Gold XAU - New bull market just started! Elliott Wave + Channel
Gold is currently sitting on a strong support level on the weekly chart!
We have a great confluence here - an ascending parallel channel + 200 weekly moving average + bullish rectangle.
200 weekly MA is considered as a very strong support by huge institutions and hedge funds.
ABC correction + Wave (4) have been completed, so we can start a new impulse wave from here!
I think this will be the final impulse wave and then we can go back to retest the rectangle from the upside.
You can place your profit target to the TOP of the parallel channel, but do not forget to switch to a LOG scale.
Look at my ideas about Bitcoin and Ethereum in the related section down below ↓
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Rising Wedge
USDJPY D1 Riskful analysis !Hello traders as you see I found some reasons that shows us it is possible to have downtrend in USDJPY although I really can't trust completely on this rising wedge... And also it is really depend on BOJ Outlook Report
Monetary Policy Statement and DXY fundamental news....
please see my previous Idea about USDJPY D1 I hope it would be useful for you
$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out.
Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here.
Phase 1:
There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are:
1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding.
2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.)
3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest)
There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post.
Phase 2:
A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range.
Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range.
Phase 3:
After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth.
This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment.
**This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
BEARISH ON SPY-currently forming a bearish rising wedge
-lower highs in supply zone from 385-393
- ultimately bearish since FOMC is 7/26-7/27 and J. Powell was considering another 75 BPS hike
-looking for a reject at 385 to then come down to retest 373 again
-crossover of the 20/50 SMA at 10:30 July 14-15 on the 4HR chart
IF SPY pushes above trailing resistance line from 393-383 then this bearish set up has failed
I will only swing a put if we close at 383.70 or under
Always trade your own plan ;)
Sincerely Kai D3 Trades <3
BTC: FORMING BEARISH PATTERN IN LTF! STAY CAUTIOUS!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update.
BTC is forming a rising wedge pattern in 1hr time frame which is generally a bearish pattern. Although, it is still inside the wedge but once it breaks below the wedge we can expect a drop up to $19k-$19.5k level.
Invalidation level:- If any hourly candle close above $21,200 then this chart becomes invalidated.
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Decision Time for Bitcoin Target 19.2Bitcoin is about to break down this wedge out of a rising wedge and head to 19.2
MATIC inside rising wedge#MATIC/USDT
$MATIC rejected from upper line of rising wedge pattern and heading down toward lower line that will be around $0.51.
🐻 break down from lower line of this wedge will drop price more to support zone around $0.35.
🐮 but holding the lower line that is the same with descending trend line and break out from upper line will increase price to higher trend line and resistance zone around $0.85.
MATIC broke out rising wedge#MATIC/USDT
#update
$MATIC hold the lower line of wedge as support and pumped to broke out from upper line of wedge, and now faced a resistance zone.
🐮 possibly price will have a pullback to support zone around $0.6 and then will continue its rally to resistance zone between $0.8 and $0.9
🐻 break down from support zone will invalid bullish scenario and price can drop to descending trend line.
BNB rising wedge to $250#BNB/USDT
$BNB is inside rising wedge and rejected from lower line of wedge. now price is inside resistance zone.
🐮 break out from this resistance zone will increase price to upper line of wedge that is the same with resistance zone around $250.
🐻 rejection from current resistance or next resistance and break down from lower line of wedge will drop price to $200 and lower.
SPY Puts Looking for SPY to enter green zone ($381.3 - $382). $384-$385 is looking to become the new resistance, this is where I entered. My contract expires 7/13, going to try and squeeze some profits tomorrow morning and take this to $382. Also seeing a rising wedge pattern along with a triple top, for those reasons I am strongly biased on Puts.
Ethereum ETHUSDT - Complete Elliott Wave + Rising wedge (weekly)- Ethereum is forming a rising wedge on the weekly scale, but there is stil missing a last 5th impulse Elliott wave.
- The price is sitting on the 200 weekly moving average, it is good practice to think of this MA as a zone and not a level.
- 200MA is considered as strong support by huge hedge funds and institutions and is probably the strongest MA on macro scale.
- If we take a look at the RSI indicator - it is on the level of "strong buy" by historical data.
- The RSI indicator is showing a nice trendline, which we can watch and potentially buy a breakout with confluence with other indicators.
- Also the RSI helps us to identify first and third impulse wave by looking at the divergences.
- As per my Elliott Wave analysis - Ethereum is deeply missing a 5th impulse wave, so i think the bull market is imminent.
- Next impulse wave target is 10 000 - 20 000 USD per ETH.
- Look at my idea about Bitcoin (complete Elliott wave) and TOTAL crypto cap in the related section down below ↓
- For more ideas please hit "Like" & "Follow"!
LTCUSDT had a breakout from the rising wedgeThe price is testing the 4h support on 51$ after a breakout from the rising wedge and 4h resistance.
The price could have a pullback on 0.382 Fibonacci level in order to grab more liquidity for a new bearish impulse.
How to approach it?
IF the price is going to lose the support and retest it as new resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
USDJPY, Retracement Before The Next Leg Up?The dollar is in a strong uptrend against the Japanese Yen, however, it seems it's time for a retracement. On low time frames, the price has formed a rising wedge that is now confirmed. The pair broke through the lower boundary and probably will continue down until the next support, which is near 133. We should see a bounce once the price reaches this zone.
If the dollar continues dropping after that, the main support at 130.5 should hold and USDJPY should rebound.
So the idea here is to buy the dip, when reversal signs appear on lower time frames.
APEUSDT is creating a rising wedgeThe price is testing the daily resistance after a bounce in the 3$ area.
On the 4h timeframe the price is creating a rising wedge on it and testing the 0.886 Fibonacci level, it's a key level.
How to approach it?
IF the price is going to lose the support and retest it as new resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
ETH: IS AT RESISTANCE! BEARISH PATTERN!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Welcome to this ETH update.
ETH is not looking good here. Forming a rising wedge pattern in 2hr time frame and currently hovering near the resistance level. ETH has a strong resistance at $1250-$1280 level.
If we successfully break down this rising wedge pattern then I'm expecting ETH to hit $950-$980 level.
Invalidation level:- If ETH breaks and close above $1300 then this pattern becomes invalidated.
What do you think about this?
Do you think we are heading for a correction from here or do you think that it will clear the resistance and pump?
Share your views in the comment section.
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Thank You!