Reverserepurchase
Reverse Repurchase FacilityReverse Repurchases are a clear indication of excess liquidity in the
Banking / Financial System.
Money Center Banks have monies in excess after meeting obligations
to the following:
Liabilities
Investments
Lending
An increase in the Reverse Repurchase activity will decrease the money supply.
Reverse Repurchases mean that commercial banks are provided more incentives
to park their funds with the Central Bank - decreasing the supply of money in the market.
RRA's soak up excess Liquidity.
As we can see they have broken Trends should be expected as CASH is within
Overnight Reverse Repo Facilities @ $500Billion assist in providing support for
overnight interest rates by acting as an alternative investment for a broad base of
money market investors when rates fall below the interest on reserve balances.
This is facility is not for public consumption, but Primary Broker / Dealers and
Money Center Banks and Financial Institutions.
Reverse Repurchase AgreementsRemains in Trend for 2022 to $2 Trillion.
FED Supportive of collaterals.
No end in sight...
____________________________________
Monday Coupon Purchases begin the New Year
@ $8.7 Billion.
FED Balance Sheet - New all-time HIgh @ $8.791 Trillion.
_____________________________________
May your New Year be filled with Peace and Joy
Until 2022 - HK
Reverse Repurchase Agreements expand 60% in 1 MonthDuress is everywhere.
There is no escape, while the demand for Collateral increases
the Rate of Demanded Collateral continues to Rise in Yield.
Interesting Times indeed.
For those trading "Conventional Paradigms" ...
Please check your Six.
The Federal Reserve is Supplying said Collateral from its
ever-expanding Balance Sheet.
At a large profit no less.
We simply follow the leaders and OBEY.
No real need to complicate matters or Howl at the Moon, as
it frankly changes nothing.
Trade it until the Lights go out.
Reverse Repos - ATH - KarmaGeddeon Bid Expands to $1.35 TrillionNon-Financial rated Debt, Corporate Debt will begin to roll over as GDP Forecasts,
although no longer provided... does not matter, the Global Economy is once again
on the Steep Decline.
Supply Chain Issues compound monthly, with no end in sight.
The answer is, Buy STONKS, they are the New, New, New, and Improved Liquidity Economy.
Stocks are the Economy for most Americans. GDP is resolved with Gains in Zombie Companies
buying Trillions of their own shares.
1.6 Million Options were swapped for Tesla Friday, 52% Calls.
The Gamma Squeeze for protected entities is in trade.
Yeah, Naw, we'll pass for now, wait for the Pullback into the Final Stage of this Historic
Bull Market.
Commodities are pitching a large Bis as the Safety Trade is back in force.
There will be a final Blow Off Higher into 2022 as Debt Markets join the idiocy until
it all simply implodes.
2022 is going to be a very difficult year for most.
Perpetual Bonds are assured, the reset there will require a degree of patience while the
"Distribution Phase" requires time.
Insider selling remains robust, Retails are going All-in on the YOLO.
Meme's will begin to roll over and collapse into the next Sell, which is ahead.
We will see how long they can continue this Distribution .
Margin Debt remains elevated at Highs.
INever forget Crammer issuing Buys in March of the DotCom peak for the most bloated
overvalued JUNK Stocks which promptly collapsed from $600 to $0.
2022... one for the Books after 5/5 completes.
Reverse Repos - All Time Highs - renewed KarmaGeddeon BidAs RR's break highs after a short period of consolidation...
Panic is in the Air.
It's rare Air up here and leads us to conclude we may $1.5 Trillion in Fed Facilities
be afforded to the 3 Amigos.
Simply, a stunning Fear within the perceived "Flight to Safety"
Spoiler, it will not end well.
Reverse Repos - Cross All Time Highs @ 1.183 TrillionNot a Fan of Drama(s). Consider this antithetical to Drama.
Safety, a great deal of it is being bought in Size.
Both, The Federal Reserve and the Unites States Treasury are removing
it at a rapid pace - Liquidity.
This would appear counter-intuitive as the Equities Complex continues
to make ATH after ATH.
_____________________________________________________________
From November 2019 to February 2020, the exact same pattern repeated.
Liquidity was removed, Banks tightened lending. The rest is history. It does
indeed repeat.
Then as now, Margin Debt had exceeded prior Highs, everyone was in and
heavily leveraged LONG.
The Put/Call Ratio had reached an extreme LOW. Complacency was abundant.
Market conditions then, as now created immense vulnerabilities.
The potential for a FLASH CRASH had never reached this extreme then. As for now,
the potential has never been higher.
Sentiment plays an important role as well... Confidence in the everything. Not simply
Stock, but our arrangements in every manner.
These are horrific at best, by any metric.
______________________________________________________________________
Charts are not the end all be all. February 22, 2020 should have taught everyone this
simple edict. Accidents happen and although they may "Appear" in our Charts, there
is something FAR MORE IMPORTANT and that is the underlying Fundamentals.
It is more than fair to suggest the Federal Reserve can and will provide unlimited
support to the Equity Complex, Bonds, Real Estate, Money Markets as well as
support Fiscal Malfeasance by our Government.
To a point...
Global Equities look terrible, there is an accident ahead, a large and insidious event
that will arrive unannounced and undo what has been done at surreal expense.
It has been a long time - An extreme divergence between US Equities and Global Markets.
A large and important drop in Asia's Equities Markets implies a contagion is developing and
with it a hyper selloff in global equities.
Divergences within our Equities Complex have NEVER been this extreme.
It is referred to as Capitulation, not by you or I - but by Global Central Banks under the
direction of the BIS.
________________________________________________________________________
It is near.
Extreme Caution is warranted in everything.
There is no date, there is no time to project, A day, a week and even a month.
That said, when it arrives, gains will be lost and then some.
Everyone appears to be "Anticipating" this correction. They Hedge and become
fuel for the next squeeze of protection.
This is all that is driving this market now, nothing more other than the need
for a higher Fill.
It is be design and plan.
____________________________________________________________________
Cash is a position, it is an exceptional one at times when one is confused or
inexperienced.
We are preparing for it now.
xoxo - Hunter Killer