RIOT
RIOT about to EXPLODE!! HUGE Pennant with Upside TP = $102Entry at open $28.09, SL = $23.23, TP= $102. EXTREMELY LOW RISK TRADE and HUGE UPSIDE. Willing to Risk 2% on this trade because of I am wrong I only lose 2% but if I am right this trade has potential to 360% Return. This trade reminds me of BTC trade I took last year around May with nearly identical setup but that was on the weekly chart. This trade is on Daily chart.
HUGE Pennant with already a weak breakout and rising MACD about to cross ZERO line on multiple time frames from 8 hour, 3D, Weekly. BULLISH slope to MACD with breakout of downtrend on MACD as well as smaller Pennant (Bright yellow trendline) appears to be ready to explode higher out of larger Pennant (tan dashed trendline). Price is also at MAJOR SUPPORT.
MARA - Retesting BreakoutBulls have been in control since May 2020.. Some see a H&S, I see a re-test of breakout.. We do have a shooting star on the monthly which is bearish bitcoin has been consolidating for months and expecting a breakout any day.
TP $100+ by mid-Feb. If bitcoin stalls, then RIP MARA. GL
mara short swing ~previously we swung mara from around $20 --> $70 via:
it came down pretty impulsively after poking our target, and there has been no signs of bullish divergence or anything of this nature (thus far).
i think it's going to drop lower.
shorting it right here for this potential sub-wave 5th swing.
A review on Wall Street Bets' Plays of the day!In this analysis, I review the most important Support and resistance levels of the top mentioned Wall Street Bets tickers!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
I think most of you know their plays I too risky and chasing is not recommended!
Rank 1-6:
and my prediction for Today:(this is only valid for today, may need an update soon!)
Rank 7-12:
and my prediction for Today:(this is only valid for today, may need an update soon!)
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
11/14/21 RIOTRiot Blockchain, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RIOT )
Sector: Finance (Financial Conglomerates)
Current Price: $44.19
Breakout price trigger: $43.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $41.00-$35.50
Price Target: $66.00-$68.00 (1st), $79.00-$82.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 38-40d (1st), 74-78d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $RIOT 12/17/21 50c, $RIOT 1/21/22 50c
Trade price as of publish date: $7.00/contract, $9.80/contract
RIOTFor whatever reason Riot is a lagger compared to MARA. On Friday closing near resistance this could move heavily to the upside and even break highs in mid December. Seems likely to be .. could be even a 100% gainer from here!
Hope you guys are having a good weekend and find these charts before the start of the new week!
Will post some more following this one, had to get this one out.
Buy ITM calls for two months out.
ROKU - STRONG CONFLUENCE SUPPORT & AVG $30+ BOUNCE OFF TREND All,
OVERALL (BULLISH 70/30)
I think we break out this wedge down here either now or one more attempt on bottom of wedge and hit 280-293. However, see details below. I am most likely going to hedge downside depending how Mon/Tues go. A breakout Mon-Tues I will just go into maintenance mode and watch it closely.
FUNDAMENTALS
Let's get to fundamnetals first. There are some "doubters" on ROKU. However, they may be right in the future as of NOW in the past quarter financialls and NOW as a company ROKU is very undervalued here reardless of future ROKU beliefs. If you want to be short next quarter for reasons "XYZ" totally get that. Arguing against ROKU after 600% EPS and customers Y/Y drastically increasing it's very obvious ROKU is worth 375+ at a "fair" valuation.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
There is a very stong support trend line here that is holding on average acting as support we have $30-$50 moves off of it regardles of what comes after.
MY POSITION(S)
$300 Calls Dec 3rd 2021 @ $3.65
(Will add pending non breakout by Tues) -- Either $265 or $255 PUTS for Dec 3rd 2021 (May want to add some regardless just as protection or even shorter timeframe)
**Remember on options you can close/sell at any time there is a good chance if I get that 293 clean and soon I might just sell there and take a pretty solid profit. Or sell half and see if we can break the downward trend to push 315-330 area.**
BULLISH
PT #1: 285
PT #2: 293
PT #3: 304
PT #4: 330/342 --- "wait and see if we can break downward trend will be 3rdish time so 50/50 it breaks barring any bad/good news. Also approaching Christmas/Black Friday time.
BEARISH
I think the bearish comes from the obvious part of it not being able to re obtain that 376ish level. We are currently above that other previous low of 372. A break under that signls a possible big downside of 240s. The other factor is the overall market/SPY/Holidays/Feds
PT# 1: 267
PT# 2: 255
PT #3: 244
PT #4: 220 (if we somehow got down 220-240 range I will immediately swap to 100% calls and a huge buy in as the stock would be at such a mind blowing discount.
