Reversaltrading
Intel - Reversing to the upside!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Intel .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
On the chart of Intel there are actually two major horizontal structure levels which you have to keep an eye on. First of all there is quite strong support at the $26 level and just a couple of months ago Intel rejected this support towards the upside. Vice versa there is resistance at the $44 level, always pushing price lower. As we are speaking Intel is also retesting a minor support so there is the chance to capitalize on a short term bounce.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SBUX found bottom and may reverse LONGSBUX on a daily chart with two sets of VWAP bands anchored to dates back in one year ago
and two years ago shows SBUX to be at the same price level as the low pivot of 2022.
Price has bounced off the lower most of the VWAP bands and moved up in the past three
trading days with higher than usual volume. I believe that short traders are buying to cover
and take realized profits in their trades. The more price moves up the more likely short
traders will liquidate their positions and contribute to buying volume.
A short squeeze could potentially set up here.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options to profit from the price movement I
anticipate. I will set a stop loss at 71.75 the piot low and a target of 93 under the mean VWAP
black lines. The trade is anticipated to last 2-3 months and so the call options wll be taken with
a four- month expiration.
GOEV reverses LongGOEV (Canoo) on a 240- minute chart shows an early reversal from a three wee trend down.
The chop zone indicator shows the signa over the choppiness in the past few trading sessions.
Prc rose from the support of the first lower anchored VWAP line
I will take a long trade here targeting the recent pivots as shown on the chart with a stop
loss set at the low pivot immediately to the left of current price. This is a potential 50%
profit trade if profits are realized in equal thirds at the targets and the stop loss is advanced
in regular increments to protect again a momentum fade.
#techmahindra trendline breakFirst things keep yo mind tech sector is pretty weak. Structure of stock is pretty good after reversing from supp line broked falling trend line. If sustain than it can give good return but keep first thing in yo mind above mentioned. Sector is weak it can impact stock too in simple it risky setup.it for education purpose only. am will not responsible for your any lose.
MSTR oversold for a long tradeMSTR is now oversold but has a great earnings beat and the cryptomarkets surging to support
a bullish idea. The 15 minteu chart shows price sitting on support of the POC line of the
immediate volume profile. With confluence, it is above a fully horizontal lower VWAP line
that has no slope. Support and resistance horizontal zones are drawn in for reference purposes.
I will close my short position of the past day and switch sides here. The RSI indicator gives
reassurance as it has pivoted up from the bottom, especially the faster green line. Selling
volatility declared the bottom in the immediate term at the same time the relative volume
indicator printed a selling volume spiking black bar both immediately before the regular
market closed.
BTC / Bitcoin - Consensus of Indicator Analysis / ForecastOn this highly reliable weekly chart I have placed and added various indicators. My review of
them is on the chart. Solely from the perspective of my review and analysis and not at all
setting aside the idea of BTC to $250K in 2024, Bitcoin may be overbought with a high RSI
and MACD about to cross lines over a relatively thin histogram. Price is higher than the 3rd
VWAP band line 3 standard deviations above the mean of the anchored VWAP and the
mass index is above the threshold for it to fall to trigger a reversal Accordingly, I will not
add to my position and will hold what I have. Further, i will take a look at the NASDAQ
Cryptocurrency Index and if it appears to be similar to BTC which is the biggest market cap
within that index, I will not add to ETHUSD or any of the other "stable coins".
I am prepared to short BTC on a forex exchange with leverage once an established trend is
seen on a 60-180 minute chart with checking ADX and DI +.
AAPL has settled into support and is good to go LONGAAPL is shown here on the 15-minute chart. The nuts and bolts of the idea are there as well.
AAPL is done with sideways action. Big players have accumulated their positions in small
parcels t not disturb the status quo. Apple no matter the headwinds nor the tailwinds
of other tech stocks in recent earnings is ready to fly some more on its own merits.
I will bite the apple now.
💰🔥🔥Are you looking for a new trading opportunity? Check out tAccording to our analysis, SPX500USD is currently in a downtrend in 4H or above timeframes. However, we’ve identified a potential opportunity for a long trade. There was a breakout of Key Level 4756.8, we are waiting for a retest on support levels (as marked as Buy limit levels on chart). If all goes well, we could see a touch on 4775.5 and gain some pips from this Long trade. More take profit levels and the Stop Loss are marked on chart too. 🤑🤑🤑
Remember, this is just an idea and not a guarantee. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trades. Good luck! 🤞
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SPY: Don’t “Guess” the Top.We can learn a very interesting lesson by looking at the SPY chart. Anyone who tries to guess the next top or bottom is a gambler, not a trader, and as someone who has gambled a lot in the past, this rally brings back some memories.
It's very easy for someone to see such an explosive movement and think: "It's already gone up a lot, it's going to have to come down soon". It's very easy to look for clues in other indicators, for example, and get excited when you see the RSI exploding close to 70. Looking for clues that reinforce a pre-existing belief is common among individuals corrupted by the "confirmation bias", which is something else, and would be content for a future article.
