Bullish Setup or Bearish Breakdown Ahead?OANDA:GBPUSD - 1Hr Chart
Price: 1.26202
After analyzing the chart, we found RSI in the extreme oversold zone on higher timeframes. Currently, the price is trading above support at 1.25732, which we anticipate as a potential bullish reversal point. However, strong resistance at R1 (1.26953) may cause consolidation and pullbacks around this level. After consolidation, we expect the price to break R1, with the next resistance target at R2 (1.28174). R2 is also a strong resistance, so price may stall and pull back here as well. A breakout above R2 would target the major resistance at 1.29395.
On the other hand, if the bearish pressure persists and price breaks below support at 1.25732, a further decline could bring the price to 1.25122.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.25122
R1: 1.26953
R2: 1.28174
Major Resistance: 1.29395
Remember to follow your risk management for long-term success.
Happy trading!
Reversalpoint
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024
- PR High: 18847.75
- PR Low: 18826.25
- NZ Spread: 48.0
Key schedule economic events
08:30 | CPI (3x)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
18400 pivot back towards Keltner average cloud
- Maintaining Friday's 9/6 range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 395.12
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 241K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -10.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
BTCUSDAfter doing top-down analysis I can see that we've hit the monthly resistance level and was unable to break through it. Although major influencers and government official have spoken about FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD going to ATH's as of right now it's not happening. We are in a premium array so i'm looking to short sell for a bit.
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years.
Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern.
Levels to watch: $240, $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
June seasonality pivot approachingOne of my big technical analysis passions is time analysis and time cycles, and I tend to follow them closely. Some of these are very helpful when in combination with other TA, to find reversal points at any given time frame, even though I don't do intraday trading, so I focus on big swings, though bigger time frames.
Bitcoin's periodicity is remarkable, and we can generally find important pivots points during seasonality shifts. One of these season shifts occur in June and has been occurring for the last few years, marking the start of important swings. This seasonality shift is generally very powerful and has the power to mess with some other lower time frame cycles, such as the 60 day cycle, so at this specific time of the year we should expect some LTF cycle non-sense. This seasonality pivot is expected around mid June, so a lower low is expected around that time.
Around the seasonality pivot we can look for price targets with other techniques. Past 45º trendlines, and Elliot wave theory targets are some of my favourite ways to find support levels. As of now, my pivot projection lies at mid June within the 50-55k range. More accurate EW targets can be determined once the current high is confirmed.
Shorting USDCNH: Seizing the Opportunity Amidst Long Position...🚨 Shorting USDCNH: Seizing the Opportunity Amidst Long Position Surge 🚨
In this video, I explain why I'm shorting USDCNH due to a significant return of large long positions that we haven't seen in a long time. The 60-day bullish run seems to be over, and we're anticipating a potential drop.
Key points covered:
Analysis of the surge in long positions and its implications
Why the recent 60-day bullish trend is likely ending
Insights into the expected drop and its potential speed
Strategic approach to shorting USDCNH in this unique market scenario
While no one, including myself, can predict exactly how long this drop will last, I believe it will be quick. Join me as I break down the current market dynamics and share my strategy for capitalizing on this potential drop.
Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading insights and expert analysis. Let's navigate this market opportunity together! 🚀💹 And remember to hit the Boost Button on this video to support our Trading View community!
Disclaimer: Forex trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Carefully consider your financial situation and risk tolerance before entering any trade. Always perform your own research and seek advice from a licensed financial advisor if needed.
Bullish move on reversalPoints of Ethics :-
1) Strong selling at level 441 if price Falls below this level lower level AT 408.30 can be seen and also we have strong buying area at the same level AT price 408.30 so we can see another reversal for the price to move near resistance around 496 to 517
2) If the price does not cross 438.40 then we can see further reversal and we can go long with the target between 75 to 80 points, 496 to 517 considered as retracement zone we also have small resistance near 441 so we can plan our trades accordingly as per the levels
3) short term time period of 30 days
Reversal seen at support on monthly candle , price is forming a descending pattern, be cautious.
*** Views are personal and not a advise, DYOR ***
IoTeXUSDT - Trendline Breakout Idea ! Hey guys! It's been over 100 days that IoTeX has been in a downtrend. This could be yet the bottom to be confirmed. We need a good breakout of the trendline to the upside with nice strong volume otherwise this could go back into ranging more for a long time or even continue falling despite the bullish bounce off this key monthly level.
