GOLD → Realization of consolidation and retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD is testing a rather important resistance, a break and consolidation above which will open the way to 2721 - 2726. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone, and the fundamental background supports it
Gold was supported by weak US inflation data, dollar correction and adjusted expectations of Fed rate cuts, as well as hopes for stimulus in China.
Traders' attention shifts to December retail sales and jobless claims in the US. These data will help clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Weakened dollar and lower bond yields support the current growth of gold.
Technically, all eyes are currently on the uptrend and resistance at 2697.8
Resistance levels: 2697.8, 2700
Support levels: 2690, 2678
If gold can consolidate above 2697-2700 and the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect growth in the short and medium term. But do not forget about the news that will be published later.
Regards R. Linda!
Rising Wedge
XRP: Is the $3.00 Breakout the Start of a New Rally!?XRP Token ( BINANCE:XRPUSDT ) , backed by Ripple , a pioneer in international financial transfers, this token has once again captured the market's attention. Is this growth sustainable or just a temporary surge?
Let's take a closer look.
Fundamental Analysis :
1- Legal Advancements(Recent Court Victories) : Ripple has achieved successes in its legal battles against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), reducing legal uncertainties surrounding XRP and boosting investor confidence.
2- Strategic Partnerships(Collaborations with Major Financial Institutions) : Ripple has initiated partnerships with banks and financial institutions worldwide, especially in Europe and Asia, aiding in the broader adoption of XRP.
3- Increased Utility(Speed and Efficiency in Transactions) : Given its high speed and low transaction fees, XRP is being considered a suitable option for international transfers.
4- Institutional Investment(Approval of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)) : The approval of ETFs related to XRP could lead to increased demand and, consequently, a rise in its price.
5- Leadership Changes(Changes in SEC Leadership) : With Gary Gensler stepping down as SEC Chair and the potential appointment of more crypto-friendly leaders, regulatory pressures on XRP are expected to decrease, potentially aiding its growth.
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Now, let's take a look at the Technical Analysis of XRP .
XRP is trying to break the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) . However, the $3.00 Resistance level(Round Number) is preventing XRP from continuing to rise.
Of course, with the large volume of the candle breaking the Resistance zone , we can hope for an increase in XRP .
Regarding Classic technical analysis , the Rising Wedge Pattern has failed and will act as a continuation Pattern when a reversal pattern fails. ==>> Educational Tip
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that XRP has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 and we should wait for the main wave 4 . It looks like the main wave 4 can end around $2.85 or $2.74 ( near the upper line of the failed wedge pattern ).
Looking at the chart of XRPBTC ( BINANCE:XRPBTC ) in the weekly time frame , we can see that it seems that XRPBTC has succeeded in breaking the Resistance lines and is currently trying to break the Resistance zone , and if this zone breaks , we can see a further increase in XRP compared to Bitcoin(if the crypto market is bullish ) and vice versa if the crypto market is bearish , we can hope that XRP will experience a smaller decline than Bitcoin.
Based on the explanation above, I expect XRP to rise to at least a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) after the pullback is completed .
Note: If XRP returns below the Resistance zone($2.92-$2.68) again, we can expect a further decline of XRP.
XRP Analyze (XRPUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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GOLD → Uptrend, price depends on CPIFX:XAUUSD continues to form an uptrend on the local and medium-term timeframe. The price is again testing strong resistance on H4-D1 and is showing signs of readiness to rise to 2700-2750.
The PPI report was a bit of a surprise and a small driver for the markets, including gold, as the dollar moved into correction. CPI is ahead and bets are high on the report as it could change the market's assessment of the prospects for a Fed rate cut this year. A strong CPI could add pressure on gold, while a weak report would support the bulls.Hawkish Fed rates are supported by the premise that Trump, who begins his second term next week, is likely to fuel inflation with his protectionist policies.
Technically, there is an area of volume density and order block ahead, which could trigger a small pullback to support from which upside could continue.
Support levels: 2678, 2674, 2669
Resistance levels: 2690, 2697, 2703
But, in the short (mid) term everything depends on the news. CPI is ahead and with weak data gold may go on a bull run, but strong data may stop the growth and turn the metal around. Focus on key levels!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → What could trigger a fall?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the key resistance and as a consequence - passes into the phase of realization of the bearish pattern “Wedge”. If the general background persists, the price will be able to update the lows....
