💱USDJPY - Bounce from the level before resistance breakout USDJPY is testing the resistance of the ascending channel and the resistance of the 144.897 range. On the local timeframe, the price is preparing for a breakout and further growth
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A retest after a month, and a quick approach to the level may give a bounce down, for example to 143.7
2) Price has stopped and is forming a decrease in volatility, most likely the consolidation phase begins, another retest of resistance may follow.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is sandwiched between rising resistance and rising support line, but at a less acute angle.
2) Buyers continue to make an onslaught on the resistance
3) The price may break the resistance after the next retest.
Key support📉: 144.3, 143.7
Key resistance📈: 144.69, 144.89
Rising Wedge
XAUUSD - Waiting for a Breakout 📈📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURUSD Reached a Srong Support Level and formed a Falling wedge Pattern!
so, we have 2 scenarios!
Scenario 1
if the Resistance Line will broke, i will buy in retest 📈
TARGET: 1972.000🎯
Scenario 2
the support level will be broken .
then, we will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 1911.200🎯
___________
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EURUSD - Huge uptrend is ready! (prepare longs)
EURUSD is still extremely bullish because the price is above the 200-day daily moving average and also above the major white trendline. Trend is your friend, so we want to take only longs!
The price is also inside this ascending parallel channel, and I expect another push to the upside to test the upward trendline of the channel. It's possible to bull-break this channel!
In the last 2 weeks, EURUSD has been going down, but it's just a re-test of the previous 2 trendlines. We needed this pullback for continuation to the upside. The retest was a great buying opportunity, but of course you can still enter the market at the current price if you find a good setup on lower timeframes.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
When trading EURUSD, we need to consider the DXY index. This index is pretty bearish, and I will probably do an analysis on it as well, so make sure you follow me for more updates!
The MACD indicator tells us that the trend is rolling over from bearish to bullish again. The histogram is ticking to the upside, which is of course a bullish sign.
In conclusion, I am bullish on the euro, and I would take only longs for the next few weeks!
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I post ideas mainly on BTC, so if you want more EURUSD ideas, support with like and comment, so I know I should continue!
Bitcoin prediction 2028 (Fibonacci channel, must know)!
This is my projection for the next 5 years. Bitcoin always rapidly grows after the halving event. But around 16 months after the halving event, Bitcoin started to crash significantly.
On the chart, we can see a very important Fibonacci channel on the LOG scale. The 0.618 FIB is always a strong level, and bitcoin hit it almost to the dollar in 2022. Take a look at it! We deeply need to keep this Fibonacci channel in mind. The strongest FIB levels are 0.618 and 0.382. 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. Bitcoin loves these Fibos.
Please do not expect some big parabolic phase to reach 500,000 USD in the next few months or years. This is not going to happen because you are too late for the exponential party. 100,000 - 120,000 in 2025 is a realistic target!
Bitcoin is a good investment, and you can trade the major cycles. Buy low, sell high. It's easy to say, but it's not that easy for the majority of market participants.
As per my calculations, the price of Bitcoin will be 1 million USD in 2044, which is 21 years ahead.
In approx. 2140, all Bitcoins should be mined, and there will be no new BTC mined at all. Miners will receive rewards from the transactions of chain users.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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Bear markets and crashes:
2011 - 93.75%
2014 - 86.94%
2018 - 84.22%
2022 - 77.57%
2026 - 71.67% ?
Bitcoin - Bart pattern + Comment your altcoin!Make a comment with your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it in reply! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
The bart pattern is a new type of chart pattern that occurs specifically on Bitcoin but sometimes also on other coins. It's something like pump and dump, but at the top of the pattern we have a sideways price action that looks like a Bart's head.
Usually August and September are the most bearish months on Bitcoin, so I would not be surprised!
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When we look at the daily chart, we can see an ascending parallel channel with 3 touches at the bottom. This indicates to me that the bulls are losing steam because they are unable to make a parabolic uptrend!
