SPY: Time at mode analysisMy last trade has been a swing long position in the S&P500.
The analysis tells me that we might see a rally to at least 214.08 or maybe even 214.90 in the SPY within the coming days.
I will monitor price action around the key fundamental events this month, but I know before hand that if I'm not stopped out, I'll look to exit this swing long in the target zone I mentioned, and also look to exit other equity longs.
Check out related ideas to learn more about the Vix 75% retracement smart money support level. This also matches a FOMC key level as well as the current daily mode support, so odds of price moving up after hitting this are considerably high, and align with the weekly signals on chart.
The rgmov indicator spells caution though, since it has recently plotted a new 44 bar low in the daily, alerting of danger of a downtrend. Currently it's moving up, showing strength of the bulls, and it has hit a 50% speed line support, so we should be safe on the long side for now.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.57% on such information.
Rgmov
USDSGD: Interesting long setupWe have an aggressive long entry here in USDSGD, I copied the rally from April 29th, 2015, since it matches the current prices very well to illustrate what is possible here.
There was a downtrend which has expired and we're above weekly support, so we can expect higher prices soon.
In the 4h chart we can observe a potential uptrend forming, so it's potentially a good long entry here, even though it is indeed early to join the long side.
We should see this pair gain traction after the FOMC meeting, let's give it a try and see how it goes. Good luck!
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.57% on such information.
Key Hidden Levels: A few trades we sharedThese are a few trades we shared at the KHL chatroom, I have shared the link in my previous posts.
If you're interested in learning more about the methods used by Tim West, which I learned and apply in my own trading, contact me privately. I also offer a signals service, with more setups, for FX, equities, metals and oil for the most part.
It's clear the market is in an uptrend for now. There is an uptrend signal in SPY, which indicates we might see a reaction by the 14-15th, which happens to match the FOMC meeting date. I reccomend monitoring equity longs closely by then. I'm in these and a few other trades, and I'll be looking to book profits safely. I'll update this publication if needed.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Silver: Long term time at mode analysisIn this chart I illustrate the quarterly and yearly trends in Silver.
Read the annotations on chart for more information on each component.
There was a 9 year uptrend signal that ran out of time on Q4 2012, which marked the start of a long term decline.
The decline abruptly ended this year as price ran into a yearly/quarterly support zone.
The market acknowledged this level, forming a base, and rallying sharply, expanding the quarterly range during Q2 2016. It could be said that the 2014 low marked the end of this decline, with the following bars being a period of smart money accumulation, judging by the power of the current advance.
We now have a very tight stop loss buy setup on chart, which I share here. I'm already in this trade.
You can enter at market with a stop at 15.394 to be extra safe.
Target is 25, or even potentially 32, but less likely to be hit.
Good luck, see you next year.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
GILD: Time at mode longWe have a nice time at mode uptrend signal in GILD, right above a Key Earnings Support level.
Upside is significant, and downside risk very small, we can enter at market with stops under 86,31 and aim for targets above 91. Good luck if taking this trade!
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.00%% on such information.
Silver: Uptrend continuation setupIf you missed the long entry in Silver, you can still get in as depicted on this chart, either after price makes a new daily high, or on a dip to 16.185, with stops under 15.942.
In related ideas you can see my long term analysis of silver, as well as the latest trade signal I emailed as part of my trading signals newsletter.
I'll be looking to add on dips, since our first entries are out of danger currently. It's still early to join this trend, and I expect it to evolve over the course of weeks. We'll monitor price action and the reaction to the Fed on June 15th, as well as the UK Brexit vote by the 23rd.
I reccomend risking between 0.5 and 1%.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.00%% on such information.
UAL: Long term long entryWe have shared this entry in the KHL chatroom. You can still enter at market, or buy dips to the key level at 45.
With oil possibly topping for the year, this can be an excellent trade.
Props to Tim West and his Key Hidden Levels. I've come a long way thanks to his mentoring.
Leave comments if you take the trade with me here (or if you've taken any of the ones I posted before). It's a great encouragement, and can sometimes have a bigger impact than just material gratification from succesful trades, or from my customer base.
Have a nice weekend!
Ivan Labrie.
Dax: Potential upside to be seenWe have a good opportunity to go long here, with a tight stop loss under last week's low at least.
Enter longs at market, risk half and keep the stop under 10037, this is agressive, but makes the trade more interesting.
Alternatively, you could opt for placing stops under 9914 which would be less prone to get you whipsawed, but reduces the R multiples achievable by the trade.
Targets on chart are based on the time at mode signals present on the weekly chart here, and have a 55% probability of being attained in time. The first one is already triggered, and the 2nd box with a higher target will be fully confirmed by the end of the week.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.00%% on such information.
Wheat: overwhelming pessimism leads to a bottomWheat has formed a gigantic weekly base, and is ripe to rally once price moves above 469'6.