Still talking about the RSI, it's important to mention that the RSI was already at 70 when the price was at $450. Since then it has risen by more than $20 (approximately 5%), and there is no sign of a top yet. Far from being a criticism of such an efficient indicator, this is just evidence that the use of indicators should be aligned with what we see on the chart.
Top or bottom signals are confirmed when we see a clear breakout from a notorious reversal pattern. As we can see from the SPY chart below, just one or two bearish patterns, even when appears close to clear resistance, is not enough. There needs to be confirmation of a good breakout.
Perhaps this is one of the reasons why so many are rushing to sell a possible top, even without confirmation. By waiting for confirmation, you sacrifice part of your profits, and amateurs hate that. To feel like a pro, you have to feel the satisfaction of buying the bottom and selling the top, all the time. Which is ironic, because that's not the focus of a professional. A real trader seeks long-term consistency.
Speaking for myself, as far as I can see it's a strong rally in the SPY, and the next resistance is the all-time high at $479.98. So far, there is no clear reversal pattern for me, although I personally would like to see a correction to a support point.
What if the SPY made a bearish candlestick pattern today? Just as we see on November 9, 15 and 29, and on December 6, a top signal is plausible, but we need to wait for confirmation via a breakout. Otherwise, it would just be another bear trap.
Another thing I like to do is wait for a clear bearish reversal structure to appear on shorter time frames, such as the hourly chart. Uptrends are characterized by rising tops and bottoms, and the reverse applies to downtrends. When a stock is in a clear uptrend, but the hourly chart suddenly makes a lower top and bottom, it's a warning sign. If such a reversal occurs near a resistance area, all the better, as was the case with NVDA at the end of last month.
One of the most overlooked principles of Dow Theory is the number 6: "Trends Persist Until a Clear Reversal Occurs". When Charles Dow, founder of the Dow Jones index and the Wall Street Journal, began working on the principles more than a century ago, he never imagined that in the 21st century there would still be traders who anticipate and don't wait for confirmation (again, I was among these gamblers in the past).
Therefore, trading reversals is interesting and can be very profitable, but you need to base your decisions on technical reasons. I shared how I like to trade reversals, but there are more strategies that you can use. Feel free to share yours. That's the difference between a gambler and a trader. Moreover, remember to follow me for more content like this, and support this idea if you liked it!
All the best,
Nathan.
Canara Bank Again a Nice BreakoutCanara Bank touched a convergence of a support and a rising trendline, a reversal done, and a breakout above the short-term falling trendline, but today it failed to cross the previous high, and following the resistance, it cooled off a bit. But looking at the candles of the last Days, we may expect it to breakout and move higher. My Expectations for Targets 416 and 466 in the Coming Months
AARTI INDUSTRIES bullish trend reversalNSE:AARTIIND after a long consolidation, bullish rally can be seen after weekly breakout of 540 level. SPECIALITY CHEMICAL sector is good for upcoming years, save it in your watchlist and analyse on your own.
NO BUY/SELL RECOMMENDATION,
invest at your own risk.
💹
Will REX revert to the mean ?REX hit a 52-week high after an analyst upgrade. Was this enough to justify a
12% increase in a nonvolatile business, the ethanol production business to support
its addition to gasoline to combat air pollution and so global warming. Production
and so revenue is not accelerating although it may be a bit seasonal during the
summer driving and vacation season. On the daily chart, RE put in a massive bullish
bar with wicking above the third upper Bolliger Band set at 2.618 ( Fib level) standard
deviations. REX did this on 5/25 and then dropped. I see it doing the same thing again.
This demonstrates the version to the mean or "rubber-band" concept. I will stock trade
REX short and look at the mid- October put options.
BNKU- Triple Leveraged Bank Sector LONGOn the hourly chart, BNKU fell from a head and shoulders in late July , crossed
under VWAP lines in a VWAP breakdown and pullback before an inverse head and shoulders
type reversal now underway. The zero-lag MACD is confirmatory. I will take a long
trade here. Projected stop loss and targets ( TP1-40% TP2 40% and T3 20%) are on the
chart. I see this as a very safe trade with an estimated 12% overall profit expected.
I am in a WFC trade and looking at ETFs DPST and KRE as well
BYND is signaling a reversal LONGBYND on the 15 minute chart has been in a VWAP band breakdown finally slowing down
with the ranging of the candles transitioning from wide body candles into ones more narrow.
Earnings were a very mild beat in the thick of the fall as apparently traders expected more.
The zero-lag MACD has crossed lines under a red histogram that flipped green. The dual time
frame RS Indicator shows low green TF and higher black TF low in the range but holding over
20-25. Relative to the fall of price this is hidden bullish divergence. My analysis is that
this is BYND at the near term bottom awaiting my long reversal trade. I will target 15.4 and
16.3 from the upside VWAP lines. If you are interested in my idea for a call option trade
please leave a comment. If you find the idea helpful please leave a like or even a follow.