There is still a possibility of going up to 32k - 33K in the short term, but this is something I don't want to speculate on. And even if Bitcoin could pump to these higher levels, the crash would follow either way.
My Elliott Wave count suggests that a deep retracement is on the way up back to 20k or 21k, which is definitely a good price to buy as much Bitcoin as possible and prepare for the new bull market in 2024 and 2025. Also, you can open a long-term leveraged position on futures in this zone.
We still need to wait around 8 months for the halving event, and that's plenty of time for a crash. We have a lot of unfilled FVGAPs and a CME GAP below the current price. They are going to be filled sooner or later.
If we take a LOG fibonacci retracement from 16.3k to 31.5k, we can see that the 0.618 golden ratio is at 20303. The whales really like to buy BTC at this specific Fibonacci level, as it has the highest successful rate of all Fibonacci levels.
This bart pattern looks pretty funny, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, it's definitely not funny. The price moves extremely fast, and you can wake up into a massive red dildo.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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ETHUSD → Correction, after which growth to 2000 may be formedBITSTAMP:ETHUSD continues to form a bullish price channel, as evidenced by the MA-200, which accompanies the trend support. The price is forming a correction and breaking the support of 1846, thus marking the next target before further growth
Ethereum is forming a global flat 2021 - 1700. Support 1728 plays an important role for us and there is a high probability that the price may test it in the near future. But we are primarily interested in the support of the ascending channel.
The cryptocurrency market after active strengthening has moved to the correction format following bitcoin. There are no particularly key fundamental factors on this basis, as many nuances speak about the increasing interest in this market.
The price is in a range and in our case we can apply a range trading strategy, which means that in an uptrend we need to look for strong support areas to open buy trades.
Support levels: trend boundary, MA-200, 1775, 1728.
Resistance levels: 1846, 2021
I expect the correction to continue to the support area of the uptrend, after the retest of which may be followed by a bullish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
Rising Wedge | $380Chart 4H Timeframes
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is in Rising Wedge and reached to the resistance of Fibo Projection around $480
So I expect NVDA will reverse soon after it break down the lower line of Rising Wedge
NVDA has two support at 420 and lower at 370. It's over 10%, can consider use DCA strategy to join AI's race
Wait for next move
Bitcoin - Huge alt-season is starting! (buy altcoins)
Bitcoin dominance is going down, and in confluence with this sideways price action, I expect a huge alt-season! It's a great time to buy some altcoins.
We can clearly see that the price of Bitcoin is stuck in this rising wedge pattern. Because of it, generally, there is a higher probability of the price going down, but we still have plenty of time, and the price can stay inside for another 30 or 50 days.
We need to wait for the rising wedge pattern to show us the direction. The trendline of the rising wedge is slightly ascending, which is unpleasant to the bulls for a breakout. It tends to make swing failure patterns above the previous high, but you can take advantage of it and short it.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Trading Bitcoin on higher timeframes is currently not worth it because of its low volatility. You can still trade it on an intraday basis. But I prefer altcoins at this moment because the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D) is showing some signs of weakness.
Bitcoin broke out of the market structure in recent days but quickly went back up. So we need to be patient. To increase the probability of success, switch to altcoins!
Litecoin's halving event is in 6 days, which should send the price to the moon. We will see... I am prepared for it.
This is a quick update on BTC; I am not short or long on it. I trade altcoins!
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BTCUSD → Price is forming a consolidation. Retest of 0.382 fiboBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is in the correction phase. The market is forming a decline in volatility to the lows of the last few months. Globally we still have an ascending price channel and a bullish trend.
The price is declining to the limits of 0.382 fibo. Consolidation is formed above this line, in this case if the price continues to consolidate near 0.382 in the absence of a bounce, a breakout may follow and the price may decline to 28474 for a retest.
A positive sign for us will be a rebound from 0.382 and a breakout of 0.236 with the subsequent consolidation of the price above the level, in this case the bulls will again begin to show potential and form a retest of resistance.
