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Rgmov

USDJPY: Trend is up nowI think we can be more or less sure that the trend has now turned up on this pair. I'm holding longs, although I had closed earlier, I reentered when turning up for the day today, after we made a new daily low. That was a good cue for a potential short term bottom. I like the VIX key levels on this pair, I have talked about this in the past. For more information, check Tim West's publications. If you're long, hold and trail stops gradually. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
1
SPX: Long term trends active right nowI made this chart for a student of mine, but I think it is a good idea to remind people of what the technical charts show in the long term here. The level of pessimism regarding being long stocks makes it clear that there is an uptrend at the moment. It can get you ridiculed, to mention in public that you buy stocks. People shy away from it, everyone is either in cash, or buying gold, or something else. Investing in start ups, you name it...anything BUT stocks. We have both a yearly and a quarterly signal active at the moment. The quarterly calls for a rally to 2621.8 by Q4 2018 at least, and potential for a max target of around 3230. The yearly chart's target is 2975.7 by 2021, give or take. Keep this in mind, when blaming Trump for 'the Trump trade' or when your VIX etf longs result in catastrophic loss...you're just not trading with the trend. Big volatility spikes are an opportunity to join this trend. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:SPXLong
by IvanLabrie
7
XBTEUR: Long term forecast updateThis is how the Bitcoin chart looks right now. The long term uptrend is active until the end of 2017, and after that, we have an ample range of choices, with a likely consolidation or retracement starting. Once we approach or surpass the long term target on chart, we might enter a bubble phase, so it is logical to see a correction or consolidation of a large scale in Bitcoin. I know people will hate me for saying this, I already had some people saying I was crazy when showing them this idea before publishing, but it is what the charts show. In the short term I see a 17% upside give or take, after which we may see a small correction. The rally and the break out are legit right now, so this is what makes the most sense to me currently. I hold 24% account in $BTC give or take, for full disclosure. Best of luck, and see you at the target by year end...or higher with some luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
17
USDJPY: Bottom's in...as wellThis is an update to my previous $USDJPY publications. We are long, after averaging in for 4 days, starting the day of the exact low, with a cost basis of 108.66, holding a 33% account long position. I think we can resume the rally, and get an uptrend of proportions similar to the one that took place after the presidential election in the US. I'll be looking to add short term entries, applying multiple trend following proprietary strategies that we use to better leverage trends while they last. If you're already in, try to be patient and hold, after we surpass the red resistance zone we have a lot of upside in this pair. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
12
EURUSD: UpdateAfter closing in profit two days ago, I detected that the short term trend would top. Clearly I was on the right track. This dip is good to reenter and/or add. I got back in with a half position already, will keep adding gradually today and two more days after until my risk allocation is completed. I outlined two potential guess/forecasts based on dynamics of multiple timeframes and key levels of support and resistance. You could now place a stop at 1.06024 for these new trades and old ones if still in. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
EURUSD: IMF key levelsEURUSD has a weekly uptrend, from a 'Time at Mode' perspective, and the sentiment is considerably negative for it lately, with the French elections starting the first round tomorrow. This weekend, the IMF meeting takes place, and it might be a very significant event for the Euro. This week is packed with data and potential catalysts for all markets, with Mnuchin's speech in less than 2 hours from now, the IMF meetings today and tomorrow, and French elections, things will be interesting at the open. Then during the week, we have Trump's 'tax package' announcement after Wedneday, as well as the freedom caucus potentially approving the revised Obamacare repeal plan. What is certain, is that mainstream media, sentiment, and the regular Joe will get it all wrong, sadly. So, let's try to remain contrarian. Best of luck and have a nice weekend. Ivan Labrie. Ref: www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com "The IMFC statement reiterated pledges from October to “refrain from competitive devaluations” of currencies and to avoid targeting “our exchange rates for competitive purposes.”"