It's a bit premature to buy, but we could get away with huge R multiples if this trade setup works.
Open long positions on a break of this level, with stops under the previous week's low.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
GBPUSD: Potential for uptrend continuationThe Pound is offering an interesting setup in the daily and weekly charts.
We can enter longs at market open with a stop under 1.4421, and aim for 1.52065, which will be fully confirmed if we get a strong weekly advance and don't retest the weekly mode support.
I reccomend risking between 0.5 and 1%.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
EURUSD: FOMC and ECB Key levelsOn this chart I have plotted the most recent FOMC and ECB Key Levels to give you an idea of where the Euro can and will go.
Every time we have a close, and/or a range expansion day emerging from these, we have a viable trade setup.
You can easily see how it can be a good idea to keep these levels in mind.
The monthly downtrend mode has been broken down today, and the day closed below the FOMC key levels, whilst the monthly range was expanded down, so after this month's close there's a possibility of resuming the monthly downtrend in the Euro, which would warrant seeing a massive decline towards parity or lower.
I'm short from 1.1156, with stops at 1.122, which sits above this double FOMC key level, AND a monthly mode, so odds of being stopped out are small.
If we're lucky we could get into a massive trade here. It's also a good idea to short EURCAD, since USDCAD is at a good level to retrace from.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
BABA: Short a retest of resistanceWe can enter short BABA if it retests the Key earnings resistance level at 77.47 in the coming days.
Stops should go over 80 to be safe, and we can target 69.28 approximately.
Many negative stories have come out in the last few days, and the stock is considerably overbought, and due for a correction, all the more reasons to short it.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Track record: pastebin.com
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
USDCAD: Hold longs, watch these levelsIn my previous publication I shared my long entry in USDCAD. I was long from a couple days before but using a wider stop, until I noticed price action in the hourly chart suggested the bottom was 100% in. Then I added to it with tighter stops.
I hope many caught that trade with us!
In the chart you can see my previous usdcad publications, which show I've been 80% right in this pair, contrary to say, NZDUSD, which is one of the worst performers for me, where I only got 30% wins in the daily chart. In this case, the time at mode trend signals will shine, but in NZDUSD, a more reactive trading style is needed, which in hindsight, would favor bar by bar price action analysis (which can most certainly be done using Tim West's tools, but not expecting trades to evolve into trend setups like I mistakenly did).
This is a nice feature, offered by tradingview, I'd reccomend you all use it, both to analyze your past performance, but also to see what the bulk of traders are doing. During a trend, you can see that most of them are trying to go against it, with growing number of shorts right before the tops, and a shift into longs after it has in fact topped. What I would like, would be to see not only suggested authors' ideas, but I guess it would be too demanding for Tradingview servers to show us ALL trade ideas for one symbol per timeframe, on chart, as an overlay to each bar.
That being said, the levels I plotted on chart will be important resistance levels on the way up, and I anticipate to form a sideways range eventually, after meeting either of them. The key will be seeing what price does after hitting each of them, to either, add to longs, or close and go short again.
For now, it'd be hard to determine how far price can go, so, we'll go with the flow and don't try to play Nostradamus (yet).
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Sugar: Topping against a monthly modeSugar is at a very interesting spot for a short trade. Although this is an aggressive entry, the potential reward makes the trade be worth a try. We have a clear sentiment extreme, and rgmov alerts of hidden selling, plotting lower lows when the market is going for a sharp climactic ascent. We also have divergence in CCI, so you could consider shorts if the next day turns down. Either sell under the last daily close, or short any new daily low. Stops should be over 17.62 as a bare minimum.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Lumber: Potential top spottedLumber futures appear to have topped against a massive monthly mode.
You can go short with stops above the highs to be safe, target a retest of the uptrend mode from the lows.
I overlaid EURUSD and USOIL so you can compare the price action. It's clear we're witneseeing a major dollar rally here. I wouldn't discard its significance. If you're not in any of my recent suggested trades, try to catch this and USDCAD, even buying at market now is viable with stops under yesterday's low. See related ideas for an entry we can take in oil.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
XAG/XAU: Long silver and short gold long termWe can take this trade Tim West pinpointed today, since gold retrace slightly and silver hasn't yet, this is an ideal entry for both trades. You should size them using 3 times the daily ATR, to risk a full position on each side. This keeps positions volatility adjusted on each leg of the pair.
Hold it, long term, possibly past December 2016.
Gold looks like an intermediate term top here, so it's a fairly safe trade.
A good alternative is short NEM/long SLV, which looks to be more overextended even, but the main indicator is this chart right here. Don't set any stops in this trade, just calculate your position size for each leg, based on ATR.
Tim West suggested this trade today in the KHL chatroom, and now seems like the perfect time to take it.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.