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Reversaltrading

XAGUSD Spot Silver - Is it ready to reverse up?Spot Silver dropped this past week about 6.5 % from its high early in the week. On the 15-minute chart the drop occurred over three days. XAUUSD is now underneath the POC line of the volume profile as well as the negative bands of the mean anchored VWAP. The Mass Indicator and faster / slower MA ratio indicator are both near the zero line showing that bearish momentum has subsided and a reversal may be underway. Overall, I expect a reversal with XAGUSD seeking the mean. The first target is the POC line confluent with VWAP so 25.08 while the final target is 25.55 being the redline demarcating the top of the high volume area. I expect this to be a 1-2 day trade with high potential reward especially if leveraged on forex.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply / resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
NYSE:NIOShort
by AwesomeAvani
EUR/JPY 147.775 +0.29% LONG IDEA 🐮📈HELLO EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD. * Looking at EURJPY London session TRADE which my play out NEW-YORK SESSION * Asian session took out last Fridays HIGHS taking ASIAN buy side liquidity * waiting on some market structure shift as price is delivered this morning torwads the upside. - momentum is significantly bullish so this trade might play out new-york session. -looking to take ASIAN liquidity below & unmitigation bullish OB. - TARGET would be the the BSL. lets see how it goes. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Short
by PULEMokhothu
2
Possible beginning of a new bearish leg for SPXSummary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to surpass the last low (oct-13-2022). Set target @3,330.00. Timeframe expected: 3 to 4 months. Detailed explanation: 2022 was a very bearish year for stock markets, and prices have navigated under the 200-days simple moving average (200-SMA) for the most part of the year. On the other hand, the first months of 2023 had some attempts of breakout to this widely known indicator. By December, 2022, prices tried to break-up the 200-SMA, but failed, then pulled back and tried a new breakout in January, 2023, that succeeded and provided some hope for a reversal. Arrow #1 is signaling the top of this bullish leg. After this, prices developed a little bull flag (orange lines) , near a resistance level. I have been closely following the price movement on this flag, to try to catch a trading opportunity, bullish or bearish. The bullish case was the most evident, and would happen with the breakout of the flag, confirming the continuation of the main trend reversal. But if it didn’t come true, prices could continue on a longer range or even breakdown the 200-SMA, providing, hence, a bearish trade. It turned out that the second case is being developed. On February 21st the bull flag was undone, by a very bearish -2% candle, then some days passed and the 200-SMA offered a support for the prices, this movement came along with some doubt candles (tiny ranges, long wicks), their in the area near arrow #2. This arrow points specifically to a bullish engulfing candle, that signaled a possible return of the bull and that the 200-SMA would indeed sustain the prices. After that, a bullish candle confirmed the engulfing pattern, and I considered that now it was a “make or break” situation, that either had to continue with strong buyings or finally give away and return to the main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) . The second scenario happened, with a classical shooting star candle denoting a top, indicated by arrow #3 and followed by a relevant -1.53% bearish candle. I consider it can turn out to be the beginning of a new bearish leg in favor of the main market trend. If it breakdown the 200-SMA (and the previous bottom, of arrow #2) we will probably be full gas back to the bearish trend, reverting that secondary bullish trend indicated by the purple line. Predicting the future is impossible, but trading is a probability game, and to my criteria the odds are high enough to make a bet now. So, I started a trade yesterday near the market close. The stop zone is a little above the high of the shooting star candle of mar-06-2023, and my target is @3,300.00, I chose this number considering that this is a movement with the main trend, and that the last low (oct-13-2022) is usually surpassed in this kind of situation. PS: I know there’s a whole FED policy/interest rates discussion going on, and that it provides much of the ultimate reasons for the market movements I described, but I will stick to technical analysis here and to the principle that the chart sums it all up, hence I considered only price patterns in my analysis.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
1
EURUSDEURUSD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