$riot looking better everyday riot has broken out of its downtrend from March and tested resistance at the .382 fib level or $43.25 I believe this will test it again in the near future and breakthrough near earnings or the day after on the 15th and rocket up to the .618 $57.09. I have gotten a position in at $27 and will buy a bigger position of calls expiring next week.
Long | RIOT | Intraday play 11/3/2021 NASDAQ:RIOT
Possible Scenario: LONG
Evidence: Price Action
Entry point: buy order : 31.30$ to 31.80$ in case of pull-back, (I don't expect it)
TP1: 32.80$
TP2: 34$
Call options, Strike 32$, 11/ 05 /2021 100 Contract cost is 14k and profit at TP1: 4k at TP2:13k, at 36$: 28k
Call options, Strike 34$, 11/ 05 /2021
*This is my idea and could be wrong 100%
Multi-Year Cup and Handle! Target $8000RIOT is looking really good right now. This beautiful cup and handle is about to resolve to a major run within the next 2 years to possibly $8000. I know it sounds extreme but the measured move of the cup on a log scale will bring it to approximately $7000-$8000. Hold onto your hats. Good luck everyone. This is not financial advice just my opinion, let me know what you think.
Riot Potential Second WindLooking at a strong entry point for a long trade on a second leg formed.
Looking for a price target of $30.
Signs of oversold conditions starting to appear on the RSI & MACD . Also seeing some divergence.
While I see pullbacks on BTC to $50k & ETH to possibly $32-3500, RIOT seems to suddenly making a breakout.
Could be profit taking and traders seeing higher profit % potential here in the meantime?
I'll bite. Let's see where this goes.
Psychological Roots of Failure in TradingI write this article to shine a light on the importance of the learning process and increasing your knowledge in trading.
Unfortunately, many new traders start trading during the bull cycle without knowing the basics of the market, and the result is almost always the same.
They do not know Bullish trends will not last forever, and this coin has another side!
I remember when I published my RIOT analysis on Nov 5th, 2020, the price was 3.81 USD/share and my target was 55 USD/share!
I relieved many comments that is a scam or some others made fun of me!
RIOT skyrocketed to 79.50 and then I published my first short analysis on Feb 18, 2021, this time everyone oppose me that it is a buying opportunity at 62 USD/share!
I experienced the same situation over and over again:
NASDAQ:WKHS
NASDAQ:TLRY
NYSE:SPCE
Now for those who like to know the underlying cause of Boom-Bust cycles in the market, I would like to explain more:
Soros’ boom-bust cycle, explains the three phases of price change as:
1- The “far-from-equilibrium” upswing,
2-The phase transition turning point, and
3--The downswing and return to “near-equilibrium” conditions.
I believe we can evaluate the participants psychological condition as well:
Charles Darwin wrote in his book The Descent of Man, "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge."
We can consider darwin's quote the basis for the psychological researches by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger.
The Dunning-Kruger effect
The Dunning-Kruger effect is a type of cognitive bias in which people believe that they are smarter than others and more capable than they are. Essentially, low ability people do not possess the skills needed to recognize their incompetence. The combination of poor self-awareness and low cognitive ability leads them to overestimate their capabilities.
A Little Knowledge Can Lead to Overconfidence
Another contributing factor is that sometimes a tiny bit of knowledge on a subject can lead people to mistakenly believe that they know all there is to know about it. As the old saying goes, a little bit of knowledge can be a dangerous thing. A person might have the slimmest bit of awareness about a subject, yet thanks to the Dunning-Kruger effect, believe that he or she is an expert.
Other factors that can contribute to the effect include our use of analytical or mental shortcuts that allow us to make decisions quickly, and our tendency to seek out patterns even where none exist. Our minds are primed to try to make sense of the disparate array of information we deal with daily. It is perhaps not surprising that we sometimes fail to accurately judge how well we do.
Is There Any Way to Overcome the Dunning-Kruger Effect?
Keep learning and practicing
Instead of assuming you know all, there is to know about a subject, keep digging deeper.
Ask other people how you're doing
Another effective strategy involves asking others for constructive criticism.
Question what you know
Seek out information that challenges your ideas, as you learn more and get feedback, it can be easy to only pay attention to things that confirm what you think you already know. This is an example of another type of psychological bias known as confirmation bias.
Dunning and Kruger suggest that as experience with the subject increases, confidence typically declines to more realistic levels. As people learn more about the topic of interest, they begin to recognize their lack of knowledge and ability. Then as people gain more information and become experts on a topic, their confidence levels begin to improve once again.
Conclusion:
you should keep updating your knowledge about the market and accept that as a never-ending process regardless of your experience.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
Reference Articles:
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
psycnet.apa.org
www.britannica.com
www.verywellmind.com
www.psychologytoday.com