The medium-term view of the situation tells us that this technical correction may continue, but not for long. The price is testing the important support area MA50 - 28474.
In the long term it is worth paying attention to strong support levels, and secondly to the resistance, because in the uptrend it is worth looking for reversal points and entry points and breakout entry at these areas.
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 28474, 0.618 fibo
Resistance levels: 0.236 fibo, 30575
I expect the correction to continue with a possible retest of 28474, but in the long term I expect continued growth to retest 30575 with a subsequent breakout and price movement to trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
💱CADJPY - We expect resistance retest CADJPY is forming a narrowing range. The outline of a triangle is being formed. The global trend is bullish and prioritizing price may break resistance
TA on the high timeframe:
1) 109-104 range is forming. False break of 104 sends price to 109
2) The liquidity area that the market is interested in is above 107.8, most likely price can reach this area
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Downside resistance and upside support is forming a narrowing consolidation that is beginning to form a symmetrical triangle.
2) Globally, the forces are tipped towards the buyers, hence the market under trend pressure may break the market resistance.
3) A rebound from support is formed and the market is directed towards 107-107.6
4) We are waiting for growth to the resistance as a priority
Key support: 105.85
Key resistance: 107, 107.6
ZENUSDT → Exiting a bearish trend. Growth potential by 15.00BINANCE:ZENUSDT is forming a prolonged bearish wedge. Numerous resistance retests are inconclusive except for the last one. Against the backdrop of falling bitcoin, ZEN is showing strength.
The price after testing the bearish trend support consolidates and stops under the resistance at 9.66, forming an ascending triangle. Over the course of several weeks, price consolidates and continues to push up against resistance.
At the moment of volume surge, the price moves from the accumulation phase to the phase of realizing the potential. A breakout of resistance and a bullish impulse is formed.
A retest of the previously broken boundary or consolidation above 9.66 may be formed soon, which may give an opportunity to enter the market at a better price. It is also worth noting that the price is breaking the moving averages and this may indicate a trend change.
Support levels: 9.66, the previously broken trend boundary
Resistance levels: 11.4, 15.12
I expect the growth to continue after the breakout of 9.66. Medium-term outlook - strengthening to 15.12.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bearish 21k target confirmed! (Bart pattern)
The Bart pattern is now confirmed, and it doesn't look good at all for the price of Bitcoin! We need to react to the recent price action, and this pattern is breaking down. I would not be surprised if we woke up in the morning and saw a big red dildo!
You can say that Bitcoin is still inside the major parallel channel and that we are still bullish, but I can tell you that the trendline has already touched three times, and only a small bounce is expected on the fourth touch. This channel is starting to be overextended, and it looks like we are going to see a huge crash!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
My target is still 21K, as you already know. I am not buying any BTC for the long term until we reach this target. It's a strong support because of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the unfilled CME futures gap.
September is usually an extremely bearish month, and October is not the best either. I think the best scenario is if we see a huge, fast crash, so we can buy cheap bitcoin as soon as possible.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a huge major impulse wave (1) has been completed, and we are looking for an ABC correction. Markets, especially Bitcoin, move in clear waves, and this theory is pretty good for it.
I warned you about this Bart pattern in my previous analysis, saying that it's a very possible scenario. This was definitely a good idea, and now the price is going down.
I am now bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices. Let me know in the comment section what you think!
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🥇GOLD - Wedge breakout and resistance retest Gold is breaking support of the rising wedge and is getting sell signals. On D1, price bounces off range resistance and likely gets downside potential
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout of 0.5 fibo gives a sell signal. The price continues to fall
2) During the European session, the price tries to buy back some of the decline, but the resistance area may stop the price
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Wedge support breakout. A correction is formed
2) The correction reaches 0.236 fibo and the price makes a false breakout
3) The liquidity area that may be of interest to the market is below 1953 and 1945 - this area may be a target for us.