❓What's Your Trading Style❓Which of these methods is your favorite trading method? Comment below 👇 🔹 Breakout trading Breakout trading involves identifying key levels of support and resistance and entering a trade when the price breaks through one of these levels. Traders using this strategy look for price patterns that suggest a breakout is likely to occur. For example, a trader might look for a currency pair that has been trading in a narrow range for an extended period and then enter a trade when the price breaks out of that range. Example: A trader might identify a resistance level on the EUR/USD currency pair at 1.2000. If the price breaks through that level, the trader might enter a long position, anticipating that the price will continue to rise. 🔹 Momentum trading Momentum trading involves entering a trade based on the strength of a trend. Traders using this strategy look for currency pairs that are trending strongly in one direction and then enter a trade in the same direction as the trend. This strategy is based on the assumption that the trend will continue. Example: A trader might notice that the USD/JPY currency pair has been trending higher for several weeks. The trader might then enter a long position, anticipating that the trend will continue. 🔹 Reversal trading Reversal trading involves entering a trade when a trend is about to reverse. Traders using this strategy look for signs that a trend is losing momentum or that a reversal is imminent. This strategy is based on the assumption that the trend will change direction. Example: A trader might notice that the GBP/USD currency pair has been trending higher for several weeks but is now showing signs of weakness. The trader might then enter a short position, anticipating that the trend will reverse. In summary, breakout trading involves entering a trade when the price breaks through a key level of support or resistance, momentum trading involves entering a trade based on the strength of a trend, and reversal trading involves entering a trade when a trend is about to reverse. Each strategy has its strengths and weaknesses, and traders should choose the strategy that best suits their trading style and risk tolerance. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
3
3 Things To Do After You Lose A TradeWe have all been there. You analyze a trade setup. You know how much you're going to risk on a trade. You enter the trade just to come back to your chart and find you've been stopped out. It's not fun. It sucks. You thought the setup would work because you followed you rules. The thing is, the market is the market. In my early stages of trading I hated being stopped out. My reasoning was because. I had no idea how to make up for my loss. I thought if I just plotted more lines and levels on my chart I could enter the trade again and make my money back. The problem I kept running into was I had no idea why I lost the trade or how to handle my feelings. I also had no real plan on how to adjust to the price change. I honestly thought my levels or trend lines didn't work. It was deeper than that. What changed? I had to change the way I viewed the market and my next steps to recover my loss. Not only that, I had to learn how to be "ok" with losing money. I created a 3 Step Process that would increase my probability of winning my next trade. Because we are a trading family, I thought I'd share it with you. Step 1: Access my previous trade You hear this all the time, "I made a mistake thats why I lost the trade." The true question is did you really make a mistake or did you follow your trading rules? When I follow my rules no mistakes are made. When I lose a trade that can mean 1 thing. The market reversed. This leads me to step 2. Step 2: Change my bias In the book The Unknown Market Wizards by Jack Schwager, I heard the most beautiful and profound statement by one of the wizard traders. He said, "I realized I have a right to change my mind about my trade at any time." I can't tell you how that made me feel. I've been doing that all along, but this market wizard summed up my actions in just one sentence. When I'm stopped out that means I have to change my mid about the direction of the trade. I made being stopped out so simple so I won't confuse the next action I should take. That leads me to step 3, update my chart and adapt to the new price movement. Step 3: Update and Adapt I have a no nonsense rule and that is to stop trading in 1 direction if I'm stopped out. Go opposite. I'm a true trend trader. I don't naturally trade against the trend. It gets me in trouble. So at the first sign of trouble, I adapt. See, USDCHF was in a downtrend. I sold the trade at 0.92835( sell limit) and overnight I was stopped out. It happened so fast and just as fast as I was stopped out, I knew I had to become the buyer. My Mental In the recent past, being stopped out would have spooked me. Now, its making me want to come back to the charts to face my fear. I used to have a fear of success and failure. Now I have a hunger to want to succeed and learn. Putting on trades is a bit more fun since I've began working with pending orders. They challenge me. Especially in situations when price reverses and I'm stopped out. I pray you gained new insight and a key takeaway on what you can do next after you lose a trade. Just remember, losing a trade doesn't make you a loser, it makes you a trader. Comment down below what your takeaway was. I'd appreciate it if you could like the post. It helps boost my Trading view reputation. Much love, Shaquan
Education
by ShaquanLopez
