Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!If it closes below the midline this week, price may see the bottom of the channel.
maybe...
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Rising Wedge
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1)
Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL).
Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback.
Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4)
Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge.
Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction.
Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1)
Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout.
Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern.
Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline.
4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur.
Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside.
5. Trading Strategy Insights
For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility.
Conclusion:
The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
Breakout or breakdown? I'm SHORT here is whyHi fellow traders,
In this idea I have drawn daily supply and demand zones, although the zones of interest exist out of large ranges I think the combination of approaching both a long- and short-term supply zone and a forming rising wedge we are looking at a rejection from the 1h supply zone level.
I will wait on the lower timeframe to confirm the rejection, ideally have a bounce of the bottom of the rising wedge acting as resistance.
What do you think? Are we going to breakdown or breakout?
Happy trading ^^
AUDCAD Potential breakout to do downsideAUDUSD is making higher highs on the 1-hour chart, but it's important to observe that bullish momentum seems to be waning, with the slope of the upward movement beginning to flatten. As the market approaches the weekly resistance, the upper boundary of the channel, and the key psychological level at 0.9100, close attention should be paid to how the price reacts in this area. Since the price has previously rebounded from this zone, a retest of the support level is likely, especially given that the daily timeframe indicates the market has reached a critical resistance point. If a rejection candle forms, it could signal a reversal or a deeper correction. The potential target is the support level at 0.90320
Second Attempt at Shorting NZDUSDI’m back at it with a second attempt to short NZDUSD, and here’s why this setup caught my attention.
Current Overview:
- 4-Hourly Chart:
i) Rising Channel: The pair is moving within a rising channel.
ii) RSI Divergence: This divergence signals a potential weakening of the uptrend, which adds confidence to the short setup.
Shorting Opportunity:
- 1-Hourly Chart:
i) Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern: This pattern gave me a solid entry at 0.6029.
Strategy:
- 1st Target:
i) Extended to: 0.5992
ii) Why: The market reversed beyond the original 1st target, allowing me to extend it for better profit potential.
- 2nd Target: Keeping it open to adjust based on how the market moves.
Final Thoughts:
This setup combines a classic RSI divergence with a well-defined Bearish Shark Pattern, making it a compelling opportunity for a second short attempt. If you’re considering a similar trade, keep an eye on the targets and be ready to adapt as the market unfolds.
What’s your take on this setup? Have you noticed similar patterns in your trading? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
DJI Weekly Rising Narrowing WedgeDow Jones Industrial Average has not shown many signs of slowing in its growth.
Here is a bearish biased shape playing out on the weekly chart in the form of a rising narrowing wedge.
Strictly PA, strictly structure. Keep an eye on this.
Looking for a Macro correction to reach to the .236 or the .382 on a corrective movement.
This is a follow up to a macro long idea on the DJI posted back in March 25th 2023.
NFA
Do your own DD
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BTC Wedge Approaching 3 Targets3 Targets derived from the rising wedge that developed into the Trump Speech looking for a final low before the Bull Run can begin.
1) Rising wedge target ~57k lining up with 0.786 fib of that move.
2) Bear pole leg into the rising wedge gives us target 2 around 52K if 57k does not hold.
3) More unlikely we go this low but ~49k for the entire bear pole leg going into the wedge as target 3.
S&P 500 is gonna fall soon!!As you can see the rising wedge has broken and now price can fall to PRZ zone . the safe zone for s&p500 is's $5000 .
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Frankly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !! OKX:BTCUSDT
The rising wedge has broken and now the price could reach 70k after a little correction.
See it !!
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
DOGECOIN: Rising wedge + R.O.C DivergenceDOGECOIN: Rising wedge + R.O.C Divergence
The Wolf of Zurich has detected an ascending wedge + A nice divergence on the R.O.C = Rate Of Change, which indicates the variation of the Momentum of the underlying.
