looking interesting right now.
Yes, we see a bullish candlestick pattern (to me it is a Piercing Line pattern), just above the support level at the 50% retracement. This is a buy sign, however, we don’t have any confirmation yet, so it is still a delicate situation.
If the index triggers this Piercing Line, we could finally escape from the “danger zone” and reverse the short-term bear trend. However, it must not lose the 50% retracement, otherwise, the 61.8% is our next stop.
The plot thickens and soon the index will have to do something interesting, either bullish or bearish. Let’s just keep in mind the patterns and key points mentioned in this analysis to guide us from here.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
Reversalpattern
EURAUD | New perspectiveWith an evident downtrend scenario on the 4h time frame. How can we take advantage of a sell continuation opportunity if it finally happens? Let's check this out together.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AUDCAD | New PerspectiveWith the current structure, the Aussie appear to extend gains above 0.95 in the coming week(s). As of the time of publication, a reversal set-up has been identified within the demand zone at the 0.934 area where we shall be looking for a signal to buy at a breakout of the key level which also serves as the neckline of the reversal structure.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekA bullish trendline is identified in the 4H timeframe and this line also shares a confluence with a significant key level at 0.68250. We shall hereby be looking for a breakout of a reversal set-up for a signal to join the potential bullish trend. However, a breakdown/retest of key level might incite a risk of further decline hence the need to be very conscious as we monitor price action.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Live position review | follow-up detailsA follow-up detail on the XAUUSD was published last week (see link below for reference purposes) With over 3,00pips moving in our direction since my last publication, we currently have another set-up lining up for a bullish momentum as a bullish trendline structure is identified on the 1H timeframe.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY Sell Entry From Here..In this Price Movement You can Easily See that After The Strong Up Move The Market Has Started Consolidating. And in This Phase Most of The Institutions and Banks Are Accumulating The Sell Orders , And Market has also Make BOS here which Means Market is Showing Signs of Weakness . So I'm Pretty Confident on This Trade to Sell at Given Entry . Stop loss And Tp is Also Given in The Chart.....
XAUUSD | Live position reviewThis is a follow-up detail on the XAUUSD that was published on Monday (see link below for reference purposes).
After hitting break-even during the latter part of yesterday's trading session, another opportunity appears to be arising considering the reversal structure identified in the 1H timeframe. Let's see what happens as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BTCUSD Ascending TriangleBitcoin continues to make a push to the upside meanwhile price action continues to trade within an ascending triangle. Typically, this is a continuation pattern to the downsize although there can be many fakeouts in the market place. Play both sides of the market here with shorts or longs on the break of the triangle!
AUDUSD Trade Update (Up 900 Pips)I was waiting for AUDUSD to make a push to the upside to stop out everyone's contracts that were sitting above these recent highs. We got a big push and got stopped out on my first contract. However when AUDUSD began to fall like a fly, I tried again on a second contract and caught the wave with already 900 pips in just two days!
ALPHA - Important Price Action ✨From a higher timeframe view, we can see that there are 3 significant bearish phases.
Phase 1 and 2 are really impulsive indicating there's heavy momentum to the downside. However, phase 3 is very corrective with short bodied bearish candles. This indicates that there isn't much momentum to the downside and that bulls are coming back into the market. We can see that after the corrective phase 3, we broke up to the upside. Anticipating further bullish momentum to the upside, back to ATH's.
Trade Idea:
- Watch lower timeframe for bullish reversal. Worst case we can come back to double bottom
- Enter with stops below the lows
- Targets: 1.300, 1.500, 2.400, actively manage the rest
Goodluck!
UNISWAP - Reversal Patterns 👀Uniswap has recently broken out of a descending wedge, which is a common reversal pattern. After breaking out, we appear to be coming back to the lows - possibly double bottom, which is another reversal pattern. Both the descending wedge and double bottom patterns are indicating that we may get a bullish reversal very soon!
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price action around the double bottom region
- Once bullish PA appears, enter with stops below the lows
- Targets: 28, 44, actively manage the rest
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
APPLE - Potential Short/Bearish U-turnAPPLE - Potential Short/Bearish U-turn
Apple appear to have form the same trend Pattern as what Nasdaq has formed in Jan 2022 which U-turned it into Bearish momentum,
will we see the Market break the daily up channel/trend the way it did the Nasdaq in Jan 2022 and push Nasdaq further down to the 12237.00 area .