HOW TO trade USDCAD reversals 💵🍁We have an alert for a sell on USDCAD. Trading on the 30M timeframe. I'm using my POW EDGE reversal strategy for this trade idea. Little red arrow is entry point. Red trade label shows trade details. Green lines are TP and purple lines SL. Stats for the strategy can be found at base of idea. Chart shows previous trades from last week. Strategy is in a rich vein of form. Can we start this week off in the same manner last week ended. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________ What is our POW reversal script? Quiet simply our script is a reversal strategy and can be used on any instrument and time frame. POW reversal strategy sits within your TradingView and you as the user will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and TP values. This is a mechanical trading system, Which through third party services can be automated. Our script is based on a combination of indicators with the main ingredient being RSI . As a user using the script you are able to see all available settings and what they are. The values for each setting can be adjusted to fit and suit each individual instrument as well as the time frame said instrument is being used on. We know upon changing settings if they will work on the trading instrument and the time frame being worked as we have coded in a built in strategy tester. A big overlooked not used enough feature of TradingView's pine code is the strategy tester which saves hours of time not having to manually back test a strategy. Having the data in an instant enables us to enter trades with full confidence knowing we are working a proven system. Having the built in strategy tester also doubles up as a live trading journal too as the strategy tester will confirm and support every open and closed position. We are working to a rules based approach to trading for our entry, exit and risk management. All subjectivity and emotions are removed we simply follow and execute the already tested strategy. My latest trade recap video can be seen below and gives great insight into POW tradingview pine scripts we use Thanks for looking at my idea 👍 Darren
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
Gold Intraday Long Structure & Plan Some structure and context for potential intraday longs through next week. - Multi time frame large candle origin points - Linear regression channel (anchored to highs and lows I'm interested in) - High and low of valid range - Squeeze bar color and mean reversion channel from a personal script - Volume profile for refined targets, and likely zones of infuriating sideways price sewage I wish to avoid - No banana for scale forecast line toward the high point of interest that would, if broken, send a signal that an intermediate term up trend might be trimming its mustache for an possible appearance
GLong
by bright_infinite
USDCAD I've entered a short 🔻USDCAD short trade has alerted. Reversal trade identified and entered. Working the 30M timeframe. Trade details can be found on the chart in the red label. Trade box is tracking the trade. Has USD strength ran out of steam on this pair? Who knows be it a change in the trend or a slight retrace I have a 77 pip target for my TP to be met. We'll see where it ends up. Want to know how I identified this trade you know what to do. Thanks for looking Darren🙌
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
EURUSD short live ⤵️Alert has presented on EURUSD. Short reversal trade identified and entered. Working the 15M timeframe. Trade details can be found on the chart in red label. Trade box is tracking the trade. Trade is currently running in blue but we'll see where we end up. Jackson Hole Symposium starts today so this trade will be finished today be it a TP or a SL as expect some market volatility. Want to know how I identified this trade you know what to do. Thanks for looking Darren🙌
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
EURJPY Potential Bearish Reversal!Hello Traders, In Today's trading session we will be monitoring EURJPY for a Selling opportunity in and around 137 area. Once we get a Bearish confirmation the trade will be executed and shared with our premium subscribers. - RISK DISCLOSURE TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. TRADING FOREX INVOLVES HIGH RISKS AND CAN CAUSE YOU A COMPLETE LOSS OF YOUR FUNDS! Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a HIGH LEVEL OF RISK, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose! The high degree of leverage associated with trading currencies means that the degree of risk compared to other financial products is higher. Leverage (or margin trading) may work against you resulting in substantial loss. And feeling a sensation similar to getting sucker punched in the stomach. There is considerable exposure to risk in any off-exchange foreign exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Market Opinions BigGainLTD will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. YOU are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. Internet Trading Risks There are risks associated with utilizing an Internet-based deal execution trading system including, but not limited to, the failure of hardware, software, and Internet connection. Since BigGainLTD does not control signal power, its reception or routing via Internet, configuration of your equipment or reliability of its connection, we cannot be responsible for communication failures, distortions or delays when trading via the Internet. Distribution This site is not intended for distribution, or use by, any person in any country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. None of the services or investments referred to in this website are available to persons residing in any country where the provision of such services or investments would be contrary to local law or regulation. It is the responsibility of visitors to this website to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local law or regulation to which they are subject.