TMF ( 3X Treasuries)beatdown completed reversal underway LONGOn the one-hour chart, TMF a triple ETF of long-expiration treasuries has finally
completed its downtrend or ten days given more bearish momentum with the federal
debt downgrade of creditworthiness as well as the rise of BRICS as a reserve currency.
Three indicators show bullish divergence with a MACD cross under the histogram. The
30 minute RS line rising before the 2 hr RS line reacts and importantly a mass index
signal rising into the reversal line and then a drop. While none of this is a Holy Grail,
I am confident that the bias here is bullish. I will trade long if you are interested in
the stop loss and targets let me know. If you would lke my idea of an options setup, let
me know as well. If this idea is helpful, please like and subscribe. Trade well !
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front
of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this
for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean
anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks
of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
Xau/Usd Reaches Fair Value.Xau/Usd Reaches Fair Value.
The ExodusTradingDesk has spotted fair price that we believe will produce a potential buy/long opportunity for the precious metal gold.
We will buy the pair should we have a 30min candle close above the identified price zone at 1931 with our target set to 1945.
Use adequate risk management if you are to execute a trade with this analyses.
Enjoy and happy trading! #We are the #ExodusTradingDesk.
TQQQ reversal shows early tech market recovery LONGOn the 15 minute chart TQQQ took a dive down through some relative volume voids
shown on the volume profile into a double bottom also showing a transition from
high relative selling volume into some decent buying volume . I can conclude that TQQQ
is in early reversal and will head the other direction through the same volume void which
could allow for a rapid ascent. While I made profit on SQQQ today, for tomorrow I
aspire to make money on TQQQ. I love volatility just as I loved yo-yos as a kid many years
ago. The concept of converting kinetic energy into potential energy has analogies in the
markets - coiling to store momentum and the triggering to unleash it. The chart shows
pertinent levels of the trade plan. As a bottom feeding grinder I am looking for 4% of range for
tomorrow .
Is NVDA done correcting? LONGNVDA shot up on earnings two months ago and more or less went sideways until
mid July when it trended up for a week and then reversed downward.
On the 2H chart, I have placed both a VWAP anchored to the earnings date as
well as a volume profile. Price is currently above the 0.5 Fib level as well
as at one standard deviation above the mean VWAP and above the POC line of
the volume profile. The mean VWAP and POC are confluent at about 422.
I suspect that it is at this level that volatility will be the highest and at where
buyers will step in to open a trade shares of NVDA that have been oversold
and are undervalued. Because of that, I will place NVDA on my watchlist for
a long trade when it trends down approaching 422. The stop loss will be
418 or about 1% while targeting the recent double top of 475 and so a zone of
horizontal resistance confluent with dynamic resistance in the red line of
two standard deviations above the mean VWAP. Confirmation of an upcoming
reversal is the histogram of the zero-lag MACD going red to green. NVDA has
had a great run this year (220%) and its heavy presence in the AI megatrend
bodes well for a good continuation.
UPST mid-term VIEW Pre Earning LONGUPST on the daily chart with 2022-2023 in range shows a downtrend of more than 70% and
now a round bottom reversal. The volume profile shows the high volumes of the high volume
area which is relatively thin and mostly below the current price. That is to say, UPST has a
lot of volume voids to fill on its way back to $162 . The Triple EMA ( 200,100,50) shows
a convergence over a long interval followed by the reversal and now divergence. The
MACD indicator is upgoing as are the trends of the dual RS lines of the RSI indicator. I see
this as a long swing trade or investment while UPST is awaiting earnings next month.
For targets, I plan the red lines generated by the volume profite and so $94 and $161.
UPST is on my current favorite stock list. My current holding includes an option striking $51
for 8/4. I will roll that option over about 8/2 to avoid time decay. Additionally,
I will buy another option striking $75 and expiring on 9/15 costing about $950 at the
market price with the bid/ask spread of about 4%. I expect the combined two call optins
will yield on average 5-7% per trading day and may hold them through the earnings period.
The only downside risk is that an earnings beat is somehow already priced into UPST
and that the momentum will decelerate and fade. Buying the contact cheap and out of
the money seeks to manage that risk.
DRV a triple leveraged Real Estate ETF LONGDRV as a ETF of real estate stocks is likely somewhat responsive to the financial environment.
My idea is that the recent rate hike of 0.25% will adversely effect home sales and liquidity
especially given that the Fed has indicated that there will be on easing this year but perhaps
some pauses. They take August off for the conference and party. The 2H chart shows
price moving down from a high pivot in May. The zero-lag EMAs ( 35/70/280) are
golden crossing. The MACD confirms that upward divergence.On the dual time frame
RSI, the low TF green line has jumped up and looks solid. I will take a long swing trade
here zooming into the 15-30 minute TF for an entry. I will also look at the options chain
seeking an option expiring in 203 months reflecting a target of 48 between the POC line
of the volume profile and the mean VWAP thick black line. I like to catch revesals early to
profit from the bulk of the move. This is another opportunity.