To watch the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages
The Fibonacci and ICHIMOKU levels
SPY does a rising wedge suggest a reversal? SHORTSPY on a 30 minute chart shows a rising wedge over the past week. Price is now under a nearly
flat upper trendline of resistance while the support trendline is rising. The dual TF RSI
indicator shows strength about 70 while the zero lag MACD shows a K /D line cross.
Because of this I believe, SPY may retrace to 468 or the level of the Fib 0.5. Since SPY is a high
volume high liquidity slow spread instrument I see a buying a put option or s short swing trade
short on the shares as strong consideration for the next trading day if the breakdown is
confirmed.
FIL ANALYSIS🔮 #FIL Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 4hr chart we can see a formation "Rising Wedge Pattern" in #FIL. Currently #FIL falls from its major resistance level. If #FIL breaks and holds this resistance then we will see a good bullish move.💲💲
🔖 Current Price: $4.220
⏳ Target Price: $4.937
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #FIL. 🚀💸
#FIL #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
The Last Candle from the GOLD is the Hanging Man???Dear my Dragon Friends
i saw the closing candle at this week with time frame Daily is "Hanging Man", that was means by monday we can see the reversal pattern (going down) our watchlist for down side is 2380-85 for the support if break we can get big pattern with Rising Wedge and will be going to 2280-2300.
But if HOLD at this number 2380-85 we can see GOLD will Rise again and me Higher High will break all resistance and make new resistance again, may be 25XX...
For now and this week i will try to trade sell and i will Buy next week.
Lets See
Happy Trading
Disclaimer On
NZDUSD - Sell Stop on Break of 4-Hour SupportAnalysis
A divergence has been identified, and a rising wedge pattern has formed. The price is currently testing the 4-hour resistance level and is moving towards the 4-hour support. If the price breaks the second support level, we will enter a position, anticipating a bearish trend.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.61284
SL: 0.61503
TP1: 0.61065
TP2: 0.60846
BTCUSD Daily Rising Narrowing WedgeBTC/USD on the Daily
BTC is moving inside a rising wedge with a support that goes back to October of 2023. Rising wedges have a bearish bias.
If the rising support fails to hold, the 50/100 SMA area will likely get a test, and possible the 200 SMA, both of which coincide with major order blocks.
First order block lines up with the .236 fib retracement level.
Second order block lines up with the .382 fib retracement level.
I don't think this move is worth a play in either direction, so this idea is neutral. Just sharing for the sake of sharing.
NFA
Do your own DD
GBPJPY → Breaking the psychological level. What's next, 215.0?OANDA:GBPJPY is getting ready to break resistance (ATH for 15 years). In the long term, there is upside potential to 215.8. A strong bullish formation is forming on H4-D1
On the monthly timeframe, price is in the 195-215 range. Bulls kept the defense above the support, at the same time a pre-breakdown setup is forming on the chart, the focus of which is on the resistance at 200.6. The psychological level may be broken in the nearest future, which may provoke the market to active growth towards 202-205, further towards 215 (medium-term perspective).
Japanese Central Bank is not doing well, today we expect news in the US: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, inflation data is expected to be neutral.
Resistance levels: 200.6
Support levels: 199.9
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair has a strong bullish bias. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 200, this zone will become a strong support in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
Rising Wedge Breakdown Near Resistance3-daily chart for BTC.D
Targets:
Possible drop to support support initially.
Then TP 1 around 47
TP 2 ~43-44%.
Prereqs:
Remain below the wedge and lose 54% and then the 200 day EMA/MA just under it.
Some confluence:
My hand-drawn rising wedge on the log chart above has a measured TP 2 that lines up almost perfectly with the linear chart's "Rising Wedge" auto-pattern indicator.
Daily line chart view:
#CADCHF short term selling opportunityA short position would be considered if the price could break below the rising wedge pattern.
A long position would be initiated if the price could break above the rising wedge pattern and closes above a VWAPs.
The trading scenario with the line arrow has a higher possibility of occurring.
Confirmations for the shorting scenario:
Price below important dynamic resistance.
Price creating a rising wedge pattern with a bearish intrinsic nature.
bearish divergence between price and momentum oscillator.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.