XAGUSD LONG-ScalpingThis is a high-risk trade setup. While I believe silver has more room for a rally, I expect it may need a significant drop first—that's what my instincts say. However, based on the charts, I’ve decided to go long as the price action has been resilient and seems poised to recover from yesterday's bearish whipsaw candle. Reminder: this is a high-risk trade with 0.50% capital at risk.
Reversion
$ISV - Breakout play for +10 to 30% Technical Analysis (TA)
The monthly and weekly was oversold and price pushed higher with significant momentum after a consolidation phase.
Retracement to $25 is expected However, the push to $30 would require catalysts to increase momentum.
We could hit $25 and then come back down or go through another consolidation phase before further upside to $30.
Price Target
Entry: $22-$23
Target 1: $25
Target 2: $30
$ATLY - Oversold with +40% upside potentialTechnical Analysis ( TA)
Weekly William and RSI look very oversold so I am expecting a mean reversion to at least 0.20
Daily chart is showing initial signs of the mean reversion/reversal but its not let confirmed on the reversal until we cross the 50EMA.
Price Target
Entry: 0.175 - 20.5
Target 1: 0.25 (+40%)
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Financial Metrics look good.
S&P 500 ---→ IN FOR A DEEP CORRECTION. MEAN REVERSION PENDING.S&P 500 IS IN FOR A DEEP CORRECTION.
Monthly SPX Regression Channel, spanning 40 years, with bands of +4/-4 standard deviations.
This is a long-term channel showing a Normal Distribution of SPX price occurrences.
At least 95% of the price occurrences occurred within the Comfort Zone, the blue area between +2/-2 stdev as it should be.
For 14 months (3.54% of the total bars) price has come out above the Comfort Zone, and even beyond +4 stdev.
In an uptrend channel this type of action commands a Mean Reversion most of the time.
Because this channel and its bands are dynamically calculated, the only alternative is for the price to stay out of the Comfort Zone until the channel adapts or accommodates (widens) to engulf the new prices, but in this case everything points to a MEAN REVERSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 to 24 months.
THEREFORE SPX IS GOING LOWER.
Currently the Comfort Zone is between 3632 / 1818
Bear markets are not cleared up in a few days or weeks. They take time to unwind.
Bear market rallies: Trade'm, but don't Trust'm
We wrote an article about this channel on Feb-21-22
Mean Reversion ETH BTCBINANCE:ETHBTC
Using Mean Reversion to enter at oversold (Diverge to under -4000 ) ETH and sell when ETH overbought (Diverge above +5000)
Profit in USD : 22%
IN USD BTC PRICE BTC AMOUT ETH BTC PRICE ETH AMOUNT USDETH Price USD OUT
1000 41924.13 0.023852612 0.06488 0.367641983 0.000284967 1290.121893
Thanks to @wolneyyy Mean Deviation Detector - Throw Out All Other Indicators
$TGT incoming bounce on its way, another short covering rallyA big bounce is imminent on $TGT here in the next few days to weeks, the stock has declined significantly in a brief amount of time and is now showing inside candles representing balance, a push over 221 will take us screaming higher. Short covers bring the excess liquidity, strong numbers represented by Target this holiday season is a contributing factor why we will bounce here. Be patient, another big trade is coming. Jan 220/225 calls can work on confirmation candle.
BTC. statistically high chances of correction to monthly pivotThe last 4+ years have only ever seen 2 months NOT have price test their monthly pivot points (which is around 57k) those months were January 2021 and December 2017. It could always happen a third time. I am just saying... that is over 95% frequency. Easy enough to backtest with standard pivot points monthly levels.
P.S. This does not mean it must happen now. This statistic is valid within an intramonth period.
BTC bitcoin may have one more downswingI believe it might go to 57k. but from where is harder to guage. could manage risk at the weekly H4. With optimal entry at H3 area
The reason I believe it will go to 57k is because that is the new monthly central pivot point area. And over the last 4 years or more... only TWO months did not see price test the monthly pivots.
However if the Weekly h4 is broken on a daily close. I think it may reverse to this point from around 67k instead.
Be careful here reguardless of what you do
Still downward trend is at hand!I don't know much about technical analysis yet, but I think measuring mean of price alterations during a period of time is good for future price behavior here is my simple idea:
✔ 14 hour mean, price is not even close to it yet
✔ 6 hour and 3 hour means, price is between these if goes lower than 3 hour mean then we still have the downward trend
Even deviation can help you here, good luck on investing... ✌😉
btc bitcoin predictionGreen would mean up first then down. Red would be down first and then up.
I favor the red first. However no matter which happens first Ithink the monthly pivot point does get struck because historically it does over 95% of the time recieve price reversions
using camarilla pivots and cpr monthly levels, linear regression. HH LH LL LH with RSI and oscillators on chart.
BTC..be careful herenotice the monthly pivot "next pivot" coming in at 37k. It is likely price tests the next monthly pivot. how likely? the last 54 of 56 (at least) monthly pivots have had price reversions to.
it could come in at a higher point and retrace from higher with this last day of price action though. which could get bullish and raise it up. or it could get lowered. point being... no need to rush into a long position. wait for a proper retrace.
using camarilla pivots and CPR
Btc weekly pivot reversionwe have developing weekly pivot around 2k lower than current price. over 90% of the time when price opens far from new central pivots on daily weekly and monthly levels... price sees a reversion to those levels. that does not mean it happens from here exactly. and price action before weekly close can both raise or lower where that level is on the close. just something to watch out for