On the back of upcoming inflation data (PPI and CPI), traders have reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut to one this year. Forecasts point to a rise in PPI, which could strengthen demand for the dollar and cause a correction in gold prices. However, the weak data has the potential to push gold to $2,705.
Additionally, markets are watching Trump's policies and the possible introduction of new US tariffs, which could affect the dynamics of gold. Despite inflation risks, the metal has corrected from a one-month high, remaining a key hedge against inflation.
Technically, we have a correction forming after a false breakdown. Quite an important phase in the market. If the bears can keep the price below 2675 - 2681, the decline will continue in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support levels: 2667, 2656
At the moment the price is testing 0.5 fibo, on the background of the secondary retest the zone can be broken (I do not exclude a false breakout and consolidation below 0.5 fibo, which will also lead to a fall) and the price will head to the retest of the imbalance zone, which can put pressure on gold. The most likely scenario is a retest of the zone of interest 2675 - 2681 before further decline
Regards R. Linda!
FARTCOIN Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!The price has formed a wedge, and if the wedge breakout is confirmed with the daily candle closing, it can be said that the price will be bearish towards the 0.618 Fibonacci line. After that, if good volume enters, it can be said that the price may be bullish; otherwise, the price can be bearish down to 50 cents.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Potential Upside Ahead for USD/CHF: Watch This ZoneUSD/CHF is trading within a rising wedge pattern, approaching a key resistance level around 0.9020. A breakout above this zone with confirmation could lead to further bullish momentum.
However, if the price fails to sustain above the wedge, a pullback toward the lower trendline or previous support zones is possible
DYOR, NFA
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!As I mentioned, Bitcoin does not have enough volume to break the 0.618 line by the end of the holidays. Therefore, we have to wait and see if Bitcoin can stabilize above 100k in the new year.
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Gold will Go Down Again!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )started to decrease yesterday after the release of the US indexes(Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) and Resistance lines .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to be forming a Rising Wedge Pattern .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing wave 4 . The probability that the wave structure of wave 4 will be complicated is very high. Of course, it depends on today's US indexes (Final GDP, Unemployment Claims) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Gold to start declining again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern , it will fall to at least $2,611 and attack the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
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"ALTCOINS: HOLD OR SELL? BTC Dom at a Critical Turning Point!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this analysis resonates with you, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for premium setups that actually deliver results! 💹🔥
🔥 Market Recap
Last night, we witnessed a massive liquidation cascade across the entire crypto market. Altcoins took a heavy hit, with many dropping 20-30% overnight, wiping out billions of dollars.
🔑 Key Takeaway:
This is why I always stress—never trade leverage without a stop-loss. Protect your capital first. Hope you all followed this golden rule!
📊 Market Outlook: Where Are We Heading?
BTC Dominance:
Breaking down from a rising wedge on the weekly time frame—a classic bearish signal.
Currently retesting the breakdown zone, indicating a potential sharp decline ahead.
🌟 What This Means:
If dominance drops further, spot altcoin holdings will likely surge.
This is the time to accumulate, not panic-sell.
💎 Opportunities Ahead
Many altcoins are retesting key support levels after breaking out on the daily time frame:
FET, W, PEPE, LTC, APT, RENDER, and more.
Patience is key here. Hold onto your spot bags and use this dip as an opportunity to accumulate strong projects.
🚀 The Road Ahead
Over the next few days, we anticipate a strong recovery across the market, with alts pumping hard. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and ride this wave.
💬 Your Move:
What’s your strategy for this phase? Are you accumulating or waiting for more clarity? Drop your thoughts in the comments below—we’re in this together! 🌊🔥
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A rising Wedge Formation In the 4H - Short for Short Period.So even though Bitcoin is in the middle of a huge upward move markets always gave us the opportunity to make money in the middle of every strong trending moves. For now we got a rising wedge formation with a heavy pull back based on the news from the FED and the zone which is acting as a magnet support level got more confluence points including the strong demand zone, the horizontal support line of the 2 formed triangles and the 1.27 extension fib level on the higher timeframe. All this points and some other additional insights are included in this short video and enjoy watching it. Please do consider to do your own research before making any type of investments in any type of markets and I urge you to notice that this is not a financial advice at all rather a personal view point.