Long
by IvanLabrie
Oil: Potential bullish scenarioI think there is a fair chance that oil breaks out, maybe due to fears of war in the Middle East? Maybe due to OPEC extending production cuts, or maybe a bit of both, paired with Trump's comments of wanting a weaker dollar. I think energy positions are a good hold, and even a good chance to add to many, like $OXY, $PBR, $MPC, $PBF, to name a few. Keep an eye out for the breakout here, if it's confirmed, $XLE will shine surely. This would play nicely with Saudi Arabia's Aramco IPO as well, which makes a lot of sense to me. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:USOILLong
by IvanLabrie
6
EURUSD: Donald backtracks...Yellen stays, low rates for longer?Apparently, the weekly 'Time at Mode' signal here that implied that the Euro could rally dramatically vs the dollar after retesting the weekly mode support this week, might have inspired Donald Trump to backtrack on his campaign promises after seeing my chart posted here recently... In a rapid flurry, Donald decided to keep Yellen as Fed Chair, keep rates low for longer, no longer label China as a currency manipulator and consider NATO 'not obsolete', to name a few things. (He also recently commented on having to prioritize health care, over tax reform, which might put some brakes on the stock market rally, UNLESS this was already priced in, due to a spectacular series of failures in the agenda that took place recently, before this epic transformation the Don suffered today). VIX spiked higher, with Gold, so I'm not entirely positive about this rally being long lasting in metals, bonds and currencies against the dollar, but one thing is certain, there is an interesting fundamental landscape shaping up right now. Let's hope things turn out fine for the world. Happy Easter if you celebrate it. Have a nice week (and weekend), good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
GM: Rejoining the long side here, graduallyI like $GM here for a bottom against the yearly mode support. It also coincides with a strong support from the uptrend off the 2015 low, which makes me think it won't go any lower than this, despite possibly ranging sideways for a while longer before shooting up with force. In the long term, $GM's valuation down here will let you sleep well at night, while waiting for the breakout in the quarterly timeframe. Target for it is over $57, so it will be worth it as a hold. Yield is excellent for a company this size, I'm fairly confident that it will gain traction soon. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:GMLong
by IvanLabrie
LTCBTC: Time at mode calls for a declineI hope no one got trapped in this nasty scam of a coin that is Litecoin. The accumulation was brief, and it seems like the scammers behind it are taking profits, so prepare for a 9 day decline back to where it started to rally, unless support holds. I would still, not like to be involved with something so easily manipulated and shaken around due to being illiquid, and supply concentrated in very few huge holders' hands. Trade larger, safer markets, with a better and fairer distribution method. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
LShort
by IvanLabrie
11
NZDUSD: Interesting setupI'm entering gradually into a long position here. $NZDUSD has built a significant monthly mode here, which could evolve into a breakout and eventual monthly uptrend. The weekly is neatly oversold into support, and flashed a buy signal courtesy of RgMov, so going long gradually here is a good idea. Don't risk much, I would consider a drop below 0.689 a good invalidation level for this trade. 4h and daily charts show potential for a rally as well, so you could see rapid progress within a couple days, hence, you should average in during 3 days until you have maxed the risk on the trade. Risk a maximum of 0.5-1%. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
ZECEUR: In case anyone missed this...I've been going on and on about Zcash, I hope some of my followers are in the trade with me and my clients. Great profits already, and more to come with some luck. If we move above resistance after today, we will continue trending up. ZECEUR could easily hit 120-152, and if above that, the weekly could see us hit 220 eur...The first fundamental key level resistance, which coincides with a technical level is around 411, so, hang in there and be patient. If it indeed starts trending, it will be like ETHEUR's rally before it, so, it will give a lot of short term opportunities, to make quick profits while holding the core position. Fundamentals are aligning with my vision here, there's a chance that the problems XMR's anonimity appears to have, might kickstart this rally, together with bug fixes by the proactive Zcash team, as well as a potential addition to deep web marketplaces like Alphabay...the developments could cause an explosive rally, specially if you consider the limited floating supply. Happy Easter! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
32
MPC: Long term uptrend signal$MPC has an excellent long term uptrend signal at play here. If not long you should average in over 3 days at least, risking a drop to 43.42, or 3 daily average ranges down. Targets are 89.66 and potentially up to 143.09 in the long run, to be hit by or before Q4 2019. My mentor, Tim West has been adamant about $MPC's strengt, and so far he's been right. This stock has shown relative strength, selling off less than its peers and rallying more and with lower volatility, indicating that there are some big players involved, buying in the background. Fundamentals are great for this company, and valuation is compelling, so it's a really low risk trade. I'd reccomend holding this and $PBF for exposure in this sector. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:MPCLong
by IvanLabrie
AUDUSD: Likely going up after retesting supportI think we can see a rally against the dollar here, and in other pairs naturally. This one happens to have a nice setup overall and has positive carry. You could risk a drop under yesterday's low, or 1-3 atr below 0.7475. There's upside to retest the next resistance level initially, eventually, one day it could break out in the monthly, but it's hard to put your finger on it and say, ok here it goes. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
4
EURUSD: A good hedge, and a valid tradeI have a powerful signal here, bought breaking yesterday's high today. I had given up on Euro longs, and sold in disgust, which is a strong 'self-contrarian' signal. Whenever it happens, take heed, and act with haste after the market breaks a previous day high or low, since your exit. If you don't take the trade back, you will probably face one of those times when you exit a trade at the bottom, to then see the trade go your way without you...so, why face that irritating feeling? Fade yourself, when we're emotional, we're a reflection of the 'herd'. Fascinating huh? Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
18