TRADING PLAN AS FOLLOWS:
First we need to see a solid trendline breakout.
First TP would be 0.020 a psychological level. However, it could get pierced through so we need to monitor price action once it gets there.
My desired level is the weekly mean reversion area where price has struggled in the past and it's also a key flip zone but in the weekly timeframe. This area has been a magnet for price so it could get there again. TP here would be around 0.02470 - 0.02680
If the trendline breakout fails, close position at breakeven IF price goes sideways and no direction whatsoever or it hits stop loss.
I suggest to SPOT rather than futures as this is a counter trend trade set up. Risk is higher unless you follow rules strictly per your plan.
Hope you find analysis useful!
Kina 🙏
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/10/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2023
- PR High: 15254.75
- PR Low: 15223.75
- NZ Spread: 69.5
No key economic events
Apparently Powell brought in enough interest to break the green streak
- Open interest and volume increase
- Finding inventory below prev session low
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Gap 8/2: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Gap 7/20: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 234.25
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15247
- Mid: 14675
- Short: 13531
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Important Ranges for 6th October 2023Nasdaq Futures are range-bound. We have a Non-Farm payroll report coming in tomorrow. My bias is on the upside for tomorrow. Lets see what happens. Either ways we have to be ready for both sides which ever way the markets digest the data. Do not trade for the first hour for tomorrow since it will be volatile.
Disney (DIS) -> Major Reversal AheadMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Disney.
At the moment Disney stock is retesting a major previous monthly support level from which we already rejected multiple times towards the upside in the past.
Considering that market structure on the lower timeframes is still bearish though I am just waiting for more bullish price action before I think we will see a major bullish impulse.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
AUDCAD: Buyers back testing the trend. Today's focus: AUDCAD
Pattern – Reversal
Support – .8665 - .8625
Resistance – .8765 - .8790
• AUDCAD has posted four positive sessions in a row.
• Could this be the start of a new longer rally or just a counter-trend?
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. Today, our focus is on the AUDCAD as price continues to rally after posting a failed low at an area of demand. Since that test, we have seen 1.09% added as buyers continue to drive a counter-rally.
From here, we would like to see price maintain its buyer momentum. If we do see a new retracement, we would like it to stay around the 50% point of the current rally. A move back to support could be a worry about buyer strength.
A move back up to test or break resistance would be positive, but for any new tests, we want to see HL and HH breaks to show trend strength. It’s not the first time we have seen a pattern like this, so pattern of trend is rather important to tell us if this is actually anything more than a deep counter-trend.
Have a great day and good trading.
$spx reset for Q4 incoming! 4200 levelsNotice how we have tapped 4600 which an extreme overbought level. SPX must retest a lower level of 4380-4330 and if it does not hold it should freefall to 4200 in prep for Q4.
SPX has been in a bullish outbreak since march 2023 with only a slight dip in june 2023.
a correction is due.
I am using AMEX:SPXS as the inverse of this play.
I do have a sentiment which is: when the Dollar is up, stocks are down and VICE versa.
We are noticing incoming strength from DXY which is causing a shorting of SPX and other index + stocks.
Trade wisely
Gold Xau/Usd Reaches Fair Value.Gold Xau/Usd Reaches Fair Value.
The ExodusTradingDesk has spotted fair price that we believe will produce a potential buy opportunity for the precious metal.
We will buy the pair should we have a firm 30min candle close above the identified price zone at 1971 with our profit target to 1982.
A possible sell scenario will be a 30min candle close below the identified "Critical Zone" below the critical level we believe will be a key " supply zone".
Use adequate risk management if you are to execute a trade with this analyses.
Enjoy and happy trading! #We are the #ExodusTradingDesk.
RLY 🏎️ Fractal Bullish DivergencesMaybe is finally the time for RLY downtrend as it is losing steam. We can clearly notices from Daily Swings a divergence but also on the short term after a liquidity grab we've got a hidden divergence so there are a lot of signs for this coin to be turned around.
The return could be really awesome! But notice it's been on a downtrend so DYOR
Still it's a nice chance now that's cheap and could be ready to pump!
Time ro Rally!
Kina 🏎️
usdjpy to make a big decision todayIn the following video I've provided 3 scenarios in which I would look to take part in any trades. The first of which is quite simply a higher high will produce another higher high.
Both scenarios afterwards are reversals. If price throws indecision in the correct direction, it signals a reversal. The daily close today will suggest a lot at yesterday was relatively volatile.