Key resistance📈: 1965, 1972
Key support📉: 1957, 1953
BTCUSD → Expected correction within consolidation BITSTAMP:BTCUSD forms a false breakdown of the key resistance after which the format of the movement passes into the correction phase. The price is consolidating between 0.236 and 0.382 fibo
Paying attention to the chart we see the continuation of the ascending price channel formation. The price indicates a rather high interest on the part of buyers, as the price after long consolidations continues to strengthen and does not give deep corrections.
A correction is forming within the new movement, which may reach 0.382 fibo in the near future. The rebound within the bullish trend can follow both from this level and from the level below - 28474.
The trend at the moment is bullish, although recently the price has not reacted much on the hype around BTC-ETF, but the potential is still on the side of buyers.
The hash rate continues to grow, glassnode in its reports claims that the price is coming out of the capitulation mode, SEC accepts applications of funds for spot BTC-ETFs for consideration - these nuances give some bullish prerequisites.
Support levels: 0.382, 28474, 0.618.
Resistance levels: 0.236, 30575
I expect the correction to continue, I don't think this movement will last long. Another retest of the nearest strong resistance will provoke a new impulse. In the medium term I expect a retest of 30575 and growth to 34000.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Global ascending triangle. Retest 2020BINANCE:ETHUSDT is forming an interesting situation. For more than a year the price has been trading under the strong resistance of 2020. After a while we begin to realize that this level is the upper boundary of the ascending triangle.
This pattern can be interpreted as consolidation of potential by dynamic buyers with the purpose of possible overcoming the resistance and reaching new tops.
A symmetrical triangle has been forming for several months as well.
The price is in consolidation and on the background of bitcoin correction the price may form a decline to the support of the pattern.
MA-200 clearly outlines the ascending support of the bullish triangle, which only strengthens the essence of this formation.
In the medium term, the price may either make a false breakdown of the local support line or decline and retest the MA-200 and trend support.
The further target is growth with the aim of breaking through 2020 and strengthening to 2450.
Support levels: 1875, 1830, 1800
Resistance levels: 1938, 2000, 2020
I expect the correction to continue to the nearest support levels from which a reversal and resistance retest may follow.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Pump to 39k! But then, crash to 21k (juicy)
We have had a lot of bullish news in recent days, and that's why Bitcoin is going to reach up to 39k this summer, but do not be too excited because I am expecting a huge crash to 21k later this year!
39K is an extremely strong resistance for the bulls, mainly because of the 0.618 FIB retracement and point of control of the previous market structure. Also during the downtrend in 2022, the price created an unfilled fair value gap, which acts as resistance as well. We can fill this gap and start a major downtrend.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
At this moment, Bitcoin is inside an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart and has touched the trendline three times. 3 touches is a lot; it basically failed to make a parabolic move, so I expect this trendline to breakdown this year and start a downtrend!
What could be the price target for the upcoming downtrend? We still have an unfilled CME GAP at 21110, which is a magnet. All CME gaps on Bitcoin were always filled, and there is a 100% historical probability of going down and filling them!
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From the Elliott Wave perspective, this uptrend from 15k to the current price of 30k looks impulsive. It has a good angle, and there are totally no overlaps on the line chart, even though there is a small overlap on the candlestick chart. I market it as an impulse wave 12345, and we still have room to go up to finish the 5th wave.
Look at my previous idea about "XRP" in the related section down below; it's very important!
That's all for today. It's possible for Bitcoin to go down in the short term, but I am pretty bullish, and 39 is expected this summer.
95% of my trades are done on altcoins, and Bitcoin has been going sideways for almost a month. The volatility is low, and where there is no volatility, there is no opportunity.
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BTCUSD → Pre-break consolidation and flat at resistance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to forge an uptrend and also gives us preconditions that the growth will continue. The price is forming consolidation before the breakout and is confidently forming another bullish wave
On the chart we see an ascending triangle, the key resistance area that holds the price is the area of 31500. The price continues to ford retests against resistance and forms a pre-breakout consolidation.
Within the flat 31500 - 29700, a retest of 0.382 fibo and a false breakdown may be formed, which will increase liquidity for the continuation of growth.
