Microsoft - 2016 Trendline is breaking down! 43% CRASH.
First Netflix, then META, TSLA, and now MSFT!
The major trendline from 2016 is breaking down with a successful retest. This is not looking good.
MSFT is still pretty strong compared to others, but the question is how long it can last.
The next support is the base trendline from 2009. In this case, a 43% crash is possible. I don't see any good, strong support above the trendline.
If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can see that the histogram is very negative for the first time in a long time. It clearly broke the major uptrend.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this whole uptrend is done. MSFT's uptrend was brutal, as it always is, but the impulse wave has been completed. Now we are looking for a retracement.
The previous all-time high from 2000 is pretty much the worst-case scenario, just in case it starts to free fall like META. Buying Microsoft on this support is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
We are experiencing a historical crash in stocks and crypto. A lot of investors get rekt and it will be even worse. Great to be alive or not? :D
I am not here to spread negativity, but I cannot pretend that everything is bullish. I don't want anyone to lose money with bad investments, but when the big players decide to crash the market, no problem for them.
Thank you.
Rising Wedge
EUR/USD Corrective ShortAfter last weeks FED and ECB markets were left adjusting to Powell and Lagarde's comments.
FED will have to continue on with rate hikes well into Q2 '23 when they can start a pivot of no hikes, but certainly not making any cuts either. Rates will be held until they feel they have things 'under control'.
While Lagarde sounded 'hawkish' it doesn't change high inflation is here to stay and global growth concerns are starting to take headlines, weighing on sentiment.
I scalped the range last week but focused on shorts after fibonacci extension target was reached at 1.07350. I took short from 1.07250 closing at the end of the week at 1.06050.
This week I took entry short back at that same level, 1.06050
**If SL gets hit, it’s only 10 pips and I’ll hop in on a long scalp into 1.06500 - 1.06800
Market can range with end of year low volume so its best to cut it quick when you know a key level is failing and get in at a better entry.
At the end of the day, trade you own levels..but I hope you found to be decent
AUD/USD ShortPossibly the Australian dollar against the American dollar has a fall because it has 4 confirmations:
• Wyckoff Accumulation
• Butterfly harmonic pattern
• Rising wedge
• Reaction of an Order Block in 4h
The first three factors tend to reverse the trend or set the tone for a new trend, which in this case would be bearish apart from the fact that in elliot waves the rising wedge marks the end of a wave, whether it is "1", "5" or "C" wave.
Wait for it to reach the entry area
Bitcoin - Bear flag, January is an extremely bearish month!
Sell before Christmas because this is the time when Bitcoin falls like a rock pretty much every time! January is also a deep freeze for Bitcoin.
At this point, this overlapy uptrend from 15450 to 18400 looks like an ABC correction to me. It shows all the signs of a correction.
Altough I believe there will be a lot of buyers at the 0.618 FIB retracement because this uptrend can be considered a strong trend by some traders. I am buying here for short-term gains.
The 0.618 FIB is a strong support because it coincides with the POC on the volume profile, the previous breakout level, and the beginning of the GAP.
I give you the most professional outlook on bitcoin, so hit the like right now! Thank you.
We can clearly see that Bitcoin is moving in an ascending parallel channel, or you can call it a bear flag as well. This is a big problem; you probably don't want to see this pattern at the start of something big.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
After we break this bear flag, Bitcoin can continue to drop to new lows and potentially hit 10k next year. I hope it happens very quickly, so we can start a new bull market as soon as possible. Of course, I don't want Bitcoin to be stuck in some range for another six months and then slowly bleed down.
At this point, I cannot be bullish because of the DXY index, and if I take a look at altcoins, it looks even worse.
Thanks for your attention!
ETH QUICK UPDATE! LOOKS BEARISH!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick ETH update.
ETH is not looking good here. Forming a rising wedge in 6hr time frame which is a bearish pattern. ETH breaks down this rising wedge and currently retesting. After this retest, we might see more drop in ETH. Important support for ETH is at the $1220-$1230 level. Let's see how price reacts there.
Invalidation Level:- Breaks above $1300 will invalidate this rising wedge pattern.
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BANKNIFTYBANKNIFTY UPDATE:
Rising Wedge Break Down
As mentioned yesterday, breakout fizzled out & then breakdown happened on HCB below 43384 & its target is 43300_43310. So far made low 43379.
Immediate Resistance Zone - 43500_43515 / 43800_43870.
Next Resistance Zones - 44160 / 44300 / 44500
Immediate Support Zone - 43370_43300.
Below that 43020_42900
✅UNDERSTAND THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN✅
☑️WHAT IS THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN?
The rising (ascending) wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that signals a highly probable breakout to the downside. It’s the opposite of the falling (descending) wedge pattern (bullish). A rising wedge can be both a continuation and reversal pattern, although the former is more common and more efficient as it follows the direction of an overall trend.
The rising wedge consists of two converging trend lines that connect the most recent higher lows and higher highs. In a rising wedge, the lows are catching up with the highs at a higher pace, which means that the lower (supporting) trend line is steeper.