With Nasdaq also in a Down Channel there's a strong Possibility this could happen .
How To : Momentum Shifts ( Key Set Ups)
Hi Traders! Lets review 3 Trade SetUp For Key Momentum Shifts:
For the past 28 years, I have been using three simple trades setups, that I'll explain in the video, to be selective in my trades and to identify key momentum shifts in the market. I hope these setups will be useful to you as well.
High Frequency Traders and Professional Traders will often run retail trader stops by blowing through key support and resistance levels like round numbers only to reverse shortly afterwards. We must protect ourselves from these tactics and be careful not to chase a move or get stopped out.
Recognizing and patiently waiting for one of these trade set up will help especially if you combined or recognize them with a chart formations like a double tops or head and shoulder pattern.
Trade Setup 1: Cross above a key resistance, recross below = shift of momentum. The same setup can be used with a cross below a key support level.
Trade Setup 2: Cross above a key resistance, recross below and a retest of the resistance with a Lower Higher = shift of momentum. This is my preferred setup.
Trade Setup 3: 2 touches to a key resistance or 2 touches to a key support and entering on the 3rd touch for a 66% probability of successful trade.
I hope these setup are helpful, whether you trade or invest, using key momentum shifts with support and resistance lines.
Hope it helps
Take care
Marc
EURJPY | Perspective for the new weekFollowing the strong bullish momentum identified on the daily time frame, and considering the reversal structure noticed on the daily time frame it appears that we are on a verge of a retracement phase which could probably tend towards between 50 to 78.6% retracement of the impulse leg from a long term perspective.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long idexOpen long on breakout of range at 1.15 with stop at 1.08. Intent to sell 1/2 at 1:1 r/r and trail the rest with a moderately lenient stop out.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe identification of a reversal pattern on the 1H time frame could be a signal that awaits confirmation for a bullish continuation going into the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith a new key level identified at a $1,920 area, having an open position above this level appears to be reasonable considering the present structure. See the link below for my thought process prior to the decision to buy the Gold.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCHF | Perspective for the new week Price presently evolving out of the demand zone identified on the 4H time frame coupled with structures identified on the lower time frame suggests a bullish potential in the nearest future. Let's see how price action plays out in the next couple of hours! Cheers
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY | New PerspectiveQuick one!
Similar scenario with what we have on the EURJPY... It seems to me that the Japanese yen is getting some traction with the fresh new month hence it's worth considering other JPY pairs for opportunities.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EOSUSDT time for the reversal?The price created a huge descending channel on the daily timeframe and retest the daily resistance on 1.8$ and created a triple bottom on it.
On the 4h timeframe the price is trying to have the breakout from the monthly resistance on 2.2$ after a breakout from the daily static resistance and dynamic one.
How to approach?
The price needs to confirm the reversal with a breakout with volume above the supply zone on 2.3$.
IF the price is going to satisfy our rules, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
EURCAD ReversalEURCAD is approaching a major reversal. We've seen price action take a dive into a liquidity grab and continues to trade lower. I believe this is an attempt to dip into the reversal zone which has been a major sign of an up move. However if price doesn't immediately retract upwards, we could begin to expect it to fall through and take shorts. We can play both sides of the market but I am mainly looking for buys into this zone.
EURJPY False Breakout Resulted in LossLook at the strong uptrend on EURJPY. It is strong and constantly makes a series of higher highs followed by higher lows. Finding a profitable trend reversal in these kinds of strong market conditions is hard and at the same time, it is much riskier as well.
Therefore we should be careful in these kinds of market conditions.
Now according to the above chart, you can see that the EURJPY was in a strong uptrend and the occurrence of the double top pattern clear shakes the bullish momentum and this is where we got interested in this trade.
After the double price was never able to make new higher highs and RSI also shows a massive divergence indicating buyers are losing their momentum. Right after that price ended breaking below the local structure level confirming the market reversal.
This is where we placed a short trade and as you guys can see, right after the trade entry, the price ended up moving against us and hit our stop loss for negative -0.5R, in percentage it negative -0.25%.