Another rally has moved into the consolidation phase and we have to wait for the preconditions that the price will be ready to come out of this consolidation again.
Locally there are no key patterns, we should pay attention to narrow consolidations near resistance or a breakout followed by price consolidation above or below the level.
Moving averages in the role of support indicate a strong trend
Resistance levels: 31500
Support levels: 30000, 29700
I expect the consolidation to continue with the subsequent price squeezing to the resistance. A sharp retest will lead to the fact that the resistance may be broken. Medium-term outlook 32196-34000.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD - BULLISH FALLING WEDGE📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The AUDUSD Formed a Falling Wedge Pattern📉
Currently, The Price Broke The Resistance Line of The Wedge
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
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TARGET: 0.69545🎯
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🥇GOLD - False break of channel resistance Gold is breaking through global channel resistance, but is also bumping into a strong horizontal level.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The trend is still bearish, price is under strong resistance
2) Price is discovering a new range. But if price consolidates below 1930, a bearish potential will form
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A bullish wedge is forming. A breakout of the figure's boundaries will form a strong impulse
2) The price inside the ascending price channel makes a false breakdown of resistance
3) The price after the false breakdown may form a correction to the support.
4) Breakout of 1938.915 will give a buy entry point
Breakout of 1930 will give a sell entry point
Key support📉: 1930
Key resistance📈: 1938.915
GBPUSD is Trading Inside of Wedge and May Rise to ResistanceHey Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The GBPUSD Price Broke a Resistance Level and Failed to Create a New Lower Low📉
The Resistance Level Becomes New Support Level
Moreover, The Price Formed a Rising Wedge Pattern!
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
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TARGET: 1.29580🎯
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EURAUD - Is A Reversal On The Horizon?Analysis:
Looking at the chart we're able to see that price recently seemed pretty bullish and due to the news that came out for the USD last week it's had an affect on the AUD and we've since seem some AUD weakness, however we see a potential reversal happening soon. At this of area resistance we marked out we've seen that price has tagged this area before and then made a strong move to the downside so we expect that this will happen again. We also have a bearish chart pattern, a rising wedge pattern. Usually when we see this pattern forming we see sudden weakness and price drops to the downside so this favours our bearish reversal thesis. Fundamentally the EUR is the 2nd strongest major currency, whereas the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency so this doesn't favour our idea, but this isn't the full picture either. If we look a little further we can see that as of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in long positions on the EUR, signalling more bearishness could be on the horizon. Which favours our idea. We also have a speculation that the EUR will lose its strength that it once had as other currencies become stronger and we're starting to see this happen already. This is why fundamentally we like the look of the AUD over the EUR for now. With the technicals and fundamentals together we are bearish on EURAUD. This is a risky setup as it's going against the trend, however with trading you have to take risk because that is what trading is. The difference is having your risk under control, rather then gambling!
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you!
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
BTCUSD → FB before the breakout, waiting for the retest BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is testing strong resistance at 30575, but a false-break of the level tells us that the price is not ready to grow (at the moment). It might form a pullback or flat pattern below the level before rebounding further
Globally, we have a bullish trend, the price is getting stronger. The rally is followed by a consolidation and a pullback, after which the cycle repeats again. The price is gradually renewing its highs. Fundamentals are getting stronger amid a surge of activity and some positive investor interest news.
The moving averages on the D1 show us a bullish trend, the same is true for the weekly chart. The price forms a range after breaking through 25000. The range boundary is 30285 - 25000. I would not expect in the medium term a decline to 25000, most likely the price may form a consolidation between 30000-28500, after which the price will continue to form resistance retests for a breakout.
Support levels: 29800, 28500
Resistance levels: 30575
I expect a consolidation or a technical pullback after a rally. Bitcoin is not highly susceptible to technical analysis, but it is excellent on fundamentals. Fundamental background is more inclined to a positive trend. In the medium term, I expect growth after the breakout of 30575.
Sincerely R. Linda!