NIFTY range setup for Aug 30th/1st Sep : Avoid the Range DayOverall Structure : Bearish/Downtrend
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral - 63.81↓ Indian & 55↑ Global
Insider Data : Bearish Neutral, PCR: 0.80↑, IVP: 57↑, IV: 18.3↑, VIX: 19.82↑ (26/32)↑
↑Up : 17500, 17600, 17700. 17800, 18900.
↓Down : 17350, 17250, 17150, 17050, 17000.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat/Partial Gap
Conclusion/Activity : Down after consolidation (Avoid low momentum range day)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@11:00 IST)***
Reversalpoint
BTC Short Trade Update - Is the Dump over!? Relief incoming?BYBIT:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC Short Update - Is the Dump over!? Are we about to have a relief Rally?
I go through why I took a short trade before the dump and why I stayed in the trade. See one of the reasons for the trade here:
Also look at a possible reversal area and the scenarios that could play out.
Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money.
Hope you have a profitable trading day!
Shawn
BANKNIFTY range setup for Aug 29th/1st Sep : Bearish Turn ComingOverall Structure : Neutral
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral - 68.52↓ Indian & 44↓ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.66↓, IVP: 1↓, Low IV: 15.7↓, VIX: 18.21↓ (25/31)↑
↑Up : 38800, 39150, 39450, 39750
↓Down : 38400, 38050, 37700, 37330
Market Opening(*Expected): Huge Gapdown
Conclusion/Activity : Gapdown to upward/neutral
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@19:00 IST)**
NIFTY range setup for Aug 29th/1st Sep : Bearish Turn Coming Overall Structure : Neutral
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral - 68.52↓ Indian & 44↓ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.73↓, IVP: 36↑, Low IV: 16.3↑, VIX: 18.21↓ (25/31)↑
↑Up : 17600, 17700, 17890. 17850, 18950.
↓Down : 17350, 17250, 17150, 17050, 17000.
Market Opening(*Expected): Huge Gapdown
Conclusion/Activity : Gapdown to upward/neutral
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@19:00 IST)***
BANKNIFTY range setup for Aug 25th/1st Sep : Avoid Gapup NeutralOverall Structure : Neutral
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy - 71.98↑ Indian & 47↑ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.76↑, IVP: 8↓, Low IV: 17.6↑, VIX: 18.43↓ (23/29)↓
↑Up : 39400, 39800, 40200, 40500
↓Down : 38650, 38300, 37900, 37500
Market Opening(*Expected): Huge Gapup
Conclusion/Activity : Gapup to Range/Downward
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)***
Banknifty range setup for Aug 23rd/25th : Bearish ContinuationOverall Structure : Downtrend
Index components : Bearish Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral - 69.04↓ Indian & 46↓ Global
Insider Data : Bearish , PCR: 0.59↓, IVP: 29↑, High IV: 21.0↑, VIX: 19.03↑ (24/29)↑
↑Up : 38600, 38800, 39100, 39400
↓Down : 38100, 37800, 37500, 37200
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Conclusion/Activity : Short Buildup
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)***
Nifty range setup for Aug 23rd/25th : Bearish Continuation Overall Structure : Downtrend
Index components : Bearish Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral - 69.04↓ Indian & 46↓ Global
Insider Data : Bearish, PCR: 0.60↓, IVP: 45↑, Low IV: 17.0↑, VIX: 19.03↑ (24/29)↑
↑Up : 17620, 17710, 17800. 17900, 18000.
↓Down : 17400, 17270, 17160, 17050, 16950.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Conclusion/Activity : Short Buildup
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)***
BANKNIFTY range setup for Aug 19th/25th Exp. Req a reversal turnOverall Structure : Uptrend (Overbought)
Index components : Bullish Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy - 80.21↓ Indian & 55↓ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.09↓, IVP: 1↓, Low IV: 14.9↑, VIX: 17.35↓ (19/25)↓
↑Up : 40000, 40300, 40600, 40900.
↓Down : 39200, 38900, 38500, 38100.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Activity : Short Buildup/Short Covering (rebalancing),
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Conclusion: Market is Overbought, May turn down at any higher level
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)**
Nifty range setup for Aug 19th/25th Exp Required a reversal turnOverall Structure : Uptrend (Overbought)
Index components : Bullish Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy - 80.21↓ Indian & 55↓ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.21↓, IVP: 8↓, Low IV: 12.4↓, VIX: 17.35↓ (19/25)↓
↑Up : 18000, 18050, 18100. 18160, 18230.