☑️KEY FEATURES
• The price action temporarily trades in an uptrend (the higher highs and higher lows)
• Two trend lines (support and resistance) that are converging
• The decrease in volume as the wedge progresses towards the breakout
The third point is seen more as a boost to the validity and effectiveness of the pattern, rather than a mandatory element. And it is applicable either for stocks trading mostly.
☑️SPOTTING THE RISING WEDGE
Identifying a rising wedge is not so difficult. As a first step, you should eliminate all types of wedges that are present in the sideways-trading environment. The ascending wedge occurs either in a downtrend as the price action temporarily corrects higher, or in an uptrend.
☑️TRADING THE RISING WEDGE
Trading the rising wedge pattern is pretty easy. After we correctly identified the pattern all we need to do is wait patiently for the breakout of the wedge to the downside. After the breakout is confirmed(usually at least a 4H candle needs to close below the broken level) we can place a limit order to short the pair on a pullback giving us a better risk to reward ratio. The correct Stop Loss should be placed above the last higher high established by the wedge before the breakout. What concerns the Take Profit level, it must be based on the technical levels below( If there are any). If not, then we might use Trailing Stop or just choose a minimal acceptable RR of 1:1,5
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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BTC short TradingplanHi @everone,
i Added on top of previous chart i would like to share some pattern wavecouts on top of it.
rule nr 1 : never short at a potential wave D ( this is often a huge trap) same for an falling wedge, its exact the opposite.
rule nr 2 : now how to count your waves, you want to spot a 5 wave structure with higher highs and higher lows with an apex wich is declining. the first wave needs to be inpulsive and may not made an lower low. This would inval your wave count for an wedge.
rule nr 3 : ONLY enter if you spotted an valid wave E with some bearish divergence on top of it!
Everyone nows what is an wedge..
But almost no one seems to knows how to really trade them.
Enjoy your new set of rules,
If u found this valueble please put your comment below, Thanks!
Goodluck,
Team Quantistic
BTC at a critical level! Can It break 18.2k?!Here's a quick look at the BTC 6 hr. chart. As we can see, the price has been printing a bigger rising channel, and if the price gets rejected from its current level, we may see a drop to the bottom of the rising channel! If the price breaks above the channel and thereby 18.2k, the price will probably retest the 18.8k level!
A rising channel has a 30% chance of breaking higher, and a 70% chance of breaking lower!
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
Possible route for Gold H2 Hello traders this is my new analysis about possible route for Gold , if the news of PPI will have a positive result for USD it would cause to downtrend for Gold and about technical analysis there is a Rising wedge here that may show us the possibility of downfall for Gold .
BTCUSDT is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level inside a wedge
The price is testing a crucial level on the daily and 4h timeframe inside a rising wedge
How to approach it?
IF the price is going to have a breakout from the rising wedge and support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
NFLX- Ascending Wedge Pattern Setting up Bearish SHORTNFLX has been in an uptrend and quite bullish and relatively strong
on the 2H chart an ascending wedge pattern is seen.
Moving Averages confirm the present trend as bullish with no crossovers
and the price above all of them.
Given the ascending wedge I will take a small position now at the trendline
resistance as a swing short. I will add to it if/when price breaksdown
below the green trendline support and the fast moving average crosses
the intermediate moving average as well as a line crossover on the MACD
or bearish divergence on a RSI indicator.
QQQ Rising Wedge Pattern SHORT SetupQQQ is in a rising wedge pattern on the 15 minute chart and so is
predicting a breakdown to the downside below the support trendline.
The Connor RSI shows the relative strength about to cross below the
running average. Volatility is decreased in a consolidation awaiting
a breakout from the squeeze. All in all, QQQ is looking to be
setup to short in this upcoming week with federal news on the calendar.
BTC: Ascending Wedge w/ Liquidity TrapHere is the second part of my "There will be blood" chart (check it out below), which accurately forecasted the next redistribution event for BTC. It's becoming a familiar occurrence: an unmistakable ascending wedge pattern emerging with dominant supply expansion in the pullbacks presupposes more downward action to come, but perhaps not before a quick liquidity grab to the north. Since July there have been a myriad of rising wedge redistributive ranges in the PA. This appears to be yet another.
** If you have strong hands, patience, and like big wins, be sure to SUBSCRIBE to this channel. Here's why: I track all USD-paired cryptocurrencies on all the major CEXs and seek out the most lucrative swing trades and runners. All my charts are clean, straightforward, and easy-to-follow with exceptional win rates ranging between 80-85%. Check my chart history and see for yourself. My TA is based on a combo of Volume Spread Analysis, Wyckoff, EW theory & Fibonacci ratios. Stop getting smashed and start winning in crypto. My charts will teach you how.
*Not financial advice. DYOR and trade at your own risk.
ALGORAND Rising WedgeGot news for you: ALGORAND's not the only altcoin trending in a RW pattern. There are many others. Upper shadows are long and deep above microtrend resistance, volume is relatively low on the upthrusts. Blood is in the forecast, but perhaps not before another bull trap rally. Don't get fooled by the FOMO. Stay safe!