Short
by BiggainLTD
1
COGT a botechology stock with a great uptrend SHORTCOGY a biotechonology stock is doing what others in the sector typically do in their performance when they ignore general market dynamics and often hold up in recessions. COGT has 4Xed since May earnings so ALPHA is high. Right now the RSI is down trending so showing bearish divergence. Additionally, the mass index went over the threshold and then under the trigger suggesting an impending reversal. The ADX indicator which has been as high as 100 for both up and down trends is nearly zero. Although not shown on the chart, the mass index indicator has triggered. I conclude that COGT has ran up and extended too far and is now set up for a short trade.
NASDAQ:COGTShort
by AwesomeAvani
NZDUSD Potential Bullish Reversal!Hello Traders, In the upcoming month we will be monitoring NZDUSD for a Buying opportunity in and around 0.61 demand area. Once we get a Bullish confirmation the trade will be executed and shared with our premium subscribers. - RISK DISCLOSURE TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. TRADING FOREX INVOLVES HIGH RISKS AND CAN CAUSE YOU A COMPLETE LOSS OF YOUR FUNDS! Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a HIGH LEVEL OF RISK, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose! The high degree of leverage associated with trading currencies means that the degree of risk compared to other financial products is higher. Leverage (or margin trading) may work against you resulting in substantial loss. And feeling a sensation similar to getting sucker punched in the stomach. There is considerable exposure to risk in any off-exchange foreign exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Market Opinions BigGainLTD will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. YOU are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs. Internet Trading Risks There are risks associated with utilizing an Internet-based deal execution trading system including, but not limited to, the failure of hardware, software, and Internet connection. Since BigGainLTD does not control signal power, its reception or routing via Internet, configuration of your equipment or reliability of its connection, we cannot be responsible for communication failures, distortions or delays when trading via the Internet. Distribution This site is not intended for distribution, or use by, any person in any country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. None of the services or investments referred to in this website are available to persons residing in any country where the provision of such services or investments would be contrary to local law or regulation. It is the responsibility of visitors to this website to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local law or regulation to which they are subject.
Long
by BiggainLTD
LXRX PENNY BIOTECH SHORT SETUPNASDAQ:LXRX LXRX has gained over 100% in the past month However it appears to be forming a double top in a potential short trade setup on the two hour chart. The K/D crossover on the hot RSI oscillator provides confirmation. Short Sale Volume is rising in the past two days. Findamentals - LXRX has a new medication for heart failure a common medical problem with a massive market It recently launched a public offering to raise capital to fund general operations and in doing so diluted the share holders. The good news is it is unlikely to do another in the near term. An entry would be at the current price with a stop loss above the highest volume bar on the profile. The first target is the POC of the volume profile about a 15% price drop . The second target is the pivot low on August 1st for another 15% drop. Taking of 1/2 at each target yields an expected 23% return over a period of about 5 trading days since drops are faster than rises. The call options of mid September have low volumes so I will not consider them.
NASDAQ:LXRXShort
by AwesomeAvani