↓Down : 17900, 17850, 17800, 17750, 17700.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Activity : Short Buildup/Short Covering (rebalancing),
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Conclusion: Market is Overbought, May turn down at any higher level
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)***
Can SPX Push through a Wall of Resistance?Can SPX Continue to Push Through a Wall of Resistance?
Like many other global indices and liquid assets, the S&P 500 (SPX) has had a powerful rally off June 17, 2022 lows. This rally coincided with the July 2022 FOMC meeting and presser—the rally increased in the days preceding the FOMC meeting and then continued in earnest afterwards. This post will not attempt to analyze the public debate over whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell's unscripted comments about the Federal Funds rate being at the "neutral rate" equate to a dovish shift. In any case, markets have seemingly interpreted (or perhaps misinterpreted) this statement as providing support for risk assets.
The Fibonacci resistance discussed below also coincides with major chart resistance shown by the blue rectangle in the chart below. This area of strong resistance captures a number of highs and lows from the consolidation in early June 2022, the lows in March 2022, and the lows in February 2022.
Chart Showing Price Resistance at Former Highs, Lows and and early June 2022 Consolidation
Fibonacci Analysis
SPX has rallied above 4137.50, which is the .50 retracement (R) of this bear market's most recent leg of decline, i.e., the decline from March 29 highs to June 17 lows. At first, SPX stalled at this .50 R for three consecutive days, with each day showing price piercing above this level and then immediately being rejected and closing back below it. But today, price closed above it. This level should continue to be watched as price may push through it and then fail back below again several days later.
But SPX does not have an unfettered path back to all-time highs. Within the coming days, the Fibonacci cluster highlighted on the main chart above will be critical to watch. This cluster ranges from 4114.59 to 4255.13. Note the bullish slope of the 8-day and 21-day EMAs (labeled on the main chart above), which indicate continuing momentum that could allow for another push right up to this Fibonacci cluster area. Price could, however, fail yet again at current levels given that the key .50 R level was near the high of the current price bar's range.
An additional Fibonacci level coincides with the Fibonacci cluster shown on the main chart above. This level is the 1.618 projection (or extension) of the shown in the chart below.
The 1.618 Projection of First Leg of Rally from the July 14 Low
Momentum Analysis
Momentum appears to be in the beginning stages of waning and weakening. For momentum, consider the two charts below showing %B indicator (a derivative of Bollinger Bands) and the RSI indicator.
%B Indicator (Daily Chart) Shows Relative Weakness with New High on August 3, 2022
RSI on Daily Chart Shows Divergence
But note that the divergence on RSI could disappear if price presses up higher tomorrow, drawing the RSI to an even higher level that helps it make a new RSI high along with a new price high. This bears watching carefully.
Finally, the early stages of weakening momentum does not necessarily mean that the rally is finished. It just means that stops on longs should be tightened. And for example, those with a bearish view may want to begin looking for sell triggers signaling a shorter-term trend reversal, but caution for bearish positions is warranted because whether this rally may extend for another month or two or whether the bear market will immediately resume remains unclear.
SP:SPX
OANDA:SPX500USD
BLACKBULL:SPX500
VANTAGE:SP500
AMEX:SPY
CME_MINI:ES1!
Nifty range setup for 17th Aug | A Retest Required Overall Structure : Uptrend (Trend weak)
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy - 80.51↑ Indian & 57↑ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.39↓, IVP: 15↑, Low IV: 13.9↓, VIX: 17.68↓ (19/25)↓
↑Up : 17850, 17930, 18000. 18050, 18100.
↓Down : 17770, 17700, 17650, 17600, 17550.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat.
Activity : Short Buildup/Short Covering (rebalancing),
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Conclusion: Market is Overbought, May turn down at any level
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@23:00 IST)***
$ZDGE - Beaten down reversal play with +25% to +80%Technical Analysis (TA)
ZDGE has been significantly beaten down and is now trading at a significant discount with a highly probable mean reversion play to 4.45 and 6.44.
The daily chart is showing resistance above 3.55. A break above this area should signal a momentum shift which will result in us hitting one of the two mean reversion/retracement zones.
The momentum indicators are showing early signs of a reversal on the weekly chart.
Price Target
Entry: $3.60
Target 1: $4.45
Target 2: $6.45
Analyst ratings of $13
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Low EV/EBITDA of 2.84.
ROIC of 22.64 but it has been dropping in the last few years from highs of 38.84 in 2021.
High gross marging of 86% and improving operating margins of 35% (becoming profitable in 2021.
Growing basic EPS of 0.63 in 2021 and TTM 0.53.