Be sure to subscribe for more clean, accurate, easy-to-follow swing charts with exceptionally high win ratios (80-85% average). I've been a fulltime crypto trader/investor since 2017, and I handpick all the runners myself after conducting a series of careful volume-to-spread reads and Wyckoff schematic comparisons.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade at your own risk.
Why I opened BTC short when price rejected at 17.4K. Hi everyone, in this analysis I will explain why I opened short position when BTC was rejected at 17.4K level which was upper band of rising wedge/diagonal resistance and 4h 200 EMA. Before that I noticed ABCD pattern which started forming at 15.5K swing low in 22 November/ A point/ and finished at 17256 in 01 December/ D point/. BTC rejected at the mentioned zone with liquidity hunt above D point then strong rejection with bearish engulfing candle=RSI bearish divergence + momentum losing+ rising wedge pattern breakdown. My first target will be at 0.618 fib level /16.5K/ which is horizontal+ diagonal support at the same time. If price can't hold 16.5K C point will be my 2d target for ABCD pattern and 100% projection of CD wave. I don't expect BTC to go lower. If you pay attention to the volume bars, there is no buying pressure. Let's see how BTC reacts at 16.5K support level. Don't forget to put always stop losses.
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Don't forget to check my other analyses bellow related ideas.
ETH - The most bearish pattern is confirmed!
This is a very bearish 3-wave corrective pattern (WXY) double ZigZag. This pattern is now confirmed, and ETH could drop significantly!
It's not looking good for ETH at all. The bear market is strong, and ETH can potentially reach levels below 1000 USD.
The most important yellow trendline has been destroyed by the bulls, and the bears are back in full force!
I recommend longing ETH at the 0.618 FIB for quick gains. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The ECB (European Central Bank) recently warned us about a massive crypto crash; this could be true.
1235 USD is a key level, and the bulls weren't able to sustain it! This level was important because it was the peak of the first wave (W). The possibility of an impulse wave has been invalidated for good.
I hope you guys are doing great and take care!
You must look at my ideas about Bitcoin, Gold, EURUSD, and Oil in the related section down below.
For more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow", right now!
GOLD - Wall Street doesn't want you to know! Huge dump.
GOLD is currently very close to an extremely strong level, which is the previous swing high from August 2022!
The market will probably want liquidity above this swing high. I expect price to break this level and touch the top of the parallel ascending channel.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a classic impulse wave is almost done. This is a simple pattern that may work in confluence with other indicators.
What do you think about gold? Let me know in the comment section, because I look forward to your opinions!
I recommend you short gold once we break the previous swing high or once we touch the top of the channel again. Of course, you can set a limit order or wait for some reversal pattern at the critical point on lower timeframes.
I hope this analysis will help you with your trading decisions! Keep in mind that this is not a trade setup. There is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Where should you place your profit target? You can use my level, which is the breakout point of the previous trendline (1681.94). You can also long gold here in the future once the price reaches this important point.
Wall Street doesn't want you to know that 99.9% of gold is paper gold in the form of contracts. You may say that the physical supply of gold is limited, which can be true. But they can "print" an infinite amount of paper gold backed by fiat.
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GOLD: BIG PICTURE & LONG TERM ANALYSISLet's look at the weekly chart for GOLD. For that it's important to analyse all technical aspects and keep an open mind.
Long term investors will see 2 major patterns here:
1. a major kind of rising wedge (red lines): price is evolving between the 2 red lines since 2008, forming a rising wedge when you connect the highs and lows. What does it mean from a technical point of view?
Although the price is in an up-trend, a rising wedge is generally a bearish signal as it indicates a possible reversal during this up-trend. Rising wedges indicate the likelihood of falling prices after a breakout through the lower trend line.
As every technical pattern, it does not mean it will materialise, but at least it gives you clear levels of supports and resistances. Even if this bearish pattern materialises, the wedge can extend until 2030, so Gold can rise way more before falling.
2. a massive cup and handle: A cup and handle price pattern is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle.
As you can see on the chart, the cup formed from 2011 to 2020, while the handle has been forming since 2020 until now.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend.
After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward. This is exactly what we are seeing now (blue dotted lines). The blue dotted lines are giving you short term supports and resistances levels. Use these to trade GOLD on a shorter time frame.
The handle represents the final pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance. Sometimes it can retrace up to 1/2 but not more. I have added the Fibonacci retracements on the chart, Gold has retraced 0.382, which is ideal for a bounce.
The target of a cup and handle is the height of the cup added to the breakout point (the neckline) of the handle. The neckline is the upper red line of the rising wedge. If we project the height of the cup we get a target zone between $3400 and $3500.
We could see Gold consolidating a bit more within the blue dotted line channel. As long as we do not fall below the max retracement zone and lower red line, the formation is bullish long term. A break upwards of the blue dotted line channel would trigger a long trade to the red line. A break of the upper red line would confirm the cup and handle pattern. A break of the lower red line won't be good at all for bulls.
Note that the above analysis is purely based on technicals and do not take into consideration fundamentals.