Nathnael B.
Nothing!!!Currently, the price is in a descending wedge, which could lead to a price drop after the break. The bearish divergence in MACD and RSI strengthens this signal. Therefore, we should wait for the wedge to break.
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LINK - Losing Momentum: Key Breakdown Levels to WatchThe chart structure shows a rising wedge pattern, a bearish formation that signals exhaustion in the current uptrend. This pattern, combined with price action stalling at the highs, indicates that the bulls are losing momentum.
Key Observations:
1.) Rising Wedge Breakdown Potential:
The price action is forming lower highs and higher lows, aligning with the typical characteristics of a rising wedge.
A decisive break below pdVAL (Previous Day Value Area Low) at $28.99 would confirm the bearish momentum.
2.) Bearish Targets:
If pdVAL fails as support, we could see a correction towards key confluence zones:
First Target: $26.75 — This level aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the entire upward wave and coincides with previous price structure support.
Second Target: $26.09 — This level is marked by the pwOpen (Previous Week Open), providing additional support.
3.) Volume Profile:
The recent upward move lacked increasing volume, which reinforces the exhaustion narrative. A volume spike on the breakdown would further validate the bearish case.
4.) Support Zones:
The key green zone (highlighted) between $26.75 and $26.09 is a strong area of demand, supported by:
0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Previous Weekly Open (pwOpen) and Previous Weekly Value Area Low (pwVAL).
Conclusion:
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown of pdVAL ($28.99) could trigger a move towards $26.75, with potential continuation to $26.09.
Invalidation: A strong reclaim of pdVAL and a push above the rising wedge's resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
NVDA Falling Wedge Pattern Setup: $127 SL - $153 TargetA falling wedge pattern has formed on NVDA's daily chart, with price action contained between two converging downward trendlines. The stock shows a potential bullish reversal setup after reaching recent highs around $145. Volume has been declining during the pattern formation, which is characteristic of a falling wedge. The setup offers a clear risk-reward with stop loss at $127 and target at $153, with entry planned on a break above the upper trendline.
The last bullish chance of CARDANO in short term!The ADAUSDT has broken the wedge, which is a bearish sign in the short term. The price can correct down to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and then potentially shoot back up.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out.
Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here.
Phase 1:
There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are:
1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding.
2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.)
3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest)
There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post.
Phase 2:
A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range.
Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range.
Phase 3:
After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth.
This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment.
**This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
Nobody appreciates it !!!The toncoin has broken the wedge, which is a bearish sign in the short term. The price can correct down to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and then potentially shoot back up.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Real Success Rates of the "Rising Wedge" in TradingReal Success Rates of the "Rising Wedge" in Trading
Introduction
The rising wedge, also known as the "rising wedge" in English, is a chart pattern that has a remarkable success rate in trading. This analysis details its performance, reliability and complementary indicators to optimize its use.
Success Rate and Performance
-Key Statistics
Overall success rate: 81% in bull markets
Average potential profit: 38% in an existing uptrend
-Breakout Direction
Bearish: 60% of cases
Bullish: 40% of cases
Contextual Reliability
Bull market: 81% success, average gain of 38%
After a downtrend: 51% success, average decline of 9%
Important Considerations
The rising wedge is generally a bearish pattern, indicating a potential reversal.
Reliability increases with the duration of the pattern formation.
Confirmation of the breakout by other indicators, especially volume, is crucial.
Complementary Indicators
-Volume
Gradual decrease during formation
Significant increase during breakout
-Oscillators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
Stochastics: Detects price/indicator divergences
-Moving Averages
Crossovers: Signal trend changes
-Dynamic Support/Resistance: Confirm the validity of the wedge
-Momentum Indicators
MACD: Identifies price/indicator divergences
Momentum: Assesses the exhaustion of the trend
-Other Elements
Fibonacci Levels: Identify potential support/resistance
Japanese Candlestick Analysis: Provides indications of reversals
Conclusion
The rising wedge is a powerful tool for traders, offering a high success rate and significant profit potential. The combined use of complementary indicators increases the reliability of the signal and improves the accuracy of trading decisions. It is essential to look for a convergence of signals from multiple sources to minimize false signals and optimize trading performance.