Recent News
The company has recently announced a $1.5m share repurchase program which increase share price by 3%.
Lots of high volume outside reversals today in growth stock landThe market has been moving higher nicely over the past few days, particularly in growth and tech stocks, however, throughout today's session we saw that momentum reverse with a large number of outside reversals and stocks trading from green to red.
Most short and medium-term trends remain in tact higher.
Nifty range setup for 12th Aug | Hold for a turnOverall Structure : Uptrend (Trend weak)
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral Low Risk - 77.24↑ Indian & 53↑ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.15↓, IVP: 13↓, Low IV: 13.5↓, VIX: 18.35↓ (20/26)↓
↑Up : 17710, 17800, 17850. 17900, 17950.
↓Down : 17630, 17530, 17450, 17400, 16300.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat.
Activity : Short Buildup/Short Covering (rebalancing),
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Conclusion: Avail-on-Request
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
Nifty range setup for 10th Aug | Near to Channel Target @17800 Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Bullish Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral Low Risk - 70.38↓ Indian & 49↑ Global
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.39↑, IVP: 34↓, IV: 15.9↓, VIX: 19.30↑ (22/28)↓
↑Up : 17600, 17650, 17750. 17850, 17950.
↓Down : 17350, 17250, 17150, 17050, 16950.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat Down/Gapdown.
Activity : Short Buildup/Short Covering (rebalancing),
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Conclusion: Avail-on-Request
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
$FB - Bottomed out reversal play with +10% to 30% upsideTechnical Analysis
Scenario 1 - Bullish
Price has bottomed at $150 with a mean reversion play to $192-$230 depending on which resistance level holds above.
Scenario 2 - Bearish
The next few weeks will determine if we have a long entry above $170 (if price breaks above). If it resists at the $170 -$180 level then we have a continuation to $150 or a squeeze.
Price Target
Entry $170-$180
Target 1: $192
Target 2: $210
Target 3: $230
$JAGX - Oversold with early signs of reversal for +75% or moreTechnical Analysis
Weekly and monthly stochastics have flattened out and price seems to have bottomed out.
We are seeing first signs of reversal on the daily chart with plenty of room above (upside of +75%).
Price Target
Early Entry: 0.27
Breakout Entry: 0.33
Price Target 1: 0.35
Price Target 2: 0.48
This is a pure technical play. We will need a significant catalyst/positive news to move the stock.
$ITV - Continuation swing with +10% to +40% upsideTechnical Analysis
Price bottomed out 3 weeks ago and the RSI + William %R
Price broke out the daily channel last week and has been consolidating above the 1D 50EMA. There is a good zone to buy before a further push above 76 and potentially 90
Price Target
Entry: 71-73
Target 1: 76 (+5%)
Target 2: 88 (+20%)
Analyst Targets: 101 (+40%
Financial Metrics
High quality as shown by the financial metrics. Undervalued with high upside/growth potential.
$COIN - Reversal with upside of +40% Technical Analysis (TA)
Weekly chart is oversold with William %R and RSI showing early reversals signs.
1D chart is forming a wedge and price is squeezing before a potential reversal about $70.
Price Target
Entry: $70+ breakout out
Take Profit: $100 (+40%)
#tradeidea
$SXTC - Reversal swing with +50% upsideTechnical Analysis (TA)
Weekly oversold and needs a break above -20 William %R to start a potential mean reversion play to $3.50
Lacks a catalyst so it will be worth waiting until the end of this week to see how price responds to the 1D 50EMA level.
Price Target
Entry: $2.15
Target 1: $3.38
$ATLY - Oversold with +40% upside potentialTechnical Analysis ( TA)
Weekly William and RSI look very oversold so I am expecting a mean reversion to at least 0.20
Daily chart is showing initial signs of the mean reversion/reversal but its not let confirmed on the reversal until we cross the 50EMA.
Price Target
Entry: 0.175 - 20.5
Target 1: 0.25 (+40%)
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Financial Metrics look good.
$ACA - Reversal with +15% upsideTechnical Analysis (TA)
Weekly bottomed out with crossover on RSI and William %R)
Daily breakout has signaled a shift in momentum. However, there has been previous resistance at the 100EMA level so I expect this to come back down to EUR 9.2 for a higher low before a push upwards to $11 +
Price Target
Entry: 9.10-9.30
Target 1: 9.76
Target 2: 10.45
Analysts Target: 11.40
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Mediocre quality screen on financial metric.
Strong earnings and dividends = key catalyst in this upward momentum.