_______________________________________________
Here are the best times to enter a trade after a rising wedge, in a professional manner:
-The confirmed breakout
Wait for the candle to close below the support line of the wedge.
Look for a significant increase in volume during the breakout to confirm its validity.
-The retest
Look for a pullback on the broken support line, which has become resistance.
Enter when the price rebounds downward on this new resistance, confirming the downtrend.
-The post-breakout consolidation
Identify the formation of a flag or pennant after the initial breakout.
Enter when this mini-formation breaks in the direction of the main downtrend.
-The confirmed divergences
Spot bearish divergences on oscillators such as the RSI or the MACD.
Enter when price confirms divergence by breaking a nearby support.
-Timing with Japanese Candlesticks
Identify bearish formations such as the Evening Star, Bearish Harami, or Dark Cloud.
Enter as soon as the next candle confirms the bearish pattern.
-Important Considerations
Always place a stop-loss to manage risk effectively.
Be patient and wait for the setup to be confirmed before entering the trade
Check the trend on higher timeframes to ensure the consistency of the trade.
Integrate the analysis of the rising wedge with other technical indicators to improve the quality of decisions.
By following these recommendations, traders can optimize their entries on rising wedges while minimizing the risk of false signals.
BTCUSD Bullish Continuation: Rounding Bottom Supports Uptrend!COINBASE:BTCUSD - 4Hr Analysis
After analyzing the chart, I believe that price will continue its bullish cycle in the next few hours due to the formation of two key patterns: the Rising Wedge and the Rounding Bottom.
Rising Wedge:
The Rising Wedge is traditionally a bearish pattern, indicating a potential reversal or breakdown. However, in certain cases, this pattern can break out to the upside in the short term, especially if the price is near the top of the wedge. As seen in this chart, the Rising Wedge could suggest a temporary bullish breakout before the bearish pressure takes over. The breakout from this pattern often occurs due to bullish momentum pushing the price higher for a brief period.
Rounding Bottom:
The Rounding Bottom is a bullish pattern, indicating that the price has already started a recovery from a period of consolidation or decline. This pattern signals strength and momentum building after a downtrend, making it more likely that the current uptrend will continue. Since the Rounding Bottom is a reliable precursor to a sustained uptrend, it supports the idea that Bitcoin’s price will maintain its bullish cycle.
Conclusion:
The combination of the Rising Wedge and Rounding Bottom suggests that although there may be short-term price fluctuations, the overall trend is likely to remain bullish. Traders should keep an eye on the breakout from the Rising Wedge for potential entry points, while respecting the longer-term bullish signal from the Rounding Bottom.
Follow your risk management and happy trading!
S&P 500 Technical Analysis Ascending Triangle vs Rising Wedge I've identified two potential patterns on the S&P 500 SP:SPX chart:
Ascending Triangle (blue trendlines): Higher lows and flat highs, with breakout potential above the flat top or a breakdown below the higher lows. Indicated by blue arrows.
Rising Wedge Developing (red trend lines and arrows): Higher highs and higher lows, with a potential bearish breakout below the lower trend line or a less common bullish breakout above the upper trend line. Red arrows highlight the touch points on the rising wedge pattern.
Pattern Rules:
For a valid pattern, the following rules apply:
Ascending Triangle:
At least two higher lows
Flat highs
Decreasing volume
Breakout above the flat top or breakdown below the higher lows
Rising Wedge:
At least three touch points on each trend line (I will use as few as 2)
Higher highs and higher lows
Decreasing volume
Breakout below the lower trend line or above the upper trend line (less common)
Quick Review for Beginners:
New to chart patterns? Here's a quick rundown:
Higher lows: A series of lows that are higher than the previous ones.
Flat highs: A series of highs that are roughly the same level.
Decreasing volume: The trading volume decreases as the pattern forms.
Breakout: When the price moves above or below the pattern's boundary.
Trend lines: Lines drawn to connect the highs or lows of a pattern.
Keep in mind that chart patterns are not a guarantee of future price movements, but rather a tool to help identify potential trends and trading opportunities.